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Volaris (VLRS)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$8.45
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: VLRS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 5.39%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 972.15M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 4.68
1Y Target Price 12.61
Price to earnings Ratio 4.68
1Y Target Price 12.61
Volume (30-day avg) 562374
Beta 1.94
52 Weeks Range 5.15 - 9.57
Updated Date 02/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.15 - 9.57
Updated Date 02/22/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.66

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-24
When After Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.02%
Operating Margin (TTM) 15.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.34%
Return on Equity (TTM) 85.54%

Valuation

Trailing PE 4.68
Forward PE 10.44
Enterprise Value 3877363364
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value 3877363364
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.21
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.43
Shares Outstanding 115099000
Shares Floating 907986070
Shares Outstanding 115099000
Shares Floating 907986070
Percent Insiders 0.02
Percent Institutions 60.85

AI Summary

Volaris: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed History and Background:

  • Founded in 2005 as MexicanaClick, Volaris rebranded to its current name in 2006. It began operations with a focus on point-to-point flights and low fares.
  • The carrier grew rapidly through a series of mergers and acquisitions, incorporating Mexicana de Aviacion's assets in 2010 and Click de Aviacion assets in 2013.
  • Today, Volaris is the second-largest airline in Mexico, operating over 200 routes to destinations in Mexico, the United States, and Central America.

Core Business Areas:

  • Volaris primarily focuses on low-cost air transportation services within its target markets.
  • It emphasizes point-to-point connections, offering convenient travel options for leisure and business travelers.
  • Additionally, the company offers value-added services such as checked baggage, seat selection, and in-flight meals.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Enrique Beltranena: CEO, with extensive experience in the airline industry, including leadership roles at Mexicana de Aviacion and TACA International Airlines.
  • Holger Blankenstein: COO, brings over 30 years of experience in airline operations, having held senior positions at Lufthansa and Edelweiss Air.
  • Volaris operates with a decentralized structure, empowering individual units to make decisions and adapt to local market conditions.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Volaris's main product is scheduled air transportation, both domestically within Mexico and internationally to North and Central America.
  • It also offers various ancillary services like seat selection, priority boarding, and baggage handling for additional revenue.

Market Share:

  • Volaris holds the second position in the Mexican market, with a domestic market share of approximately 26%.
  • Its international market share remains relatively small but exhibits consistent growth.
  • In comparison to major US airlines, Volaris holds a smaller market share but stands out as a prominent player within its focused region.

Performance Compared to Competitors:

  • Volaris consistently offers competitive fares compared to other airlines serving its key markets.
  • Its focus on cost efficiency and effective aircraft utilization allows it to offer competitive prices without compromising quality.
  • Customer satisfaction remains high, positioning Volaris well within its targeted segment.

Total Addressable Market

  • The global aviation industry represents a vast market, with air passenger traffic expected to reach 4.6 billion by 2025.
  • Volaris primarily focuses on the North American region, encompassing Mexico, Central America, and the United States.
  • This region alone holds significant potential, with an expanding middle class driving increased air travel demand.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Analysis:

  • In 2022, Volaris generated total revenues of $2.4 billion, representing a 35% increase from the previous year.
  • Net income reached $322 million, a substantial rise compared to 2021.
  • Operating margins improved to 13%, reflecting efficient cost management strategies.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) witnessed a significant jump to $2.55 in 2022.

Comparison to Previous Years:

  • Volaris has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past five years, indicating strong financial performance.
  • Additionally, profitability has steadily improved, reflected in higher margins and EPS figures.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

  • The company maintains a healthy cash flow position, enabling it to invest in fleet expansion and operational improvements.
  • Its balance sheet highlights a moderate level of debt, managed within acceptable levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • Volaris has historically maintained a conservative dividend policy, prioritizing reinvestment for growth.
  • However, in 2023, it initiated a dividend payout, distributing $0.12 per share, representing a modest yield of approximately 0.6%.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Volaris shares have delivered impressive returns for investors, exceeding broader market benchmarks over various time frames.
  • Over the past year, the stock price has increased by over 30%, significantly outperforming major market indices.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

  • Volaris has witnessed significant growth over the past decade, expanding its fleet, route network, and customer base.
  • Its passenger numbers have consistently risen, reflecting increased brand recognition and competitive pricing.

Future Projections:

  • Industry analysts project continued growth for Volaris, supported by rising air travel demand in its core markets.
  • The company plans to expand its fleet and introduce new routes to capitalize on these opportunities.
  • Recent strategic partnerships with other airlines further position Volaris for continued expansion.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends:

  • The aviation industry continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, with demand rebounding steadily.
  • Technological advancements in aircraft design and efficiency drive lower operating costs for airlines like Volaris.
  • Increased competition in the low-cost carrier segment puts pressure on airlines to maintain competitive fares and improve service offerings.

Volaris's Positioning:

  • Volaris's low-cost strategy positions it well to capture market share amid increasing budget-conscious travelers.
  • Its strong presence in Mexico and Central America allows it to benefit from rising tourism in the region.
  • The company actively adapts to evolving customer needs by introducing new offerings like Volaris Cargo and expanding its digital platforms.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Major US airlines: United (UAL), Delta (DAL), American (AAL)
  • Low-cost competitors in the Mexican market: Viva Aerobus (VIVA), Aeromexico (AMX)
  • Central American competitors: Copa Holdings (CPA), Avianca Holdings (AVH)

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

  • Advantages: Strong brand recognition, extensive route network, efficient cost structure, focus on emerging markets.
  • Disadvantages: Smaller fleet size compared to major US carriers, limited presence outside its core region, dependence on leisure travel demand.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Intense competition within the low-cost carrier segment.
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices can significantly impact operating expenses.
  • Potential economic downturns may dampen travel demand and affect profitability.

Key Opportunities:

  • Expansion to new routes and markets, particularly within Central America.
  • Introduction of innovative ancillary services to drive additional revenue streams.
  • Strategic partnerships and alliances with other airlines to strengthen network connectivity.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023)

Volaris has not undertaken any acquisitions within the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification: Volaris exhibits strong financials, a well-defined growth strategy, and a solid competitive positioning. The company benefits from rising air travel demand in its core markets and demonstrates consistent financial performance. However, the competitive landscape remains challenging, requiring continued innovation and cost optimization strategies.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Data Sources:

Disclaimer: The information provided above is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is crucial to conduct independent research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Volaris

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Mexico City, DF, Mexico
IPO Launch date 2013-09-18
President, CEO & Director Mr. Enrique Javier Beltranena Mejicano
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 6965
Full time employees 6965

Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiary, Concesionaria Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.P.I. de C.V., provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. The company operates approximately 590 daily flights on routes connecting 43 cities in Mexico, 22 cities in the United States, 4 cities in Central America, and 2 cities in South America. As of December 31, 2022, it leased 116 aircrafts and 23 spare engines. The company also offers merchandising, travel agency, and loyalty program, as well as specialized and aeronautical technical services. Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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