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TC Energy Corp (TRP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/04/2025: TRP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -6.45% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 02/04/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 48.69B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.77 | 1Y Target Price 44.53 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.77 | 1Y Target Price 44.53 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1931378 | Beta 0.82 | 52 Weeks Range 30.41 - 49.74 | Updated Date 02/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 30.41 - 49.74 | Updated Date 02/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.39 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 31.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 39.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.77 | Forward PE 16.86 | Enterprise Value 96274787251 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92 |
Enterprise Value 96274787251 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.34 | Shares Outstanding 1038000000 | Shares Floating 998790000 |
Shares Outstanding 1038000000 | Shares Floating 998790000 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.03 | Percent Institutions 79.11 |
AI Summary
TC Energy Corp. Stock Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1951 as TransCanada PipeLines Limited.
- Initially focused on natural gas pipeline transportation.
- Expanded into power generation, storage, and renewables.
- Rebranded as TC Energy in 2020.
Core business areas:
- Natural gas pipelines: One of North America's leading natural gas pipeline operators, with over 93,000 kilometers of pipeline.
- Liquids pipelines: Transports crude oil, refined products, and natural gas liquids.
- Power generation: Owns and operates over 10,000 MW of power generation capacity.
- Energy storage: Develops and operates natural gas and renewable energy storage facilities.
- Renewables: Invests in wind, solar, and hydro power projects.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- François Poirier, President and CEO.
- Bev LeBlanc, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
- 10-member Board of Directors.
- Decentralized organizational structure with business units focused on specific activities.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- NGTL System: Extensive natural gas pipeline network in Western Canada.
- Keystone Pipeline System: Transports crude oil from Western Canada to the United States.
- Coastal GasLink: Major natural gas pipeline project in British Columbia.
- Bruce Power: Nuclear power plant in Ontario, Canada.
- Fort Saskatchewan ethane storage facility: Largest ethane storage facility in North America.
Market share:
- Top 5 natural gas pipeline operator in North America.
- Significant market share in Canadian natural gas liquids transportation.
- Growing presence in renewable energy.
Product performance and market reception:
- Strong track record of operational excellence.
- Focus on safety and environmental performance.
- Positive reception from investors and analysts.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global natural gas market: Estimated to reach $4.2 trillion by 2025.
- North American crude oil and natural gas liquids pipelines market: Estimated at $250 billion.
- Global renewable energy market: Projected to grow at a CAGR of 10% through 2030.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: $13.9 billion (2022).
- Net income: $3.3 billion (2022).
- Profit margin: 23.7% (2022).
- Earnings per share (EPS): $4.15 (2022).
Year-over-year performance:
- Revenue increased by 11% year-over-year.
- Net income increased by 21% year-over-year.
- EPS increased by 18% year-over-year.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation.
- Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Consistent dividend payout history.
- Current dividend yield: 5.5%
- Dividend payout ratio: 60%
Shareholder returns:
- Total shareholder return (TSR) of 21% over the past year.
- TSR of 75% over the past 5 years.
- TSR of 200% over the past 10 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 5% over the past 5 years.
- Earnings per share (EPS) has grown at a CAGR of 6% over the past 5 years.
Future growth projections:
- Expected to grow revenue and earnings at a mid-single digit rate over the next few years.
- Growth drivers include increasing demand for natural gas, expansion into new markets, and investments in renewables.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
- Construction of the Coastal GasLink pipeline.
- Development of renewable energy projects.
- Strategic partnerships to expand into new markets.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- Growing demand for natural gas.
- Transition to cleaner energy sources.
- Technological advancements in pipeline and energy storage.
TC Energy's positioning:
- Well-positioned to benefit from growing demand for natural gas.
- Investing in renewables to position for the future energy transition.
- Focus on innovation and technology.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Enbridge (ENB)
- Kinder Morgan (KMI)
- Williams Companies (WMB)
- Pembina Pipeline (PBA)
- ONEOK (OKE)
Market share comparisons:
- TC Energy is the largest natural gas pipeline operator in North America.
- Has a significant market share in Canadian natural gas liquids transportation.
Competitive advantages:
- Extensive pipeline network.
- Strong financial position.
- Diversified business portfolio.
Disadvantages:
- Exposed to regulatory risks.
- Competition from other pipeline operators.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions.
- Technological changes.
- Competition.
Potential opportunities:
- Growing demand for natural gas.
- Expansion into new markets.
- Product innovations.
- Strategic partnerships.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021: Acquisition of TC PipeLines LP for $1.1 billion. This acquisition strengthened TC Energy's position in the North American natural gas líquidos market.
- 2022: Acquisition of a 20% interest in Coastal GasLink for $2.8 billion. This acquisition further expanded TC Energy's presence in the Canadian natural gas market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance.
- Leading market position in North America.
- Growth potential in natural gas and renewables.
- Well-managed company with a strong track record.
Sources:
- TC Energy Corp. website
- S&P Capital IQ
- Reuters
- Bloomberg
- Seeking Alpha
Disclaimer: This information is for general educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
TC Energy Corp. is a leading North American energy infrastructure company with a strong track record of financial performance, a diversified business portfolio, and a focus on growth. The company is well-positioned to benefit from growing demand for natural gas and the transition to cleaner energy sources. However, it also faces challenges from competition, technological changes, and regulatory risks.
About TC Energy Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-12-30 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Francois Lionel Poirier | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas Midstream | Full time employees 7000 | Website https://www.tcenergy.com |
Full time employees 7000 | Website https://www.tcenergy.com |
TC Energy Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company in North America. It operates through five segments: Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines; U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines; Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines; Liquids Pipelines; and Power and Energy Solutions. The company builds and operates a network of 93,600 kilometers of natural gas pipelines, which transports natural gas from supply basins to local distribution companies, power generation plants, industrial facilities, interconnecting pipelines, LNG export terminals, and other businesses. It also has regulated natural gas storage facilities with a total working gas capacity of 532 billion cubic feet. In addition, it has approximately 4,900 kilometers of liquids pipeline system that connects Alberta crude oil pipeline to refining markets in Illinois, Oklahoma, Texas, and the United States Gulf Coast. Further, the company owns or has interests in power generation facilities with approximately 4,600 megawatts; and owns and operates approximately 118 billion cubic feet of non-regulated natural gas storage facilities in in Alberta, Ontario, Québec, and New Brunswick. The company was formerly known as TransCanada Corporation and changed its name to TC Energy Corporation in May 2019. TC Energy Corporation was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
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