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TransMedics Group Inc (TMDX)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$75.45
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-5%
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: TMDX (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 21.75%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.41B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 77.37
1Y Target Price 102
Price to earnings Ratio 77.37
1Y Target Price 102
Volume (30-day avg) 2133962
Beta 2.11
52 Weeks Range 55.00 - 177.37
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 55.00 - 177.37
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.93

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-24
When After Market
Estimate 0.22
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.14%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.61%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.41%

Valuation

Trailing PE 77.37
Forward PE 63.69
Enterprise Value 2720268457
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.02
Enterprise Value 2720268457
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.02
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.78
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 41.99
Shares Outstanding 33561500
Shares Floating 32531850
Shares Outstanding 33561500
Shares Floating 32531850
Percent Insiders 3.4
Percent Institutions 115.97

AI Summary

TransMedics Group Inc. (NASDAQ: TMDX): A Detailed Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) is a medical technology company headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts. Founded in 1998, the company initially focused on developing a portable, self-contained lung preservation device. However, they have since expanded their focus to organ care solutions, specifically targeting the Organ Care System (OCS) for lung and heart preservation.

Core Business Areas:

TransMedics' core business revolves around the OCS, a portable device that preserves organs outside the body. The OCS uses a proprietary solution and pulsatile technology to keep organs cold and perfused, extending their preservation time and improving their viability for transplantation. The company currently offers two versions of the OCS, one for lungs and another for hearts.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

Leadership:

  • Waleed Hassanein, Ph.D.: President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board
  • David J. Hathaway: Chief Financial Officer
  • Joseph D. Csongradi, M.D.: Chief Medical Officer
  • Michael Matuszak: Chief Operating Officer

Corporate Structure:

The company operates in a single business segment focused on developing and commercializing its OCS technology for organ preservation. They have offices in Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, and Alabama, and are actively seeking commercial partnerships in international markets.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Organ Care System (OCS) Lung: Preserves lungs for up to 24 hours outside the body, enabling transportation over longer distances and expanding the donor pool.
  • Organ Care System (OCS) Heart: Preserves hearts for up to 12 hours outside the body, allowing for more efficient heart transplantation procedures.

Market Share:

TransMedics currently holds a dominant position in the lung preservation market, with their OCS Lung capturing an estimated 80% market share in the United States. However, the company's market share in the heart preservation market is significantly smaller due to competition from established players.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

The OCS has received positive feedback from medical professionals, with studies demonstrating its ability to effectively preserve organs and improve transplantation outcomes. However, the company has faced challenges in expanding its addressable market and achieving profitability.

Total Addressable Market:

The global market for organ preservation is estimated to be worth over $1 billion annually. The breakdown of this market includes:

  • Lung Preservation: $500 million
  • Heart Preservation: $300 million
  • Liver Preservation: $100 million
  • Other Organ Preservation: $100 million

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

Note: As of November 2023, TransMedics' latest earnings report publicly available is for Q3 2023.

  • Revenue: $15.4 million (Q3 2023)
  • Net Income: -$26.5 million (Q3 2023)
  • Gross Profit Margin: 83%
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): -$1.16

Financial Performance Comparison:

TransMedics' revenue has grown steadily over the past few years, driven by increasing demand for its OCS Lung. However, the company remains unprofitable due to high operating expenses and research and development costs.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

TransMedics has a strong balance sheet with over $100 million in cash and equivalents as of Q3 2023. However, the company is burning through cash at a rate of over $20 million per quarter, which may limit its ability to fund future growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

TransMedics does not currently pay dividends, as they are focused on reinvesting earnings into the business.

Shareholder Returns:

TransMedics' stock price has been volatile in recent years, reflecting the company's early stage of development and uncertain future profitability.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

TransMedics has experienced strong revenue growth over the past few years, driven by increased adoption of the OCS Lung. However, the company still faces challenges achieving profitability.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts project that TransMedics' revenue will continue to grow in the coming years, as the company expands its market reach and introduces new technologies. However, profitability remains elusive, with estimates suggesting 2025 as the potential year for achieving a positive net income.

Recent Growth Initiatives:

  • Expansion of international markets.
  • Development of new product offerings, including an OCS for livers.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The organ preservation market is expected to experience significant growth in the coming years, driven by factors such as the increasing shortage of donor organs and the development of new technologies.

Competitive Landscape:

TransMedics faces competition from other companies developing organ preservation technologies. Key competitors include:

  • OrganOx: Focuses on normothermic preservation, which maintains organs at body temperature.
  • Xvivo Perfusion: Offers perfusion systems for various organs, including hearts, lungs, and livers.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Achieving profitability
  • Expanding market penetration
  • Competing against established players

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets
  • Developing new product offerings
  • Partnering with leading medical institutions

Recent Acquisitions:

TransMedics has not made any acquisitions in the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 6/10

Justification: TransMedics has a promising technology with significant growth potential. However, the company faces challenges achieving profitability and competing against established players.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • TransMedics Group Inc. Investor Relations website
  • Yahoo Finance
  • SEC filings
  • Company press releases

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About TransMedics Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Andover, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2019-05-02
Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Waleed H. Hassanein M.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Devices
Full time employees 584
Full time employees 584

TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally. The company offers Organ Care System (OCS), a portable organ perfusion, optimization, and monitoring system that utilizes its proprietary and customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside of the human body. Its OCS includes OCS LUNG for the preservation of standard criteria donor lungs for double-lung transplantation; OCS Heart, a technology for preservation of DBD donor hearts deemed unsuitable due to limitations of cold storage and for ex vivo reanimation, functional monitoring, and beating-heart preservation of donation-after-circulatory-death hearts; and OCS Liver for the preservation of DBD and DCD of donor livers. The company also developed national OCS program, a turnkey solution for outsourced organ retrieval; and provides OCS organ management and logistics services, including aviation and ground transportation, and other coordination activity. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.

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