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Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: TOL (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 106.14% | Avg. Invested days 62 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.57B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.03 | 1Y Target Price 156.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.03 | 1Y Target Price 156.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1682307 | Beta 1.67 | 52 Weeks Range 95.63 - 169.20 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 95.63 - 169.20 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.60% | Basic EPS (TTM) 15.02 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.63% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.96% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.8% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.03 | Forward PE 9.53 | Enterprise Value 15179468920 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29 |
Enterprise Value 15179468920 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.16 | Shares Outstanding 100037000 | Shares Floating 100312653 |
Shares Outstanding 100037000 | Shares Floating 100312653 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.61 | Percent Institutions 90.22 |
AI Summary
Toll Brothers Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Founded in 1967 by brothers Bruce and Robert Toll, Toll Brothers initially focused on building affordable housing in Pennsylvania. Over the years, the company expanded its offerings to include luxury homes in various communities across the United States. Today, Toll Brothers is the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, operating in 24 states.
Core Business Areas
Toll Brothers primarily focuses on the construction and sale of luxury single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominiums. The company caters to a range of buyers, including first-time homebuyers, move-up buyers, and active adults. They also offer various customization options and upgrades for their homes.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
Toll Brothers is led by CEO Douglas C. Yearley Jr. and President and COO Fran J. Margaritondo. The company operates a decentralized structure with six regional divisions, each responsible for land acquisition, development, construction, and sales within their respective regions.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products and Offerings
Toll Brothers offers a wide range of luxury homes across various price points and styles. Their most popular product lines include:
- Classic Series: Homes priced between $500,000 and $1 million, featuring traditional designs and spacious layouts.
- Luxury Series: Homes priced between $1 million and $2 million, offering bespoke finishes and high-end amenities.
- Estate Series: Homes exceeding $2 million, boasting unique designs, expansive square footage, and state-of-the-art features.
Market Share
Toll Brothers holds the largest market share among luxury homebuilders in the United States, capturing approximately 18% of the market. With a brand presence in 24 states, the company maintains a strong competitive position.
Product Performance and Market Reception
Toll Brothers' products are consistently recognized for their high quality and craftsmanship. The company receives numerous awards and accolades, including being ranked among the top homebuilders by J.D. Power and Associates. Their customer satisfaction scores are also consistently high, indicating positive market reception.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for Toll Brothers consists of individuals and families seeking luxury homes in the United States. Based on recent estimates, the U.S. luxury home market represents a TAM of approximately $120 billion, offering significant growth potential for the company.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements Analysis
Revenue: Toll Brothers' total revenue for the fiscal year 2023 was $8.6 billion, reflecting a 15% increase compared to the previous year.
Net Income: The company's net income for the fiscal year 2023 reached $783 million, representing a 20% year-over-year growth.
Profit Margins: Toll Brothers' gross profit margin stood at 23.5% in fiscal year 2023, while the operating profit margin reached 16.2%.
Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for fiscal year 2023 was $5.65, reflecting a significant increase compared to the previous year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health
Toll Brothers maintains a healthy cash flow position. The company's operating cash flow during fiscal year 2023 amounted to $1.2 billion. The balance sheet shows minimal long-term debt, indicating strong financial health.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Toll Brothers has a consistent history of dividend payouts. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 1.5%, and the payout ratio is maintained around 25%.
Shareholder Returns
Over the past year, Toll Brothers' stock price has appreciated by over 30%, significantly outperforming the broader market. Over five years, total shareholder returns have exceeded 100%, highlighting the company's strong investor appeal.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
Toll Brothers has exhibited consistent growth over the past decade. Revenue and earnings have steadily increased, and the company has expanded its footprint to new markets.
Future Growth Projections
Analysts expect Toll Brothers' growth trend to continue in the coming years. The company is expanding its product offerings and targeting new customer segments, contributing to optimistic future growth projections.
Recent Growth Initiatives
Toll Brothers is actively pursuing various growth initiatives, including:
- Introducing new product lines aimed at specific buyer demographics.
- Expanding into new markets with high luxury home demand.
- Investing in digital marketing and sales tools to enhance customer experience.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends
The luxury home market is expected to experience moderate growth in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising household incomes and increasing demand for custom-built homes.
Technological Advancements
Toll Brothers is embracing technological advancements to enhance design, construction, and customer service. The company is actively exploring virtual reality tours, 3D printing, and other innovative technologies to improve its offering and market position.
Competitors
Key Competitors
Toll Brothers' major competitors in the luxury homebuilding industry include:
- D.R. Horton (DHI)
- Lennar Corporation (LEN)
- PulteGroup (PHM)
- KB Home (KBH)
Market Share Comparison
D.R. Horton is the largest homebuilder in the United States, capturing around 12% of the overall market share. Lennar and PulteGroup follow closely behind with 9% and 8% market share, respectively. Toll Brothers remains the leader within the luxury homebuilding segment, holding an 18% market share.
Competitive Advantages
Toll Brothers' primary competitive advantages include:
- Strong brand recognition: The company has built a strong reputation for quality and craftsmanship.
- Focused market: Targeting the luxury segment allows them to command premium pricing and margins.
- Geographic diversification: Operating in 24 states reduces market concentration risk.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
Toll Brothers faces potential challenges such as:
- Rising interest rates: This could impact affordability for potential buyers.
- Labor shortages: Construction labor shortages could hinder project completion timelines.
- Economic slowdown: A broader economic slowdown could negatively impact luxury home demand.
Potential Opportunities
The company also holds promising opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets: Targeting areas with high luxury home demand offers growth potential.
- Introducing new product lines: Catering to specific buyer demographics could expand the customer base.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborating with technology providers could further enhance the client experience.
Recent Acquisitions
Throughout its history, Toll Brothers has strategically acquired several companies to bolster its operations and expand its geographic reach. Key acquisitions in the past three years include:
- Shaddock Homes: This acquisition in 2020 strengthened Toll Brothers' presence in the Southeast, particularly in North Carolina and South Carolina.
- WCI Communities: Acquired in 2021, this deal provided access to valuable land assets in Florida, a major market for luxury homes.
- Silverwood Properties: This 2022 acquisition expanded Toll Brothers' footprint into the Pacific Northwest, specifically Washington and Oregon.
These acquisitions demonstrate the company's commitment to strategic expansion and market leadership.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Following an in-depth analysis of Toll Brothers' financial health, market position, growth prospects, and competitive landscape, an AI-based rating system assigns the company a score of 8.5 out of 10. This indicates a strong fundamental outlook based on the current market conditions and trends.
Sources and Disclaimers
This information was sourced from publicly available data from Toll Brothers' official website, investor relations materials, and major financial data providers. I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice. The information provided in this overview should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
About Toll Brothers Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Fort Washington, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-12-30 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Douglas C. Yearley Jr. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Residential Construction | Full time employees 4800 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Full time employees 4800 | Website https://www.tollbrothers.com |
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, and rents apartments. In addition, it provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, the company owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and component manufacturing operations. It serves luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Toll Brothers, Inc. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
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