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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)UPS

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
United Parcel Service Inc
$130.65
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: UPS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -39.51%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -39.51%
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 111.91B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.31
1Y Target Price 144.22
Dividends yield (FY) 4.99%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.13
Volume (30-day avg) 3961594
Beta 0.98
52 Weeks Range 121.57 - 158.20
Updated Date 09/19/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 111.91B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.31
1Y Target Price 144.22
Dividends yield (FY) 4.99%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.13
Volume (30-day avg) 3961594
Beta 0.98
52 Weeks Range 121.57 - 158.20
Updated Date 09/19/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.87%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.77%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.27%
Return on Equity (TTM) 28.33%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 21.31
Forward PE 14.43
Enterprise Value 131828892704
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.94
Shares Outstanding 732508992
Shares Floating 731748738
Percent Insiders 0.01
Percent Institutions 72.24
Trailing PE 21.31
Forward PE 14.43
Enterprise Value 131828892704
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.94
Shares Outstanding 732508992
Shares Floating 731748738
Percent Insiders 0.01
Percent Institutions 72.24

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.77
Target Price 179.74
Buy 2
Strong Buy 12
Hold 14
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3.77
Target Price 179.74
Buy 2
Strong Buy 12
Hold 14
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) - Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

  • Founded in 1907 as the American Messenger Company in Seattle, Washington.
  • Evolved into United Parcel Service (UPS) in 1919 offering door-to-door delivery services.
  • Grew through acquisitions and expansions, becoming a global leader in logistics and package delivery.
  • Listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: UPS) in 1999.

Core business areas:

  • Package delivery: Ground, Express, International, and Freight services for businesses and consumers.
  • Supply chain and logistics: Transportation management, warehousing, customs brokerage, and trade management solutions.
  • Financial services: UPS Capital provides financing and payment solutions for businesses.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

  • Chief Executive Officer: Carol Tomé (since 2020)
  • Chief Operating Officer: Michael Nerone (since 2020)
  • Board of Directors includes leaders from diverse industries and backgrounds.
  • Corporate structure is decentralized, with operating units responsible for specific businesses and regions.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products:

  • UPS Ground: Delivering packages within the United States.
  • UPS SurePost: Partnering with the US Postal Service for last-mile delivery.
  • UPS Freight: Less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking services.
  • UPS Express: Time-sensitive international and domestic delivery.
  • UPS Supply Chain Solutions: Customized logistics and supply chain management.

Market share:

  • Holds 49.9% of the US small package delivery market (2022).
  • Second-largest global express carrier, behind FedEx.
  • Strong presence in Europe and Asia, with continued market share growth.

Product performance and market reception:

  • UPS is recognized for its reliable and efficient delivery services.
  • Investments in technology and automation enhance customer experience and optimize delivery routes.
  • Faces competition from FedEx, DHL, and other regional players.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

Estimated TAM for the global package delivery market:

  • US$591.74 billion (2022)
  • Projected to reach US$874.35 billion by 2028 (CAGR 7.3%)

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements (2022):

  • Revenue: US$97.26 billion
  • Net income: US$8.4 billion
  • Profit margin: 8.6%
  • Earnings per share (EPS): US$10.49

Year-over-year comparison (2021-2022):

  • Revenue increased by 9.7%
  • Net income increased by 12.4%
  • EPS increased by 13.4%

Cash flow statement and balance sheet health:

  • Strong cash flow from operations: US$12.3 billion (2022)
  • Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history:

  • Pays a quarterly dividend, with a current dividend yield of 2.41% (as of October 26, 2023).
  • Has increased dividends for 13 consecutive years.

Shareholder returns:

  • 1-year total return: 25.2%
  • 5-year total return: 131.4%
  • 10-year total return: 537.7%

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth:

  • Revenue and earnings have grown consistently over the past decade.
  • E-commerce boom has driven package delivery demand.

Future growth projections:

  • Projected to grow revenue at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2023 to 2028.
  • Investments in technology and automation expected to drive efficiency and profitability.

Growth initiatives:

  • Expanding international presence, particularly in Asia.
  • Developing new services for e-commerce and healthcare sectors.
  • Investing in automation and robotics to improve efficiency.

Market Dynamics:

Industry trends:

  • Increasing demand for e-commerce delivery.
  • Growing focus on sustainability and environmental impact.
  • Technological advancements in automation and robotics.

Position within the industry:

  • UPS is a market leader with a strong brand reputation and extensive network.
  • Adapting to industry trends through investments in technology and new services.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

  • FedEx Corporation (FDX)
  • DHL International GmbH
  • United States Postal Service (USPS)

Market share comparison:

  • UPS: 49.9%
  • FedEx: 37.9%
  • DHL: 7.7%
  • USPS: 4.3%

Competitive advantages:

  • Extensive global network and infrastructure.
  • Strong brand reputation and customer loyalty.
  • Advanced technology and automation capabilities.

Competitive disadvantages:

  • High labor costs and potential unionization challenges.
  • Dependence on e-commerce growth and economic conditions.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

  • Managing labor costs and potential unionization issues.
  • Keeping up with technological advancements and competition.
  • Navigating global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.

Potential opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets and emerging economies.
  • Developing innovative logistics and delivery solutions.
  • Partnering with e-commerce and technology companies.

Recent Acquisitions (past 3 years):

  • Roadie (2021): On-demand, last-mile delivery platform for oversized items.
  • Coyote Logistics (2015): Truckload brokerage services.
  • i-Parcel (2014): European parcel delivery company.
  • These acquisitions aimed to expand UPS's capabilities in last-mile delivery, truckload brokerage, and international markets, aligning with the company's growth strategy.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

AI-based rating: 8.5 out of 10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
  • Leading market position with a strong brand reputation and extensive network.
  • Investments in technology and automation driving efficiency and profitability.
  • Potential for future growth in e-commerce and international markets.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • UPS Investor Relations website
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Statista
  • SEC filings

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is important to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About United Parcel Service Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1999-11-10 CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome
Sector Industrials Website https://www.ups.com
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics Full time employees 500000
Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome
Website https://www.ups.com
Website https://www.ups.com
Full time employees 500000

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery company, provides transportation and delivery, distribution, contract logistics, ocean freight, airfreight, customs brokerage, and insurance services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of express letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services comprising guaranteed time-definite express options in Europe, Asia, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company also offers international air and ocean freight forwarding, post-sales, and mail and consulting services. In addition, it provides truckload and customs brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industries; fulfillment and transportation management services; and integrated supply chain and shipment insurance solutions. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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