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Timken Company (TKR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/10/2025: TKR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.32% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.37B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.89 | 1Y Target Price 89.18 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.89 | 1Y Target Price 89.18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 502000 | Beta 1.43 | 52 Weeks Range 69.34 - 93.54 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 69.34 - 93.54 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.78% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.82 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.89 | Forward PE 11.38 | Enterprise Value 7133297590 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.17 |
Enterprise Value 7133297590 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.8 | Shares Outstanding 70117200 | Shares Floating 66025893 |
Shares Outstanding 70117200 | Shares Floating 66025893 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.56 | Percent Institutions 86.58 |
AI Summary
Timken Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Founded in 1899 by Henry Timken, the Timken Company is a global leader in engineered bearings and power transmission products. With a rich history of innovation, the company has played a pivotal role in shaping the evolution of numerous industries, including automotive, aerospace, and industrial equipment.
Today, Timken operates in over 30 countries with approximately 18,000 employees worldwide. The company's headquarters are located in North Canton, Ohio.
Core Business Areas:
Timken focuses on two primary business segments:
- Friction Management: This segment designs and manufactures bearings and related mechanical components used in a wide range of applications, including automotive, industrial, and aerospace.
- Power Systems: This segment focuses on providing power transmission solutions, including gear drives, couplings, and industrial clutches.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Leadership:
- Richard G. Kyle (Chairman, President, and CEO)
- Christopher T. Coughlin (Chief Operating Officer)
- Michael M. Arnold (Chief Financial Officer)
- Hans Landin (Senior Vice President and President, Power Systems Group)
- Ashish Bhandari (Senior Vice President and President, Friction Management Group)
Corporate Structure:
Timken operates with a decentralized structure, with each business segment having its own leadership team and operational responsibilities. This allows for agility and responsiveness to specific market needs.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Tapered roller bearings
- Cylindrical roller bearings
- Ball bearings
- Spherical roller bearings
- Wheel bearings
- Gear drives
- Couplings
- Clutches
Market Share:
- Global Market Share: Timken holds a leading position in the global bearings market, with an estimated market share of around 10%.
- US Market Share: In the US market, Timken enjoys a stronger position, with an estimated market share of approximately 15%.
Competitors:
- SKF
- NTN
- Schaeffler
- NSK
- Nachi
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Timken's products are recognized for their high quality, reliability, and performance. The company consistently receives positive feedback from its customers across various industries. In recent years, Timken has also been actively innovating and introducing new products, which has helped it maintain its competitive edge.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for Timken is estimated at around $200 billion. This includes the global market for bearings and power transmission products, which is expected to grow at a steady pace in the coming years.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
Timken's recent financial performance has been mixed. In 2022, the company reported revenue of $4.3 billion, representing a slight increase from the previous year. However, net income and earnings per share (EPS) declined year-over-year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Timken's cash flow from operations remains strong, and the company has a healthy balance sheet. The company is well-positioned to weather economic downturns and invest in future growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
Timken has a long history of paying dividends to its shareholders. The company's current dividend yield is around 2%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past five years, Timken's shareholders have enjoyed total returns (including dividends and capital appreciation) of over 20%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
Timken has experienced moderate growth over the past five years, with revenue increasing at an average annual rate of 2%.
Future Growth Projections:
Industry analysts project that Timken's revenue will continue to grow at a similar pace in the coming years. The company's focus on innovation and new product development is expected to drive future growth.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
Timken is actively pursuing several growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing new products
- Pursuing strategic acquisitions
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
The bearings and power transmission industry is expected to experience steady growth in the coming years, driven by factors such as increasing industrial output and technological advancements.
Competitive Landscape:
The bearings and power transmission industry is highly competitive, with a number of large global players. Timken is well-positioned within this industry due to its strong brand reputation, product quality, and global reach.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- SKF (symbol: SKF.ST)
- NTN (symbol: 6472.T)
- Schaeffler (symbol: SHA.DE)
- NSK (symbol: 6471.T)
- Nachi (symbol: 6470.T)
Market Share and Comparison:
- SKF is the largest competitor, with a global market share of around 15%.
- NTN and Schaeffler follow closely behind, with market shares of around 10% and 8%, respectively.
- NSK and Nachi are smaller competitors, with market shares of around 5% and 4%, respectively.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand reputation
- High-quality products
- Global reach
- Strong customer relationships
- Focus on innovation
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Exposure to economic downturns
- Price competition from lower-cost producers
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Technological disruptions
- Intense competition
- Economic uncertainty
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in emerging markets
- Product innovations
- Strategic acquisitions
- Partnerships with key customers
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
**Year | Company | Acquisition Price | Explanation** |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Rollon | $279 million | This acquisition expanded Timken's linear motion product portfolio and added manufacturing capacity in Europe. |
2022 | Precision Partners | Undisclosed | This acquisition strengthened Timken's position in the aerospace and defense markets. |
2023 | Diamond Chain | $95 million | This acquisition expanded Timken's power transmission product portfolio and expanded its presence in the off-highway market. |
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
Timken is a well-established company with a strong brand reputation and a leading market position. The company has a healthy balance sheet, a strong track record of dividend payments, and a promising future growth trajectory. However, Timken faces some challenges, such as supply chain disruptions and intense competition. Overall, Timken is a financially sound and well-positioned company with a strong potential for future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Timken Company website
- Yahoo Finance
- Bloomberg
- Reuters
Disclaimer:
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters North Canton, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1985-07-01 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Tarak Mehta | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Tools & Accessories | Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.timken.com |
Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.timken.com |
The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered bearings and industrial motion products, and related services in the United States and internationally. The company's Engineered Bearings segment provides various bearing products, including tapered, spherical, and cylindrical roller bearings; plain bearings, metal-polymer bearings, and rod end bearings; radial, angular, and precision ball bearings; thrust and specialty ball bearings; journal bearings; and housed or mounted bearings. This segment serves wind energy, agriculture, construction, food and beverage, metals and mining, automotive and truck, aerospace, rail, and other industries under the Timken, GGB, and Fafnir brands. Its Industrial Motion segment offers a portfolio of engineered products comprising industrial drives, automatic lubrication systems, linear motion products and systems, chains, belts, seals, couplings, filtration systems, and industrial clutches and brakes. It also provides industrial drivetrain and bearing repairing services. This segment serves a range of industries, such as solar energy, automation, construction, agriculture and turf, passenger rail, marine, aerospace, packaging and logistics, medical, and others under the Philadelphia Gear, Cone Drive, Rollon, Nadella, Groeneveld, BEKA, Diamond, Drives, Timken Belts, Spinea, Des-Case, Lagersmit, Lovejoy, and PT Tech brands. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.
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