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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)TSCO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: TSCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -3.38% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 48 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -3.38% | Avg. Invested days: 48 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 28.85B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.24 | 1Y Target Price 289.83 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.29 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1009085 | Beta 0.81 |
52 Weeks Range 194.54 - 307.64 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 28.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.24 | 1Y Target Price 289.83 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.61% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.29 | Volume (30-day avg) 1009085 | Beta 0.81 |
52 Weeks Range 194.54 - 307.64 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 2.24 | Actual 2.24 |
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 2.24 | Actual 2.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.36% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) 50.58% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.24 | Forward PE 24.1 |
Enterprise Value 34298391422 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.92 |
Shares Outstanding 106839000 | Shares Floating 106458654 |
Percent Insiders 0.28 | Percent Institutions 97.57 |
Trailing PE 26.24 | Forward PE 24.1 | Enterprise Value 34298391422 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.92 | Shares Outstanding 106839000 | Shares Floating 106458654 |
Percent Insiders 0.28 | Percent Institutions 97.57 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.7 | Target Price 233.17 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 11 | Hold 14 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.7 | Target Price 233.17 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 11 |
Hold 14 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Tractor Supply Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) was founded in 1938 as a mail-order catalog business selling tractor parts and supplies to farmers. Over time, the company expanded its product offerings and opened its first retail store in 1968. Today, TSCO is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States, operating over 1,900 stores in 49 states.
Core Business Areas:
TSCO serves the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers, and pet owners with a wide range of products, including:
- Livestock and pet supplies: feed, bedding, health products, fencing, and equipment.
- Hardware and tools: power tools, hand tools, building materials, and lawn and garden equipment.
- Clothing and footwear: workwear, casual clothing, and footwear for men, women, and children.
- Seasonal and lifestyle products: hunting and fishing gear, power sports equipment, and outdoor furniture.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
The current CEO of TSCO is Hal Lawton, who has been with the company since 2011. The executive team also includes:
- Chief Financial Officer: Kurt Barton
- Chief Operating Officer: Matthew Junker
- Chief Human Resources Officer: J.D. Herrington
- Chief Information Officer: Robert Crews
TSCO is a publicly traded company listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol TSCO.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Livestock and pet feed: TSCO is the largest seller of livestock and pet feed in the United States.
- Power tools: TSCO is a leading retailer of power tools in the rural market.
- Casual clothing and footwear: TSCO offers a wide selection of casual clothing and footwear for the whole family.
Market Share:
- Livestock and pet feed: TSCO has a market share of over 40% in the rural livestock and pet feed market.
- Power tools: TSCO has a market share of approximately 10% in the rural power tool market.
- Casual clothing and footwear: TSCO's market share in the rural casual clothing and footwear market is estimated to be around 5%.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
TSCO's products are generally well-received by customers. The company has a strong reputation for quality and value. TSCO's private label brands, such as 4Health and Tough1, are particularly popular with customers.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for TSCO is estimated to be over $100 billion. This includes the markets for livestock and pet supplies, hardware and tools, clothing and footwear, and seasonal and lifestyle products. The rural market, which is TSCO's primary focus, is expected to grow steadily in the coming years.
Financial Performance:
**Recent Financial Statements
For the fiscal year 2022, TSCO reported revenue of $13.47 billion, net income of $950 million, and earnings per share of $7.41. The company's gross profit margin was 35.5%, and its operating margin was 16.2%. TSCO generated $810 million in operating cash flow and ended the year with $677 million in cash and equivalents.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
TSCO's financial performance has been strong in recent years. Revenue increased by 15% in 2022, and net income increased by 24%. The company's earnings per share increased by 26%. TSCO's gross profit margin and operating margin have also both expanded in recent years.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
TSCO has a strong cash flow and balance sheet. The company has generated significant operating cash flow in recent years, and it has a low level of debt. TSCO's current ratio is 1.24, and its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.47.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
TSCO has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The company's current annual dividend is $2.88 per share, which represents a dividend yield of 1.8%. TSCO has increased its dividend every year for the past 10 years.
Shareholder Returns:
TSCO's stock has performed well in recent years. Over the past year, the stock has returned 25%, and over the past five years, the stock has returned 140%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
TSCO has a history of strong growth. The company's revenue has increased by an average of 10% per year over the past five years. TSCO's earnings per share have also grown by an average of 11% per year over the same period.
Future Projections:
Analysts expect TSCO to continue to grow in the coming years. The company is expected to benefit from the continued growth of the rural market and from its ongoing expansion into new product categories. TSCO is also expected to benefit from its growing e-commerce business.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
TSCO is investing in several growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding its store base: TSCO plans to open 60 to 70 new stores per year.
- Growing its e-commerce business: TSCO is investing in its website and mobile app to improve the customer experience.
- Expanding into new product categories: TSCO is introducing new products in categories such as outdoor power equipment and hunting and fishing gear.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The rural lifestyle retail industry is expected to grow steadily in the coming years. The industry is supported by the growing popularity of outdoor activities and the increasing number of people living in rural areas.
Competitive Landscape:
TSCO's main competitors include:
- The Home Depot (HD): The Home Depot is a large home improvement retailer that sells a wide range of products, including many of the same products that TSCO sells.
- Lowe's (LOW): Lowe's is another large home improvement retailer that is similar to The Home Depot.
- Rural King (RKING): Rural King is a smaller rural lifestyle retailer that is based in the Midwest.
- Menards (MNDL): Menards is a regional home improvement retailer that is based in the Midwest.
Competitive Advantages:
TSCO has several competitive advantages, including:
- Strong brand recognition: TSCO is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States.
- Extensive store network: TSCO has over 1,900 stores in 49 states.
- Strong relationships with suppliers: TSCO has long-standing relationships with many of its suppliers.
- Low cost structure: TSCO has a low cost structure compared to its competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition: TSCO faces stiff competition from other retailers.
- E-commerce: The growth of e-commerce could pose a challenge to TSCO's brick-and-mortar stores.
- Supply chain disruptions: TSCO's supply chain could be disrupted by factors such as weather events or trade wars.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing rural market: The rural market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years.
- E-commerce growth: TSCO could continue to grow its e-commerce business.
- Expansion into new markets: TSCO could expand into new markets or grow its online channels.
Recent Acquisitions:
2023:
- Orscheln Farm and Home: TSCO acquired Orscheln Farm and Home in early 2023 for $1.75 per share, adding 334 stores in 5 states. This strategically strengthens TSCO's midwestern footprint and positions it for increased success in the livestock industry.
2021:
- *Petsense: The acquisition of Petsense solidified TSCO's foothold in the pet retail market and expanded its footprint with 172 stores.
- Lone Star Ag This regional chain of 6 stores bolstered TSCO's agricultural presence in the Southwest.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of TSCO's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10.
This score is supported by the following factors:
- Strong financial performance: TSCO has a history of strong financial performance, with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Solid market position: TSCO is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States, with a strong brand and a loyal customer base.
- Growth opportunities: TSCO has several growth opportunities, including the continued growth of the rural market and the expansion of its e-commerce business.
However, TSCO also faces some challenges, such as competition from other retailers and the potential disruption of its supply chain.
Overall, TSCO is a well-positioned company with a strong track record and significant growth potential.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Tractor Supply Company's Annual Report 10-K, Form 10-Q, quarterly financial presentations
- CapitalIQ: https://www.capitaliq.com/CIQDotNet/
- Bloomberg Terminal and Data: https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC): https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Tractor Supply Company
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Brentwood, TN, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1994-02-17 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Harry A. Lawton III |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.tractorsupply.com |
Industry | Specialty Retail | Full time employees | 50000 |
Headquaters | Brentwood, TN, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Harry A. Lawton III | ||
Website | https://www.tractorsupply.com | ||
Website | https://www.tractorsupply.com | ||
Full time employees | 50000 |
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company offers various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It provides its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Country Tuff, Strive, Dumor, Traveller, Farm Table, Treeline, Groundwork, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Huskee, Untamed, and JobSmart brand names. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Tractor Supply Company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
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