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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: UPS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -51.82% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 99.37B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.23 | 1Y Target Price 132.56 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.23 | 1Y Target Price 132.56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6921357 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 107.86 - 151.17 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 107.86 - 151.17 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.64% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.75 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-30 | When Before Market | Estimate 2.5322 | Actual 2.75 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.98% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.3% | Return on Equity (TTM) 33.96% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.23 | Forward PE 14.77 | Enterprise Value 118699822943 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09 |
Enterprise Value 118699822943 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.3 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.96 | Shares Outstanding 739873984 | Shares Floating 739063738 |
Shares Outstanding 739873984 | Shares Floating 739063738 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.46 | Percent Institutions 71.17 |
AI Summary
United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background: United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) traces its roots back to 1907, starting as a messenger service in Seattle. Over the years, UPS expanded its services, becoming a global leader in package delivery and logistics. Today, UPS operates in over 220 countries and territories, employing over 500,000 people.
Core Business Areas: UPS's primary business areas are:
- Package Delivery: This segment includes domestic and international package delivery services for individuals and businesses.
- Logistics and Freight: This segment offers a wide range of services, including freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and supply chain management.
- Other Services: This segment includes services like printing solutions, financial services, and technology solutions.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: Carol Tomé serves as the CEO of UPS, leading a diverse and experienced executive team. The company operates with a decentralized structure, empowering individual business units to make decisions tailored to their specific markets.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: UPS's top products include:
- Ground Delivery: This service provides reliable and affordable delivery for packages within the US.
- Air Delivery: This service offers fast and efficient delivery for packages across the globe.
- Freight Services: This service provides transportation and logistics solutions for large shipments.
- Supply Chain Management: This service helps businesses optimize their supply chains, improving efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
Market Share: UPS is a global leader in the package delivery and logistics industry. It holds the:
- Largest market share in the US domestic package delivery market (around 50%).
- Significant market share in the global express delivery market (around 14%).
Product Performance and Market Reception: UPS consistently receives high customer satisfaction ratings for its reliability, speed, and service quality. However, it faces increasing competition from rivals like FedEx and DHL, particularly in the international express delivery market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for UPS encompasses the global package delivery and logistics market. This market is expected to reach USD 1.3 trillion by 2027, driven by the growing e-commerce industry and increasing demand for faster and more reliable delivery services.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: 2022: $97.3 billion, 2021: $93.5 billion (Year-over-Year increase of 4.1%).
- Net Income: 2022: $10.2 billion, 2021: $12.9 billion (Decrease of 21%).
- Profit Margin: 2022: 10.5%, 2021: 13.8% (Decrease of 3.3 percentage points).
- Earnings per Share (EPS): 2022: $13.72, 2021: $17.44 (Decrease of 21.4%).
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health: UPS maintains strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet. The company generated $12 billion in operating cash flow in 2022. However, its long-term debt has increased in recent years, reaching $27.4 billion in 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: UPS has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend of $6.16 per share. The dividend payout ratio for 2022 was approximately 45%.
Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, UPS's stock price has increased by 12.4%. Over the past five years, the company's total shareholder return has been 65.4%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: UPS has consistently grown revenue and earnings over the past decade. Revenue has increased at an average annual rate of 6.7%, and earnings have grown at an average annual rate of 7.5%.
Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect UPS's revenue and earnings to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by the expanding global e-commerce market and increasing demand for logistics services.
Growth Initiatives: UPS is focusing on several initiatives to drive future growth:
- Expanding its international presence: UPS continues to invest in growing its international operations, particularly in emerging markets.
- Investing in technology: UPS is investing heavily in automation and other technologies to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
- Developing new services: UPS is continuously developing new services to cater to the evolving needs of its customers.
Market Dynamics
Current Trends: The logistics industry is experiencing several key trends:
- The rise of e-commerce: E-commerce continues to drive demand for package delivery services.
- Increasing demand for speed and convenience: Customers are demanding faster and more convenient delivery options.
- Technological advancements: Technology is playing an increasingly important role in the logistics industry, enabling automation and data-driven decision-making.
UPS's Positioning: UPS is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its strong global network, commitment to innovation, and customer-centric approach.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- FedEx Corporation (FDX)
- Deutsche Post DHL Group (DPW)
- XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO)
Market Share Percentages:
- UPS: 50% (US Domestic Package Delivery)
- FedEx: 35% (US Domestic Package Delivery)
- DHL: 14% (Global Express Delivery)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
UPS's competitive advantages include:
- Strong brand reputation
- Extensive global network
- Diversified portfolio of services
- Focus on technology and innovation
UPS's competitive disadvantages include:
- High labor costs
- Dependence on the US market
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Labor shortages
- Increasing competition
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth of e-commerce
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new services
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
2022:
- Blue Star Group: This acquisition expanded UPS's presence in the European healthcare logistics market.
- FreightPros: This acquisition strengthened UPS's digital freight brokerage capabilities.
2024:
- Coyote Logistics: This acquisition further enhanced UPS's position in the freight brokerage market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an analysis of various fundamental factors, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, an AI-based model assigns UPS a rating of 7 out of 10. This indicates a positive outlook for the company, with potential for continued growth in the coming years.
Sources and Disclaimers
This overview is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- UPS Investor Relations website
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
United Parcel Service Inc. is a leading global player in the package delivery and logistics industry. With its strong brand reputation, extensive network, and commitment to innovation, UPS is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing e-commerce market and increasing demand for logistics services. While the company faces some challenges, including supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, it also has significant opportunities for future growth.
About United Parcel Service Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-11-10 | CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees 254360 | Website https://www.ups.com |
Full time employees 254360 | Website https://www.ups.com |
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery company, provides transportation and delivery, distribution, contract logistics, ocean freight, airfreight, customs brokerage, and insurance services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of express letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services comprising guaranteed time-definite express options in Europe, Asia, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company also offers international air and ocean freight forwarding, post-sales, and mail and consulting services. In addition, it provides truckload and customs brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industries; fulfillment and transportation management services; and integrated supply chain and shipment insurance solutions. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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