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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)UPS

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
United Parcel Service Inc
$132.09
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-0.41%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 39 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: UPS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -39.77%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -39.77%
Avg. Invested days: 34
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 112.72B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.95
1Y Target Price 149.25
Dividends yield (FY) 4.94%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.62
Volume (30-day avg) 3760741
Beta 0.98
52 Weeks Range 120.09 - 156.28
Updated Date 11/21/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 112.72B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.95
1Y Target Price 149.25
Dividends yield (FY) 4.94%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.62
Volume (30-day avg) 3760741
Beta 0.98
52 Weeks Range 120.09 - 156.28
Updated Date 11/21/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-10-24
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 1.63
Actual 1.76
Report Date 2024-10-24
When BeforeMarket
Estimate 1.63
Actual 1.76

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.25%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.22%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.63%
Return on Equity (TTM) 31.42%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 19.95
Forward PE 15.04
Enterprise Value 132903584915
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.28
Shares Outstanding 731369984
Shares Floating 730595280
Percent Insiders 0.02
Percent Institutions 72.12
Trailing PE 19.95
Forward PE 15.04
Enterprise Value 132903584915
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.28
Shares Outstanding 731369984
Shares Floating 730595280
Percent Insiders 0.02
Percent Institutions 72.12

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.8
Target Price 179.74
Buy 2
Strong Buy 13
Hold 12
Sell 2
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3.8
Target Price 179.74
Buy 2
Strong Buy 13
Hold 12
Sell 2
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

  • Founded in 1907 as the American Messenger Company in Seattle, Washington.
  • Expanded rapidly throughout the 20th century, becoming a global leader in package delivery and logistics.
  • Acquired numerous companies, including Fritz Companies (1989), Roadway Package System (1995), and TNT Express (2012).
  • Currently operates in over 220 countries and territories.

Core business areas:

  • Package delivery: Offering various domestic and international delivery services for businesses and consumers.
  • Supply chain management: Providing integrated logistics solutions, including warehousing, transportation, and freight forwarding.
  • Freight forwarding: Handling international air and ocean freight shipments.
  • Finance: Offering various financial services to businesses, including trade finance and accounts receivable management.

Leadership and corporate structure:

  • CEO: Carol Tomé (since 2020)
  • Diverse leadership team with extensive experience in logistics and business management.
  • Strong corporate governance structure with independent board of directors.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products and offerings:

  • UPS Ground: Standard ground shipping for businesses and consumers.
  • UPS Air: Expedited air shipping services for time-sensitive deliveries.
  • UPS Worldwide Express: International express delivery with various speed options.
  • UPS Freight: Less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation services.
  • UPS Supply Chain Solutions: Customized logistics solutions for businesses.

Market share:

  • Global market share for package delivery: Approximately 12%.
  • US market share for package delivery: Approximately 49%.
  • Dominant player in the US LTL market with a share of over 40%.

Product performance and market reception:

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation for reliability.
  • Continuous investment in technology and innovation, leading to improved efficiency and customer experience.
  • Facing increasing competition from rivals like FedEx and Amazon.

Total Addressable Market:

The global package delivery market is estimated to be worth over $1 trillion. The US market represents the largest segment, with a value of over $300 billion. The LTL market is also significant, valued at over $100 billion.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial highlights:

  • Revenue in 2022: $102.7 billion.
  • Net income in 2022: $8.4 billion.
  • Profit margin in 2022: 8.8%.
  • EPS in 2022: $10.77.

Year-over-year comparison:

  • Revenue grew by 12% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • Net income grew by 34% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • Profit margin improved from 7.4% in 2021 to 8.8% in 2022.
  • EPS increased from $7.77 in 2021 to $10.77 in 2022.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

  • Strong cash flow generation, with operating cash flow exceeding $12 billion in 2022.
  • Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history:

  • UPS has a long history of paying dividends, dating back to 1999.
  • Recent dividend yield: Around 2.7%.
  • Payout ratio: Approximately 45%.

Shareholder returns:

  • Strong total shareholder returns over the past 10 years, exceeding 200%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth:

  • Revenue and earnings have grown steadily over the past 5-10 years.
  • Expansion into new markets and e-commerce growth have driven growth.

Future projections:

  • Continued growth is expected, driven by e-commerce growth and strategic investments.
  • Industry trends like automation and digitalization offer further opportunities.

Recent initiatives:

  • Investments in technology and automation.
  • Expansion into new markets and emerging economies.
  • Development of new products and services, like drone delivery.

Market Dynamics:

Industry trends:

  • Increasing e-commerce penetration, driving demand for package delivery.
  • Growing adoption of automation and technology.
  • Sustainability concerns, leading to investments in green solutions.

Position within the industry:

  • Leading market position with strong brand recognition and global reach.
  • Facing intense competition from rivals and new entrants.
  • Well-positioned to benefit from e-commerce growth and industry trends.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

  • FedEx (FDX)
  • Amazon (AMZN)
  • DHL Express (OTCPK:DPSGF)
  • United States Postal Service (USPS)

Market share comparison:

  • UPS: 49% (US package delivery)
  • FedEx: 39% (US package delivery)
  • Amazon: 7% (US package delivery)

Competitive advantages:

  • Strong brand and reputation.
  • Extensive global network.
  • Technological capabilities and innovation.

Competitive disadvantages:

  • Labor costs and union relations.
  • Intense competition from rivals and new entrants.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions.
  • Labor shortages and rising wage costs.
  • Increasing competition.

Potential opportunities:

  • Growth in e-commerce.
  • Expansion into new markets.
  • Development of new products and services.
  • Sustainability initiatives.

Recent Acquisitions:

2023:

  • ZellePay: Payment processing company acquired to enhance UPS's payment capabilities and expand its reach in the small business market.

2022:

  • Blue Star, Inc: Medical supplies delivery service acquired to strengthen UPS's healthcare logistics capabilities.
  • A. Duie Pyle: Regional LTL carrier acquired to expand UPS's LTL footprint in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions.

2021:

  • Blue Water: European logistics company acquired to strengthen UPS's international freight forwarding capabilities.
  • Roadnet Technologies: Route optimization software provider acquired to enhance UPS's efficiency and service quality.

These acquisitions demonstrate UPS's commitment to expanding its service offerings, enhancing its geographical reach, and improving its operational efficiency.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8/10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
  • High market share and brand recognition.
  • Investments in technology and innovation.
  • Potential to benefit from e-commerce growth and industry trends.
  • Some challenges, including competition and labor costs.

Disclaimer:

This overview is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Sources:

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About United Parcel Service Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1999-11-10 CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome
Sector Industrials Website https://www.ups.com
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics Full time employees 500000
Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome
Website https://www.ups.com
Website https://www.ups.com
Full time employees 500000

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery company, provides transportation and delivery, distribution, contract logistics, ocean freight, airfreight, customs brokerage, and insurance services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of express letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services comprising guaranteed time-definite express options in Europe, Asia, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company also offers international air and ocean freight forwarding, post-sales, and mail and consulting services. In addition, it provides truckload and customs brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industries; fulfillment and transportation management services; and integrated supply chain and shipment insurance solutions. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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