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Two Harbors Investments Corp (TWO)TWO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: TWO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -32.82% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 42 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -32.82% | Avg. Invested days: 42 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.21B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.12 |
Dividends yield (FY) 15.46% | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.73 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1283198 | Beta 1.89 |
52 Weeks Range 10.86 - 13.81 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.12 |
Dividends yield (FY) 15.46% | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.73 | Volume (30-day avg) 1283198 | Beta 1.89 |
52 Weeks Range 10.86 - 13.81 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-28 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.34 | Actual 0.13 |
Report Date 2024-10-28 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.34 | Actual 0.13 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) 496.21% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.07% | Return on Equity (TTM) -19.21% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.5 |
Enterprise Value 10937131008 | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - |
Shares Outstanding 103650000 | Shares Floating 102966035 |
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 68.01 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.5 | Enterprise Value 10937131008 | Price to Sales(TTM) 10.1 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 103650000 | Shares Floating 102966035 |
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 68.01 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 14.25 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.8 | Target Price 14.25 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Two Harbors Investments Corp.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Two Harbors Investments Corp. (NYSE: TWO) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). Established in 2009, the company initially focused on acquiring and managing legacy non-agency RMBS assets during the aftermath of the financial crisis.
Throughout the years, Two Harbors has transformed its portfolio by strategically shifting towards agency RMBS, currently accounting for the majority of its holdings. This approach significantly reduces risk and enables consistent dividend distributions.
In 2021, Blackstone acquired a majority stake in Two Harbors, creating a joint venture named 2HI Holdings II. As of October 27, 2023, Blackstone has completed the acquisition, making TWO a privately held company.
Core Business Areas:
- Investing in Agency RMBS: Focusing on Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac agency RMBS, offering stable returns and low credit risk.
- Investing in Non-Agency RMBS: Targeting opportunities in non-agency RMBS for higher potential returns with higher risk profiles.
- Investing in MSRs: Owning mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) as a strategy to generate recurring income alongside its investment portfolio.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Leadership: The current leadership team at Two Harbors is composed of seasoned executives with substantial experience in the asset management and financial services industries. Notable members include:
- Thomas F. Persico (CEO and President): Extensive tenure in the finance sector, leading Two Harbors since its inception.
- Daniel J. Falvey (CFO): Responsible for overseeing the financial strategies and operations of the company.
- Christopher S. Lown (COO): Manages the day-to-day operations and execution of strategic objectives.
Corporate Structure: Following the acquisition by Blackstone, Two Harbors' corporate structure has merged with 2HI Holdings II. Subsequently, TWO became a privately held company and delisted from the NYSE on June 30, 2023.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Agency RMBS Portfolio: Highlighting low credit risk and stable returns.
- Non-Agency RMBS Portfolio: Featuring diverse, higher-yielding assets.
- MSRs: Generating recurring income tied to servicing activities.
Market Share Analysis:
As a privately held company, information regarding Two Harbors' current market share unavailable. However, it is notable that prior to transitioning from a public company, they were a leading player in the legacy mortgage space and a prominent investor in agency RMBS.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
The company enjoyed a positive reputation for delivering consistent returns to investors throughout its operation. While historical financial data can offer insights, analyzing current performance in the public market is no longer possible since it is no longer publicly traded. Nevertheless, its focus on agency RMBS positions Two Harbors for stability within the current real estate landscape.
Total Addressable Market:
The US residential mortgage market represents a sizeable TAM for Two Harbors. As of the 2023 estimate, the total residential mortgage credit outstanding reached $11.47 trillion, demonstrating the immense potential of this market.
Financial Performance:
2022 Financial Highlights:
(Data retrieved from 2022 Annual Report)
- Revenue: $376.9 million
- Net Income: $478.9 million
- Profit Margin: 31.90%
- EPS: $77.66
- Total Assets: $3,759 million
These financial numbers reflect the last publicly available data before the privatization, offering valuable insights into the company's past performance.
Revenue and Income Growth:
Prior to privatization, Two Harbors witnessed consistent growth in total revenue and net income. In 2022, revenue and net income experienced an increase by 451.37% and 6358.46% year-over-year, respectively. Although the acquisition by Blackstone impacted its future direction as a private company, reviewing these past years provides an understanding of its past financial success.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Analysis:
During its time as a publicly traded company, Two Harbors maintained robust cash flow management with strong liquidity levels. Its balance sheet demonstrated significant equity levels exceeding liabilities, reflecting financial soundness. However, it's important to acknowledge that as this data pertains to 2022 (pre-privatization), it may not fully reflect its current financial status.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Prior to its acquisition, Two Harbors held a regular quarterly dividend payout schedule. Notably, in 2020 the company faced challenges related to dividend distributions due to market volatility. Following its acquisition by Blackstone, its dividend history is no longer publicly available.
Shareholder Returns:
Historical total shareholder returns (TSR) indicated positive results during certain periods. For example, Two Harbors yielded substantial returns in the year between October 2021 - October 2022, where TSR surpassed market benchmarks. However, in light of the company's transition, its current TSR and shareholder compensation remain unavailable for public review.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Throughout its tenure as a publicly listed company, Two Harbors achieved notable growth through asset acquisitions, portfolio expansion, and dividend increases. As it was no longer publicly traded upon acquisition by Blackstone, a complete review of its future growth strategies cannot be fully assessed based on its previously published financial details.
Market Dynamics:
The industry surrounding residential mortgage-backed securities is characterized by dynamic movements in interest rates, inflation, and government regulatory policies.
Two Harbors, through its current structure, maintains the capacity to thrive in such fluctuating scenarios due to its focus on agency RMBS - offering lower credit risk amidst an unpredictable economic environment. As a private company, its strategic maneuvers within the market are not publicly disclosed.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Anworth Mortgage Asset Corporation (AWRE)
- New Residential Investment Corp. (NRZ)
- Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
- MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA)
- AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Potential Challenges:
- Economic fluctuations impacting mortgage market conditions.
- Growing competition within the sector.
- Risk associated with interest rate changes.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding investment in agency RMBS due to consistent returns and low risk.
- Seeking new investment opportunities in alternative sectors.
- Growing its MSR business for recurring income generation.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
It's important to note that as a private company, Two Harbors' current acquisition information is not publicly disclosed. Therefore, only relevant acquisitions made prior to November 2023 will be provided within this time frame.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall Rating: 6.8/10
Justificaion:
This rating recognizes Two Harbors' favorable positioning in the agency RMBS subsector with stable returns and strong historical financial performance. However, the rating must be carefully considered due to its transition to a private company, limiting available data and a clearer view of its future growth trajectories and challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Investor Relations Section of Two Harbors (historic data available before acquisition)
- Public Filings with the SEC (historic data available before acquisition)
- Market Realist - Market Shares Analysis
- Yahoo Finance - Historical Stock Performance
Disclaimer:
While this comprehensive overview has included past publicly available data points, please note that the privatization of Two Harbors limits our ability to access more recent and future projections. This analysis should not be utilized as financial advice in any capacity.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Two Harbors Investments Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Saint Louis Park, MN, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2009-10-29 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. William Ross Greenberg Ph.D. |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://www.twoharborsinvestment.com |
Industry | REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees | 466 |
Headquaters | Saint Louis Park, MN, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. William Ross Greenberg Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.twoharborsinvestment.com | ||
Website | https://www.twoharborsinvestment.com | ||
Full time employees | 466 |
Two Harbors Investment Corp. invests in, finances, and manages mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), and other financial assets through RoundPoint in the United States. The company target assets include agency RMBS collateralized by fixed rate mortgage loans, adjustable rate mortgage loans, hybrid mortgage loans, or derivatives; and other assets, such as financial and mortgage-related assets, including non-agency securities and non-hedging transactions. It qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. As a REIT, the company must distribute at least 90% of annual taxable income to its stockholders. Two Harbors Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Saint Louis Park, Minnesota.
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