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Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/27/2025: ULCC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 31.91% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.22 | 1Y Target Price 9.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.22 | 1Y Target Price 9.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3038569 | Beta 2.38 | 52 Weeks Range 2.79 - 10.26 | Updated Date 03/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.79 - 10.26 | Updated Date 03/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.37 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.25% | Operating Margin (TTM) -3.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.1% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.22 | Forward PE 7.51 | Enterprise Value 4923326973 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 |
Enterprise Value 4923326973 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.3 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 30.39 | Shares Outstanding 227248000 | Shares Floating 55369091 |
Shares Outstanding 227248000 | Shares Floating 55369091 | ||
Percent Insiders 46.48 | Percent Institutions 51.43 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.17 | Target Price 7.71 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 9 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., the parent company of Frontier Airlines, was founded in 1994. It initially focused on serving smaller cities in the western United States. It has evolved to become an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) serving destinations throughout the US, Mexico, and the Caribbean.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger Air Transportation: Provides scheduled passenger air transportation services. This is the primary revenue-generating segment, focusing on offering low fares and optional services for a fee.
- Ancillary Revenue: Generates revenue through ancillary services, such as baggage fees, seat selection, priority boarding, and onboard sales of food and beverages.
Leadership and Structure
Barry Biffle serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction and corporate governance. Frontier operates with a functional organizational structure focusing on efficiency and cost control.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Low-Fare Flights: Frontier's primary offering is low-fare air travel. While exact market share fluctuates, Frontier holds a significant portion of the ULCC market. Competitors include Spirit Airlines (SAVE) and Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT). Revenue from this product is most of the total revenue of the company.
- Optional Services: Frontier generates substantial revenue from optional services such as baggage fees, seat assignments, and priority boarding. These services contribute a notable portion to total revenue. Competitors offer similar services, impacting the specific market share of each.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and subject to fluctuations in fuel prices, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. The ULCC segment is growing, driven by price-sensitive travelers.
Positioning
Frontier is positioned as an ultra-low-cost carrier, emphasizing low base fares and a la carte pricing. Its competitive advantages include a cost-efficient operating model and focus on leisure travelers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for air travel is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Frontier's ULCC strategy aims to capture a larger share of price-sensitive leisure travelers within this market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low operating costs
- Strong focus on ancillary revenue
- Growing route network
- Efficient fleet
Weaknesses
- Customer service reputation
- High reliance on ancillary revenue
- Sensitivity to fuel price fluctuations
- Labor relations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Increased demand for leisure travel
- Strategic partnerships
- Adoption of new technologies for fuel efficiency
Threats
- Intense competition from other airlines
- Economic downturns reducing travel demand
- Rising fuel costs
- Regulatory changes impacting the industry
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SAVE
- ALGT
- JBLU
- LUV
Competitive Landscape
Frontier competes primarily on price, offering low fares but charging extra for many services. It faces intense competition from other ULCCs and legacy carriers.
Major Acquisitions
Spirit Airlines (attempted)
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition was aimed at creating a larger ULCC to compete more effectively with major airlines, but it was ultimately unsuccessful.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Frontier has experienced growth through route expansion and increased passenger volume.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are subject to analyst estimates and market conditions. Analysts consider route expansion, cost control, and ancillary revenue growth when making projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet modernization with Airbus A320neo family aircraft and expansion into new markets.
Summary
Frontier Airlines operates as an ultra-low-cost carrier, leveraging low fares and ancillary revenue. While it benefits from a cost-efficient model and growing leisure travel demand, it faces challenges like customer service concerns and fluctuating fuel prices. The airline should focus on improving customer satisfaction and diversifying its revenue streams to maintain its competitive edge. Successful route expansion and effective cost management will be crucial for its future success.
Similar Companies
- SAVE
- ALGT
- UAL
- DAL
- AAL
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Airline Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-01 | CEO & Director Mr. Barry L. Biffle | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 7913 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Full time employees 7913 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as website, mobile app, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2024, it had a fleet of 159 Airbus single-aisle aircrafts. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
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