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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: UPS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -42.72% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 107.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.01 | 1Y Target Price 148.52 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.01 | 1Y Target Price 148.52 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4673291 | Beta 0.98 | 52 Weeks Range 120.09 - 153.93 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 120.09 - 153.93 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.18% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.62 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.25% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) 31.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.01 | Forward PE 14.37 | Enterprise Value 126861728444 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.18 |
Enterprise Value 126861728444 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.18 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.77 | Shares Outstanding 731369984 | Shares Floating 730595280 |
Shares Outstanding 731369984 | Shares Floating 730595280 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.02 | Percent Institutions 72.37 |
AI Summary
United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1907 as the American Messenger Company, UPS has grown into a global leader in logistics and package delivery.
- The company expanded its services beyond the US in the 1970s and now operates in over 220 countries and territories.
- In 2023, UPS generated over $84 billion in revenue.
Core Business Areas:
- Package Delivery: UPS delivers over 25 million packages daily, with services ranging from next-day air to ground delivery.
- Supply Chain Management: UPS offers customized solutions for warehousing, transportation, and logistics management.
- Freight: UPS provides less-than-truckload (LTL) and full truckload (FTL) freight services across North America.
- Other Services: UPS also offers financial services, healthcare solutions, and technology platforms.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Carol Tomé (CEO): Leads the company with a focus on operational excellence, innovation, and customer-centricity.
- Board of Directors: Comprises experienced individuals from diverse backgrounds, providing strategic guidance and oversight.
- Corporate Structure: Organized into three operating segments: US Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain Solutions.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: UPS Ground, UPS Air, UPS Freight, and UPS Supply Chain Solutions.
- Market Share:
- Global Package Delivery: ~14% (2nd largest)
- US Package Delivery: ~48% (largest)
- US LTL Freight: ~10%
- Competitors: FedEx (FDX), DHL (OTCMKTS: DPWNY), and USPS.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global package delivery market is estimated at over $500 billion and is expected to grow steadily in the coming years.
- The US LTL freight market is valued at approximately $70 billion.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Grew from $74.9 billion in 2020 to $84.6 billion in 2022.
- Net Income: Increased from $8.4 billion in 2020 to $9.7 billion in 2022.
- Profit Margin: Remained stable around 11% in the past three years.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Increased from $8.26 in 2020 to $9.97 in 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: UPS has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annualized dividend of $6.72 per share.
- Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder return over the past year has been approximately 15%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: UPS has experienced steady growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade.
- Future Growth Projections: The company expects continued growth driven by e-commerce expansion and increasing demand for logistics services.
- Recent Initiatives: Investments in technology, automation, and network expansion are expected to support future growth.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: Increasing e-commerce penetration, globalization, and demand for faster and more reliable delivery services.
- Company Positioning: UPS is well-positioned to benefit from these trends with its extensive network, technology investments, and focus on customer experience.
Competitors:
- FedEx (FDX): A close competitor in the package delivery and logistics space, with a strong presence in the US and international markets.
- DHL (OTCMKTS: DPWNY): A global logistics giant with a focus on international shipping and express delivery.
- USPS: The US Postal Service remains a significant competitor in the domestic package delivery market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: Intense competition from FedEx, DHL, and other players in the logistics industry.
- Labor Costs: Rising labor costs, particularly in developed markets, can impact profitability.
- Economic Downturn: A potential economic slowdown could reduce demand for shipping and logistics services.
Opportunities:
- E-commerce Growth: The continued growth of e-commerce presents significant opportunities for UPS.
- International Expansion: Expanding into new markets and increasing market share in existing international markets.
- Technological Advancements: Utilizing automation, data analytics, and artificial intelligence to improve efficiency and customer experience.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Roadie (2021): A crowdsourced delivery platform, enhancing UPS's last-mile delivery capabilities.
- Bomi Group (2022): A healthcare logistics provider, expanding UPS's presence in the healthcare sector.
- Intelligent Global Pooling Systems (2023): A reusable packaging provider, promoting sustainability and reducing waste.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Leading market position in the US package delivery market.
- Investments in technology and automation are driving efficiency and growth.
- Potential for future growth driven by e-commerce expansion and international opportunities.
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Sources:
- https://www.investors.ups.com/
- https://www.statista.com/
- https://www.forbes.com/companies/ups/
- https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/ups
Please note that this report is based on information available as of November 2023. You should always refer to the most up-to-date information before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-11-10 | CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees 500000 | Website https://www.ups.com |
Full time employees 500000 | Website https://www.ups.com |
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery company, provides transportation and delivery, distribution, contract logistics, ocean freight, airfreight, customs brokerage, and insurance services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of express letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services comprising guaranteed time-definite express options in Europe, Asia, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company also offers international air and ocean freight forwarding, post-sales, and mail and consulting services. In addition, it provides truckload and customs brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industries; fulfillment and transportation management services; and integrated supply chain and shipment insurance solutions. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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