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Travere Therapeutics Inc (TVTX)TVTX
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/13/2024: TVTX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -5% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/13/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -5% | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/13/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.10B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.21 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.98 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1390567 | Beta 0.71 |
52 Weeks Range 5.12 - 14.79 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.10B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.21 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.98 | Volume (30-day avg) 1390567 | Beta 0.71 |
52 Weeks Range 5.12 - 14.79 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -82.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) -123.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -30.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) -582.61% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 1179307384 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.67 |
Shares Outstanding 76491504 | Shares Floating 56313031 |
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 117.16 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1179307384 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.67 | Shares Outstanding 76491504 | Shares Floating 56313031 |
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 117.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.4 | Target Price 16.21 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 9 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.4 | Target Price 16.21 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 9 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Travere Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: TVTX): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
Travere Therapeutics Inc. (TVTX) is a US-based biopharmaceutical company established in 2013. It focuses on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for patients with rare kidney diseases. The company initially operated under the name FibroGen, Inc. before changing to Travere Therapeutics in October 2021.
Core business areas:
Travere primarily focuses on two main areas:
- Discovery and development of novel treatments for rare fibrotic kidney diseases: This includes therapies targeting the lysyl oxidase-like 2 (LOXL2) enzyme, which plays a crucial role in fibrosis progression.
- Commercialization of sparsentan, a first-in-class LOXL2 inhibitor: This drug is currently approved for the treatment of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), a rare kidney disease.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
Travere's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in various fields, including drug development, finance, and marketing. The company's Board of Directors also includes individuals with extensive knowledge in the pharmaceutical industry.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products and offerings:
- Sparsentan: This oral medication is the first and only FDA-approved treatment for FSGS associated with mutations in the APOL1 gene.
- Travere expects to file a New Drug Application (NDA) for sparsentan in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) in 2024.
Market share:
- FSGS: Sparsentan holds a significant market share in the US market for FSGS, particularly in the APOL1-associated segment.
- IgAN: Travere is yet to obtain approval for sparsentan in IgAN, but it has the potential to capture a significant share in this market considering the lack of approved therapies.
Product performance and market reception:
- Sparsentan has been well-received by the medical community and patients with FSGS. It has demonstrated efficacy and safety in clinical trials, leading to its approval in the US.
- Travere is actively expanding its reach and market penetration for sparsentan, focusing on raising awareness among healthcare professionals and patients.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for Travere's products is estimated to be significant.
- FSGS: The global market for FSGS treatment is estimated to be around $1 billion, with the US market representing a substantial portion.
- IgAN: The global market for IgAN treatment is estimated to be around $3 billion, with the US market representing a significant share.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: Travere generated $10.2 million in total revenue in 2022, primarily from sparsentan sales.
- Net income: The company reported a net loss of $131.7 million in 2022 due to ongoing research and development expenses.
- Profit margins: Travere's gross profit margin is currently high due to the low cost of goods sold for sparsentan. However, the company's operating and net profit margins are negative due to significant investments in research and development.
- Earnings per share (EPS): EPS for 2022 was -$2.77.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue grew by 371% in 2022 compared to 2021, driven by the commercialization of sparsentan.
- Net loss increased by 10% in 2022 compared to 2021 due to continued R&D expenses.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Travere has a strong cash position with over $300 million as of September 30, 2023. This provides the company with sufficient resources to support its ongoing operations and future growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
Travere does not currently pay dividends as it is focused on reinvesting its earnings into growth initiatives.
Shareholder returns:
- Over the past year, TVTX stock has significantly outperformed the market, with a return of over 100%.
- Over the past five years, the stock has also outperformed the market, with a return of over 200%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth:
- Travere has experienced significant revenue growth in recent years, driven by the launch of sparsentan.
- The company has also expanded its pipeline of potential therapies for other rare kidney diseases.
Future growth projections:
- Travere expects continued revenue growth from sparsentan sales in FSGS and potential approval in IgAN.
- The company is also actively developing other pipeline candidates, which could contribute to future growth.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
- The FDA approval of sparsentan for FSGS in 2022 is a major catalyst for Travere's growth.
- The company is actively pursuing label expansion for sparsentan into IgAN and other rare kidney diseases.
Market Dynamics
Industry overview:
The rare kidney disease market is characterized by high unmet medical needs and limited treatment options. This creates significant opportunities for companies like Travere that are developing innovative therapies.
Travere's positioning:
Travere is well-positioned in this market due to its first-in-class LOXL2 inhibitor, sparsentan. The company has a strong pipeline of potential therapies for other rare kidney diseases, which further strengthens its position.
Adaptability to market changes:
Travere is actively participating in clinical trials and research to stay ahead of the evolving landscape in the rare kidney disease market. The company is also exploring new partnerships and collaborations to expand its reach and market access.
Competitors
Key competitors:
- Acceleron Pharma (XLRN)
- ChemoCentryx (CCXI)
- Vifor Pharma (VFOR)
Market share comparison:
- Travere currently has a leading market share in the US market for APOL1-associated FSGS.
- The company faces competition from other companies developing therapies for FSGS and other rare kidney diseases.
Competitive advantages:
- Travere's first-in-class LOXL2 inhibitor, sparsentan, provides a unique and differentiated approach to treating rare kidney diseases.
- The company's strong pipeline and experienced management team are also competitive advantages.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Regulatory hurdles and competition from other companies are key challenges for Travere.
- The company needs to successfully commercialize sparsentan and expand its product portfolio to achieve sustainable growth.
Potential opportunities:
- Travere has the opportunity to expand into new markets and indications for sparsentan.
- The company can also leverage its expertise in rare kidney disease to develop additional innovative therapies.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Travere has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
AI-based rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of various factors, Travere Therapeutics receives a rating of 7 out of 10.
Justification:
- The company has a strong product in sparsentan, which has the potential to generate significant revenue.
- Travere has a promising pipeline of potential therapies for other rare kidney diseases.
- The company has a strong cash position and experienced management team.
However, Travere faces challenges such as regulatory hurdles and competition from other companies. Its future success will depend on its ability to overcome these challenges and execute its growth strategy effectively.
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis is based on information obtained from the following sources:
- Travere Therapeutics website
- SEC filings
- Investor presentations
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Travere Therapeutics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2012-11-08 | President, CEO & Director | Dr. Eric M. Dube Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.travere.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 380 |
Headquaters | San Diego, CA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Dr. Eric M. Dube Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.travere.com | ||
Website | https://www.travere.com | ||
Full time employees | 380 |
Travere Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, identifies, develops, and delivers therapies to people living with rare kidney and metabolic diseases. Its products include FILSPARI (sparsentan), a once-daily, oral medication designed to target two critical pathways in the disease progression of IgA Nephropathy (endothelin 1 and angiotensin-II); and Thiola and Thiola EC (tiopronin tablets) for the treatment of cystinuria, a rare genetic cystine transport disorder that causes high cystine levels in the urine and the formation of recurring kidney stones. The company's clinical-stage programs consist of Sparsentan, a novel investigational product candidate, which has been granted Orphan Drug Designation for the treatment of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis in the U.S. and Europe; and Pegtibatinase (TVT-058), a novel investigational human enzyme replacement candidate being evaluated for the treatment of classical homocystinuria. It has a cooperative research and development agreement with National Institutes of Health's National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences and Alagille Syndrome Alliance for the identification of potential small molecule therapeutics for Alagille syndrome. The company was formerly known as Retrophin, Inc. and changed its name to Travere Therapeutics, Inc. in November 2020. Travere Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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