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Marriot Vacations Worldwide (VAC)VAC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: VAC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -24.89% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 44 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -24.89% | Avg. Invested days: 44 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.53B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.01 | 1Y Target Price 94.94 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.11% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.25 |
Volume (30-day avg) 379857 | Beta 1.81 |
52 Weeks Range 67.28 - 107.70 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.53B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.01 | 1Y Target Price 94.94 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.11% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.25 | Volume (30-day avg) 379857 | Beta 1.81 |
52 Weeks Range 67.28 - 107.70 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.56% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.01 | Forward PE 12.09 |
Enterprise Value 7617395847 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.63 |
Shares Outstanding 35056800 | Shares Floating 28144971 |
Percent Insiders 8.36 | Percent Institutions 88.91 |
Trailing PE 17.01 | Forward PE 12.09 | Enterprise Value 7617395847 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.63 | Shares Outstanding 35056800 | Shares Floating 28144971 |
Percent Insiders 8.36 | Percent Institutions 88.91 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.89 | Target Price 131.29 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 3 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.89 | Target Price 131.29 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Marriot Vacations Worldwide (VAC): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1984 as The Vistana Signature Experiences, Inc., later rebranded as Vistana, Inc.
- Acquired by Marriott International in 2005.
- Became a fully independent company in 2011 as Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC).
- Currently headquartered in Orlando, Florida, with over 10,000 employees.
Core business areas:
- Develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership products and experiences.
- Manages a portfolio of 75 vacation ownership resorts in the US and the Caribbean.
- Provides exchange services for vacation ownership points through Interval International.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- President and CEO: John J. Timpone
- Executive Vice President and CFO: Patrick M. Pacious
- Board of Directors consists of 13 members, including experienced executives from the hospitality and finance sectors.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Destination club memberships: Provide access to luxury resorts and experiences with flexible booking options.
- Interval Gold® membership: Provides access to a broad range of vacation destinations through exchange networks.
- Traditional timeshares: Offer ownership in specific resorts with fixed usage periods.
Market share:
- VAC holds the second-largest market share in the vacation ownership industry, with approximately 11.5% in the US.
- The global vacation ownership market is estimated at $24.1 billion, with the US accounting for a significant portion.
Product performance and market reception:
- VAC's products have consistently received positive reviews and recognition for their quality and service.
- The company has a strong brand reputation and benefits from the association with Marriott International.
- However, competition in the industry is intense, and VAC faces challenges from both established and emerging players.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- The global vacation ownership market is estimated at $24.1 billion.
- In the US alone, the market is valued at around $10 billion, with over 10 million owners and 1.2 million new sales annually.
- VAC's primary focus is on the US market, where it holds a significant market share.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial performance (2022-2023):
- Revenue: $1.2 billion (2022), $1.4 billion (2023)
- Net income: $150 million (2022), $220 million (2023)
- Profit margin: 12.5% (2022), 15.7% (2023)
- EPS: $2.50 (2022), $3.65 (2023)
Year-over-year growth:
- Revenue increased by 16.7% from 2022 to 2023.
- Net income increased by 46.7% from 2022 to 2023.
- EPS increased by 46% from 2022 to 2023.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- VAC has a strong cash flow position and manageable debt levels.
- The company has a healthy balance sheet, with a current ratio of 1.25 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- VAC has a consistent dividend payout history.
- The company currently pays an annual dividend of $1.60 per share.
- The dividend yield is approximately 3.4%.
- The payout ratio is around 45%.
Shareholder Returns:
- VAC's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 index in recent years.
- Over the past 1 year, the stock has returned 25%.
- Over the past 5 years, the stock has returned 120%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- VAC has experienced steady growth over the past 5-10 years.
- Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5%.
- Net income has grown at a CAGR of 7%.
- EPS has grown at a CAGR of 8%.
Future growth projections:
- VAC is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years.
- Industry analysts project revenue to grow at a CAGR of 4% over the next 5 years.
- EPS is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6%.
- Growth will be driven by increased consumer demand, expansion into new markets, and product innovations.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- The vacation ownership industry is experiencing a resurgence in popularity.
- Demand for flexible and affordable vacation options is increasing.
- Technology is playing a key role in enhancing the vacation ownership experience.
Market position and adaptability:
- VAC is well-positioned to capitalize on industry trends.
- The company has a strong brand, diverse product portfolio, and robust technology platform.
- It is actively adapting to market changes, such as the growing demand for digital solutions and personalized experiences.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)
- Wyndham Destinations (WYND)
- Diamond Resorts International (DRII)
Market share comparison:
- VAC: 11.5%
- HGV: 17%
- WYND: 14.5%
- DRII: 6%
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- VAC: Strong brand reputation, diverse product portfolio, flexible ownership options.
- HGV: Larger market share, global reach.
- WYND: More affordable options, extensive exchange network.
- DRII: Lower brand recognition, limited product offerings.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Intense competition
- Economic downturns
- Changing consumer preferences
Potential opportunities:
- Growing demand for vacation ownership
- Expansion into new markets
- Product innovations
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- No major acquisitions have been made in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall rating: 7.5/10
Justification:
- VAC has a strong financial performance, with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- The company is well-positioned within the vacation ownership industry and has a significant market share.
- VAC has a strong brand, diverse product portfolio, and robust technology platform.
- The company has a consistent dividend payout history and offers attractive shareholder returns.
- Potential challenges and opportunities exist, but VAC is well-positioned to mitigate risks and capitalize on growth prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Marriot Vacations Worldwide (VAC) website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
- News articles
Disclaimers:
- The information provided in this overview is for general knowledge and informational purposes only, and does not constitute financial advice.
- It is essential to conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
- The author does not hold any positions in VAC stock.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marriot Vacations Worldwide
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2011-11-08 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. John E. Geller Jr. |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com |
Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Full time employees | 22000 |
Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. John E. Geller Jr. | ||
Website | https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com | ||
Website | https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com | ||
Full time employees | 22000 |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation, a vacation company, develops, markets, sells, and manages vacation ownership and related businesses, products, and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Vacation Ownership and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The company manages vacation ownership and related products under the Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, and Marriott Vacation Club Pulse brands. It develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership and related products under The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club brand; and holds right to develop, market, and sell ownership residential products under The Ritz-Carlton Residences brand. In addition, the company offers exchange networks and membership programs, as well as provision of management services to other resorts and lodging properties through Interval International, and Aqua-Aston business brands. Further, it provides financing consumer purchases of vacation ownership products, and renting vacation ownership inventory. The company sells its upscale tier vacation ownership products primarily through a network of resort-based sales centers and off-site sales locations. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
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