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Valvoline Inc (VVV)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: VVV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $39.07
1 Year Target Price $39.07
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -28.51% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.87 | 1Y Target Price 39.07 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.87 | 1Y Target Price 39.07 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 28.50 - 41.33 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 28.50 - 41.33 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.67 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) 81.97% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.87 | Forward PE 16.45 | Enterprise Value 5347094663 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 |
Enterprise Value 5347094663 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.47 | Shares Outstanding 127241976 | Shares Floating 126671932 |
Shares Outstanding 127241976 | Shares Floating 126671932 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.29 | Percent Institutions 113.7 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Valvoline Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Valvoline Inc. was founded in 1866 by Dr. John Ellis, who developed the first petroleum-based lubricant. The company was initially named Freedom Oil Works Company and later rebranded as Valvoline. It has a long history of innovation in the automotive lubricant industry and has expanded its services to include automotive maintenance. Valvoline was a subsidiary of Ashland Global Holdings Inc. until it was spun off as an independent publicly traded company in 2017.
Core Business Areas
- Valvoline Global Operations: This segment focuses on the Valvoline brand's retail services, including its network of company-owned and franchised quick-lube stores. It offers preventative maintenance services such as oil changes, tire rotations, and battery checks. This segment also includes Valvoline's branded consumer products sold through various retail channels.
- Valvoline Retail Services: This segment operates and franchises Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) and Valvoline Quick Lubes locations. It provides efficient and convenient automotive maintenance services directly to consumers. This is a significant growth driver for the company, with a substantial and expanding store footprint.
- Valvoline Core: This segment includes the sale of Valvoline-branded lubricants, automotive chemicals, and other automotive-related products to distributors and retailers in the United States and internationally. This is the traditional business line that has established the Valvoline brand globally.
Leadership and Structure
Valvoline Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team, with the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) at the helm. The company operates through its distinct business segments to manage its diverse operations in retail services and product distribution.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Valvoline Motor Oils: A comprehensive line of synthetic, conventional, and blend motor oils for various vehicle types and driving conditions. Valvoline is a well-recognized brand in the automotive aftermarket. Competitors include Mobil 1 (ExxonMobil), Pennzoil (Shell), Castrol (BP), and Quaker State (Shell).
- Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) Services: A network of quick-lube service centers offering oil changes and other preventative maintenance services. This is a rapidly growing segment for Valvoline, with a focus on customer convenience and speed. Competitors include Jiffy Lube (Shell), Pep Boys, and numerous independent service centers.
- Valvoline Transmission Fluids & Other Automotive Fluids: A range of specialized fluids for transmissions, coolants, brake systems, and power steering. These are essential maintenance products for vehicle longevity. Competitors include brands like Prestone, Peak, and other lubricant manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive aftermarket industry, particularly the lubricant and preventative maintenance service sectors, is mature but influenced by trends such as increasing vehicle complexity, longer service intervals, and the growing demand for convenience services. The shift towards electric vehicles presents both challenges and opportunities, with potential impacts on lubricant demand but also a need for new service offerings.
Positioning
Valvoline is positioned as a strong, trusted brand in automotive lubricants and a leading provider of quick-lube services. Its competitive advantages lie in its brand recognition, extensive distribution network for its products, and its rapidly expanding company-owned and franchised retail service centers, which offer a more direct customer relationship.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global automotive lubricants market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars, with the US market being a significant portion. The quick-service automotive maintenance market is also substantial, driven by the large number of vehicles on the road. Valvoline is well-positioned within both these TAMs, with its historical strength in lubricants and its aggressive growth strategy in retail services.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and loyalty in the automotive lubricant market.
- Extensive distribution network for its lubricant products.
- Rapidly growing and profitable Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) service segment.
- Experienced management team with a track record in the automotive industry.
- Diversified revenue streams from both product sales and service operations.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on the internal combustion engine (ICE) for a significant portion of its lubricant sales, which may be impacted by EV adoption.
- Competition from major oil companies with integrated refining and distribution capabilities.
- Brand perception in some segments might be perceived as premium, potentially limiting price-sensitive customers.
Opportunities
- Continued expansion of the Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) network, both company-owned and franchised.
- Leveraging the VIOC network to offer a wider range of automotive maintenance services.
- Growth in international markets for both lubricants and retail services.
- Developing and marketing lubricants specifically for hybrid and electric vehicles.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions to expand service offerings or market reach.
Threats
- Increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) could reduce demand for traditional engine lubricants.
- Intense competition in both the lubricant and quick-lube service markets.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending on vehicle maintenance.
- Fluctuations in raw material costs (e.g., base oils, additives) for lubricant production.
- Regulatory changes related to emissions or product formulations.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Mobil 1 (ExxonMobil)
- Pennzoil (Shell)
- Castrol (BP)
- Shell Helix (Shell)
- Quaker State (Shell)
- Jiffy Lube (Shell)
- Pep Boys
Competitive Landscape
Valvoline faces intense competition from integrated oil giants in the lubricant space and established quick-lube chains and independent shops in the service sector. Its advantage lies in its strong brand, dedicated focus on automotive services through VIOC, and a growing company-owned store base that provides more control over customer experience and operational efficiency.
Major Acquisitions
99 Speed Mart (Franchise Group)
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 180
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to significantly expand Valvoline's company-owned store footprint in the Midwest region, accelerating its retail services growth strategy.
Southwest Grease & Lubricants
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to expand Valvoline's presence in the industrial lubricants market in Texas, diversifying its product offerings and customer base.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Valvoline has experienced consistent growth, with a significant acceleration in recent years driven by the strategic focus on and expansion of its Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) segment. The core lubricant business has seen more mature growth.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally anticipate continued strong growth in Valvoline Retail Services, with the company aiming to significantly expand its store count. Growth in the core lubricant business is expected to be more moderate, with potential pressure from EV adoption offset by international expansion and specialized product development.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include aggressive organic growth of the VIOC network, acquisitions of existing VIOC franchises to accelerate growth, and investments in technology and operational efficiency to enhance customer experience and service delivery.
Summary
Valvoline Inc. is a well-established automotive brand with a strong presence in both lubricants and quick-service automotive maintenance. The company is successfully leveraging its Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) segment for significant growth and has a robust strategy for further expansion. However, the long-term transition to electric vehicles presents a potential challenge to its core lubricant business, necessitating adaptation and innovation. Valvoline's continued success hinges on its ability to expand its service network and develop products for evolving vehicle technologies.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Valvoline Inc. Official Investor Relations Website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News and Analysis Websites (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Yahoo Finance)
- Industry Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data, including financial metrics and market share, is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change. Users are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share figures are estimates and may vary depending on the source and methodology.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Valvoline Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-09-23 | CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships | Full time employees 10600 | Website https://www.valvoline.com |
Full time employees 10600 | Website https://www.valvoline.com | ||
Valvoline Inc. provides automotive preventive maintenance through its retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company offers oil changes; battery, bulb, and wiper replacements; tire rotations; and other maintenance services. It also operates and franchises service centers and retail locations. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

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