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Tuniu Corp (TOUR)TOUR
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/15/2024: TOUR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 18.49% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 53 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/15/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: 18.49% | Avg. Invested days: 53 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/15/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 127.56M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.22 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.09 |
Volume (30-day avg) 443595 | Beta 1.67 |
52 Weeks Range 0.59 - 1.76 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 127.56M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.22 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.09 | Volume (30-day avg) 443595 | Beta 1.67 |
52 Weeks Range 0.59 - 1.76 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-19 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-11-19 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -7.16% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.44% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.64% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2.76% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.91 |
Enterprise Value -44548461 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.84 |
Shares Outstanding 118055000 | Shares Floating 82404078 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.12 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.91 | Enterprise Value -44548461 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.84 | Shares Outstanding 118055000 | Shares Floating 82404078 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.12 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 2.26 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 2.26 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Tuniu Corp: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Tuniu Corp. (NASDAQ: TUNI) is a leading online leisure travel company specializing in vacation packages and other travel-related services in China. Founded in 2006 by Leo Zhang Jixing, Tuniu has emerged as a pioneer in the Chinese online travel market, riding the wave of rising middle-class disposable income and increased leisure travel demand.
Core business areas:
- Vacation packages: Tuniu offers a wide range of vacation packages, covering both domestic and international destinations. Their packages include flights, hotels, sightseeing tours, and other activities, providing a comprehensive travel experience for customers.
- Independent travel: Tuniu offers booking services for hotels, flights, and other travel components, allowing travelers to customize their itineraries.
- Destination services: Tuniu provides local travel resources and services, such as airport transfers, car rentals, and tour guides.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Founder and CEO: Leo Zhang Jixing
- CFO: Bo Yang
- VP of Product: Hongwei Wang
- VP of Marketing: Fang Liu
Tuniu operates a decentralized organizational structure, with various departments like product development, marketing, and operations functioning independently and collaborating to achieve strategic goals.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Leisure vacation packages: Tuniu's core product, offering curated travel experiences to popular domestic and international destinations.
- Independent travel: Booking services for individual travel components, empowering travelers to personalize their journeys.
- Group travel: Pre-designed packages for group vacations, catering to various interests and budgets.
Market share:
- 2022 data shows Tuniu's share of the Chinese online leisure travel market at 1.6%, trailing behind industry giants like Trip.com (17.7%) and Ctrip (64.1%).
- In the independent travel segment, Tuniu holds a larger market share of 7.2%.
Product performance and comparison:
- Tuniu's vacation packages are known for their curated experiences and personalized service, attracting a loyal customer base.
- However, Tuniu faces fierce competition from established players offering broader product portfolios and economies of scale.
Total Addressable Market:
The Chinese online leisure travel market is estimated to be worth USD 498.3 billion in 2023, representing a significant opportunity for growth. This market is expected to continue expanding as disposable income rises and travel preferences evolve.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: Tuniu's revenue has fluctuated in recent years, declining from USD 1.16 billion in 2017 to USD 416.4 million in 2022, reflecting the impact of the pandemic and industry competition.
- Net income: Tuniu has consistently reported net losses in recent years, with a loss of USD 165.3 million in 2022.
- Profit margins: Operating margins remain negative, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
- Earnings per share (EPS): Tuniu continues to report negative EPS, reflecting ongoing losses.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Tuniu's revenue declined by 14.1% year-over-year in 2022, while net loss increased by 29.4%.
- The company continues to face challenges in achieving profitability, and its long-term financial viability remains uncertain.
Cash flow and balance sheet health:
- Tuniu's cash flow remains negative, indicating an ongoing need for external financing.
- The company's balance sheet shows high debt levels, raising concerns about its financial stability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
Tuniu has not paid dividends in recent years.
Shareholder returns:
- Tuniu's stock price has declined significantly over the past few years, resulting in negative shareholder returns.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Tuniu experienced rapid growth in the past, with revenue increasing from USD 169.2 million in 2010 to USD 1.05 billion in 2015.
- However, revenue growth has stagnated in recent years, and the company has faced challenges maintaining profitability.
Future projections:
- Tuniu's future growth prospects depend on its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics, invest in product innovation, and expand its customer base.
- The recovery of the Chinese tourism industry and the company's strategic initiatives will play a crucial role in its future success.
Market Dynamics:
- The Chinese online leisure travel market is highly competitive, with several established players vying for market share.
- Industry trends include the growing popularity of independent travel, the increasing demand for personalized travel experiences, and the adoption of digital technologies.
- Tuniu needs to continuously adapt its offerings and business model to keep pace with these evolving dynamics.
Competitors:
- Ctrip (CTRP): Market leader in the Chinese online travel market, offering a wide range of travel products and services.
- Trip.com Group (TCOM): Another major player, providing online booking services for hotels, flights, and other travel components.
- Qunar (QUNR): A leading online travel search engine in China, offering flight and hotel comparisons and booking options.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition, curated travel experiences, focus on independent travel.
- Disadvantages: Smaller market share, limited product portfolio, lower profitability compared to competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Intense competition from larger players.
- Maintaining profitability in a challenging market environment.
- Adapting to evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements.
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new market segments, such as luxury travel or adventure tourism.
- Leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Partnering with other travel and tourism companies to expand reach and offerings.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Tuniu acquired a 51% stake in Beijing Tianxingyou Information Technology Co., Ltd., an online travel agency specializing in self-guided tours. This acquisition expands Tuniu's presence in the independent travel segment and strengthens its product offerings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 4/10
Justification:
- Negative financial performance, including declining revenue and consistent losses, raises concerns about the company's financial viability.
- High competition and limited market share pose challenges for future growth.
- However, Tuniu's brand recognition, focus on curated experiences, and potential for market expansion in the long term offer some potential upside.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data and information in this analysis were gathered from Tuniu Corp.'s financial reports, investor presentations, news articles, and industry reports.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Tuniu Corp
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2014-05-09 | Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Dunde Yu |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.tuniu.com |
Industry | Travel Services | Full time employees | 971 |
Headquaters | - | ||
Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Dunde Yu | ||
Website | https://www.tuniu.com | ||
Website | https://www.tuniu.com | ||
Full time employees | 971 |
Tuniu Corporation operates as an online leisure travel company in China. The company offers various packaged tours, including organized and self-guided tours; and other travel-related services, such as tourist attraction tickets, visa application services, accommodation reservation, financial services, and hotel booking services, as well as air, train, and bus ticketing for leisure travelers. It also provides car rental and insurance services, as well as advertising services to tourism boards and bureaus. The company offers its products and services through various online and offline channels, including tuniu.com website; mobile platform; call center in Nanjing; and offline retail stores in China. Tuniu Corporation was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.
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