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Toast Inc (TOST)TOST
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/13/2024: TOST (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -24.19% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/13/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -24.19% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/13/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.79B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 27.84 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.26 |
Volume (30-day avg) 5840658 | Beta 1.75 |
52 Weeks Range 13.77 - 27.90 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.79B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 27.84 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.26 | Volume (30-day avg) 5840658 | Beta 1.75 |
52 Weeks Range 13.77 - 27.90 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.1% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) -11.52% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 37.04 |
Enterprise Value 13607220000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -24.37 |
Shares Outstanding 461000000 | Shares Floating 410861340 |
Percent Insiders 10.96 | Percent Institutions 83.76 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 37.04 | Enterprise Value 13607220000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -24.37 | Shares Outstanding 461000000 | Shares Floating 410861340 |
Percent Insiders 10.96 | Percent Institutions 83.76 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.69 | Target Price 25.31 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 8 | Hold 13 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.69 | Target Price 25.31 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 8 |
Hold 13 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Toast Inc. - Comprehensive Stock Overview
Company Profile
History and Background: Founded in 2012, Toast Inc. was initially known as Breadcrumb, focusing on point-of-sale (POS) systems for iPads. In 2013, the company rebranded as Toast and expanded its offerings to include restaurant management software and online ordering services. Today, Toast serves over 48,000 restaurants in the US and Canada, processing over $85 billion in annualized payment volume.
Core Business Areas: Toast provides cloud-based restaurant management software solutions, including:
- Point-of-sale (POS) systems: Toast POS features touch-screen interfaces, robust reporting, and integrations with various platforms.
- Restaurant management software: Toast offers tools for managing inventory, employee scheduling, customer relationship management, and online ordering.
- Payments: Toast processes credit card and other electronic payments, offering integrated payment processing solutions.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: Chris Comparato serves as the CEO of Toast. The leadership team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in technology, finance, and the restaurant industry. Toast has a two-class share structure, with Class B shares holding higher voting rights than Class A shares.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: Toast's flagship product is its cloud-based POS system, followed by its restaurant management software suite. The company also offers online ordering and delivery services through Toast TakeOut.
Market Share: Toast is a leading POS provider in the US, with a market share of approximately 20%. The company faces competition from established players like Square and NCR, as well as newer entrants like Clover.
Product Performance and Market Reception: Toast's products are generally well-received by customers, with praise for user-friendly interfaces and comprehensive features. However, some users have reported issues with system outages and occasional technical glitches.
Total Addressable Market
The global restaurant management software market is estimated to be worth around $12 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion. This market is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 10% in the coming years, driven by the increasing adoption of cloud-based solutions by restaurants.
Financial Performance
Recent Financials: Toast reported revenue of $688.5 million in fiscal year 2022, with a net loss of $213.1 million. The company's gross margin was 54.9%, and its operating margin was -24.9%. Toast has a strong balance sheet with over $600 million in cash and equivalents.
Year-over-Year Performance: Toast's revenue has grown rapidly in recent years, with a year-over-year increase of 58% in fiscal year 2022. However, the company is still unprofitable, and its net loss has widened in recent quarters.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Toast has generated positive operating cash flow in recent quarters, indicating its ability to fund its growth. The company has a solid balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Toast does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns: Toast's stock price has performed well since its IPO in September 2021, with a total return of over 100% as of November 14, 2023.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Toast has experienced tremendous growth in recent years, driven by the increasing adoption of its cloud-based solutions by restaurants. The company's revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 100% in the past three years.
Future Growth Projections: Toast is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, with analysts projecting revenue growth of over 30% in 2024. The company's growth will be fueled by its expanding customer base, new product launches, and strategic partnerships.
Recent Growth Initiatives: Toast has recently launched several new products and services, including Toast Go, a mobile POS solution, and Toast Delivery Services. The company has also expanded its partnerships with major restaurant chains and food delivery platforms.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview: The restaurant industry is undergoing a digital transformation, with cloud-based solutions becoming increasingly popular. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, driving growth for companies like Toast.
Toast's Positioning: Toast is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for cloud-based restaurant management solutions. The company has a strong brand, a comprehensive product suite, and a rapidly growing customer base.
Adaptability to Market Changes: Toast has demonstrated its ability to adapt to changing market conditions. The company quickly pivoted to offer online ordering and delivery services during the COVID-19 pandemic, which helped it maintain its growth momentum.
Competitors
Key Competitors: Toast's main competitors include:
- Square (SQ): Square offers a range of POS and payment processing solutions for restaurants.
- NCR (NCR): NCR provides a comprehensive suite of restaurant technology solutions, including POS systems, self-service kiosks, and kitchen display systems.
- Clover (FIS): Clover offers a similar range of POS and restaurant management solutions as Toast.
Market Share Comparison: Toast has a market share of approximately 20% in the US POS market, while Square holds around 40% and NCR has roughly 15%. Clover's market share is estimated to be around 5%.
Competitive Advantages: Toast's competitive advantages include its user-friendly interface, comprehensive feature set, and strong customer support. The company also benefits from its focus on the restaurant industry, which allows it to tailor its solutions to the specific needs of its customers.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges: Toast faces several challenges, including competition from established players, ongoing product development costs, and the need to attract and retain skilled employees.
Opportunities: Toast has several opportunities for future growth, including expanding its international presence, developing new products and services, and pursuing strategic acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions
In the past three years, Toast has made several acquisitions to expand its product offerings and market reach. These acquisitions include:
- Wisely (2021): Wisely provides a platform for managing employee scheduling and payroll. This acquisition strengthened Toast's human capital management capabilities.
- Drivr (2022): Drivr is a delivery management platform that helps restaurants optimize their delivery operations. This acquisition allowed Toast to offer a more comprehensive delivery solution to its customers.
- StratEx (2023): StratEx provides a platform for managing restaurant inventory and food costs. This acquisition enhanced Toast's ability to offer data-driven insights to its customers.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI-based analysis of Toast's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, growing market share, and innovative product offerings. However, the rating also acknowledges the company's competitive landscape, ongoing product development costs, and potential for future profitability challenges.
This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of Toast Inc. To make informed investment decisions, it's crucial to conduct further research and consider the company's future prospects alongside your individual investment goals and risk tolerance.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Toast Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- News articles
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you could lose money. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Toast Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Boston, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-09-22 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director | Mr. Aman Narang |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.pos.toasttab.com |
Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees | 5500 |
Headquaters | Boston, MA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, CEO & Director | Mr. Aman Narang | ||
Website | https://www.pos.toasttab.com | ||
Website | https://www.pos.toasttab.com | ||
Full time employees | 5500 |
Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States, Ireland, and India. The company offers software products for restaurant operations and point of sale, such as Toast POS, Toast now, multi-location management, kitchen display system, Toast mobile order and pay, Toast catering and events, Toast invoicing, Toast tables, and restaurant retail; and hardware products, including Toast flex, Toast flex for guest, Toast go 2, Toast tap, kiosks, and Delphi by Toast. It provides toast online ordering and toast takeout, first-party delivery toast delivery services, and third-party delivery integrations and orders hub; and loyalty, email marketing, and toast gift cards. In addition, the company offers payroll and team management, Sling by Toast, Toast pay card and payout, and tips manager, as well as partner-enabled products comprising insurance and benefits; supply chain and accounting products, such as xtraCHEF by toast; and financial technology solutions consisting of payment processing, toast capital, and purchase plans. Further, it offers reporting and analytics, Toast shop, and Toast partner connect and application programming interfaces. The company was formerly known as Opti Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Toast, Inc. in May 2012. Toast, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
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