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Vistra Energy Corp (VST)




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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: VST (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 192.57% | Avg. Invested days 58 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 40.50B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.78 | 1Y Target Price 171.06 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.78 | 1Y Target Price 171.06 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9232583 | Beta 1.23 | 52 Weeks Range 63.73 - 199.50 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 63.73 - 199.50 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.76% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 14.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) 51.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.78 | Forward PE 16.26 | Enterprise Value 58600046653 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.35 |
Enterprise Value 58600046653 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.42 | Shares Outstanding 340156992 | Shares Floating 335146911 |
Shares Outstanding 340156992 | Shares Floating 335146911 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 86.48 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 161.46 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 8 |
Buy 6 | Strong Buy 8 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Vistra Energy Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Vistra Energy Corp. was formed in 2016 following the bankruptcy of its predecessor, Energy Future Holdings. It has since transformed into a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Electricity: Sells electricity and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the United States.
- Power Generation: Owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power plants, including natural gas, nuclear, and renewable energy facilities.
- Commodities: Engages in the purchase and sale of fuels and power to support its generation and retail businesses.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a board of directors and a management team headed by the CEO. Organizational structure includes functional departments such as finance, operations, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Electricity Retail: Electricity supply to residential and business customers. Competitors include Constellation Energy (CEG), NRG Energy (NRG), and Direct Energy. Vistra's market share fluctuates by region, but it is a significant player in Texas and other markets. Revenue from retail electricity segment is significant, contributing greatly to Vistra's earnings.
- Power Generation: Electricity generated from various fuel sources including nuclear, natural gas, and renewables. Competitors include Duke Energy (DUK), Southern Company (SO), and NextEra Energy (NEE). Vistra's generation portfolio is a competitive advantage, and contributes significant revenue.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The electric power industry is undergoing significant transformation due to factors such as deregulation, increasing demand for renewable energy, and technological advancements in energy storage and grid management.
Positioning
Vistra Energy Corp is well-positioned as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company, benefiting from scale and diversification. Its competitive advantages include its large customer base and diverse generation portfolio.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US electricity market is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Vistra is a major player capturing a portion of the TAM, and is strategically positioned to gain more in the future.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large customer base
- Diverse generation portfolio
- Integrated business model
- Strong retail presence
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Reliance on fossil fuels
- Regulatory risks
- Debt load from past restructuring
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Investment in renewable energy projects
- Development of energy storage solutions
- Growing demand for clean energy
Threats
- Increased competition from other energy providers
- Changes in government regulations
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
- Cybersecurity risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NRG
- CEG
- DUK
- SO
Competitive Landscape
Vistra Energy Corp competes with other large energy companies based on price, reliability, and service offerings. Its advantages include its integrated business model and diverse generation portfolio. Its disadvantage could be its continued dependance on fossil fuels.
Major Acquisitions
TXU Energy
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 18300
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Vistra's retail electricity business in Texas.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Vistra Energy Corp has grown organically and through acquisitions. Historical growth rates vary based on market conditions and strategic initiatives.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth for Vistra Energy Corp, driven by demand for electricity and the company's expansion into renewable energy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable energy projects and expansion of its retail electricity business.
Summary
Vistra Energy Corp. is an established integrated energy company with a large customer base and diverse generation assets. Its strengths are balanced by reliance on fossil fuels and regulatory uncertainties. Growth opportunities lie in expanding into renewable energy and new markets. Vistra should watch for competitive pressures and changes in government regulations.
Similar Companies

CEG

Constellation Energy Corp



CEG

Constellation Energy Corp

DUK

Duke Energy Corporation



DUK

Duke Energy Corporation

NRG

NRG Energy Inc.



NRG

NRG Energy Inc.

SO

Southern Company



SO

Southern Company
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data is based on publicly available information and may not be entirely accurate or complete. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Vistra Energy Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irving, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-10-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. James A. Burke CPA | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Full time employees 6850 | Website https://vistracorp.com |
Full time employees 6850 | Website https://vistracorp.com |
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
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