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Marriot Vacations Worldwide (VAC)VAC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/04/2024: VAC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -26.96% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/04/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -26.96% | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/04/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.16B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.18 | 1Y Target Price 99.4 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.39% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.26 |
Volume (30-day avg) 323969 | Beta 1.8 |
52 Weeks Range 66.57 - 106.57 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.16B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.18 | 1Y Target Price 99.4 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.39% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.26 | Volume (30-day avg) 323969 | Beta 1.8 |
52 Weeks Range 66.57 - 106.57 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 1.57 | Actual 1.8 |
Report Date 2024-11-06 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 1.57 | Actual 1.8 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.36% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.58% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.33% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.18 | Forward PE 12.09 |
Enterprise Value 8217040025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.3 |
Shares Outstanding 34911200 | Shares Floating 27999449 |
Percent Insiders 8.39 | Percent Institutions 86.3 |
Trailing PE 17.18 | Forward PE 12.09 | Enterprise Value 8217040025 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.7 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.3 | Shares Outstanding 34911200 | Shares Floating 27999449 |
Percent Insiders 8.39 | Percent Institutions 86.3 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.7 | Target Price 131.29 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 3 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.7 | Target Price 131.29 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 3 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) was established in 1984 as a subsidiary of Marriott International. In 2011, it spun off as an independent publicly traded company. VAC is a leading global provider of vacation ownership experiences, offering a diverse portfolio of products and services across various brands, including Marriott Vacation Club, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, and others.
Core business areas:
- Vacation ownership sales: VAC sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) through various channels, including direct sales, online, and through third-party marketing partners.
- Resorts and management services: They operate a network of over 70 resorts in 14 countries, offering various amenities and experiences for vacation owners and other guests.
- Financing solutions: VAC provides financing options to potential buyers of VOIs through various loan products and partnerships.
- Other services: They also offer ancillary services such as travel insurance, vacation planning, and property exchange programs.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Stephen P. Weisz - President and Chief Executive Officer
- John F. Young - Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
- Patrick W. Dangerfield - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- Michael D. Coletta - Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
- Board of Directors: Comprised of eleven members with diverse experience in business, finance, and hospitality.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products and offerings:
- Vacation ownership interests (VOIs): Interval ownership, deeded ownership, and club memberships.
- Resort accommodations: Wide range of villa and suite options at various locations worldwide.
- Experiences: On-site activities, excursions, and access to exclusive benefits and amenities.
Market share:
- Global market share: VAC is a leading player in the vacation ownership industry, with a global market share estimated around 10%.
- US market share: VAC holds the second-largest market share in the US vacation ownership market, trailing behind Wyndham Destinations.
Product performance and market reception:
- VAC's products consistently receive positive reviews for quality, service, and overall vacation experience.
- The company maintains a strong brand reputation and enjoys high customer satisfaction rates.
- However, VAC faces competition from other major players in the industry, leading to ongoing competition for market share.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for vacation ownership is estimated to be around $125 billion. This includes both existing and potential vacation ownership customers worldwide. The TAM is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising disposable income, increasing popularity of experiential travel, and growing awareness of vacation ownership benefits.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements analysis:
- Revenue: Revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $1.2 billion, representing a 37% increase compared to the previous year.
- Net income: Net income for fiscal year 2022 was $160 million, compared to a net loss of $47 million in the previous year.
- Profit margins: Gross profit margin and operating margin improved significantly in fiscal year 2022.
- Earnings per share (EPS): EPS for fiscal year 2022 was $2.24, compared to a loss per share of $0.66 in the previous year.
Year-over-year financial performance:
VAC has shown significant improvement in its financial performance over the past year, primarily driven by strong sales growth and improved operating efficiency. The company's focus on cost management and revenue optimization initiatives has contributed to the positive financial results.
Cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
VAC's cash flow from operations has improved considerably, indicating strong operational performance. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with sufficient liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
VAC has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. In fiscal year 2022, the company paid a total of $40 million in dividends. The current dividend yield is approximately 2.5%.
Shareholder returns:
Over the past year, VAC's stock price has increased significantly, resulting in positive returns for shareholders. Over the past five years, the company's stock has generated total returns of over 50%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth analysis:
VAC has experienced strong historical growth, driven by increasing sales of VOIs and expansion of its resort network. Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% during the past five years.
Future growth projections:
The company expects continued growth in the coming years, supported by ongoing marketing efforts, new resort development, and potential acquisitions. Industry analysts project VAC's revenue to grow at a CAGR of around 5-7% in the next five years.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
VAC terus berinovasi dan meluncurkan produk dan initiatives baru untuk mendorong pertumbuhan. Inisiatif ini termasuk pengembangan platform penjualan digital baru, perluasan program loyalitas, dan eksplorasi pasar baru.
Market Dynamics
The vacation ownership industry is characterized by several key trends:
- Shifting demographics: The target market for vacation ownership is evolving, with younger generations expressing interest in ownership models that offer flexibility and diverse experiences.
- Technological advancements: Technology plays an increasingly important role in vacation ownership sales, marketing, and property management.
- Growing competition: The industry is becoming increasingly competitive, with players vying for market share and customer loyalty.
Market positioning and adaptability:
VAC is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, extensive resort network, and focus on innovation. The company demonstrates adaptability through its digital initiatives and ongoing efforts to cater to evolving customer preferences.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- Wyndham Destinations (WYND)
- Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV)
- Diamond Resorts International (DRII)
- Bluegreen Vacations (BXG)
Market share percentages and comparison:
- VAC holds the second-largest market share in the US, trailing behind Wyndham Destinations with approximately 18%.
- Other major competitors like Hilton Grand Vacations and Diamond Resorts hold smaller market shares.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- VAC's competitive advantages include its strong brand, extensive resort network, and focus on customer service.
- Competitive disadvantages include a smaller market share compared to the industry leader and potential exposure to economic downturns.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Economic downturns: Economic recessions can negatively impact consumer spending and reduce demand for vacation ownership.
- Competition:激烈競爭可能會導致價格壓力和市場份額爭奪。
- Regulatory changes: Changes in regulations governing vacation ownership could impact the industry.
Potential opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets: VAC has opportunities to expand into new international markets with growing tourism potential.
- Innovation: Continued innovation in sales and marketing strategies, as well as product offerings, can attract new customer segments.
- Acquisitions: Strategic acquisitions can expand VAC's resort portfolio and strengthen its market position.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
- 2021: Exploria Resorts: This acquisition expanded VAC's resort portfolio in popular vacation destinations such as Orlando, Florida, and Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.
- 2022: Welk Resorts: This acquisition added resorts in California and Colorado, strengthening VAC's presence in the western US market.
- 2023: Margaritaville Vacation Club by Marriott: This acquisition brought in the Margaritaville brand and resorts, offering a new and unique vacation experience to the company's portfolio.
These acquisitions demonstrate VAC's commitment to growth through strategic expansion and diversification. They align with the company's overall strategy to offer a wider range of vacation options and cater to diverse customer preferences.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based analysis of VAC's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10.
Justification:
- Strong financial health: VAC has demonstrated significant improvement in financial performance, with increasing revenue, profitability, and healthy cash flow.
- Solid market position: VAC holds the second-largest market share in the US, with a strong brand reputation and established customer base.
- Growth potential: The company has numerous growth opportunities through international expansion, new product launches, and strategic acquisitions.
However, factors like intense competition and potential economic downturns present challenges that need to be addressed.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Investor Relations website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports and analysis from reputable sources such as IBISWorld, Statista, and Mordor Intelligence.
Disclaimer:
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Marriot Vacations Worldwide
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2011-11-08 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. John E. Geller Jr. |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com |
Industry | Resorts & Casinos | Full time employees | 22000 |
Headquaters | Orlando, FL, United States | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. John E. Geller Jr. | ||
Website | https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com | ||
Website | https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com | ||
Full time employees | 22000 |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation, a vacation company, develops, markets, sells, and manages vacation ownership and related businesses, products, and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Vacation Ownership and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The company manages vacation ownership and related products under the Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, and Marriott Vacation Club Pulse brands. It develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership and related products under The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club brand; and holds right to develop, market, and sell ownership residential products under The Ritz-Carlton Residences brand. In addition, the company offers exchange networks and membership programs, as well as provision of management services to other resorts and lodging properties through Interval International, and Aqua-Aston business brands. Further, it provides financing consumer purchases of vacation ownership products, and renting vacation ownership inventory. The company sells its upscale tier vacation ownership products primarily through a network of resort-based sales centers and off-site sales locations. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
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