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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Turning Point Brands Inc (TPB)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: TPB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 33.98% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.49 | 1Y Target Price 77.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.49 | 1Y Target Price 77.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 216402 | Beta 0.75 | 52 Weeks Range 26.28 - 72.45 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 26.28 - 72.45 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.50% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.53 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) 24.04% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) 28.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.49 | Forward PE 18.94 | Enterprise Value 1270815455 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.93 |
Enterprise Value 1270815455 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.93 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.02 | Shares Outstanding 17760800 | Shares Floating 16172238 |
Shares Outstanding 17760800 | Shares Floating 16172238 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.96 | Percent Institutions 84.57 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 68.75 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Turning Point Brands Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) was founded in 1988. Initially focused on contract manufacturing, TPB shifted its focus to branded products, expanding its portfolio through acquisitions and organic growth. It became a public company in 2016.
Core Business Areas
- Smokeless Products: This segment includes moist snuff tobacco (MST) and chewing tobacco. TPB owns the Stoker's brand, a key player in the value-priced MST category. Also includes long leaf tobacco.
- Smoking Products: This segment encompasses cigarette papers, tubes, and related accessories. TPB is a major player through its Zig-Zag brand and its venture companies.
- NewGen Products: Includes vapor products, alternative smoking products and cannabidiol (CBD) products. This segment has seen expansion and is considered a growth area.
Leadership and Structure
Turning Point Brands is led by a CEO and senior management team, supported by a board of directors. The organizational structure is divided into business segments, with dedicated teams for sales, marketing, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Stoker's: A leading value-priced moist snuff brand. Market share varies by region, but it holds a significant portion of the value segment in the smokeless tobacco market. Competitors include Altria (MO) and Swedish Match (SWMA).
- Zig-Zag: A well-known brand of cigarette papers and related accessories. Zig-Zag has a strong brand presence. Venture company partners include Durandal, focusing on branded distribution. Competitors include Republic Brands.
- Nu-X Ventures: This segment focuses on alternative smoking products and cannabidiol (CBD) products. Market share is developing with vapor products, where competitors include British American Tobacco (BTI) and Altria (MO) (via its vapor brands).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The tobacco industry faces changing consumer preferences, increased regulation, and health concerns. The rise of vaping and alternative nicotine products is reshaping the landscape. Legal cannabis is also a rising area of interest for many involved.
Positioning
TPB aims to capitalize on the value segment in smokeless tobacco, maintain its strong position in smoking products, and grow its presence in the NewGen products category. It differentiates itself through strong brands and distribution networks.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global tobacco and alternative smoking products market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. TPB is positioned to capture a share of this market through its diverse product portfolio, with increasing focus on NewGen.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand portfolio
- Established distribution network
- Focus on value segment
- Expanding NewGen products segment
Weaknesses
- Dependence on traditional tobacco products
- Exposure to regulatory risks
- Limited presence in premium segments
- Brand perception
Opportunities
- Growth in NewGen products market
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Acquisitions of complementary businesses
- Further development of cannabis-related products
Threats
- Increased regulation of tobacco and vaping products
- Declining demand for traditional tobacco products
- Competition from larger players
- Changing consumer preferences
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MO
- PM
- BTI
- SWMA
Competitive Landscape
TPB competes with larger, more established tobacco companies. It differentiates itself through its focus on value-priced brands and its growing NewGen products segment.
Major Acquisitions
Durandal
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 60
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded distribution capabilities and access to new markets for vaping and alternative smoking products. Provides access to distribution network and new growth avenues.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Analyze TPB's revenue and earnings growth over the past 5-10 years.
Future Projections: Summarize analyst expectations for TPB's future revenue and earnings growth.
Recent Initiatives: Highlight strategic initiatives such as acquisitions, product launches, or market expansions.
Summary
Turning Point Brands is a company with a mixed profile. Its strength lies in its established brands like Stoker's and Zig-Zag and recent growth in NewGen products. However, it faces challenges from increased regulation and competition from larger tobacco companies. Its expansion into alternative smoking products could offset the slow decrease in traditional tobacco products.
Similar Companies
- MO
- PM
- BTI
- CRON
- TLRY
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC), Investor presentations, Industry reports, Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. All financial information is based on the most recent data available and may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Turning Point Brands Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-05-11 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Graham A. Purdy | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Tobacco | Full time employees 310 | |
Full time employees 310 | |||
Turning Point Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes branded consumer products in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Zig-Zag Products and Stoker's Products. The Zig-Zag Products segment markets and distributes rolling papers, tubes, finished cigars, make-your-own cigar wraps, and related products, as well as lighters and other accessories under the Zig-Zag brand. The Stoker's Products segment manufactures and markets moist snuff tobacco and loose-leaf chewing tobacco products under the Stoker's, FRE, Beech-Nut, Durango, Trophy, and Wind River brands. In addition, it markets and distributes cannabis accessories and tobacco products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors and retail merchants in the independent and chain convenience stores, tobacco outlets, food stores, mass merchandising, drug store, and non-traditional retail channels. The company was formerly known as North Atlantic Holding Company, Inc. and changed its name to Turning Point Brands, Inc. in November 2015. Turning Point Brands, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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