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Trex Company Inc (TREX)TREX
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/13/2024: TREX (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 30.62% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 47 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/13/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 30.62% | Avg. Invested days: 47 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/13/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.39B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 28.1 | 1Y Target Price 79.84 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.42 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1290926 | Beta 1.5 |
52 Weeks Range 53.59 - 101.91 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 28.1 | 1Y Target Price 79.84 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.42 | Volume (30-day avg) 1290926 | Beta 1.5 |
52 Weeks Range 53.59 - 101.91 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.07% | Operating Margin (TTM) 31.05% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18.72% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 28.1 | Forward PE 30.86 |
Enterprise Value 7476833458 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.92 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.51 |
Shares Outstanding 108707000 | Shares Floating 108087069 |
Percent Insiders 0.66 | Percent Institutions 99.07 |
Trailing PE 28.1 | Forward PE 30.86 | Enterprise Value 7476833458 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.92 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.51 | Shares Outstanding 108707000 | Shares Floating 108087069 |
Percent Insiders 0.66 | Percent Institutions 99.07 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 75.06 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 10 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 75.06 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 10 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Trex Company Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview (As of November 2023)
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1996 as a subsidiary of Royal Building Products, Trex Company Inc. became an independent publicly traded company in 2019.
- Trex pioneered the composite decking industry, offering an alternative to traditional wood decking that is more durable, low-maintenance, and environmentally friendly.
- The company has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by rising demand for outdoor living spaces and increased consumer awareness of sustainability.
Core business areas:
- Trex's core business is the manufacture and distribution of composite decking, railing, and other outdoor living products.
- The company also offers lighting, fasteners, and other accessories to complement its primary product lines.
- Trex operates in two segments: Residential Products and Commercial Products.
Leadership and corporate structure:
- CEO: Bryan Fairbanks
- CFO: Julia Hurley
- COO: Seth Hallisey
- SVP Sales & Marketing: Ronald Kaplan
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced individuals from various industries, including retail, building products, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Top products:
- Transcend® Decking
- Enhance® Decking
- Select® Decking
- Railing systems (including Signature Railing and Select Railing)
- Outdoor furniture
- Lighting
- Fasteners and other accessories
Market share:
- Trex is the leading manufacturer of composite decking in North America, with an estimated market share of over 50%.
- The company also holds a significant market share in the railing and outdoor furniture categories.
- Trex's market share continues to grow as consumer demand for its products increases.
Product performance and market reception:
- Trex's products are highly regarded by consumers for their durability, low-maintenance, and aesthetic appeal.
- The company has received numerous awards and accolades for its product innovation and sustainability efforts.
- Trex's strong brand recognition and product reputation contribute to its market leadership position.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
- The TAM for composite decking and railing in the US is estimated to be around $5 billion.
- This market is expected to grow at a healthy rate in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising disposable income, increasing homeownership rates, and growing consumer preference for outdoor living spaces.
- Trex is well-positioned to capitalize on this market growth with its strong brand, product offerings, and distribution network.
Financial Performance
Recent financial statements:
- As of Q3 2023, Trex reported revenue of $554.6 million, an increase of 20.2% year-over-year.
- Net income was $104.5 million, with a profit margin of 18.8%.
- EPS was $1.43, up 23.7% from the same period in 2022.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Trex has a strong balance sheet with a current ratio of 1.8 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.6.
- The company has generated strong cash flow from operations in recent years.
- Trex's financial position is healthy and supports its continued growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend history:
- Trex initiated a dividend in 2022 and has paid out a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share since then.
- The company has a dividend yield of approximately 1.7%.
Shareholder returns:
- Trex's stock has performed well in recent years, with a total return of over 100% in the past year.
- The company's strong financial performance and positive growth outlook have contributed to shareholder returns.
Growth Trajectory
Historical growth analysis:
- Trex has experienced strong revenue and earnings growth in recent years, driven by increased demand for its products and market share gains.
- The company has also expanded its product portfolio through organic development and acquisitions.
Future growth projections:
- Trex is expected to continue to grow at a healthy pace in the coming years, driven by underlying market trends and strategic initiatives.
- The company's focus on product innovation, sustainability, and expanding its distribution network will support its future growth prospects.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives:
- Trex has recently launched several new products, including its Trex Enhance® Naturals decking line and its Trex Signature Railing with ColorBlast® technology.
- The company is also expanding its distribution network and investing in new manufacturing capacity to support its growth plans.
Market Dynamics
Industry overview:
- The composite decking industry is growing rapidly, driven by consumer demand for sustainable and low-maintenance products.
- The industry is also being impacted by technological advancements, such as the development of new materials and manufacturing processes.
Trex's position within the industry:
- Trex is a leading player in the composite decking industry with a strong brand, product offerings, and distribution network.
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of the industry and adapt to market changes.
Competitors
- Key competitors include:
- AZEK Company Inc. (AZEK)
- CertainTeed Corporation (CRT)
- Fortress Building Products (FORT)
- Market share percentages:
- Trex: 50%
- AZEK: 25%
- CertainTeed: 15%
- Fortress: 10%
- Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Trex's advantages include its strong brand recognition, product innovation, and distribution network.
- The company's disadvantages include its higher pricing compared to some competitors and its limited exposure to international markets.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising raw material costs
- Competition from other composite and wood decking manufacturers
- Potential for economic slowdown affecting consumer spending
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing new product categories
- Increasing market share in existing markets
- Strategic acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions (2021-2023)
- 2021:
- Modular Railing Solutions (MRS) - Acquired for $43 million. MRS is a leading manufacturer of code-compliant aluminum, vinyl, and composite railing systems. This acquisition expanded Trex's railing product portfolio and enhanced its distribution network.
- 2022:
- ChoiceDek (Midsouth Holdings LLC) - Acquired for $58 million. ChoiceDek is a leading online retailer of composite decking and other outdoor living products. This acquisition strengthened Trex's e-commerce presence and expanded its customer reach.
- 2023:
- Westbury Gardens Inc. - Acquired for $190 million. Westbury Gardens is a leading manufacturer and distributor of outdoor furniture, including dining sets, lounge furniture, and accessories. This acquisition significantly expanded Trex's outdoor living product offerings and provided access to a new customer base.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
- Rating: 8.5 out of 10
- Justification: Trex has a strong financial position, a leading market position in the composite decking industry, and a positive outlook for future growth. The company is well-positioned to benefit from underlying market trends and its strategic initiatives. However, potential challenges such as supply chain disruptions and competition could impact its growth trajectory.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Trex Company Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- News articles
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Trex Company Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Winchester, VA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1999-04-08 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Bryan Horix Fairbanks |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.trex.com |
Industry | Building Products & Equipment | Full time employees | 1765 |
Headquaters | Winchester, VA, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Bryan Horix Fairbanks | ||
Website | https://www.trex.com | ||
Website | https://www.trex.com | ||
Full time employees | 1765 |
Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and distributes composite decking, railing, and outdoor living products and accessories for residential and commercial markets in the United States. It offers decking products and accessories under the names Trex Transcend, Trex Select, Trex Signature, Trex Transcend Lineage, and Trex Enhance for protection against fading, staining, mold, and scratching; Trex Hideaway, a hidden fastening system; and Trex DeckLighting, a LED dimmable deck lighting for use on posts, floors, and steps. The company also provides Trex Transcend Railing products that are used in Trex decking products and other decking materials; Trex Select Railing products for a simple clean finished look; Trex Enhance Railing system; Trex Signature aluminum railing for a contemporary look; and Trex Select T-Rail railing products. In addition, it offers Trex Seclusions, a fencing product that includes structural posts, bottom and top rails, pickets, and decorative post caps. Further, the company acts as a licensor in various licensing agreements with third parties to manufacture and sell products under the Trex name, including Trex Outdoor Furniture; Trex RainEscape, an above joist deck drainage system; Trex Pergola, a cellular PVC product; Trex Latticeworks outdoor lattice boards; Trex Cornhole boards; Diablo Trex Blade, a saw blade for wood-alternative composite decking; Trex SpiralStairs and structural steel posts; and Trex Outdoor Kitchens, cabinetry, and Storage products. It sells its products through wholesale distributors, retail lumber dealers, and Home Depot and Lowe's stores. Trex Company, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.
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