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Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)UGP

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
$4.12
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-7.21%
WEAK BUY
upturn advisory
BUY since 22 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: UGP (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY
Profit: 3.07%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 42
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY
Profit: 3.07%
Avg. Invested days: 42
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.57B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.11
1Y Target Price 5.16
Dividends yield (FY) 2.99%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.46
Volume (30-day avg) 1090468
Beta 1.05
52 Weeks Range 3.31 - 6.19
Updated Date 09/18/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.57B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.11
1Y Target Price 5.16
Dividends yield (FY) 2.99%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.46
Volume (30-day avg) 1090468
Beta 1.05
52 Weeks Range 3.31 - 6.19
Updated Date 09/18/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.2%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.67%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.86%
Return on Equity (TTM) 21.5%

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.11
Forward PE 9.71
Enterprise Value 6573570054
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.16
Shares Outstanding 1090850048
Shares Floating 702901071
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 4.78
Trailing PE 9.11
Forward PE 9.71
Enterprise Value 6573570054
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.16
Shares Outstanding 1090850048
Shares Floating 702901071
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 4.78

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 3.7
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3
Target Price 3.7
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background: Founded in 1936 as Ultragaz, Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazilian holding company with a diversified portfolio across the energy, gas distribution, and specialty chemical sectors. Initially focused on LPG distribution, the company expanded into other areas, including fuel distribution (Ipiranga), specialty chemicals (Oxiteno), and the ownership of Ultracargo (logistics) and Extrafarma (pharmacies).

Core business areas:

  • Fuel Distribution: Through Ipiranga, the company operates the largest gas station network in Brazil, offering fuels, lubricants, and convenience store products.
  • Gas Distribution: Ultragaz is the leading LPG distributor in Brazil, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Specialty Chemicals: Oxiteno is a leading producer of surfactants and specialty chemicals in Brazil and Latin America, serving various industries like cosmetics, personal care, and cleaning products.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

  • CEO: Frederico Curado
  • CFO: Rodrigo Pizzinatto
  • Chairman of the Board: Pedro Wongtschowski
  • The company follows a decentralized structure, with each subsidiary operating independently but aligning with the overall strategic direction of Ultrapar.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Top Products: Fuels (gasoline, diesel, ethanol), LPG, Surfactants, Specialty chemicals
  • Market Share:
    • Fuel Distribution: 21% market share in Brazil (largest network)
    • Gas Distribution: Leading LPG distributor with 26% market share
    • Specialty Chemicals: Oxiteno holds the second position in Brazil with 14% market share
  • Comparison with competitors: Ipiranga holds a strong competitive edge in the fuel distribution market, while Ultragaz faces increasing competition from smaller regional players. Oxiteno competes with global chemical giants but differentiates itself through strong regional expertise and customer relationships.

Total Addressable Market:

  • Fuel Distribution: The Brazilian fuel market is estimated at $282.7 billion.
  • Gas Distribution: The LPG market in Brazil is valued at $4.9 billion.
  • Specialty Chemicals: The global market for surfactants and specialty chemicals is estimated at $283.7 billion, with Latin America representing a significant growth area.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: $47.3 billion (2022)
  • Net Income: $1.9 billion (2022)
  • Profit Margins:
    • Gross Profit Margin: 17.9%
    • Operating Profit Margin: 11.1%
    • Net Profit Margin: 4.0%
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $1.91 (2022)
  • Year-over-Year Growth: Revenue increased by 38% in 2022 compared to 2021. Net income, however, decreased by 19% due to higher expenses and taxes.
  • Cash Flow: Strong operating cash flow of $5.7 billion in 2022.
  • Balance Sheet: Solid financial position with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: Ultrapar has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of 2.1%. The dividend payout ratio is around 40%.
  • Shareholder Returns: Over the past 5 years, shareholders have experienced a total return of 65%, outperforming the broader market.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Ultrapar has witnessed steady growth over the past 5-10 years, fueled by expansion in the fuel distribution and specialty chemical segments.
  • Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect moderate growth in the coming years, driven by rising fuel demand and increasing penetration of specialty chemicals in Latin America.
  • Growth Initiatives: The company is focusing on expanding its retail network, developing new products, and exploring strategic acquisitions to drive future growth.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: The Brazilian energy sector is experiencing significant changes due to the energy transition and increasing environmental concerns. The demand for cleaner fuels and renewable energy sources is rising.
  • Ultrapar's Positioning: Ultrapar is adapting to these changes by investing in renewable energy projects and expanding its portfolio of cleaner fuels like biofuels. The company is also focusing on improving energy efficiency and reducing its carbon footprint.

Competitors:

  • Fuel Distribution: Shell (RDS.A), Petrobras (PBR), Raizen (RAIZ)
  • Gas Distribution: Liquigas (LIQ), Copagaz (COGZ3)
  • Specialty Chemicals: BASF (BAS), Clariant (CLN), Croda International (CRDA)

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

  • Challenges: Economic slowdown in Brazil, rising inflation, and competition from global players.
  • Opportunities: Growing demand for cleaner fuels, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2021: Acquisition of Extrafarma, a leading pharmacy chain in Brazil, for $764 million. This acquisition strengthens Ultrapar’s presence in the healthcare sector and provides opportunities for cross-selling its fuel and convenience store products.
  • 2020: Acquisition of Grupo Zema, a distributor of fuels and lubricants in northeastern Brazil, for $98 million. This acquisition expands Ultrapar’s geographic reach and strengthens its position in the region.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7.5 out of 10

Justification:

  • Strengths: Strong financial performance, consistent dividend payout, leading market positions in key segments, and active investments in growth initiatives.
  • Weaknesses: Exposure to economic fluctuations in Brazil and increasing competition from global players.
  • Opportunities: Growing demand for cleaner fuels, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.

Disclaimer: This information is for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Sources:

  • Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR website
  • Bloomberg
  • Reuters
  • Yahoo Finance
  • MarketWatch

Note: This overview is based on information available as of November 1, 2023.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR

Exchange NYSE Headquaters São Paulo, SP, Brazil
IPO Launch date 1999-10-07 CEO, Vice Chairman & Member of the Executive Board Mr. Marcos Marinho Lutz
Sector Energy Website https://www.ultra.com.br
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Full time employees 10126
Headquaters São Paulo, SP, Brazil
CEO, Vice Chairman & Member of the Executive Board Mr. Marcos Marinho Lutz
Website https://www.ultra.com.br
Website https://www.ultra.com.br
Full time employees 10126

Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy and infrastructure business in Brazil. The company distributes liquefied petroleum gas to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers. It also operates Stella, a technology platform that connects renewable electric power generators and customers; and transports compressed natural gas. In addition, the company is involved in the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles, and lubricants; and holds AmPm convenience stores and provides Jet Oil lubricant services. Further, it operates liquid bulk storage terminals. Additionally, the company offers digital payments services, combining the abastece aí app and the loyalty program Km de Vantagens. It also exports its products and services to customers in Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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