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Trex Company Inc (TREX)

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$64.99
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: TREX (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 30.01%
Avg. Invested days 44
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.49B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 27.66
1Y Target Price 77.63
Price to earnings Ratio 27.66
1Y Target Price 77.63
Volume (30-day avg) 1177570
Beta 1.51
52 Weeks Range 58.68 - 101.91
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 58.68 - 101.91
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.19

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-24
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 20.23%
Operating Margin (TTM) 23.24%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 17.58%
Return on Equity (TTM) 30.21%

Valuation

Trailing PE 27.66
Forward PE 27.7
Enterprise Value 6584269374
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.5
Enterprise Value 6584269374
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.5
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.58
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.67
Shares Outstanding 107144000
Shares Floating 106509492
Shares Outstanding 107144000
Shares Floating 106509492
Percent Insiders 1.01
Percent Institutions 104.83

AI Summary

Trex Company Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

Founded in 1996, Trex Company Inc. is a leading manufacturer of high-performance, low-maintenance composite decking, railing, and fencing. Headquartered in Winchester, Virginia, the company has a long history of innovation and environmental consciousness, focusing on sustainable wood-alternative products.

Core Business:

Trex's core business revolves around:

  • Decking: Offering a wide range of composite decking boards in various colors, textures, and styles, catering to different budgets and aesthetic preferences.
  • Railing: Providing high-quality railing systems designed to complement their decking products, ensuring safety and aesthetic appeal.
  • Fencing: Manufacturing durable and aesthetically pleasing composite fencing solutions for residential and commercial applications.

Leadership & Structure:

Trex's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in various fields, including manufacturing, marketing, and finance. The company follows a decentralized organizational structure, empowering employees and fostering a culture of innovation.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • Transcend Decking: Trex's flagship product, known for its durability, scratch resistance, and realistic wood-grain appearance.
  • Select Decking: A budget-friendly option offering a balance of performance and affordability.
  • Signature Railing: A premium railing system featuring high-quality materials and elegant designs.
  • Westbury Railing: A versatile railing solution offering various styles and price points.
  • Gravelpave: A permeable paving system designed for walkways, patios, and driveways.

Market Share:

  • Global Composite Decking: Trex holds an estimated 40% market share, making it the global leader in this segment.
  • US Composite Decking: The company dominates the US market with a 60% market share, significantly outpacing its competitors.

Product Performance:

Trex products consistently receive high ratings from consumers and industry experts, praising their durability, low maintenance, and aesthetic appeal.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market (TAM) for Trex includes:

  • Residential Decking: Estimated at over $4 billion in the US alone.
  • Commercial Decking: Growing rapidly, driven by increasing demand for low-maintenance solutions in public spaces.
  • Railing and Fencing: Combined market size exceeding $3 billion in the US.

Financial Performance

Recent Performance:

  • Revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, reaching $1.3 billion in 2022.
  • Net income has also shown consistent growth, reaching $221 million in 2022.
  • Profit margins have remained stable, indicating efficient operations.
  • Earnings per share (EPS) have increased significantly, reflecting strong profitability.

Financial Health:

  • Trex maintains a healthy balance sheet with low debt levels and ample cash reserves.
  • Cash flow from operations is strong, enabling the company to invest in growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

Trex has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 1.5%.

Shareholder Returns:

Total shareholder returns have been impressive, exceeding the S&P 500 in recent years.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth:

Trex has experienced significant growth over the past decade, driven by rising demand for composite decking and expansion into new markets.

Future Growth:

The company expects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by industry trends favoring low-maintenance, sustainable products. Recent product launches and strategic partnerships further support this growth trajectory.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview:

The composite decking industry is experiencing strong growth, driven by increasing consumer preference for low-maintenance and environmentally friendly alternatives to traditional wood. Technological advancements and product innovations are further driving industry expansion.

Positioning:

Trex is well-positioned within the industry, leveraging its brand recognition, market share leadership, and commitment to innovation. The company is actively adapting to market changes and trends, ensuring its continued success.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • AZEK Building Products (AZEK)
  • CertainTeed Corporation (CTD)
  • Fortress Building Products (FORT)
  • TAMKO Building Products (TBP)

Market Share Comparison:

Trex holds the largest market share among its competitors, followed by AZEK and CertainTeed.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Brand recognition: Trex is the most recognized brand in the composite decking industry.
  • Product innovation: The company consistently introduces new and improved products, meeting evolving consumer needs.
  • Distribution network: Trex has a well-established distribution network, reaching a wide range of customers.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Higher price point: Trex products are generally priced higher than some competitors' offerings.
  • Dependence on weather: Decking sales are seasonally dependent, impacting revenue during winter months.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions: Global supply chain issues could impact production and availability of raw materials.
  • Rising material costs: Increasing costs of raw materials could put pressure on profit margins.
  • Competition: Intense competition from other composite decking manufacturers could affect market share.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets: Trex has opportunities to expand its international presence and tap into new customer segments.
  • Product innovation: Continued development of innovative products and technologies can further strengthen the company's competitive edge.
  • Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with other industry players could broaden distribution channels and enhance product offerings.

Recent Acquisitions

2021:

  • Fortress Building Products: This acquisition expanded Trex's product portfolio into railing, fencing, and other outdoor living products, solidifying its position as a comprehensive outdoor living solutions provider.

2022:

  • Weatherables: This acquisition added a new line of composite PVC trim and moulding products, complementing Trex's existing product offerings and expanding its reach into the home improvement market.

2023:

  • Westbury Railing: This acquisition brought a leading brand of aluminum and vinyl railing systems under Trex's umbrella, further strengthening its position in the railing market and offering a wider range of choices to customers.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an AI-based analysis of Trex's financials, market position, and future prospects, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong financial performance, leading market share, and promising growth potential.

Strengths:

  • Strong brand recognition and market leadership
  • Consistent financial performance and profitability
  • Commitment to innovation and new product development
  • Expanding addressable market and growth opportunities

Weaknesses:

  • Higher price point compared to some competitors
  • Dependence on weather conditions
  • Potential impact of supply chain disruptions

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

  • Trex Company Inc. Investor Relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Industry reports and analyst research

Disclaimer:

This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Trex Company Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Winchester, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1999-04-08
President, CEO & Director Mr. Bryan Horix Fairbanks
Sector Industrials
Industry Building Products & Equipment
Full time employees 1765
Full time employees 1765

Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and distributes composite decking, railing, and outdoor living products and accessories for residential and commercial markets in the United States. It offers decking products and accessories under the names Trex Transcend, Trex Select, Trex Signature, Trex Transcend Lineage, and Trex Enhance for protection against fading, staining, mold, and scratching; Trex Hideaway, a hidden fastening system; and Trex DeckLighting, a LED dimmable deck lighting for use on posts, floors, and steps. The company also provides Trex Transcend Railing products that are used in Trex decking products and other decking materials; Trex Select Railing products for a simple clean finished look; Trex Enhance Railing system; Trex Signature aluminum railing for a contemporary look; and Trex Select T-Rail railing products. In addition, it offers Trex Seclusions, a fencing product that includes structural posts, bottom and top rails, pickets, and decorative post caps. Further, the company acts as a licensor in various licensing agreements with third parties to manufacture and sell products under the Trex name, including Trex Outdoor Furniture; Trex RainEscape, an above joist deck drainage system; Trex Pergola, a cellular PVC product; Trex Latticeworks outdoor lattice boards; Trex Cornhole boards; Diablo Trex Blade, a saw blade for wood-alternative composite decking; Trex SpiralStairs and structural steel posts; and Trex Outdoor Kitchens, cabinetry, and Storage products. It sells its products through wholesale distributors, retail lumber dealers, and Home Depot and Lowe's stores. Trex Company, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.

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