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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)UPS
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: UPS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -39.51% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -39.51% | Avg. Invested days: 34 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 111.91B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.31 | 1Y Target Price 144.22 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.13 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3961594 | Beta 0.98 |
52 Weeks Range 121.57 - 158.20 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 111.91B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.31 | 1Y Target Price 144.22 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.13 | Volume (30-day avg) 3961594 | Beta 0.98 |
52 Weeks Range 121.57 - 158.20 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 28.33% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.31 | Forward PE 14.43 |
Enterprise Value 131828892704 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.94 |
Shares Outstanding 732508992 | Shares Floating 731748738 |
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 72.24 |
Trailing PE 21.31 | Forward PE 14.43 | Enterprise Value 131828892704 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.94 | Shares Outstanding 732508992 | Shares Floating 731748738 |
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 72.24 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.77 | Target Price 179.74 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 12 | Hold 14 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.77 | Target Price 179.74 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 12 |
Hold 14 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1907 as the American Messenger Company in Seattle, Washington.
- Evolved into United Parcel Service (UPS) in 1919 offering door-to-door delivery services.
- Grew through acquisitions and expansions, becoming a global leader in logistics and package delivery.
- Listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: UPS) in 1999.
Core business areas:
- Package delivery: Ground, Express, International, and Freight services for businesses and consumers.
- Supply chain and logistics: Transportation management, warehousing, customs brokerage, and trade management solutions.
- Financial services: UPS Capital provides financing and payment solutions for businesses.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Chief Executive Officer: Carol Tomé (since 2020)
- Chief Operating Officer: Michael Nerone (since 2020)
- Board of Directors includes leaders from diverse industries and backgrounds.
- Corporate structure is decentralized, with operating units responsible for specific businesses and regions.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- UPS Ground: Delivering packages within the United States.
- UPS SurePost: Partnering with the US Postal Service for last-mile delivery.
- UPS Freight: Less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking services.
- UPS Express: Time-sensitive international and domestic delivery.
- UPS Supply Chain Solutions: Customized logistics and supply chain management.
Market share:
- Holds 49.9% of the US small package delivery market (2022).
- Second-largest global express carrier, behind FedEx.
- Strong presence in Europe and Asia, with continued market share growth.
Product performance and market reception:
- UPS is recognized for its reliable and efficient delivery services.
- Investments in technology and automation enhance customer experience and optimize delivery routes.
- Faces competition from FedEx, DHL, and other regional players.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
Estimated TAM for the global package delivery market:
- US$591.74 billion (2022)
- Projected to reach US$874.35 billion by 2028 (CAGR 7.3%)
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements (2022):
- Revenue: US$97.26 billion
- Net income: US$8.4 billion
- Profit margin: 8.6%
- Earnings per share (EPS): US$10.49
Year-over-year comparison (2021-2022):
- Revenue increased by 9.7%
- Net income increased by 12.4%
- EPS increased by 13.4%
Cash flow statement and balance sheet health:
- Strong cash flow from operations: US$12.3 billion (2022)
- Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Pays a quarterly dividend, with a current dividend yield of 2.41% (as of October 26, 2023).
- Has increased dividends for 13 consecutive years.
Shareholder returns:
- 1-year total return: 25.2%
- 5-year total return: 131.4%
- 10-year total return: 537.7%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Revenue and earnings have grown consistently over the past decade.
- E-commerce boom has driven package delivery demand.
Future growth projections:
- Projected to grow revenue at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2023 to 2028.
- Investments in technology and automation expected to drive efficiency and profitability.
Growth initiatives:
- Expanding international presence, particularly in Asia.
- Developing new services for e-commerce and healthcare sectors.
- Investing in automation and robotics to improve efficiency.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- Increasing demand for e-commerce delivery.
- Growing focus on sustainability and environmental impact.
- Technological advancements in automation and robotics.
Position within the industry:
- UPS is a market leader with a strong brand reputation and extensive network.
- Adapting to industry trends through investments in technology and new services.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- FedEx Corporation (FDX)
- DHL International GmbH
- United States Postal Service (USPS)
Market share comparison:
- UPS: 49.9%
- FedEx: 37.9%
- DHL: 7.7%
- USPS: 4.3%
Competitive advantages:
- Extensive global network and infrastructure.
- Strong brand reputation and customer loyalty.
- Advanced technology and automation capabilities.
Competitive disadvantages:
- High labor costs and potential unionization challenges.
- Dependence on e-commerce growth and economic conditions.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Managing labor costs and potential unionization issues.
- Keeping up with technological advancements and competition.
- Navigating global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and emerging economies.
- Developing innovative logistics and delivery solutions.
- Partnering with e-commerce and technology companies.
Recent Acquisitions (past 3 years):
- Roadie (2021): On-demand, last-mile delivery platform for oversized items.
- Coyote Logistics (2015): Truckload brokerage services.
- i-Parcel (2014): European parcel delivery company.
- These acquisitions aimed to expand UPS's capabilities in last-mile delivery, truckload brokerage, and international markets, aligning with the company's growth strategy.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI-based rating: 8.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Leading market position with a strong brand reputation and extensive network.
- Investments in technology and automation driving efficiency and profitability.
- Potential for future growth in e-commerce and international markets.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- UPS Investor Relations website
- Yahoo Finance
- Statista
- SEC filings
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is important to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About United Parcel Service Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Atlanta, GA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1999-11-10 | CEO & Director | Ms. Carol B. Tome |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.ups.com |
Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees | 500000 |
Headquaters | Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Ms. Carol B. Tome | ||
Website | https://www.ups.com | ||
Website | https://www.ups.com | ||
Full time employees | 500000 |
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery company, provides transportation and delivery, distribution, contract logistics, ocean freight, airfreight, customs brokerage, and insurance services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery of express letters, documents, small packages, and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides guaranteed day and time-definite international shipping services comprising guaranteed time-definite express options in Europe, Asia, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. The company also offers international air and ocean freight forwarding, post-sales, and mail and consulting services. In addition, it provides truckload and customs brokerage services; supply chain solutions to the healthcare and life sciences industries; fulfillment and transportation management services; and integrated supply chain and shipment insurance solutions. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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