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TrueCar Inc (TRUE)TRUE

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
TrueCar Inc
$3.92
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY17.37%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 42 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: TRUE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -24.95%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: -24.95%
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 346.09M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.75
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.29
Volume (30-day avg) 323649
Beta 1.83
52 Weeks Range 2.56 - 4.53
Updated Date 11/21/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 346.09M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.75
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.29
Volume (30-day avg) 323649
Beta 1.83
52 Weeks Range 2.56 - 4.53
Updated Date 11/21/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-06
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.06
Actual -0.06
Report Date 2024-11-06
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.06
Actual -0.06

Profitability

Profit Margin -15.88%
Operating Margin (TTM) -15.87%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -6.22%
Return on Equity (TTM) -18.83%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 14.45
Enterprise Value 237913701
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.03
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.15
Shares Outstanding 86958096
Shares Floating 57989739
Percent Insiders 10.2
Percent Institutions 81.33
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 14.45
Enterprise Value 237913701
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.03
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.15
Shares Outstanding 86958096
Shares Floating 57989739
Percent Insiders 10.2
Percent Institutions 81.33

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 3.2
Buy 2
Strong Buy 2
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4
Target Price 3.2
Buy 2
Strong Buy 2
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

TrueCar Inc. Comprehensive Stock Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

TrueCar, Inc. (TRUE) was founded in 2005 by Scott Painter and Chip Perry with the mission to bring transparency and efficiency to the car buying process. The company started by providing users with access to dealer invoice prices, removing the need for haggling and empowering consumers to make informed decisions. Over the years, TrueCar expanded its offerings to include a range of services, including car reviews, price comparisons, financing options, and certified pre-owned vehicle listings.

Core Business Areas:

  • New Car Marketplace: TrueCar connects car buyers with dealerships, offering them transparent pricing information and access to a wide selection of vehicles.
  • Used Car Marketplace: TrueCar provides a platform for buying and selling used cars, offering price comparisons, vehicle history reports, and financing options.
  • Data and Analytics: TrueCar collects and analyzes data on car buying trends, pricing, and inventory, providing insights to dealerships and other industry players.
  • Subscription Services: TrueCar offers subscription services, such as TrueCar Certified, which provides warranties and benefits for used car buyers.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Mike Darrow
  • CFO: David O'Brien
  • COO: Mike Timmerman
  • Board of Directors: Comprises experienced individuals from various industries, including technology, automotive, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • TrueCar Pricing: Provides users with fair market price estimates for new and used cars.
  • TrueCar Certified: Offers extended warranties and benefits for used car buyers.
  • TrueCar Trade: Facilitates the sale of used cars to dealerships.
  • TrueCar ALG Automotive Residual Value Guide: Provides industry-leading residual value forecasts for used cars.

Market Share:

  • New Car Marketplace: Holds a significant market share in the online car buying space, with partnerships with major automakers and dealerships.
  • Used Car Marketplace: Faces strong competition from established players like CarGurus and Autotrader.
  • Data and Analytics: Provides valuable data and insights to the automotive industry, helping companies make informed decisions.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for TrueCar is estimated to be around $1.3 trillion. This includes the new and used car markets, as well as the automotive data and analytics market.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $335.7 million (2022)
  • Net Income: $(49.8) million (2022)
  • Profit Margin: -14.8% (2022)
  • EPS: $(0.57) (2022)

Year-over-Year Performance:

  • Revenue increased by 13.5% compared to 2021.
  • Net income decreased by 11.5% compared to 2021.
  • Profit margin remained negative.
  • EPS decreased by 14.3% compared to 2021.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Cash flow from operations was $10.4 million in 2022.
  • The company has a total debt of $276.4 million and a cash balance of $179.5 million.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

TrueCar does not currently pay dividends.

Shareholder Returns:

  • 1-year return: -19.6%
  • 5-year return: -26.4%
  • 10-year return: -63.2%

Disclaimer: The information on shareholder returns is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

TrueCar experienced strong revenue growth in its early years, but growth has slowed in recent years.

Future Growth:

  • The company is focusing on expanding its used car marketplace and data and analytics services.
  • TrueCar is also exploring new partnerships with automakers and dealerships.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • The online car buying market is growing rapidly.
  • Consumers are increasingly using digital tools to research and purchase vehicles.
  • The used car market is expected to remain strong in the coming years.

TrueCar's Positioning:

TrueCar is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its strong brand recognition and extensive network of dealerships. The company is also investing in new technologies to improve the car buying experience.

Competitors:

  • CarGurus (CARG)
  • Autotrader (ATSG)
  • Kelley Blue Book (owned by Cox Enterprises)
  • Edmunds (owned by Cox Enterprises)

Market Share Comparison:

  • TrueCar: 10% (new car market)
  • CarGurus: 15% (new car market)
  • Autotrader: 20% (new car market)

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

Advantages:

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive network of dealerships
  • Data and analytics capabilities

Disadvantages:

  • Small market share in the used car market
  • Limited reach outside the US
  • Profitability challenges

Recent Acquisitions:

TrueCar has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 6/10

Justification:

TrueCar has a strong brand and a leading position in the new car marketplace. However, the company faces challenges in the used car market and needs to improve its profitability. The AI-based rating considers factors such as financial health, market position, and future prospects.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Data sources: TrueCar, Inc. financial reports, SEC filings, market research reports.
  • Disclaimer: The information provided in this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About TrueCar Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Santa Monica, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-05-16 President, CEO & Director Mr. Jantoon E. Reigersman
Sector Communication Services Website https://www.truecar.com
Industry Internet Content & Information Full time employees 324
Headquaters Santa Monica, CA, United States
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jantoon E. Reigersman
Website https://www.truecar.com
Website https://www.truecar.com
Full time employees 324

TrueCar, Inc. operates as an internet-based information, technology, and communication services company in the United States. It operates its platform on the TrueCar website and mobile applications. Its platform enables users to obtain market-based pricing data on new and used cars, and to connect with its network of TrueCar certified dealers. The company also offers forecast and consulting services regarding determination of the residual value of an automobile at given future points in time, which are used to underwrite automotive loans and leases, and by financial institutions to measure exposure and risk across loan, lease, and fleet portfolios. In addition, it provides TrueCar Trade, which gives consumers information on the value of their trade-in vehicles and enables them to obtain a guaranteed trade-in price before setting foot in the dealership; and DealerScience that provides dealers with advanced digital retailing software tools. The company was formerly known as Zag.com Inc. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California.

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