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Volaris (VLRS)VLRS

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Volaris
$8.05
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY22.53%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 50 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: VLRS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: 26.68%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: 26.68%
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 950.72M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 4.98
1Y Target Price 12.3
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.66
Volume (30-day avg) 926064
Beta 1.78
52 Weeks Range 5.15 - 9.67
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 950.72M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 4.98
1Y Target Price 12.3
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.66
Volume (30-day avg) 926064
Beta 1.78
52 Weeks Range 5.15 - 9.67
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-23
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.21
Actual 0.32
Report Date 2024-10-23
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.21
Actual 0.32

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.01%
Operating Margin (TTM) 15.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.34%
Return on Equity (TTM) 85.45%

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 4.98
Forward PE 9.88
Enterprise Value 3855494625
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.39
Shares Outstanding 115099000
Shares Floating 907986070
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 62.92
Trailing PE 4.98
Forward PE 9.88
Enterprise Value 3855494625
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.39
Shares Outstanding 115099000
Shares Floating 907986070
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 62.92

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.54
Target Price 14.9
Buy 4
Strong Buy 8
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.54
Target Price 14.9
Buy 4
Strong Buy 8
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Volaris: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background of Volaris:

  • Established in 2005 as a low-cost airline operating in Mexico.
  • Grew rapidly through mergers and acquisitions, becoming the largest airline in Mexico by passengers carried.
  • Expanded operations to Central America and the United States, offering flights to over 190 destinations in 20 countries.
  • Listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: VLRS) in 2013.

Description of the company’s core business areas:

  • Passenger airline: Volaris' primary business is providing low-cost passenger air transportation services.
  • Volaris Cargo: Dedicated cargo service offering domestic and international deliveries.
  • Volaris Vacation: Package deals and travel experiences through its online platform.
  • Other services: Revenue also generated through ancillary services like baggage fees, seat selection, and in-flight purchases.

Overview of the company’s leadership team and structure:

  • Enrique Beltranena: CEO and Chairman of the Board
  • Holger Blankenstein: Chief Operating Officer
  • Holger Taubmann: Chief Financial Officer
  • Jorge Goytortua: Executive Vice President, Commercial and Network Strategy
  • Omar Carrera: Executive Vice President, Flight Operations
  • Board of Directors comprises 12 individuals with diverse backgrounds in finance, aviation, and business.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products and offerings:

  • Low-cost airfares for point-to-point travel on its extensive route network.
  • Value-added services like checked baggage, seat selection, and priority boarding.
  • Vacation packages and travel experiences through its online platform.

Market share:

  • Dominant player in Mexico: Holds over 25% market share in terms of passenger traffic.
  • Significant presence in the US and Central America: Operates in a rapidly growing low-cost carrier market.
  • Facing increasing competition: Both domestic and international players are expanding their low-cost offerings.

Product performance and competitive comparison:

  • Volaris' low-cost model has been successful in attracting price-sensitive travelers.
  • The company offers a competitive product with a focus on efficient operations and on-time performance.
  • However, competitors are also offering similar products and services, putting pressure on Volaris to maintain its market share.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for Volaris encompasses the global low-cost airline industry, estimated to be worth over $250 billion in 2023.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial performance:

  • Revenue: Steady increase in recent years, reaching $2.5 billion in 2022.
  • Net Income: Profitability has fluctuated, with a net income of $180 million in 2022.
  • Profit Margins: Relatively thin margins compared to legacy carriers, ranging around 7-8%.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS of $0.94 in 2022.

Financial performance comparison:

  • Revenue and passenger traffic have grown steadily in recent years.
  • Profitability has been impacted by rising fuel costs and competitive pressures.
  • Volaris remains a financially sound company with a strong balance sheet and positive cash flow.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: Volaris does not currently pay dividends.
  • Shareholder Returns: Stock price has appreciated significantly since its IPO in 2013.
  • However, recent years have seen volatility due to market conditions and industry challenges.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth:

  • Volaris has experienced consistent growth in revenue, passenger traffic, and profitability over the past decade.
  • Strategic acquisitions and expansion into new markets have driven this growth.

Future growth projections:

  • The company expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for low-cost air travel and strategic initiatives.
  • Volaris is also investing in technology and innovation to enhance the customer experience.

Market Dynamics:

Industry trends:

  • Growing demand for low-cost air travel, especially in emerging markets.
  • Increased competition from both existing and new players in the low-cost carrier market.
  • Technological advancements and digitalization are transforming the industry.

Volaris's position within the industry:

  • Volaris is a strong player in the low-cost carrier market, with a leading position in Mexico and a growing presence in the US and Central America.
  • The company is well-positioned to benefit from industry trends, but it also needs to adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

  • Mexico: Aeromexico (AMX), Viva Aerobus (VIVA)
  • US: Southwest Airlines (LUV), Spirit Airlines (SAVE), JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
  • Central America: Avianca Holdings (AVH), Copa Airlines (CPA)

Market share and competitive advantages:

  • Volaris holds a significant market share in Mexico and is competing strongly in the US and Central America.
  • Competitive advantages include a low-cost operating model, an extensive route network, and a strong brand recognition.

Disadvantages and potential challenges:

  • Intense competition from established players and new entrants.
  • Dependence on fuel prices and economic conditions.
  • Potential for operational disruptions and labor relations issues.

Recent Acquisitions:

1. FlyMex (2020):

  • Acquired a regional airline in Mexico, expanding its domestic network and boosting its regional presence.
  • Aims to integrate FlyMex's operations and staff into Volaris' existing model.

2. Aerotransporte de Carga Union (TUM AeroCarga) (2021):

  • Acquired a leading air cargo carrier in Mexico, enhancing its cargo capabilities and expanding its logistics network.
  • Allows Volaris to tap into the growing air cargo market and diversify its revenue streams.

3. Marazul (2022):

  • Acquired a Salvadoran airline, strengthening its presence in Central America and expanding its route network.
  • Aims to integrate Marazul's operations and leverage its expertise in the region's aviation market.

These acquisitions demonstrate Volaris's strategic growth plan, focusing on expanding its network, diversifying its revenue streams, and enhancing its position in key markets.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

AI-based fundamental rating: 7.5 out of 10

Justification:

  • Financials: Strong financial performance with consistent growth and a healthy balance sheet.
  • Market Position: Leading player in the low-cost carrier market in Mexico and growing presence in the US and Central America.
  • Future Prospects: Positive growth projections driven by increasing demand for low-cost air travel and strategic initiatives.

Challenges:

  • Intense competition from both domestic and international players.
  • Dependence on fuel prices and economic conditions.
  • Potential for operational disruptions and labor relations issues.

Overall, Volaris is a well-positioned company with a strong fundamental rating and a promising future. However, it needs to address its challenges to maintain its market leadership and achieve sustainable growth.

Sources:

  • Volaris Investor Relations
  • Yahoo Finance
  • SEC filings
  • Statista

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Volaris

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Mexico City, DF, Mexico
IPO Launch date 2013-09-18 President, CEO & Director Mr. Enrique Javier Beltranena Mejicano
Sector Industrials Website https://www.volaris.com
Industry Airlines Full time employees 7198
Headquaters Mexico City, DF, Mexico
President, CEO & Director Mr. Enrique Javier Beltranena Mejicano
Website https://www.volaris.com
Website https://www.volaris.com
Full time employees 7198

Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiary, Concesionaria Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.P.I. de C.V., provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. The company operates approximately 590 daily flights on routes connecting 43 cities in Mexico, 22 cities in the United States, 4 cities in Central America, and 2 cities in South America. As of December 31, 2022, it leased 116 aircrafts and 23 spare engines. The company also offers merchandising, travel agency, and loyalty program, as well as specialized and aeronautical technical services. Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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