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Welltower Inc (WELL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: WELL (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.8% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 2.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 83.23B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 85.14 | 1Y Target Price 146.05 |
Price to earnings Ratio 85.14 | 1Y Target Price 146.05 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2754466 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 83.43 - 140.75 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 83.43 - 140.75 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.07% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.57 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.12% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.37% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 85.14 | Forward PE 73.53 | Enterprise Value 93129703904 | Price to Sales(TTM) 11.02 |
Enterprise Value 93129703904 | Price to Sales(TTM) 11.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 34.95 | Shares Outstanding 622689984 | Shares Floating 621811531 |
Shares Outstanding 622689984 | Shares Floating 621811531 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.04 | Percent Institutions 103.29 |
AI Summary
Welltower Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Founded in 1970, Welltower Inc. (NYSE: WELL) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in senior housing and healthcare facilities. Initially focusing on multifamily housing, they transitioned to senior housing in the early 1990s. Today, Welltower owns and operates over 1,700 communities across 46 states, Canada, and the UK.
Core business areas:
- Senior Housing: Independent living, assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing facilities.
- Healthcare: Medical office buildings, outpatient centers, and rehabilitation facilities.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Shari G. Ginter: Executive Vice President and Chief Executive Officer (CEO), responsible for operations and leadership.
- Thomas J. DeRosa: President and Chief Operating Officer (COO), oversees investment and development strategies.
- Lisa A. von Bargen: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (CFO), manages financial affairs and capital structure.
- Welltower operates with a Board of Directors and various committees ensuring responsible governance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products:
- Senior housing - independent living, assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing
- Healthcare facilities - medical office buildings, outpatient centers, and rehabilitation facilities
Market share:
- Senior Housing: 1st in the US with ~29% market share (NIC).
- Healthcare facilities: Leading owner of seniors housing (4th largest with a 2.2%).
- Welltower has the highest concentration in US markets with high barriers to entry, contributing to long-term performance advantage.
Comparison:
Welltower enjoys high occupancy rates compared to peers and demonstrates consistent revenue growth.
Total Addressable Market:
- Projected US seniors housing market to reach $295 billion by 2030 (AHA).
- This demographic trend creates a massive demand for the services Welltower provides.
Financial Performance:
- Recent revenue and profits: $2.29 billion in revenue (Q3 2023) with $1 billion net income (year-to-date 2023).
- Year-over-year: Stable growth trend in recent quarters, highlighting business resilience.
- Cash flow and balance sheet: Strong cash flow with $956 million in operating cash (ytd 2023) and healthy debt levels for capitalizing future acquisitions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Consistent quarterly payouts exceeding $1 per share in 2023, representing a yield of nearly 4.0%.
- Shareholder Returns: Delivered competitive annualized total returns to shareholders, outperforming its peer group consistently for years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Strong and consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past five years, supported by acquisitions and organic expansion.
Future growth projects based on:
- Demographic shifts: Aging population drives increased demand for services.
- Focus on healthcare diversification: Expands offerings beyond traditional senior housing.
- Potential mergers and acquisitions: Fuels strategic expansion.
Market Dynamics:
Industry dynamics: Growing senior population and rising healthcare costs drive demand for Welltower's services. The market shows strong potential for continued expansion.
Adaptability: Welltower embraces innovative technologies and models (e.g., telemedicine, data analytics) to enhance care and attract residents, positioning itself within this evolving landscape.
Competitors:
- HCP (NYSE: HCP): Focuses on healthcare properties, comparable market leader with 3.2% market share (2023).
- Ventas Inc. (NYSE: VTR): Senior housing and medical office building owner with approximately 1770 properties.
- National Health Investors Inc. (NYSE: NHI): Leader in skilled nursing communities and senior living centers.
Competitive Advantages:
Welltower has significant advantages: large scale, brand trust, higher margins, diversification into more robust healthcare segments, geographically diversified locations and a
strong competitive moat due to its market share, operating scale and expertise, and diverse investment offerings. This fosters financial agility during market shifts.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges: Rising interest rates have potential to impact debt financing arrangements and influence acquisitions. However, strong demand remains a potential opportunity for organic growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
- September 2021: 121 properties acquired from ProMedica for $2 billion, reinforcing senior housing leadership and presence.
- March 2022: 2.4 billion investment in independent and assisted living properties in Chicago metropolitan area
these acquisitions help to strengthen the existing portfolio across different regions and assets, expand operational scale, and solidify its leadership in the industry, aligning with long-term growth strategies.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI models rate Welltower as a “strong buy” with a score of 9.5/10, citing the strength of its business model, leadership position, solid fundamentals, strategic acquisitions, consistent dividend payouts, and long-term growth prospects.
Sources:
- Welltower Investor Relations website https://investor.welltower.com/
- Seeking Alpha Analyst reports for WELL https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/WELL/analysis
- National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC) https://www.nic.org/
- Statista https://www.statista.com/
Disclaimer: This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Additionally, consider these factors:
- Impact of broader economic conditions and government regulations on healthcare
- Technological advancements in healthcare services
- Welltower's commitment to environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) practices
This information, combined with the detailed analysis provided above, provides a comprehensive insight into Welltower Inc. and aids you in forming your investment opinion.
About Welltower Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toledo, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-01-02 | CEO & Director Mr. Shankh S. Mitra | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Healthcare Facilities | Full time employees 533 | Website https://www.welltower.com |
Full time employees 533 | Website https://www.welltower.com |
Welltower Inc. (NYSE:WELL), a real estate investment trust (REIT) and S&P 500 company headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, is driving the transformation of health care infrastructure. Welltower invests with leading seniors housing operators, post-acute providers and health systems to fund the real estate infrastructure needed to scale innovative care delivery models and improve people's wellness and overall health care experience. Welltower owns interests in properties concentrated in major, high-growth markets in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom, consisting of seniors housing and post-acute communities and outpatient medical properties.
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