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Viridian Therapeutics Inc (VRDN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: VRDN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 115.26% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.44 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.44 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1656580 | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 11.40 - 27.20 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.40 - 27.20 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.32 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -97069.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) -51.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 792283914 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4422.27 |
Enterprise Value 792283914 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4422.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2623.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.18 | Shares Outstanding 79212704 | Shares Floating 71049081 |
Shares Outstanding 79212704 | Shares Floating 71049081 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 112.96 |
AI Summary
Viridian Therapeutics Inc.: A Deep Dive
Company Profile
History & Background
Viridian Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: VRDN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2015 and headquartered in South San Francisco, California. They focus on the discovery and development of next-generation therapies for severe viral diseases, with a primary focus on chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.
Core Business
Viridian's core business revolves around two main areas:
- HBV Cure: Developing innovative therapies that can achieve a functional cure for chronic HBV infection, meaning sustained suppression of the virus without the need for lifelong treatment.
- Host Immune Modulation (HIM) Platform: Utilizing their proprietary HIM platform to discover and develop novel therapies that modulate the host immune response to combat viral diseases beyond HBV.
Leadership & Corporate Structure
- Dr. Jonathan Carrick, President and Chief Executive Officer, brings extensive experience in drug development and leadership within the biopharmaceutical industry.
- Dr. Martin Moore, Chief Medical Officer, possesses expertise in virology, liver disease, and clinical development.
- Dr. Michael Sofia, Chief Scientific Officer, is a renowned virologist with significant contributions to the development of direct-acting antivirals for HCV.
- The Board of Directors comprises experienced individuals with expertise in finance, business development, and the pharmaceutical industry.
Top Products and Market Share
Currently, Viridian has no products on the market as they are in the clinical development stage. Their lead product candidate is VRDN-001, a novel, oral therapy for chronic HBV. VRDN-001 is currently in a Phase 2b clinical trial with positive interim results demonstrating a decrease in viral markers.
It is premature to discuss market share for VRDN-001 as it has not yet been approved for commercialization. However, the global chronic HBV market is estimated to reach $6.2 billion by 2027, indicating significant potential upon VRDN-001's approval.
Total Addressable Market
The total market for Viridian's HBV therapies is vast. An estimated 257 million people worldwide are chronically infected with HBV. This translates to a significant market opportunity for a safe and effective cure.
Financial Performance
Viridian is currently a pre-commercial stage company with limited revenue. Their primary expenses are associated with research and development activities related to their pipeline of drug candidates.
Financial performance analysis is currently focused on factors such as cash burn rate and funding runway. In their latest financial report, Viridian had approximately $247.6 million in cash and cash equivalents, which is expected to fund operations into 2025.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
As a pre-revenue company, Viridian does not currently pay dividends. Shareholder return analysis focuses on stock price performance. Since its IPO in November 2021, Viridian's stock has experienced volatility, reflecting the company's stage of development and the inherent risks associated with clinical-stage biopharmaceutical companies.
Growth Trajectory
Viridian is in a high-growth phase, fueled by the advancement of its lead product candidate, VRDN-001, through clinical trials. The potential approval and commercialization of VRDN-001 could significantly increase revenue and drive future growth. Additionally, Viridian is exploring the potential of its HIM platform for other viral diseases, offering further growth opportunities.
Market Dynamics
The global market for antiviral therapies is experiencing rapid growth due to increasing awareness of viral diseases and rising demand for innovative treatment options. The chronic HBV market is particularly attractive due to the lack of a cure and the significant unmet medical need. Competition in this market is fierce, with several other companies developing novel HBV therapies. Viridian aims to differentiate itself by focusing on a functional cure and leveraging its proprietary HIM platform.
Competitors
Key competitors in the chronic HBV space include:
- Gilead Sciences (GILD)
- Arbutus Biopharma (ABUS)
- Assembly Biosciences (ASMB)
- Enanta Pharmaceuticals (ENTA)
Potential Challenges & Opportunities
Challenges:
- Regulatory hurdles and clinical trial setbacks could delay or hinder product development and commercialization.
- Competition in the HBV market is intense, requiring Viridian to maintain a competitive edge.
- The dependence on the success of VRDN-001 poses a risk if the drug fails to meet its endpoints in clinical trials.
Opportunities:
- The significant unmet medical need in the chronic HBV market presents a substantial opportunity for VRDN-001 and other potential therapies.
- The HIM platform's potential application for other viral diseases beyond HBV offers diversification and expansion opportunities.
- Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies could accelerate development and commercialization efforts.
Recent Acquisitions
Viridian has not made any acquisitions within the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on available data and an AI-based fundamental rating system, Viridian Therapeutics Inc.'s stock receives a score of 7 out of 10.
This rating reflects the company's promising pipeline, particularly VRDN-001, and the significant market opportunity in the chronic HBV space. However, the pre-commercial stage and inherent risks of clinical development are factored into the rating, suggesting a moderate risk-reward profile.
Sources & Disclaimers
Sources:
- Viridian Therapeutics Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This analysis provides general information and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized investment guidance.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Waltham, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-06-18 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Stephen F. Mahoney J.D., MBA | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 94 | |
Full time employees 94 |
Viridian Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, discover and develops treatments for serious and rare diseases. The company's product pipeline includes VRDN-001, a monoclonal antibody targeting insulin-like growth factor-1 receptor that is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of thyroid eye disease (TED); and VRDN-003, a next generation IGF-1R humanized monoclonal antibodies targeting IGF-1R and incorporating half-life extension technology for the treatment of TED. It also provides VRDN-006 a preclinical program for autoimmune disease. In addition, the company offers VRDN-006 and VRDN-008 a preclinical program for autoimmune disease. The company was formerly known as Miragen Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. in January 2021.Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
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