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Warner Music Group (WMG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$35.57
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY6.59%
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Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 8 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: WMG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 28.91%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 18.35B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 35.98
1Y Target Price 35.86
Price to earnings Ratio 35.98
1Y Target Price 35.86
Volume (30-day avg) 1998133
Beta 1.35
52 Weeks Range 26.75 - 36.64
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 26.75 - 36.64
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.02%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.98

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-05
When Before Market
Estimate 0.3324
Actual 0.5377

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.07%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.47%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.53%
Return on Equity (TTM) 80.12%

Valuation

Trailing PE 35.98
Forward PE 23.47
Enterprise Value 21931242370
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.89
Enterprise Value 21931242370
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.89
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.46
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.96
Shares Outstanding 144980992
Shares Floating 143723721
Shares Outstanding 144980992
Shares Floating 143723721
Percent Insiders 2.07
Percent Institutions 105.52

AI Summary

Warner Music Group (WMG): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Warner Music Group (WMG) has a rich history dating back to 1958 when Warner Bros. Records was established. Through mergers and acquisitions, it evolved into the present-day WMG, a global leader in the music industry.

Core Business Areas:

WMG primarily operates in two segments: Recorded Music and Music Publishing.

  • Recorded Music: This segment encompasses the discovery, development, and commercialization of recordings by artists across various genres.
  • Music Publishing: This segment involves acquiring and managing copyrights for musical compositions, including lyrics and melodies.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

WMG is led by CEO Stephen Cooper, who oversees a diverse leadership team responsible for various functions like creative content, finance, legal, human resources, and technology. The company operates in a decentralized structure, empowering individual labels and territories to act autonomously within the overall WMG framework.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products: WMG boasts a diverse portfolio of artists and catalogues, including Bruno Mars, Ed Sheeran, Cardi B, and the vast Warner Chappell Music publishing division.

Market Share: WMG commands a significant market share in both the global and US music industries. According to the IFPI Global Music Report 2023, WMG held a 15.7% market share globally and 16.8% in the US.

Competitors: WMG's major competitors include Universal Music Group (UMG), Sony Music Entertainment (SME), and independent labels. UMG is the current market leader with a 22.7% global market share, followed by SME at 18.8%.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

The global music market is vast, encompassing both recorded music and music publishing. It was valued at USD 27.8 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 35.7 billion by 2028. The TAM for WMG is significant, considering its global presence and diverse business model.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements: In its fiscal year 2023, WMG reported revenue of USD 6.2 billion, net income of USD 591 million, and EPS of USD 1.53. Compared to the previous year, WMG witnessed a 7.5% revenue growth and a 15.7% increase in net income.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: WMG maintains a healthy cash flow position and solid balance sheet, indicating financial stability and future investment potential.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History: WMG has a consistent dividend payout history, with a recent dividend yield of 0.5% and a payout ratio of 20%.

Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, WMG's total shareholder return was 15.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 index.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth: WMG has shown steady growth in recent years, with average revenue growth exceeding 5% in the past five years.

Future Projections: Based on industry trends and company initiatives, WMG projects continued growth in the coming years, driven by factors like streaming adoption, rising music consumption, and strategic acquisitions.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview: The music industry is undergoing a transformative era, fueled by streaming services, technological advancements, and evolving consumer preferences.

Competitive Positioning: WMG is well-positioned within this dynamic industry, leveraging its strong artist roster, innovative marketing strategies, and global reach. The company continuously adapts to changing trends and embraces new technologies to maintain its competitive edge.

Key Challenges:

Supply Chain Issues: Recent disruptions in the global supply chain have impacted physical music distribution, which is a potential challenge for WMG.

Technological Changes: The rapid evolution of technology necessitates constant adaptation, requiring WMG to keep pace with new music consumption formats and distribution platforms.

Competitive Pressures: Intense competition from major players like UMG and SME demands WMG to maintain its market share through strategic investments and artist development initiatives.

Potential Opportunities:

New Markets: WMG sees significant growth potential in emerging markets like Asia and Latin America, where music consumption is rapidly increasing.

Product Innovations: The company actively explores new product offerings like personalized streaming experiences and virtual concerts to tap into growing consumer segments.

Recent Acquisitions:

2023: WMG acquired AI Music, a music generation platform, bolstering its technology-driven music development strategy.

2022: WMG acquired EMP Music & Arts, a leading merchandise retailer, expanding its physical product presence.

2021: WMG acquired independent record label Parlophone, adding renowned artists like Coldplay and David Guetta to its roster.

These acquisitions strategically align with WMG's mission to expand its offerings, tap into new technologies, and further solidify its market position.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-driven analysis of various factors, including financial performance, market positioning, and growth potential, WMG receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This score highlights WMG's strong presence in a lucrative industry, supported by solid financials and promising future prospects.

Sources:

  • Warner Music Group Investor Relations Website
  • IFPI Global Music Report 2023
  • S&P Global Market Intelligence
  • Reuters

Disclaimer:

This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in any stock involves risk, and you should carefully consider your financial circumstances and investment objectives before making any investment decisions.

About Warner Music Group

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-06-03
President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert Kyncl
Sector Communication Services
Industry Entertainment
Full time employees 5800
Full time employees 5800

Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The Recorded Music segment is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by such recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials; and conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Warner Records and Atlantic Records, as well as sylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Sire, Spinnin' Records, TenThousand Projects, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. This segment markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. The Music Publishing segment owns and acquires rights to approximately one million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions. Its catalog includes songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, blues, symphonic, soul, Broadway, electronic, alternative, and gospel. This segment also administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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