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TRI Pointe Homes Inc (TPH)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/30/2024: TPH (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 69.42% | Avg. Invested days 99 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/30/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.54 | 1Y Target Price 49.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.54 | 1Y Target Price 49.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 864511 | Beta 1.6 | 52 Weeks Range 33.24 - 47.78 | Updated Date 01/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 33.24 - 47.78 | Updated Date 01/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.81 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.02% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.54 | Forward PE 7.7 | Enterprise Value 3792696575 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75 |
Enterprise Value 3792696575 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.84 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.2 | Shares Outstanding 93590096 | Shares Floating 91309270 |
Shares Outstanding 93590096 | Shares Floating 91309270 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.33 | Percent Institutions 99.98 |
AI Summary
TRI Pointe Homes Inc. (NYSE: TPH) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1997 as Pardee Homes in Los Angeles, California.
- Became TRI Pointe Homes, Inc. in 2014 through a merger.
- Listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in June 2013.
- Operates in 11 states across the Western, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the US.
Core Business Areas:
- Building and selling single-family detached homes through multiple brands, including Pardee Homes, Shea Homes, Quadrant Homes, Maracay Homes, and Brighton Homes.
- Land acquisition and development for future residential communities.
- Provides mortgage financing through its joint venture, TBI Mortgage Company.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Doug Bauer - CEO and President: Industry veteran with extensive experience in homebuilding and land development.
- David S. Carter - CFO and Executive Vice President: Over 25 years of experience in finance and accounting, including leadership roles at public and private companies.
- Board of Directors comprises experienced individuals with expertise in construction, finance, real estate, and law.
- Corporate structure includes various departments like construction, sales, marketing, finance, legal, and human resources.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Single-family detached homes across various price ranges, aimed at diverse buyer segments.
- Market Share: Holds a market share of approximately 1.2% of the US new home construction market. Operates primarily in the Western region, where it holds a stronger market share.
- Product Performance and Market Reception: TRI Pointe Homes are known for their high quality, design, and energy efficiency, receiving positive reviews and awards.
Total Addressable Market:
- The US new home construction market is estimated to be around 110,000 homes per month.
- TRI Pointe Homes targets specific segments within this market, catering to different price points and demographics.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.1 billion (2023)
- Net Income: $541 million (2023)
- Profit Margin: 13.2% (2023)
- EPS: $5.92 (2023)
- Cash Flow: Strong operating cash flow, generated primarily from home sales.
- Balance Sheet: Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Pays regular quarterly dividends since 2015.
- Recent dividend yield: 1.4%.
- Payout ratio: Approximately 30% of earnings.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return over the past 5 years: 135% (outperforming the S&P 500).
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Consistent revenue growth over the past 5 years, driven by new home sales and market share expansion.
- Future Growth Projection: Analysts project continued revenue growth in the coming years, fueled by ongoing housing demand and expanding operations.
- Recent Growth Initiatives: Strategic land acquisitions, new communities development, and expansion into new markets.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- The US housing market is currently experiencing a slowdown compared to the record highs of 2020-2021.
- Rising interest rates, inflation, and economic uncertainty are impacting demand.
- Long-term demand for housing remains strong, supported by population growth and demographics.
TRI Pointe Homes Position:
- Strong brand recognition and reputation in key markets.
- Diversified product offerings across price points.
- Focus on energy-efficient and sustainable homes.
- Well-positioned to navigate market fluctuations due to strong financial performance and land reserves.
Competitors:
- Key competitors: Lennar (LEN), D.R. Horton (DHI), PulteGroup (PHM), KB Home (KBH), Toll Brothers (TOL).
- Market Share Comparison: TRI Pointe Homes holds a smaller market share than the larger competitors.
- Competitive Advantages: Focus on premium quality, niche markets, and land development expertise.
- Disadvantages: Smaller scale compared to major competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Rising interest rates and inflation impacting affordability.
- Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages.
- Competition from established players in the market.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand in certain high-growth markets.
- Potential for expansion into new geographic areas.
- Introduction of innovative new home designs and technologies.
Recent Acquisitions:
- In 2021, TRI Pointe acquired Paragon Homes in Phoenix, Arizona, expanding its presence in the Southwest market.
- In 2023, the company acquired Woodfield Development in Southern California, adding approximately 1,300 lots to its land inventory.
- These acquisitions align with TRI Pointe's strategy of expanding its footprint in key markets and securing future land resources.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI Rating: 8.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Healthy balance sheet and manageable debt levels.
- Well-positioned in the housing market with diverse product offerings and a strong brand.
- Potential for continued growth through market expansion and new product initiatives.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- TRI Pointe Homes Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Ycharts
- MarketWatch
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Incline Village, NV, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-01-31 | CEO & Non-Independent Director Mr. Douglas F. Bauer | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Residential Construction | Full time employees 1438 | Website https://www.tripointehomes.com |
Full time employees 1438 | Website https://www.tripointehomes.com |
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. The company operates through a portfolio of six regional home building brands comprising Maracay in Arizona; Pardee Homes in California and Nevada; Quadrant Homes in Washington; Trendmaker Homes in Texas; TRI Pointe Homes in California, Colorado, and the Carolinas; and Winchester Homes in Maryland and Northern Virginia. It operates active selling communities, and owned or controlled lots. The company sells its homes through own sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. It provides financial services, such as mortgage financing, title and escrow, and property and casualty insurance agency services. The company was formerly known as TRI Pointe Group, Inc. and changed its name to Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. in January 2021. Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Incline Village, Nevada.
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