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Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd (XIN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/06/2025: XIN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -71.66% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 19.70M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 0.53 | 1Y Target Price 7.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio 0.53 | 1Y Target Price 7.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19197 | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 2.24 - 7.05 | Updated Date 03/23/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.24 - 7.05 | Updated Date 03/23/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.58 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 0.53 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1803829365 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 1803829365 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.15 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.41 | Shares Outstanding 5613680 | Shares Floating 43058048 |
Shares Outstanding 5613680 | Shares Floating 43058048 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 0.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is primarily engaged in developing and managing real estate properties in China and the United States. The company focuses on high-growth cities and employs advanced technologies in its projects.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Real Estate Development: Xinyuan focuses on developing residential properties, including apartments and villas, primarily in Tier I and Tier II cities in China. Projects often incorporate green building technologies and smart home features.
- Property Management: The company provides property management services to its developed properties, including security, maintenance, and other related services.
- Construction: Xinyuan engages in construction activities related to its development projects, managing the building process from start to finish.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of the Chairman, CEO, and other key executives overseeing various operational aspects. The organizational structure includes departments for development, finance, marketing, and construction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Residential Apartments: These are a core product, targeting middle to upper-class urban dwellers. Market share data is difficult to ascertain with precision due to the fragmented nature of the Chinese real estate market, with numerous regional developers. Competitors include China Vanke, Evergrande (now defunct), and Country Garden.
- Commercial Properties: Xinyuan also develops commercial properties, including office buildings and retail spaces, although it has significantly reduced their developments over the past years. Revenue from this stream is much smaller. Competitors include Dalian Wanda Group and Soho China.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The Chinese real estate market is characterized by high demand, rapid urbanization, and government regulations aimed at cooling down speculative investment. The industry is facing challenges related to debt levels and regulatory crackdowns on overleveraged developers.
Positioning
Xinyuan positions itself as a developer focusing on quality and innovative technology, attempting to differentiate itself in a competitive market. They have been struggling to maintain financial stability.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the Chinese real estate market is estimated to be in the trillions of USD. Given their financial instability, Xinyuan's market cap is small compared to the TAM, indicating significant opportunity but also highlighting their current weaknesses.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Focus on technological integration
- Experience in developing in high-growth regions
- Established brand recognition (prior)
- Land bank in strategic locations (prior)
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Dependence on Chinese market
- Fluctuations of RMB
- Financial Instability and defaults
Opportunities
- Government support for affordable housing
- Growing demand for smart homes
- Expansion into new geographic areas within China
- Partnerships with technology firms
Threats
- Government regulations and policies
- Economic slowdown in China
- Increased competition
- Volatility in land prices
- Credit Risk and Availability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Vanke (000002.SZ)
- Country Garden (2007.HK)
- China Overseas Land & Investment (0688.HK)
Competitive Landscape
Xinyuan faces stiff competition from larger and more established developers. Its financial difficulties put it at a significant disadvantage.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been inconsistent, with periods of rapid expansion followed by periods of contraction.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are highly uncertain due to the company's financial condition and market volatility.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on managing debt and improving liquidity. Prior efforts included strategic partnerships and technology integration.
Summary
Xinyuan Real Estate has faced significant challenges in recent years, primarily stemming from high debt levels and volatile market conditions in China. Their past focus on technology integration offered a competitive edge, but current financial instability overshadows these strengths. The company needs to address its debt issues and adapt to changing market dynamics to stabilize and grow. The outlook for growth is uncertain given their current financial health.
Similar Companies
- 000002.SZ
- 2007.HK
- 0688.HK
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Financial News Articles
- Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data may be outdated. Market conditions are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-12-12 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Yong Zhang | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 1069 | Website https://www.xyre.com |
Full time employees 1069 | Website https://www.xyre.com |
Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development and construction in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Malaysia, and the United Kingdom. The company develops residential projects, such as multi-layer apartment buildings, sub-high-rise apartment buildings, high-rise apartment buildings; and auxiliary services and amenities, such as retail outlets, leisure and health facilities, kindergartens, and schools, as well as offices, mixed-use, and commercial properties. It also acquires development sites through public auctions of government land and acquisitions of entities. In addition, the company provides property management services for its developments and other real estate-related services; offers landscaping, engineering and management, real estate consulting, leasing management, management consulting, and technical services; operates retail stores; and installs intercom systems. Further, it engages in the purchase, sale, lease, and brokerage of real estate; sale of construction materials; development and sale of robots; operation of internet platform for real estate property financing; and provision of electronic commerce and catering services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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