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Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)UGP
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: UGP (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Profit: 3.07% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 42 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Profit: 3.07% | Avg. Invested days: 42 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.57B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.11 | 1Y Target Price 5.16 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.46 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1090468 | Beta 1.05 |
52 Weeks Range 3.31 - 6.19 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.57B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.11 | 1Y Target Price 5.16 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.46 | Volume (30-day avg) 1090468 | Beta 1.05 |
52 Weeks Range 3.31 - 6.19 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.5% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.11 | Forward PE 9.71 |
Enterprise Value 6573570054 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.16 |
Shares Outstanding 1090850048 | Shares Floating 702901071 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 4.78 |
Trailing PE 9.11 | Forward PE 9.71 | Enterprise Value 6573570054 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.16 | Shares Outstanding 1090850048 | Shares Floating 702901071 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 4.78 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 3.7 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 6 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3 | Target Price 3.7 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Founded in 1936 as Ultragaz, Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazilian holding company with a diversified portfolio across the energy, gas distribution, and specialty chemical sectors. Initially focused on LPG distribution, the company expanded into other areas, including fuel distribution (Ipiranga), specialty chemicals (Oxiteno), and the ownership of Ultracargo (logistics) and Extrafarma (pharmacies).
Core business areas:
- Fuel Distribution: Through Ipiranga, the company operates the largest gas station network in Brazil, offering fuels, lubricants, and convenience store products.
- Gas Distribution: Ultragaz is the leading LPG distributor in Brazil, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
- Specialty Chemicals: Oxiteno is a leading producer of surfactants and specialty chemicals in Brazil and Latin America, serving various industries like cosmetics, personal care, and cleaning products.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Frederico Curado
- CFO: Rodrigo Pizzinatto
- Chairman of the Board: Pedro Wongtschowski
- The company follows a decentralized structure, with each subsidiary operating independently but aligning with the overall strategic direction of Ultrapar.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Fuels (gasoline, diesel, ethanol), LPG, Surfactants, Specialty chemicals
- Market Share:
- Fuel Distribution: 21% market share in Brazil (largest network)
- Gas Distribution: Leading LPG distributor with 26% market share
- Specialty Chemicals: Oxiteno holds the second position in Brazil with 14% market share
- Comparison with competitors: Ipiranga holds a strong competitive edge in the fuel distribution market, while Ultragaz faces increasing competition from smaller regional players. Oxiteno competes with global chemical giants but differentiates itself through strong regional expertise and customer relationships.
Total Addressable Market:
- Fuel Distribution: The Brazilian fuel market is estimated at $282.7 billion.
- Gas Distribution: The LPG market in Brazil is valued at $4.9 billion.
- Specialty Chemicals: The global market for surfactants and specialty chemicals is estimated at $283.7 billion, with Latin America representing a significant growth area.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $47.3 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $1.9 billion (2022)
- Profit Margins:
- Gross Profit Margin: 17.9%
- Operating Profit Margin: 11.1%
- Net Profit Margin: 4.0%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $1.91 (2022)
- Year-over-Year Growth: Revenue increased by 38% in 2022 compared to 2021. Net income, however, decreased by 19% due to higher expenses and taxes.
- Cash Flow: Strong operating cash flow of $5.7 billion in 2022.
- Balance Sheet: Solid financial position with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Ultrapar has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of 2.1%. The dividend payout ratio is around 40%.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past 5 years, shareholders have experienced a total return of 65%, outperforming the broader market.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Ultrapar has witnessed steady growth over the past 5-10 years, fueled by expansion in the fuel distribution and specialty chemical segments.
- Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect moderate growth in the coming years, driven by rising fuel demand and increasing penetration of specialty chemicals in Latin America.
- Growth Initiatives: The company is focusing on expanding its retail network, developing new products, and exploring strategic acquisitions to drive future growth.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The Brazilian energy sector is experiencing significant changes due to the energy transition and increasing environmental concerns. The demand for cleaner fuels and renewable energy sources is rising.
- Ultrapar's Positioning: Ultrapar is adapting to these changes by investing in renewable energy projects and expanding its portfolio of cleaner fuels like biofuels. The company is also focusing on improving energy efficiency and reducing its carbon footprint.
Competitors:
- Fuel Distribution: Shell (RDS.A), Petrobras (PBR), Raizen (RAIZ)
- Gas Distribution: Liquigas (LIQ), Copagaz (COGZ3)
- Specialty Chemicals: BASF (BAS), Clariant (CLN), Croda International (CRDA)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges: Economic slowdown in Brazil, rising inflation, and competition from global players.
- Opportunities: Growing demand for cleaner fuels, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Acquisition of Extrafarma, a leading pharmacy chain in Brazil, for $764 million. This acquisition strengthens Ultrapar’s presence in the healthcare sector and provides opportunities for cross-selling its fuel and convenience store products.
- 2020: Acquisition of Grupo Zema, a distributor of fuels and lubricants in northeastern Brazil, for $98 million. This acquisition expands Ultrapar’s geographic reach and strengthens its position in the region.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Strengths: Strong financial performance, consistent dividend payout, leading market positions in key segments, and active investments in growth initiatives.
- Weaknesses: Exposure to economic fluctuations in Brazil and increasing competition from global players.
- Opportunities: Growing demand for cleaner fuels, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions.
Disclaimer: This information is for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Sources:
- Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR website
- Bloomberg
- Reuters
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
Note: This overview is based on information available as of November 1, 2023.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | São Paulo, SP, Brazil |
IPO Launch date | 1999-10-07 | CEO, Vice Chairman & Member of the Executive Board | Mr. Marcos Marinho Lutz |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.ultra.com.br |
Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Full time employees | 10126 |
Headquaters | São Paulo, SP, Brazil | ||
CEO, Vice Chairman & Member of the Executive Board | Mr. Marcos Marinho Lutz | ||
Website | https://www.ultra.com.br | ||
Website | https://www.ultra.com.br | ||
Full time employees | 10126 |
Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy and infrastructure business in Brazil. The company distributes liquefied petroleum gas to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers. It also operates Stella, a technology platform that connects renewable electric power generators and customers; and transports compressed natural gas. In addition, the company is involved in the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles, and lubricants; and holds AmPm convenience stores and provides Jet Oil lubricant services. Further, it operates liquid bulk storage terminals. Additionally, the company offers digital payments services, combining the abastece aí app and the loyalty program Km de Vantagens. It also exports its products and services to customers in Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
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