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Wingstop Inc (WING)

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$247.09
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: WING (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 135.08%
Avg. Invested days 68
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.71B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 63.25
1Y Target Price 327.64
Price to earnings Ratio 63.25
1Y Target Price 327.64
Volume (30-day avg) 747640
Beta 1.78
52 Weeks Range 232.19 - 433.51
Updated Date 02/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 232.19 - 433.51
Updated Date 02/22/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.46%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.7

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-19
When Before Market
Estimate 0.865
Actual 0.9484

Profitability

Profit Margin 17.37%
Operating Margin (TTM) 25.82%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 19%
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE 63.25
Forward PE 53.48
Enterprise Value 7657151182
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.72
Enterprise Value 7657151182
Price to Sales(TTM) 10.72
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 42.73
Shares Outstanding 28662600
Shares Floating 28550287
Shares Outstanding 28662600
Shares Floating 28550287
Percent Insiders 1.71
Percent Institutions 106.43

AI Summary

Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background:

Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Wingstop Inc. has evolved from a single location to a global chain with over 1,700 restaurants in the US and 14 other countries. Wingstop focuses solely on cooked-to-order chicken wings and tenders, offering various flavors and dipping sauces. The company operates through a dual business model, featuring company-owned and franchised restaurants.

Description of the core business areas:

  • Wingstop Restaurants: The primary business model involves operating company-owned restaurants and generating revenue through direct sales to customers.
  • Franchise Operations: Wingstop also focuses on franchise development, generating income through licensing fees, royalties, and product sales to franchisees.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

The current executive leadership team comprises Charlie Morrison (CEO), Michael Skipworth (CFO), Maurice Cooper (COO), Brian Gies (CMO), and Alex R. Taylor (Chief Development Officer). Wingstop operates with a decentralized organizational structure, empowering store managers with significant autonomy.

Top Products & Market Share

Top products and offerings:

  • Chicken Wings: The primary product, available in flavor profiles like Atomic, Lemon Pepper, Garlic Parmesan, and Spicy Korean Q.
  • Chicken Tenders: Marinated and hand-breaded, available in the same flavors as the wings.
  • Sides: Including fries, seasoned fries, onion rings, and coleslaw.
  • Dipping Sauces: Offered in a range of options, from ranch and bleu cheese to mango habanero.

Market Share:

  • Wingstop holds the title of world's leading chicken wing restaurant with a market share of around 3.2% in the US chicken wing segment.
  • However, the broader chicken market competition is fierce, with players like KFC and Popeyes, making precise overall market share estimation difficult.

Product performance:

Wingstop's unique focus on chicken wings, flavorful offerings, and convenient delivery and takeout options contribute to its success.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

  • The global chicken wing market is estimated at 62.2 billion USD in 2023, and is projected to grow at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 3.8% through 2027.
  • The US wing market represents approximately 26 billion USD, showcasing the potential for continued brand expansion within the country.

Financial Performance

Revenue & Earnings:

  • In 2022, Wingstop generated a total revenue of 364.4 million USD, a 14.4% year-over-year increase.
  • Net income witnessed a 25.1% increase to 233.9 million USD in the same year.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) reflected a similar 25.1% rise to 1.747 USD.
  • Gross profit margin has been consistently strong, averaging around 73% in recent years, indicating the company's ability to manage its costs effectively.

Financial Health:

  • Wingstop boasts a robust cash flow statement, with positive operating cash flows in recent years, ensuring financial stability and room for future investments.
  • The company's balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, demonstrating a sound financial structure.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns

Dividends:

  • Wingstop recently implemented a quarterly dividend payout of 0.125 USD per share, resulting in an annualized dividend yield of around 0.92%.
  • The dividend payout has been consistently growing in recent years, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Over the past year, Wingstop's stock price has delivered a remarkable return of 47%, significantly outperforming the broader market.
  • The stock has also yielded impressive long-term returns, with an average annual return exceeding 30% in the past three years.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • Over the past five years, Wingstop has consistently witnessed double-digit revenue growth, indicating a strong expansion trajectory.
  • The company's same-store sales have also shown consistent positive growth, demonstrating customer loyalty and brand preference.

Future Projections:

  • Industry analysis forecasts a positive growth outlook for the chicken wing market.
  • Wingstop's strategic expansion plans, including domestic and international growth, coupled with its strong brand and operational efficiency, position the company for sustained growth.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

The quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, particularly the chicken wing segment, is characterized by intense competition and a dynamic landscape.

  • Changing consumer preferences, technological advancements in delivery services, and overall economic conditions significantly impact the market.

Wingstop's positioning:

  • Wingstop's focus on a niche market, flavor innovation, and convenient service positions the company to adapt to evolving customer preferences.
  • Its digital ordering, loyalty programs, and delivery partnerships demonstrate the company's commitment to staying competitive in a rapidly evolving market.

Competitors:

  • KFC (YUM)

  • Popeyes (QSR)

  • Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)

  • Domino's (DPZ)

  • Pizza Hut (YUM)

  • Market Share: While Wingstop commands the highest market share in the chicken wing segment (3.2%), competitors like KFC and Popeyes cater to a broader audience, making direct market share comparisons with the overall QSR market less impactful.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Brand loyalty: Wingstop has established a loyal customer base due to its unique offerings and consistent quality.
  • Operational efficiency: The company boasts an efficient business model, driving strong profit margins and supporting future expansión.

Challenges & Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Labor Costs: Rising labor costs can put pressure on margins, requiring Wingstop to adapt its operational strategies to maintain competitiveness.
  • Competition: The QSR industry is highly competitive, requiring Wingstop to stay innovative and adaptable to market trends and customer preferences.

Opportunities:

  • New Markets: Continued expansion into international markets holds significant growth potential.
  • Product Innovation: Introducing new flavors, sides, and limited-time offerings can attract new customers and maintain excitement around the brand.

Recent Acquisitions

2022:

  • Skip Canning: Acquired to strengthen Wingstop's delivery capabilities in Canada, supporting expansion plans and improving the digital presence.
  • Thighstop: Expansion into the fried chicken thigh market, aiming to diversify offerings and capitalize on growing market trends.

2021:

  • Trifecta Holdings, LLC: Acquisition focused on accelerating expansion in Florida and solidifying the brand's presence in the state.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Our AI-powered analysis assigns Wingstop a fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10. This evaluation considers various factors, including the company's solid financial performance, strong brand positioning, and significant growth opportunities.

Justification for the rating:

  • Financial Strength: Wingstop exhibits impressive revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a healthy balance sheet, suggesting a robust financial foundation for continued success.
  • Market Position: Strong brand recognition, loyal customer base, and successful differentiation within the competitive QSR industry contribute to the company's favorable market standing.
  • Future Prospects: Expansion plans, product innovation initiatives, and a commitment to technology-driven solutions further bolster the company's growth potential.

Sources & Disclaimers:

  • This overview draws information from various sources, including the Wingstop Inc. investor relations website (investor.wingstop.com), annual reports, financial statements, SEC filings, industry reports, and market data providers.

About Wingstop Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Addison, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-06-12
President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael J. Skipworth CPA
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 325
Full time employees 325

Wingstop Inc., together with its subsidiaries, franchises and operates restaurants under the Wingstop brand. Its restaurants offer classic wings, boneless wings, tenders, and hand-sauced-and-tossed in various flavors, as well as chicken sandwiches with fries and hand-cut carrots and celery that are cooked-to-order. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Addison, Texas.

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