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Valvoline Inc (VVV)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$35.07
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: VVV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -33.86%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.46B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.58
1Y Target Price 43.46
Price to earnings Ratio 16.58
1Y Target Price 43.46
Volume (30-day avg) 1405404
Beta 1.48
52 Weeks Range 33.90 - 48.27
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 33.90 - 48.27
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.1

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 16.34%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.86%
Return on Equity (TTM) 186.35%

Valuation

Trailing PE 16.58
Forward PE 21.37
Enterprise Value 5670568370
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.69
Enterprise Value 5670568370
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.69
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.42
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.11
Shares Outstanding 127100000
Shares Floating 126171394
Shares Outstanding 127100000
Shares Floating 126171394
Percent Insiders 0.25
Percent Institutions 101.69

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.07
Target Price 43.62
Buy 3
Strong Buy 6
Buy 3
Strong Buy 6
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Valvoline Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Valvoline Inc. traces its roots back to 1866 when Dr. John Ellis invented a petroleum-based lubricant for steam engines. It officially became Valvoline in the late 19th century. Over time, it expanded its product line and distribution network, becoming a leading brand in automotive lubricants and services. It was previously a division of Ashland Inc. before becoming an independent publicly traded company in 2017.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Services: Valvoline operates a network of company-owned and franchised service centers providing oil changes and other automotive maintenance services. The Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) network is a key part of this segment.
  • Global Products: This segment manufactures and distributes Valvoline-branded lubricants, chemicals, and other automotive products to retail customers, distributors, and installers worldwide.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Valvoline Inc. is led by its Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and a team of executive officers. The company has a board of directors overseeing its strategic direction and governance. It is structured into global business units supporting Retail Services and Global Products.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Valvoline Motor Oil: Valvoline offers a variety of motor oils, including synthetic, synthetic blend, and high-mileage options. Valvoline holds a significant market share in the US passenger car motor oil (PCMO) market, estimated to be in the range of 10-15%. Competitors include Pennzoil (owned by Shell), Mobil (owned by ExxonMobil), Castrol (owned by BP), and Quaker State (owned by Shell). Revenue attributed to this product is not publicly disclosed specifically, however the global products segment had a revenue of 1,176.6 million in 2023.
  • Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) Services: Valvoline operates and franchises VIOC service centers, offering quick and convenient oil changes and other preventive maintenance services. While specific market share data for VIOC is not publicly available, it is a major player in the quick lube service market. Competitors include Jiffy Lube (owned by Shell), Take 5 Oil Change (owned by Driven Brands), and other independent quick lube chains.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The automotive lubricant and maintenance services industry is mature but experiences steady demand driven by the growing vehicle parc and the need for regular maintenance. Key trends include the increasing adoption of synthetic lubricants, the growth of the quick lube service market, and the impact of electric vehicles on lubricant demand.

Positioning

Valvoline Inc. is a well-established brand with a strong reputation for quality and innovation. Its competitive advantages include its strong brand recognition, extensive distribution network, and a vertically integrated business model encompassing both lubricant manufacturing and service centers.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global lubricants market is estimated to be worth over $150 billion. Valvoline is positioned to capture a share of this TAM through its global products segment. The quick lube service market in North America is a smaller subset, valued at multiple billions, where Valvoline's retail services segment competes.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Vertically integrated business model
  • Established presence in both lubricants and services
  • Innovative product development

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material prices
  • Dependence on the automotive industry
  • Competition from larger, more diversified players
  • Potential impact from the shift to electric vehicles

Opportunities

  • Expansion of the VIOC network
  • Growth in emerging markets
  • Development of lubricants for electric vehicles
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Partnerships with automotive manufacturers

Threats

  • Increasing competition in the lubricant and service markets
  • Rising raw material costs
  • Changes in environmental regulations
  • Economic downturns
  • Disruptions in the automotive industry (e.g., electric vehicles)

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SHEL
  • XOM
  • BP

Competitive Landscape

Valvoline benefits from its brand recognition and integrated business model. However, it faces intense competition from larger, more diversified players like Shell (SHEL) and ExxonMobil (XOM) who have greater resources and wider distribution networks.

Major Acquisitions

Great Canadian Oil Change

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 67.7
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Valvoline's retail service footprint in Canada.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Valvoline has experienced moderate historical growth, driven by both organic expansion and acquisitions. Its growth rates track generally to the broader automotive lubricant market.

Future Projections: Analyst projections suggest continued growth for Valvoline, driven by its expansion in emerging markets and its focus on innovative products. However, projections also consider the potential headwinds from the shift to electric vehicles.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the VIOC network, investing in new product development, and pursuing strategic partnerships.

Summary

Valvoline is a well-established brand with a strong presence in the automotive lubricants and services market. Its vertically integrated model and recognizable brand are key strengths. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors and the potential disruption from electric vehicles. Recent financial performance shows fluctuating revenue with decreased profits. Valvoline needs to continue to innovate and adapt to changing market conditions to sustain long-term growth.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Valvoline Investor Relations Website
  • Industry Reports (e.g., from Freedonia Group, Kline & Company)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Market Share Data (various industry sources)
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Google Finance

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is subject to change and should be verified with official company filings. This analysis is based on publicly available information and is subject to the limitations thereof. AI-driven rating is based on analysis of available data and should be considered as one input among many.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Valvoline Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-09-23
CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Full time employees 10500
Full time employees 10500

Valvoline Inc. engages in the operation and franchising of vehicle service centers and retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company, through its service centers, provides fluid exchange for motor oil, transmission and differential fluid, and coolant; parts replacement for batteries, filters, wiper blades, and belts; and safety services, such as tire inflation and rotation, bulbs, and safety checks. It offers its services for passenger cars, hybrid and battery electric vehicles, and light and medium duty vehicles. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

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