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Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$86.16
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/13/2025: WD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 25.05%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/13/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.81B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.07
1Y Target Price 108.33
Price to earnings Ratio 26.07
1Y Target Price 108.33
Volume (30-day avg) 191285
Beta 1.54
52 Weeks Range 82.97 - 117.47
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 82.97 - 117.47
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.22%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.19

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-13
When Before Market
Estimate 1.51
Actual 1.34

Profitability

Profit Margin 10.28%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.27%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.39%
Return on Equity (TTM) 5.76%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.07
Forward PE 10.99
Enterprise Value 4078170378
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.67
Enterprise Value 4078170378
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.59
Shares Outstanding 33766600
Shares Floating 31386687
Shares Outstanding 33766600
Shares Floating 31386687
Percent Insiders 5.38
Percent Institutions 84.95

AI Summary

Walker & Dunlop Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Walker & Dunlop Inc. (WD) is a commercial real estate finance company founded in 1974. Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, the company provides financing for multifamily, healthcare, hospitality, and office properties throughout the United States.

WD's key business areas include:

  • Commercial Real Estate Lending: Providing a range of loan products such as agency lending, bridge loans, and construction financing.
  • Investment Sales: Brokerage services for the sale and acquisition of commercial properties.
  • Property Management: Management of multifamily and commercial properties.

The company is led by Willy Walker, Chairman and CEO, and Kristy Simonetti, Chief Operating Officer. WD operates through a decentralized structure with regional offices across the United States.

Top Products and Market Share:

WD's top product is its agency lending business, which focuses on financing multifamily properties through government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In 2022, the company originated over $35 billion in agency loans, capturing a market share of approximately 10% in the US multifamily agency lending market.

WD also offers a variety of other loan products, including bridge loans and construction financing. However, these products have a smaller market share compared to its agency lending business.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market (TAM) for WD is the US commercial real estate finance market, which is estimated to be worth over $500 billion. Specifically, the multifamily lending market, which is WD's core focus, is valued at approximately $300 billion.

Financial Performance:

WD's recent financial performance has been strong. In 2022, the company reported revenue of $2.1 billion, net income of $368 million, and EPS of $6.32. Year-over-year, revenue grew by 25% and net income increased by 30%. WD maintains a healthy balance sheet with a strong cash flow position.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

WD has a history of paying dividends and repurchasing shares. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 1.5%, and the company has a share repurchase program in place.

Over the past year, WD's total shareholder return (TSR) has been positive, outperforming the S&P 500 index.

Growth Trajectory:

WD has experienced significant growth over the past 5 to 10 years. The company has expanded its market share, diversified its product offerings, and entered new markets. Future growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in the multifamily lending market, increased market share in other loan products, and potential acquisitions.

Market Dynamics:

The commercial real estate finance market is cyclical and impacted by factors such as interest rates, economic conditions, and government regulations. WD is well-positioned to navigate these market dynamics due to its focus on agency lending, which is less sensitive to economic fluctuations.

Competitors:

WD's key competitors include other commercial real estate finance companies such as:

  • Berkadia (BERK)
  • CBRE Group (CBRE)
  • JLL (JLL)
  • Newmark Group (NMRK)

These competitors have similar product offerings and target the same market segments as WD.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Rising interest rates could impact demand for commercial real estate financing.
  • Increased competition from other lenders could put pressure on margins.
  • Regulatory changes could impact the agency lending market.

Opportunities:

  • Continued growth in the multifamily housing market could drive demand for agency lending.
  • Expansion into new markets and product offerings could provide additional growth opportunities.
  • Strategic acquisitions could enhance market share and capabilities.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • November 2022: Alliant Capital, a leading provider of bridge and transitional financing for commercial real estate. This acquisition strengthens WD's position in the bridge lending market and expands its product offerings.
  • September 2022: GeoPhy, a technology-enabled platform providing real-time property data and analytics. This acquisition enhances WD's data capabilities and supports its digital transformation initiatives.
  • May 2022: The Milford Group, a leading provider of commercial real estate services in the Northeast. This acquisition expands WD's geographic reach and strengthens its presence in the Northeast market.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis of Walker & Dunlop's financial health, market position, and future prospects, the company erhält a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is supported by strong financial performance, a leading position in the multifamily lending market, and continued growth potential. However, potential challenges such as rising interest rates and increased competition could impact the company's future performance.

Sources:

  • Walker & Dunlop Inc. Investor Relations website
  • S&P Global Market Intelligence
  • YCharts

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your research before making any investment decisions.

About Walker & Dunlop Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Bethesda, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 2010-12-15
Chairman, President & CEO Mr. William Mallory Walker
Sector Financial Services
Industry Mortgage Finance
Full time employees 1391
Full time employees 1391

Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. It operates through three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate. The company offers first mortgage, second trust, supplemental, construction, mezzanine, preferred equity, and small-balance loans. It also provides finance for multifamily, manufactured housing communities, student housing, affordable housing, and senior housing properties under the Fannie Mae's DUS program; and construction and permanent loans to developers and owners of multifamily housing, affordable housing, senior housing, and healthcare facilities. In addition, the company acts as a debt broker to work with life insurance companies, banks, and other institutional lenders to find debt and/or equity solution for the borrowers' needs; and offers property sales brokerage services to owners and developers of multifamily properties, and commercial real estate and multifamily property appraisals for various investors. Further, it provides multifamily appraisal and valuation services; and real estate-related investment banking and advisory services, including housing market research. Additionally, the company offers servicing and asset-managing the portfolio of loans; originates loans through its principal lending and investing activities; and manages third-party capital invested in tax credit equity funds focused on the LIHTC sector and other commercial real estate sectors. Walker & Dunlop, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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