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Valvoline Inc (VVV)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: VVV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.46% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.59B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.96 | 1Y Target Price 43.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.96 | 1Y Target Price 43.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1464684 | Beta 1.46 | 52 Weeks Range 33.86 - 48.27 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 33.86 - 48.27 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.63 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.68% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.69% | Return on Equity (TTM) 102.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.96 | Forward PE 22.68 | Enterprise Value 5897879397 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92 |
Enterprise Value 5897879397 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.48 | Shares Outstanding 128287000 | Shares Floating 127975881 |
Shares Outstanding 128287000 | Shares Floating 127975881 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.62 | Percent Institutions 101.42 |
AI Summary
Valvoline Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Valvoline Inc., founded in 1866, is a leading global marketer and supplier of premium-branded lubricants and automotive services. Originally established as a railway car axle lubrication company, Valvoline has evolved into a diversified business with multiple product lines and distribution channels.
Core Business Areas:
- Lubricants: Valvoline produces a wide range of lubricants for various applications, including passenger cars, commercial vehicles, industrial machinery, motorcycles, and power sports equipment.
- Automotive Services: Through its retail and franchise network, Valvoline offers a variety of services, including oil changes, preventative maintenance, and car washes.
- Chemicals: Valvoline also manufactures and distributes specialty chemicals, such as anti-freeze coolant, brake fluid, and engine cleaners.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: Sam Mitchell
- CFO: Dan DeChristopher
- Board of Directors: Comprised of eleven members with diverse industry and leadership experience.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Valvoline motor oil: A leading brand in the US, known for its high performance and advanced technology.
- Zerex antifreeze: A premium coolant brand offering corrosion protection and extended life.
- SynPower synthetic motor oil: A top-tier synthetic oil formulated for extreme performance and fuel efficiency.
- Valvoline Instant Oil Change: A quick and convenient service provider for routine vehicle maintenance.
Market Share:
- Global Lubricants Market: Valvoline holds a market share of around 2%.
- US Lubricants Market: Valvoline is the second largest player with a market share of approximately 10%.
- US Quick Lube Market: Valvoline holds the leading position with a market share of around 20%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Valvoline's products are generally well-regarded by consumers and industry experts. The company has received numerous awards and accolades for its product quality and innovation. However, it faces stiff competition from other major players like Quaker State, Castrol, and Mobil 1.
Total Addressable Market:
The global lubricants market is estimated to be worth over $180 billion, while the US lubricants market is valued at around $20 billion. The quick lube market in the US is estimated to be approximately $9 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights (2022):
- Revenue: $3.27 billion
- Net Income: $256 million
- Gross Profit Margin: 44.9%
- Operating Margin: 14.2%
- EPS: $3.86
- Cash Flow from Operations: $356 million
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue increased by 12.5% compared to 2021.
- Net Income increased by 12.7% compared to 2021.
- Operating Margin improved from 13.1% in 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Valvoline maintains a strong financial position with a healthy cash flow and low debt levels. The company has consistently generated positive operating cash flow and has a solid balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Valvoline has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of around 3.5%. The company has increased its dividend every year since 2010.
Shareholder Returns:
Valvoline's stock has provided strong total shareholder returns over the past 5 and 10 years, outperforming the S&P 500 index.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Valvoline has experienced steady growth over the past 5 to 10 years, driven by strong demand for its products and services. The company has also benefited from strategic acquisitions and operational improvements.
Future Growth Projections:
Valvoline is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing demand for synthetic lubricants, the growth of the quick lube industry, and expansion in international markets.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Launched new product lines, including high-mileage motor oil and electric vehicle lubricants.
- Expanded its retail and franchise network.
- Pursued strategic acquisitions to strengthen its market position.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The lubricants industry is a mature and competitive market. However, growth opportunities exist due to increasing demand for high-performance lubricants, the adoption of synthetic oils, and the growing popularity of electric vehicles.
Valvoline's Positioning:
Valvoline is well-positioned in the industry with a strong brand portfolio, a diversified business model, and a focus on innovation. The company is adapting to market changes by developing new products and expanding its service offerings.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Quaker State (PENN)
- Castrol (BP)
- Mobil 1 (ExxonMobil)
- Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)
- Chevron (CVX)
Market Share Comparison:
Valvoline holds a smaller market share compared to major competitors like Quaker State and Castrol. However, the company enjoys a leading position in the quick lube market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition from major players.
- Rising raw material costs.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in the electric vehicle market.
- Expansion into new international markets.
- Development of innovative new products and services.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
**Year | Company | Acquisition Price | Explanation** |
---|---|---|---|
2020 | Warren Distribution | $930 million | Strengthened Valvoline's distribution network and expanded its reach in the commercial and industrial markets. |
2021 | Synrgol | $150 million | Enhanced Valvoline's presence in the European lubricants market and broadened its product portfolio. |
2023 | Petro-Canada Lubricants | $690 million | Expanded Valvoline's market share in Canada and provided access to a broader range of lubricants and greases. |
These acquisitions strategically positioned Valvoline to expand its market reach, diversify its product offerings, and enhance its competitive edge.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5
Justification: Valvoline demonstrates strong financial performance, a leading market position in the quick lube industry, and a commitment to innovation. However, the company faces stiff competition and certain economic headwinds.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Valvoline Inc. investor relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-09-23 | CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 9600 | Website https://www.valvoline.com |
Full time employees 9600 | Website https://www.valvoline.com |
Valvoline Inc. engages in the operation and franchising of vehicle service centers and retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company, through its service centers, provides fluid exchange for motor oil, transmission and differential fluid, and coolant; parts replacement for batteries, filters, wiper blades, and belts; and safety services, such as tire inflation and rotation, bulbs, and safety checks. It offers its services for passenger cars, hybrid and battery electric vehicles, and light and medium duty vehicles. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.
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