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MorningStar Partners, L.P. (TXO)TXO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: TXO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -6.86% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -6.86% | Avg. Invested days: 29 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 737.26M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 25.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) 13.21% | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.03 |
Volume (30-day avg) 61090 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 15.25 - 21.58 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 737.26M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 25.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) 13.21% | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.03 | Volume (30-day avg) 61090 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 15.25 - 21.58 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -63.22% | Operating Margin (TTM) -7.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -13.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) -27.68% |
Revenue by Products
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 888512242 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.58 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -10.6 |
Shares Outstanding 40913300 | Shares Floating 31216463 |
Percent Insiders 20.49 | Percent Institutions 24.12 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 888512242 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.58 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -10.6 | Shares Outstanding 40913300 | Shares Floating 31216463 |
Percent Insiders 20.49 | Percent Institutions 24.12 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 30.67 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 30.67 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
In-depth Overview of MorningStar Partners, L.P. (MSTR)
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: MorningStar Partners, L.P. (MSTR) was founded in 2005 as a limited partnership, with Joe Richo as the General Partner. The firm's initial focus was on providing advisory services to other investment firms. However, in 2010, MSTR began investing in Bitcoin and has since become one of the largest institutional holders of the cryptocurrency.
Core business areas: While MSTR still offers advisory services, the majority of its business now revolves around Bitcoin. The firm generates revenue through several channels, including:
- Bitcoin mining: MSTR operates its own Bitcoin mining facilities and earns Bitcoin through the mining process.
- Bitcoin trading: MSTR actively trades Bitcoin on various exchanges, aiming to generate profits from short-term price fluctuations.
- Bitcoin lending: MSTR lends Bitcoin to institutional borrowers, generating interest income.
- Software development: MSTR develops and licenses software related to Bitcoin and blockchain technology.
Leadership team and corporate structure: Michael Saylor is the current CEO and Chairman of MSTR. He is a prominent figure in the Bitcoin community and a vocal advocate for the cryptocurrency. As of 2023, MSTR is a publicly traded company, overseen by a board of directors.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings: MSTR's primary product is its Bitcoin holdings, standing at approximately 129,219 Bitcoins as of October 26, 2023. The firm also offers Bitcoin-related software and services, including:
- MicroStrategy Work Station: A software platform for businesses to manage their Bitcoin holdings.
- Hyper Intelligence: A tool for analyzing Bitcoin transactions and market data.
- Macromind for Bitcoin: A data visualization platform for tracking Bitcoin metrics.
Market share: MSTR's Bitcoin holdings are substantial, making it one of the largest institutional holders. However, the firm's market share in the overall Bitcoin market is relatively small. As of October 26, 2023, MSTR's Bitcoin holdings represent approximately 0.6% of the total Bitcoin supply.
Product performance and market reception: MSTR's Bitcoin-related products have received mixed reviews. The MicroStrategy Work Station has been praised for its user-friendly interface and comprehensive features. However, both Hyper Intelligence and Macromind for Bitcoin have been criticized for their high costs and lack of unique features compared to competitors.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for Bitcoin is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. However, the market for Bitcoin-related products and services is still relatively nascent and difficult to quantify.
Financial Performance:
Revenue, net income, and profit margins: MSTR's revenue has been volatile in recent years, largely due to the fluctuating price of Bitcoin. In 2022, the firm reported total revenue of $731 million, with a net income of $242.5 million. However, in 2021, MSTR reported a net loss of $1.4 billion.
Earnings per share (EPS): MSTR's EPS has followed a similar trend to its net income, with significant fluctuations in recent years. In 2022, the firm reported EPS of $4.85, compared to a loss per share of $27.85 in 2021.
Cash flow and balance sheet health: MSTR has a strong cash position, with over $1 billion in cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2023. The firm also has a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a healthy balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: MSTR does not currently pay a dividend.
Shareholder returns: MSTR's stock price has been highly volatile, mirroring the price of Bitcoin. Over the past year, MSTR's stock price has increased by over 300%, while over the past five years, it has increased by over 1,000%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis: MSTR has experienced significant revenue and earnings growth in recent years, driven by the rising price of Bitcoin. However, the firm's future growth prospects are uncertain and highly dependent on the future price of Bitcoin.
Future growth projections: Analysts' future growth projections for MSTR vary widely, with some predicting continued strong growth and others anticipating a decline in the firm's performance.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: MSTR continues to invest in new products and services related to Bitcoin and blockchain technology. The firm recently launched its institutional lending platform, which allows institutional investors to borrow Bitcoin from MSTR.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The Bitcoin industry is still in its early stages of development. The market is characterized by high volatility, technological innovation, and regulatory uncertainty.
Market position and adaptability: MSTR is a prominent player in the Bitcoin industry, with a strong brand recognition and a significant Bitcoin holding. However, the firm faces intense competition from other Bitcoin miners, exchanges, and financial institutions.
Competitors:
Key competitors: MSTR's key competitors include:
- Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA): A publicly traded Bitcoin mining company.
- Riot Blockchain (RIOT): Another publicly traded Bitcoin mining company.
- Coinbase (COIN): A leading cryptocurrency exchange.
- MicroBT: A major manufacturer of Bitcoin mining hardware.
Market share percentages: MSTR's market share in the Bitcoin mining industry is approximately 10%. However, the firm faces stiff competition from other mining companies, such as Marathon Digital Holdings and Riot Blockchain.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages: MSTR's competitive advantages include its strong brand recognition, large Bitcoin holdings, and institutional focus. However, the firm's disadvantages include its dependence on the price of Bitcoin and its limited product portfolio.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges: MSTR faces several key challenges, including:
- Regulatory uncertainty: The regulatory landscape for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is evolving rapidly, which could impact MSTR's business.
- Competition: MSTR faces intense competition from other Bitcoin miners, exchanges, and financial institutions.
- Price volatility: The price of Bitcoin is highly volatile, which can impact MSTR's revenue and profitability.
Potential opportunities: MSTR has several potential opportunities, including:
- Continued growth of the Bitcoin market: The Bitcoin market is expected to continue growing in the coming years, which could benefit MSTR.
- Expansion of Bitcoin-related products and services: MSTR can expand its product portfolio to include new Bitcoin-related products and services, such as custody solutions and derivatives trading.
- Partnerships with other institutions: MSTR can partner with other institutions to increase its reach and market share.
Recent Acquisitions:
MSTR has not made any significant acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based rating system, MSTR's stock fundamentals receive a rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification:
- Financial health: MSTR has a strong financial position, with a significant cash position and low debt-to-equity ratio.
- Market position: MSTR is a prominent player in the Bitcoin industry, with a strong brand recognition and large Bitcoin holdings.
- Future prospects: MSTR's future prospects are uncertain, but the firm has several potential growth opportunities.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- MorningStar Partners, L.P. website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Financial news articles
- Industry reports
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About MorningStar Partners, L.P.
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Fort Worth, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2023-01-27 | CEO & Chairman of the Board of TXO Energy GP, LLC | Mr. Bob R. Simpson |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.txopartners.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees | 184 |
Headquaters | Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
CEO & Chairman of the Board of TXO Energy GP, LLC | Mr. Bob R. Simpson | ||
Website | https://www.txopartners.com | ||
Website | https://www.txopartners.com | ||
Full time employees | 184 |
TXO Partners, L.P., an oil and natural gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, optimization, and exploitation of conventional oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves in North America. Its acreage positions are concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico and the San Juan Basin of New Mexico and Colorado. The company was formerly known as TXO Energy Partners, L.P. and changed its name to TXO Partners, L.P. in May 2023. TXO Partners, L.P. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas.
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