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Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)TME
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: TME (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 105.22% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 63 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 105.22% | Avg. Invested days: 63 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.11B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.92 | 1Y Target Price 13.98 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.5 |
Volume (30-day avg) 9819097 | Beta 0.65 |
52 Weeks Range 6.04 - 15.63 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.92 | 1Y Target Price 13.98 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.5 | Volume (30-day avg) 9819097 | Beta 0.65 |
52 Weeks Range 6.04 - 15.63 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.45% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.2% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.92 | Forward PE 12.17 |
Enterprise Value 13497363020 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.97 |
Shares Outstanding 857148992 | Shares Floating 1120060968 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 58.17 |
Trailing PE 18.92 | Forward PE 12.17 | Enterprise Value 13497363020 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.59 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.97 | Shares Outstanding 857148992 | Shares Floating 1120060968 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 58.17 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.54 | Target Price 8.65 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 18 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.54 | Target Price 8.65 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 18 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Tencent Music Entertainment Group: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) (NYSE: TME) is a leading online music entertainment platform in China. It was established in 2015 through a merger between Tencent Music and China Music Corporation. TME boasts over 800 million monthly active users, offering a vast library of licensed music and original content.
Core Business Areas:
- Online music streaming: TME provides subscription-based and ad-supported music streaming services through its flagship platforms: QQ Music, Kugou Music, and Kuwo Music.
- Social Entertainment: TME offers social entertainment features like live music streaming, karaoke, and music-themed online communities.
- Music Production and Distribution: TME invests in and distributes original music content through its in-house labels and collaborations with artists.
- Online Music Education: TME provides online music education services, including music lessons and instrument training programs.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Cussion Pang (since 2020)
- President: Tony Yip (since 2020)
- Chief Financial Officer: Humphrey Shi (since 2018)
- Headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
- Subsidiary of Tencent Holdings Limited (0700:HKEX).
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- QQ Music: China's largest music streaming platform with over 450 million monthly active users.
- Kugou Music: Popular platform known for its extensive music library and personalized recommendations.
- Kuwo Music: Caters to younger users and offers a strong presence in China's lower-tier cities.
Market Share:
- Global Music Streaming Market: TME holds a market share of approximately 15%, ranking third globally after Spotify and Tencent Holdings.
- China's Online Music Market: TME dominates the market with an estimated 80% market share, leaving competitors like NetEase Cloud Music (NTES:NASDAQ) far behind.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
TME's platforms consistently rank among the top music apps in China. QQ Music boasts the highest user engagement, while Kugou Music excels in personalized recommendations. However, TME faces increasing competition from platforms like NetEase Cloud Music, which focuses on exclusive content and user-generated content.
Total Addressable Market:
The global online music market is expected to reach $38.4 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 12.3%. This indicates significant potential for growth, especially in emerging markets like China, where the online music market is still developing.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
(Data as of Q3 2023):
- Revenue: $1.2 billion, a 5.5% YoY increase
- Net Income: $121.5 million, a 28.3% YoY increase
- Profit Margin: 10.1%
- EPS: $0.12
Financial Performance Comparison:
TME has shown consistent revenue growth in recent years. The company's profitability has also improved significantly, indicating better cost management and monetization strategies.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
TME possesses strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet. The company has sufficient cash reserves and low debt levels, ensuring financial flexibility for future growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
TME has not yet initiated dividend payments, focusing on reinvesting profits for growth.
Shareholder Returns:
TME's stock price has shown significant growth since its IPO in 2018, delivering strong returns to investors. However, the stock has faced volatility in recent months due to headwinds in the Chinese economy and regulatory uncertainties.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
TME has consistently grown its user base and revenue over the past five years. The company has successfully expanded its music library, enhanced its social entertainment offerings, and invested in original content production.
Future Growth Projections:
TME's future growth will be driven by factors like:
- Increasing penetration of online music in China
- Expansion into international markets
- Continued investment in technology and innovation
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The online music industry is characterized by high growth potential and intense competition. Technological advancements, changing consumer preferences, and regulatory landscape pose both challenges and opportunities for players like TME.
TME's Positioning and Adaptability:
TME is well-positioned in the Chinese online music market due to its strong brand recognition, extensive music library, and focus on social entertainment features. However, the company needs to adapt to changing consumer preferences and invest in new technologies to maintain its competitive edge.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- NetEase Cloud Music (NTES:NASDAQ)
- Xiami Music
- Kugou Music
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
TME's advantages include its:
- Large user base
- Extensive music library
- Social entertainment features
- Strong parent company support (Tencent Holdings)
However, the company faces disadvantages like:
- Intense competition from NetEase Cloud Music
- Regulatory uncertainties
- Limited international presence
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Continued competition from rivals
- Regulatory challenges in China
- Maintaining user engagement
- Expanding into international markets
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth of China's online music market
- Expansion into new revenue streams
- Strategic partnerships
- Technological innovation
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2023:
- Shenzhen Qtech Information Technology Co., Ltd., a music tech startup, for $30 million.
- This acquisition strengthens TME's music technology capabilities and aids in personalized recommendations and content curation.
- 2022:
- 51% majority stake in the Chinese record label, Yuehua Entertainment, for $280 million.
- This acquisition provides TME access to a vast catalog of popular Chinese music and strengthens its content offerings.
- The deal aligns with TME's strategy of expanding into music production and fostering closer relationships with artists.
- 2021:
- 20% stake in the Korean entertainment agency, YG Entertainment, for $65 million.
- This move aimed at expanding TME's presence in the K-pop market and gaining access to popular Korean artists and music content.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
TME possesses strong fundamentals:
- Dominant market position in China
- Consistent revenue growth
- Strong cash flow and balance sheet
- Focus on innovation and technology
However,
- Intense competition
- Regulatory uncertainties
- Limited international presence
warrant caution.
Sources:
- Tencent Music Entertainment Group Investor Relations website: https://ir.tencentmusic.com/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
- Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/
- Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/
Disclaimer:
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Tencent Music Entertainment Group
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2018-12-12 | CEO & Director | Mr. Zhu Liang |
Sector | Communication Services | Website | https://www.tencentmusic.com |
Industry | Internet Content & Information | Full time employees | 5185 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Zhu Liang | ||
Website | https://www.tencentmusic.com | ||
Website | https://www.tencentmusic.com | ||
Full time employees | 5185 |
Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates online music entertainment platforms to provide music streaming, online karaoke, and live streaming services in the People's Republic of China. It offers QQ Music, Kugou Music, and Kuwo Music that enable users to discover music in personalized ways; long-form audio content, including audiobooks, podcasts and talk shows, as well as music-oriented video content comprising music videos, live performances, and short videos; and WeSing, which enables users to sing along from its library of karaoke songs and share their performances in audio or video formats with friends. The company also delivers music-centric live streaming services primarily through the Live Streaming tab on QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music, WeSing, Kugou Live, and Kuwo Live that provides an interactive online stage for performers and users to showcase their talent and engage with a diverse audience base; and Lazy Audio, an audio platform. In addition, it sells music-related merchandise; and artist-related merchandise, such as branded apparel, posters and art prints, and accessories and integrated and technology-driven music solutions that help IoT device manufacturers build and operate their branded music services on their IoT devices, as well as offers advertising services across its online karaoke platform and online music apps. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, China. Tencent Music Entertainment Group is a subsidiary of Tencent Holdings Limited.
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