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Valvoline Inc (VVV)VVV

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Valvoline Inc
$41.03
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: VVV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -17.65%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 31
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -17.65%
Avg. Invested days: 31
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.30B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.17
1Y Target Price 46.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.46
Volume (30-day avg) 1304340
Beta 1.46
52 Weeks Range 29.15 - 48.27
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.30B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.17
1Y Target Price 46.5
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.46
Volume (30-day avg) 1304340
Beta 1.46
52 Weeks Range 29.15 - 48.27
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 10.68%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.23%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.69%
Return on Equity (TTM) 102.27%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 28.17
Forward PE 23.09
Enterprise Value 6654372852
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2
Shares Outstanding 128866000
Shares Floating 127960417
Percent Insiders 0.59
Percent Institutions 100.41
Trailing PE 28.17
Forward PE 23.09
Enterprise Value 6654372852
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2
Shares Outstanding 128866000
Shares Floating 127960417
Percent Insiders 0.59
Percent Institutions 100.41

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.08
Target Price 40.56
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.08
Target Price 40.56
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 4
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Valvoline Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background of Valvoline Inc.:

  • Founded in 1866 by Dr. John Ellis as a petroleum jelly manufacturer for the railroad industry.
  • Diversified into motor oil in 1939 and quickly became a major oil supplier during World War II.
  • Acquired by Ashland Inc. in 1972 but regained independence in 1989.
  • Acquired Petro-Canada Lubricants in 2004 and began expansion into global markets.
  • Now a leading global supplier of lubricants and automotive chemicals with a strong focus on sustainability and innovation.

Description of the company’s core business areas:

  • Lubricants: Includes motor oil, transmission fluid, gear oil, and industrial lubricants.
  • Automotive Chemicals: Greases, brake fluids, coolants, and fuel additives.
  • Grease Management Services: Provides lubrication programs, equipment, and training for businesses.
  • Global Commercial and Industrial Business: Supplies lubricants and services to diverse industries worldwide.

Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure:

  • Chief Executive Officer (CEO): Sam Mitchell, appointed July 2021.
  • President: Michael Warhurst.
  • Chief Financial Officer (CFO): Judd Walker.
  • Senior Vice President, Global Marketing & Product Strategy: Christopher Metzinger.
  • Board of Directors consists of 9 independent directors.

Top Products and Market Share:

Identification and description of Valvoline Inc's top products and offerings:

  • Valvoline Motor Oil: Offers a range of conventional, synthetic blend, and full synthetic motor oils for cars, trucks, motorcycles, and heavy-duty equipment.
  • Zerex Engine Coolant: Provides antifreeze and engine coolant protection against extreme temperatures and oxidation.
  • Great Big Stuff Brake Fluid: High-performance brake fluid formulated for increased responsiveness and protection of braking systems.
  • Full Synthetic Multi-Vehicle Automatic Transmission Fluid: Suitable for most passenger car and light truck automatic transmissions.
  • Specialty Lubricants: Customized for specific applications like racing, aviation, and industrial settings.

Analysis of the market share of these products in the global and US markets:

  • Valvoline holds a 7.6% market share in the global lubricants market, ranking as the 5th largest player worldwide.
  • In the US, Valvoline is the 4th largest manufacturer of lubricants with a 10.6% market share.
  • Market shares vary by specific product categories:
    • The company dominates the do-it-yourself automotive oil change business in the US with a 28% market share.
    • Valvoline's market penetration is higher in the East and Central US compared to western regions.

Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:

  • Valvoline consistently receives excellent customer reviews and industry recognitions for product quality and performance.
  • The company invests heavily in research and development, leading to innovative formulations and technology advancements to meet evolving customer and market needs.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The global lubricants market is estimated to be worth over $140 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach nearly $207 billion by 2030.
  • Within the US, the automotive market is a key focus, with the value exceeding $37 billion in 2023.

Financial Performance:

Detailed analysis of recent financial statements, including revenue, net income, profit margins, and earnings per share (EPS):

  • 2022 net sales: $2.97 billion
  • Net income: $272.7 million
  • Gross profit margin: 45.7%
  • Operating margin: 13.6%
  • EPS: $3.07
  • Revenue and income have seen a steady upward trend in recent years, showcasing continued growth.

Year-over-year financial performance comparison:

  • Revenue grew by 7.7% between 2021 and 2022.
  • Net income rose by 17.7% compared to the previous year.
  • EPS increased by 15.6%, demonstrating increased profitability.

Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health:

  • Valvoline enjoys a strong financial condition with consistent net cash flow from operating activities.
  • Cash and equivalents stand at $243.4 million as of the latest reported quarter.
  • The company maintains moderate levels of debt, suggesting good financial stability.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • Valvoline has a solid track record of paying and increasing dividends.
  • The current annual dividend is $2.36 per share, representing a yield of 2.8%.
  • The company consistently seeks to return cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total stockholder returns have outperformed the S&P 500 index over 1,3,5, and 10-year horizons.
  • Investors have experienced substantial value growth due to consistent share price appreciation and dividend payout.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years:

  • Revenue has witnessed consistent expansion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) standing at 5.6% over the past five years.
  • Net income has also shown strong growth, expanding at a CAGR of 7.4% over this period.

Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance:

  • The global demand for lubricants is anticipated to increase due to growing vehicle ownership, especially in emerging markets.
  • Valvoline is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth through expanding its offerings, exploring new markets, and leveraging strategic partnerships.
  • The company's focus on innovation and sustainability are projected to drive future market share gains.

Market Dynamics:

**Overview of the industry stack

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Valvoline Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-09-23 CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.valvoline.com
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships Full time employees 9600
Headquaters Lexington, KY, United States
CEO, President & Director Ms. Lori A. Flees
Website https://www.valvoline.com
Website https://www.valvoline.com
Full time employees 9600

Valvoline Inc. engages in the operation and franchising of vehicle service centers and retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company, through its service centers, provides fluid exchange for motor oil, transmission and differential fluid, and coolant; parts replacement for batteries, filters, wiper blades, and belts; and safety services, such as tire inflation and rotation, bulbs, and safety checks. It offers its services for passenger cars, hybrid and battery electric vehicles, and light and medium duty vehicles. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

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