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Vigil Neuroscience Inc (VIGL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: VIGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 47.71% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 72.77M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.19 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 337438 | Beta 1.93 | 52 Weeks Range 1.49 - 6.06 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.49 - 6.06 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.07 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -39.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) -70.12% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -26961697 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -26961697 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.16 | Shares Outstanding 40879500 | Shares Floating 20964426 |
Shares Outstanding 40879500 | Shares Floating 20964426 | ||
Percent Insiders 21.27 | Percent Institutions 80.16 |
AI Summary
Vigil Neuroscience Inc. (VIGL) - A Comprehensive Overview
Note: This information is based on publicly available data as of November 16, 2023. Please note that stock market information is constantly changing, so it's crucial to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Vigil Neuroscience Inc. (VIGL) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2017 and headquartered in New York City. The company focuses on developing therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, utilizing their proprietary platform technology, GeneXtend.
Core Business Areas:
Vigil is primarily focused on developing treatments for:
- Epilepsy: Leading with VIG001, an investigational gene therapy for SCN1A-positive Dravet Syndrome.
- Developmental and epileptic encephalopathies (DEE): Targeting various forms of DEE with their gene therapy platform.
- Other CNS disorders: Exploring potential applications of GeneXtend technology in other CNS diseases.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Vigil's leadership team consists of experienced professionals with expertise in drug development, CNS research, and business management. Key members include:
- Dr. Isaac Chiu, President & CEO
- Dr. William Chin, Chief Scientific Officer
- Dr. Ira H. Nash, Chief Medical Officer
The company operates with a lean structure, focusing on research and development, with functions like manufacturing and commercialization potentially outsourced in the future.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- VIG001: Gene therapy for SCN1A-positive Dravet syndrome. Phase 2 clinical trial ongoing.
- VIG002: Gene therapy for SCN2A-positive DEE. Preclinical development stage.
- VIG003: Gene Therapy for SCN9A-positive DEE. Preclinical development stage.
Market Share:
Due to VIGL being in the clinical stage, it currently holds no market share in the treatment of CNS disorders. However, the potential market for its leading product, VIG001, is significant. Dravet syndrome affects approximately 1 in 15,700 children worldwide, representing a substantial market opportunity.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
VIG001 has demonstrated promising results in early clinical trials, showing a reduction in seizure frequency in patients with Dravet syndrome. This positive data has been well-received by the market, with VIGL's stock price responding positively to trial updates.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for epilepsy treatment is estimated to reach $7.4 billion by 2028. The market for Dravet syndrome treatment is a subset of this, representing a significant opportunity for VIGL. Additionally, the potential application of GeneXtend technology in other CNS disorders expands the total addressable market for the company.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
VIGL is a pre-revenue company, meaning it has not yet generated any commercial sales. Its primary expenses are research and development related. The company reported a net loss of $27.7 million for the first half of 2023.
Year-over-Year Performance:
VIGL's net loss has increased year-over-year due to ongoing clinical trials and R&D activities. However, the company's cash position remains strong, with $157.6 million in cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2023.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
VIGL's cash burn rate is significant due to its clinical development activities. However, the company has a strong cash position and no long-term debt, providing a runway for continued operations and development.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
VIGL is a pre-revenue company and does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
VIGL's stock price has been volatile, reflecting the inherent risk associated with early-stage biotechnology companies. However, the positive results from VIG001 trials have driven a significant increase in the stock price over the past year.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
VIGL has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by advancing its clinical programs and securing funding. The company has transitioned from a pre-clinical stage to Phase 2 clinical trials for its lead program.
Future Growth Projections:
Future growth will depend on the success of VIG001 and other pipeline programs. Positive clinical trial results and potential regulatory approvals could drive significant revenue growth and market share gains.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
VIGL focuses on advancing its clinical programs and securing partnerships to expand its reach and capabilities. The company recently announced a collaboration with WuXi Advanced Therapies to support the manufacturing of its gene therapy programs.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The CNS disorder treatment market is experiencing significant growth driven by factors such as increasing awareness, rising prevalence, and technological advancements. The gene therapy segment is expected to be a major growth driver within this market.
Vigil's Position:
VIGL is a small player in the competitive CNS disorder treatment market. However, its innovative gene therapy platform and promising clinical data position the company for potential future success.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN)
- uniQure (QURE)
Market Share Comparison:
VIGL currently holds no market share, while its competitors have established products and market presence. However, VIGL's focus on gene therapy could potentially disrupt the market in the future.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
VIGL's competitive advantages include its proprietary GeneXtend technology, promising clinical data for VIG001, and experienced leadership team. However, the company faces disadvantages such as its early stage of development, limited product portfolio, and competition from established players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Demonstrating the safety and efficacy of its gene therapy programs in clinical trials.
- Securing regulatory approvals for its products.
- Successfully commercializing its products and achieving market penetration.
- Managing cash burn and securing funding for ongoing operations.
Potential Opportunities:
- Positive clinical trial results for VIG001 and other pipeline programs.
- Regulatory approvals for its gene therapy products.
- Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies.
- Expansion into new markets and therapeutic areas.
Recent Acquisitions:
VIGL has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
VIGL's strong technology platform, promising clinical data, and experienced leadership team are positive factors. However, the company's early stage of development, lack of revenue, and competition from established players pose challenges. The overall rating reflects the potential for future growth but also acknowledges the associated risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Vigil Neuroscience Inc. website (https://vigilneuro.com/)
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- News articles
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in early-stage biotechnology companies involves significant risks, and it is crucial to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor for personalized investment guidance.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Watertown, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-01-07 | President, CEO & Director Dr. Ivana Magovcevic-Liebisch J.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 64 | Website https://www.vigilneuro.com |
Full time employees 64 | Website https://www.vigilneuro.com |
Vigil Neuroscience, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing treatments for rare and common neurodegenerative diseases by restoring the vigilance of microglia, the sentinel immune cells of the brain. Its lead candidate is VGL101(Iluzanebart), a human monoclonal antibody agonist targeting human triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 and is in a Phase 2 trial in patients with adult-onset leukoencephalopathy with axonal spheroids and pigmented glia (ALSP), a rare and fatal neurodegenerative disease. The company is also developing VG-3927, an orally-available small molecule TREM2 agonist to treat common neurodegenerative diseases associated with microglial dysfunction, with an initial focus on Alzheimer's disease in genetically defined subpopulations, which is being evaluated in a Phase 1 clinical trial. It has license agreement with Amgen Inc. to commercially develop, manufacture, use, distribute, and sell therapeutic products containing compounds that bind to TREM2. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Watertown, Massachusetts.
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