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TransMedics Group Inc (TMDX)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$57.2
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/17/2025: TMDX (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 28.15%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/17/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.90B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 61
1Y Target Price 102
Price to earnings Ratio 61
1Y Target Price 102
Volume (30-day avg) 2354228
Beta 2.07
52 Weeks Range 55.00 - 177.37
Updated Date 01/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 55.00 - 177.37
Updated Date 01/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.93

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.14%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.61%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.41%

Valuation

Trailing PE 61
Forward PE 48.31
Enterprise Value 2107770772
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.75
Enterprise Value 2107770772
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.75
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.26
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 32.54
Shares Outstanding 33561500
Shares Floating 32545274
Shares Outstanding 33561500
Shares Floating 32545274
Percent Insiders 3.21
Percent Institutions 113.35

AI Summary

TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) Stock Analysis

Company Profile

History and Background

TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) is a medical device company focused on organ preservation and transplant technologies. Founded in 2006, the company initially developed the Organ Care System (OCS) to improve the survival of donor hearts during transport for transplantation. In 2016, TMDX acquired XVIVO Perfusion, adding the LifePort System to its portfolio for preserving and transporting kidneys and other abdominal organs.

Core Business Areas

TransMedics' core business areas include:

  • Organ preservation and transport: Providing the OCS and LifePort systems for extending the preservation time of donor hearts, kidneys, lungs, and livers, allowing for a wider range of organ availability for transplant patients.
  • Research and development: Developing new technologies and applications for its OCS and LifePort systems.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure

The leadership team of TransMedics includes:

  • Waleed Hassanein, MD, PhD: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Joseph Yablonsky, CPA: Chief Financial Officer
  • David J. D'Alessandro: Chairman of the Board of Directors

The company's corporate structure includes a Board of Directors, Executive Management Team, and various committees overseeing specific aspects of the business.

Top Products and Market Share

Products and Offerings

The top products offered by TransMedics are:

  • Organ Care System (OCS): Preserves donor hearts for up to 12 hours outside the body, enabling transportation over longer distances and increasing the potential pool of donor organs.
  • LifePort System: Preserves and transports kidneys, lungs, and livers for up to 24 hours, improving organ viability and transplantation success rates.

Market Share

TransMedics holds a significant market share in the organ preservation and transport segment for hearts, estimated to be around 70% in the US. However, the company faces competition from other players in the broader organ preservation market.

Product Performance and Market Reception

The OCS and LifePort systems have been well-received by the transplant community, with numerous peer-reviewed publications demonstrating their efficacy in extending organ viability and improving transplant outcomes. The company has also received regulatory approvals in various countries, including the US, Europe, and Japan.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market for organ preservation and transport is estimated to be around $2.5 billion globally. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years due to the increasing demand for organ transplantation and the need for innovative technologies to improve organ viability.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Statements

Revenue:

  • 2022: $100.5 million
  • 2021: $65.2 million
  • 2020: $24.1 million

Net Income:

  • 2022: -$41.9 million
  • 2021: -$29.1 million
  • 2020: -$28.5 million

Profit Margins:

  • Gross Profit Margin: 52.9%
  • Operating Profit Margin: -53.9%
  • Net Profit Margin: -47.6%

Earnings per Share (EPS):

  • 2022: -$1.65
  • 2021: -$1.18
  • 2020: -$1.14

Year-over-Year Performance

TransMedics' revenue has shown significant growth over the past few years, while the company continues to operate at a net loss due to its investments in research and development, market expansion, and infrastructure.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet

The company has a cash and cash equivalents balance of $112.6 million as of December 31, 2022, providing sufficient liquidity for ongoing operations and future growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

TransMedics does not currently pay dividends to shareholders as it is focused on reinvesting profits for growth.

Shareholder Returns

Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the company's stock price volatility. However, long-term investors may see potential for future appreciation as the company scales its business and commercializes its technologies.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

TransMedics has experienced rapid revenue growth over the past few years as the adoption of its organ preservation systems has increased. The company is also investing heavily in expanding its product portfolio and entering new markets.

Future Growth Projections

Analysts expect TransMedics' revenue to continue growing in the coming years, driven by increased demand for its OCS and LifePort systems, potential new product launches, and market expansion.

Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives

TransMedics recently received FDA approval for its OCS Lung for lung preservation and is expanding its international presence through partnerships and market approvals.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The organ preservation and transplant industry is facing several challenges, including a shortage of donor organs, increasing healthcare costs, and the need for technological advancements. However, the industry is also experiencing significant growth due to the increasing demand for organ transplantation and the development of innovative technologies.

TransMedics' Positioning and Adaptability

TransMedics is well-positioned within the industry with its market-leading OCS and LifePort systems. The company is also actively investing in research and development to stay ahead of the competition and develop new solutions for organ preservation and transport.

Competitors

Key Competitors

  • Paragonix Technologies (PXGX)
  • XVIVO Perfusion AB (XVIVO)
  • OrganOx Limited (OX)

Market Share Comparison

  • TransMedics: 70% (heart preservation)
  • Paragonix Technologies: 20% (heart preservation)
  • XVIVO Perfusion AB: 10% (heart preservation)

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages

TransMedics has a strong competitive advantage in the heart preservation market due to its established market share, strong brand recognition, and proven clinical outcomes. However, the company faces competition from other players in the broader organ preservation market, who may have more diversified product portfolios or lower prices.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges

TransMedics faces challenges such as:

  • Competition: The company faces competition from established players in the organ preservation market, who may have more resources or lower prices.
  • Regulatory hurdles: Obtaining regulatory approvals for new products and markets can be a lengthy and expensive process.
  • Reimbursement: The company needs to ensure that its products are adequately reimbursed by insurance companies to achieve widespread adoption.

Potential Opportunities

TransMedics has potential opportunities in:

  • Expanding its product portfolio: The company is developing new products for preserving and transporting other organs, such as lungs and livers.
  • Entering new markets: TransMedics is expanding its international presence and seeking approvals for its products in new countries.
  • Developing strategic partnerships: The company is partnering with hospitals and other organizations to increase the adoption of its technologies.

Recent Acquisitions

TransMedics hasn't made any acquisitions in the last three years, but it acquired the Swedish company XVIVO Perfusion AB in 2016. This acquisition expanded TransMedics' product portfolio to include the LifePort System for preserving and transporting kidneys and other abdominal organs.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based on an AI-based analysis of various financial and market factors, TransMedics receives a fundamental rating of 7/10. The analysis considers the company's strong market position, growing revenue, and promising future prospects, but also acknowledges its current lack of profitability and the competitive landscape.

Sources and Disclaimers

Information for this analysis was gathered from publicly available sources, including TransMedics' website, SEC filings, company press releases, and industry reports. This information is intended for general knowledge and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About TransMedics Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Andover, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2019-05-02
Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Waleed H. Hassanein M.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Devices
Full time employees 584
Full time employees 584

TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally. The company offers Organ Care System (OCS), a portable organ perfusion, optimization, and monitoring system that utilizes its proprietary and customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside of the human body. Its OCS includes OCS LUNG for the preservation of standard criteria donor lungs for double-lung transplantation; OCS Heart, a technology for preservation of DBD donor hearts deemed unsuitable due to limitations of cold storage and for ex vivo reanimation, functional monitoring, and beating-heart preservation of donation-after-circulatory-death hearts; and OCS Liver for the preservation of DBD and DCD of donor livers. The company also developed national OCS program, a turnkey solution for outsourced organ retrieval; and provides OCS organ management and logistics services, including aviation and ground transportation, and other coordination activity. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.

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