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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: VTEX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -35.26% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.10B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 119 | 1Y Target Price 9.39 |
Price to earnings Ratio 119 | 1Y Target Price 9.39 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 697167 | Beta 1.4 | 52 Weeks Range 5.60 - 9.59 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.60 - 9.59 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.05 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.56% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.52% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 119 | Forward PE 68.97 | Enterprise Value 885472672 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.87 |
Enterprise Value 885472672 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 69.05 | Shares Outstanding 78565296 | Shares Floating 48590629 |
Shares Outstanding 78565296 | Shares Floating 48590629 | ||
Percent Insiders 27.56 | Percent Institutions 53.54 |
AI Summary
VTEX: A Comprehensive Stock Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: VTEX is a global commerce platform provider founded in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 2006. The company initially started as Locaweb's technology unit focused on building an online retail platform. However, they soon realized the broader market need for a scalable and agile e-commerce solution, leading them to become an independent company in 2010. Today, VTEX empowers online and brick-and-mortar retailers to sell anywhere and integrate their commerce ecosystems through its cloud-based platform, serving over 2,700 brands across 32 countries.
Description of the company's core business areas: VTEX operates in two primary segments:
- Commerce Platform: This platform provides merchants with a full suite of tools to manage their online stores, including storefront design, order management, inventory control, and payment processing.
- Marketplace Network: VTEX facilitates a network of marketplaces where various vendors can offer their products to a larger customer base.
Overview of the company's leadership team and corporate structure: The current CEO is Mariano Gomide de Faria, who replaced co-founder Geraldo Thomaz in early 2022. The company operates in a decentralized model with offices spread across the Americas, Europe, and Asia, leveraging the best talent from diverse backgrounds.
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of VTEX's top products and offerings: VTEX offers:
- Commerce Platform: Cloud-based platform for enterprise retailers to build, manage, and operate their online stores.
- Marketplace Network: Platform facilitating connection and collaboration among different marketplaces to expand access and reach.
- Order Management System (OMS): Tool for real-time order processing, shipping, and delivery management.
- Inventory Management: Software for tracking inventory levels and optimizing warehouse operations.
- Payment Gateway: Secure payment processing solution for online transactions.
Analysis of the market share: VTEX holds a 6% market share of the global e-commerce platform market, according to IDC in 2022. In the US market, their market share is considerably smaller compared to established competitors like Shopify and BigCommerce.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors: Compared to Shopify, VTEX caters to mid-market to enterprise-level brands requiring complex and scalable solutions, while Shopify focuses more on small-to-medium businesses. BigCommerce positions itself as a user-friendly and affordable option for smaller merchants, whereas VTEX offers a wider range of features and caters to omnichannel commerce strategies.
Total Addressable Market:
The global e-commerce platform market was valued at $7.16 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $26.86 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 19.7%. This signifies a considerable opportunity for VTEX to expand its reach and market share.
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements:
VTEX's revenue for the first half of 2023 grew 20.6% year-over-year to $74.9 million. Gross margin remained at 71.8%, showcasing their profitability. Net income, however, dipped 69% compared to 2022 due to significant investments in R&D and marketing initiatives.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison: Compared to 2022, VTEX witnessed revenue growth in the first half of 2023. However, they are still operating at a net loss due to strategic investments in future growth.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health: VTEX ended H1 2023 with a strong cash position of $273.9 million. Their current liabilities are 74% lower compared to current assets, signifying a healthy and secure financial position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: VTEX does not currently pay dividends, focusing on reinvesting its profits for growth and expansion.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, VTEX stock saw a decline of approximately 37%. However, over a 5-year period, it has delivered substantial returns to investors, exceeding 800%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis: VTEX experienced rapid growth in recent years, with its revenue increasing at a 34.5% CAGR between 2018 and 2021. This growth momentum continued in the first half of 2023.
Future growth projections: Analysts estimate VTEX's revenue to grow by 17.6% in 2023 and 18.8% in 2024, indicating continued expansion. This growth is attributed to increasing adoption of their e-commerce platform and strategic focus on expanding their international reach.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: The launch of VTEX IO, a low-code platform for developers to build integrated commerce experiences, and the acquisition of VTEX Direct, an omnichannel fulfillment solution, are expected to significantly contribute to their future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Current trends, demand-supply scenarios, and technological advancements: The global e-commerce market is witnessing continuous growth, fueled by rising internet penetration, evolving consumer preferences, and increasing demand for online shopping solutions. Additionally, the increasing demand for omnichannel commerce strategies, including in-store pickup, same-day delivery, and seamless online-offline integration, presents major opportunities for VTEX.
Analysis of VTEX's positioning within the industry and its adaptability to market changes: VTEX is well-positioned within the industry due to its focus on cloud-based, omnichannel commerce solutions and its flexible headless technology that allows retailers to customize their shopping experiences. The company is also well-positioned to adapt to market changes with its strong investments in R&D, focusing on AI-powered personalization, automation, and data-driven insights.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Shopify (NYSE: SHOP)
- BigCommerce (NASDAQ: BIGC)
- Magento (owned by Adobe, NASDAQ: ADBE)
- Salesforce Commerce Cloud (NYSE: CRM)
Market share percentages and comparison with VTEX:
- Shopify holds the largest market share with approximately 20%, diikuti by BigCommerce at 2.6%.
- Magento and Salesforce Commerce Cloud have market shares of 6% and 7% respectively.
- Compared to these larger players, VTEX's 6% market share presents significant growth opportunities.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages relative to these competitors:
- Advantages: VTEX offers a headless commerce architecture, extensive API capabilities, and focus on omnichannel strategies, providing more flexibility and scalability for enterprise customers.
- Disadvantages: VTEX has a smaller market share and brand awareness compared to established players like Shopify. Additionally, it faces challenges in acquiring and retaining customers from smaller businesses, where competitors like BigCommerce have a stronger foothold.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition in the growing e-commerce platform market from well-established players.
- Difficulty in scaling and attracting new clients in a cost-efficient manner.
- Dependency on its existing customers and their continued growth for revenue generation.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and increasing global presence.
- Capitalizing on the growing demand for omnichannel commerce solutions and headless technology.
- Developing strategic partnerships and integrations to enhance platform capabilities and reach.
Recent Acquisitions:
Acquisition of VTEX Direct: In June 2023, VTEX acquired VTEX Direct, a fulfillment provider focused on providing last-mile delivery services. This acquisition strengthens their omnichannel capabilities and allows them to offer a comprehensive e-commerce solution to clients, enhancing their competitive advantage.
Acquisition of Nuvemshop: In 2022, VTEX acquired Nuvemshop, a leading e-commerce platform in Latin America, expanding their market reach and customer base significantly. This acquisition demonstrates their commitment to international expansion and establishing a stronger foothold in emerging markets.
Acquisition of 4SA, Inc.: In 2021, VTEX acquired 4SA, Inc., a customer experience management platform. This acquisition allowed them to integrate data-driven insights and personalize customer interactions throughout the buying journey, strengthening their customer retention capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification: VTEX boasts strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, a healthy balance sheet, and considerable investments in R&D and strategic acquisitions. However, they face stiff competition and operate at a net loss currently, highlighting the need for continued growth and strategic implementation to achieve long-term profitability and expand their market share.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- VTEX Investor Relations: https://investors.vtex.com/
- VTEX Website: https://vtex.com/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/topics/6458/e-commerce-platforms/
- Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/VTEX
- Crunchbase: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/vtex
Disclaimers: This analysis is based on publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough due diligence and consider all relevant factors before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-21 | Co-founder, Co-CEO, Co-Chairman & Chief Technology Officer Mr. Geraldo do Carmo Thomaz Jr. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 1277 | Website https://vtex.com |
Full time employees 1277 | Website https://vtex.com |
VTEX provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. Its platform enables customers to execute their commerce strategy, including building online stores, integrating, and managing orders across channels, and creating marketplaces to sell products from third-party vendors. It has operations in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, France, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Romania, Singapore, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. VTEX was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
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