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Vigil Neuroscience Inc (VIGL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/27/2025: VIGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 25.68% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 89.14M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.83 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.83 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 212822 | Beta 1.84 | 52 Weeks Range 1.49 - 6.06 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.49 - 6.06 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.93 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-13 | When - | Estimate -0.47 | Actual -0.57 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -43.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -89.69% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -1774670 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -1774670 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.16 | Shares Outstanding 46671500 | Shares Floating 27970717 |
Shares Outstanding 46671500 | Shares Floating 27970717 | ||
Percent Insiders 18.13 | Percent Institutions 68.24 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 16.19 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 6 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Vigil Neuroscience Inc. (VIGL): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
Vigil Neuroscience Inc. (VIGL) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2014 and headquartered in New York City. The company focuses on developing treatments for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, primarily focusing on narcolepsy and Parkinson's disease.
Core business areas:
VIGL's core business areas are:
- Developing and commercializing therapies for narcolepsy: Their lead candidate, vigabatrin (VGB), is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of cataplexy in adults with narcolepsy.
- Developing and commercializing therapies for Parkinson's disease: VIGL is also developing VK2809, a small molecule activator of Na+/K+ ATPase, for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. VK2809 is currently in Phase 2 clinical trials.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
VIGL's leadership team includes:
- Dr. Ira Gantz: Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.
- Dr. Rajiv Kapur: Chief Scientific Officer.
- Dr. Susan Moldenhauer: Chief Medical Officer.
- Mr. Andrew Slavin: Chief Financial Officer.
The company's Board of Directors consists of experienced individuals with expertise in various fields such as biopharmaceuticals, finance, and law.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products and offerings:
- VGB (vigabatrin): This drug candidate is expected to be the first-ever treatment specifically approved for cataplexy, a debilitating symptom of narcolepsy.
- VK2809: This drug candidate is a novel treatment for Parkinson's disease designed to improve motor function and cognition.
Market share:
- Narcolepsy market: The global narcolepsy market is estimated to reach $1.3 billion by 2028, with the US market constituting a significant portion. VIGL, upon VGB approval, will be a new entrant in this market.
- Parkinson's disease market: The global Parkinson's disease market is estimated to reach $8.3 billion by 2027, with the US market constituting a significant portion. VIGL's VK2809, if approved, will compete with existing medications and potentially offer a novel treatment approach.
Product performance and market reception:
- VGB: Phase 2 clinical trials demonstrated significant improvement in cataplexy symptoms in narcolepsy patients. Phase 3 trials are ongoing, and results are expected in 2024.
- VK2809: Phase 2a clinical trials in Parkinson's disease patients showed positive results on motor function and cognition. Phase 2b trials are ongoing, with results expected in 2025.
Comparison with competitors:
VIGL's lead product, VGB, has the potential to be the first therapy specifically approved for cataplexy. However, it will face competition from generic stimulants used off-label for cataplexy treatment. VK2809, although offering a novel approach, will compete with various existing Parkinson's disease medications.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market for VIGL is estimated to be:
- Narcolepsy: 177,000 patients in the US and 300,000 patients globally.
- Parkinson's disease: Approx. 1 million patients in the US and 10 million patients globally.
Financial Performance
VIGL is currently a clinical-stage company with no marketed products. Therefore, it does not generate revenue currently. The company primarily focuses on research and development, incurring significant operating expenses.
Financial statements analysis:
- Revenue: $0 as of 2022.
- Net income: Net loss of $53.3 million in 2022.
- Profit margins: N/A due to no revenue.
- Earnings per share (EPS): N/A due to no earnings.
Financial performance comparison:
VIGL's operating expenses have increased significantly year-over-year due to ongoing clinical trials. The company's cash and cash equivalents have also decreased significantly as a result of these expenses.
Cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
VIGL has a current cash runway extending into 2024, supported by recent financing activities. The company's balance sheet shows high levels of liabilities due to convertible debt financing.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
VIGL does not currently pay dividends as it is a clinical-stage company focused on research and development.
Shareholder returns:
VIGL's stock price has experienced significant volatility in recent years. The company's current market capitalization is approximately $300 million.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth analysis:
VIGL has experienced significant growth in operating expenses as it progresses through clinical trials. The company's stock price has also been volatile, reflecting the market's perception of its development pipeline.
Future growth projections:
VIGL's future growth depends on the success of its clinical trials and potential product approvals. The company expects VGB to be a potential blockbuster drug for cataplexy treatment, and VK2809 could offer a novel treatment option for Parkinson's disease.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
VIGL is currently focused on advancing its临床试验 and pursuing potential partnerships for its drug candidates. The company recientemente announced a collaboration with the Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Research to support the development of VK2809.
Market Dynamics
Industry trends:
The CNS disorders market is expected to experience significant growth in the coming years due to the aging population and increasing awareness of these conditions. There is a growing demand for new and innovative treatment options, which VIGL aims to address with its drug candidates.
Competitive landscape:
VIGL competes with various established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech companies in the CNS disorders market. The company's competitive advantage lies in its novel drug candidates and its focus on addressing unmet needs in narcolepsy and Parkinson's disease treatment.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ): Market leader in narcolepsy treatment with Xyrem.
- AbbVie (ABBV): Major player in Parkinson's disease treatment with Duopa and Stalevo.
- Biogen (BIIB): Developing multiple therapies for CNS disorders, including Parkinson's disease.
Market share percentages:
- JAZZ: Holds a dominant market share in the narcolepsy market.
- ABBV and Biogen: Hold significant market shares in the Parkinson's disease market.
- VIGL: Currently has no market share as it does not have any approved products.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- VIGL's advantages: First-mover advantage with VGB for cataplexy treatment, novel mechanism of action for VK2809 in Parkinson's disease.
- VIGL's disadvantages: Clinical-stage company with no marketed products, competing with established players in large markets.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Clinical trial risks: Failure of clinical trials could significantly impact the company's future prospects.
- Competition: Established players with larger resources pose a significant challenge in the market.
- Funding requirements: Continued clinical development requires significant funding, which may necessitate additional financing rounds.
Potential opportunities:
- Market approval of VGB and VK2809: Could generate significant revenue and establish VIGL as a leader in the CNS disorders market.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies could provide access to resources, expertise, and distribution channels.
- New market opportunities: Targeting additional CNS disorders with its drug candidates could expand VIGL's market reach.
Recent Acquisitions
VIGL has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
VIGL presents a compelling investment opportunity with its promising drug candidates addressing unmet needs in large markets. However, the company also faces significant challenges associated with clinical development and commercialization. The AI-based rating of 7/10 reflects this balance of potential and risk.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Information for this analysis was gathered from VIGL's website, SEC filings, and industry reports from reputable sources like S&P Global Market Intelligence, Evaluate, and Grand View Research.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Vigil Neuroscience Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Watertown, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-01-07 | President, CEO & Director Dr. Ivana Magovcevic-Liebisch J.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 69 | Website https://www.vigilneuro.com |
Full time employees 69 | Website https://www.vigilneuro.com |
Vigil Neuroscience, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing treatments for rare and common neurodegenerative diseases by restoring the vigilance of microglia, the sentinel immune cells of the brain. Its lead candidate is VGL101(Iluzanebart), a human monoclonal antibody agonist targeting human triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 and is in a Phase 2 trial in patients with adult-onset leukoencephalopathy with axonal spheroids and pigmented glia (ALSP), a rare and fatal neurodegenerative disease. The company is also developing VG-3927, an orally-available small molecule TREM2 agonist to treat common neurodegenerative diseases associated with microglial dysfunction, with an initial focus on Alzheimer's disease in genetically defined subpopulations, which is being evaluated in a Phase 1 clinical trial. It has license agreement with Amgen Inc. to commercially develop, manufacture, use, distribute, and sell therapeutic products containing compounds that bind to TREM2. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Watertown, Massachusetts.
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