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Treehouse Foods Inc (THS)THS
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/15/2024: THS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -25.85% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/15/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -25.85% | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/15/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.48 |
Volume (30-day avg) 722558 | Beta 0.23 |
52 Weeks Range 28.04 - 43.84 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 33.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.48 | Volume (30-day avg) 722558 | Beta 0.23 |
52 Weeks Range 28.04 - 43.84 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.75 | Actual -0.0655 |
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.75 | Actual -0.0655 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1.56% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 25.97 |
Enterprise Value 3151660000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.5 |
Shares Outstanding 51200000 | Shares Floating 45865472 |
Percent Insiders 0.85 | Percent Institutions 112.81 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 25.97 | Enterprise Value 3151660000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.5 | Shares Outstanding 51200000 | Shares Floating 45865472 |
Percent Insiders 0.85 | Percent Institutions 112.81 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.27 | Target Price 51 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 9 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.27 | Target Price 51 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Treehouse Foods Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1995, Treehouse Foods Inc. (THS) is a leading marketer and manufacturer of private label food and beverage products.
- Initially focused on pickles and canned vegetables, THS expanded through acquisitions, diversifying into pasta, sauces, salad dressings, beverages, and other categories.
- Today, THS operates in North America and Europe, supplying private label products to major retailers across various channels.
Core Business Areas:
- Private Label Food & Beverage: THS develops and manufactures private label products for categories like:
- pasta
- pickles
- salad dressings
- sauces
- powdered beverages
- snacks
- frozen foods
- condiments
- Contract Manufacturing: THS also offers contract manufacturing services, producing products to the specifications of other companies.
Leadership and Structure:
- CEO: Steven Heyer
- President and COO: William J. Hampel
- CFO: Michael J. Dermer
- Executive Vice President and Chief Legal and Administrative Officer: Julie A. Creek
- Board of Directors: Consists of eleven members with diverse backgrounds and expertise.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Private label versions of popular food and beverage items like pickles, pasta, salad dressings, sauces, and powdered beverages.
- Market Share:
- Holds a significant market share in the US for private label pickles (around 50%).
- Estimates suggest a market share of around 10% for private label pasta and salad dressings in the US.
- Market share figures for other categories are not readily available.
- Product Performance:
- Private label products generally perform well in terms of price competitiveness and meeting retailer specifications.
- However, they face increasing competition from national brands and store brands.
Total Addressable Market:
- The total addressable market for private label food and beverage products in the US is estimated to be around $150 billion.
- This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors like rising consumer demand for value and convenience, and increasing retailer focus on private label offerings.
Financial Performance:
- Recent Performance:
- Revenue for fiscal year 2022 (ended June 30, 2022) was $4.8 billion.
- Net income was $147.4 million.
- Gross profit margin was 15.7%.
- Earnings per share (EPS) was $2.81.
- Year-over-year Comparison:
- Revenue and net income have declined slightly compared to the previous year.
- Gross profit margin has remained relatively stable.
- EPS has decreased due to share buybacks.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- THS has a strong cash flow position, with operating cash flow exceeding $400 million in fiscal year 2022.
- The company has a moderate level of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History:
- THS has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2.5%.
- The payout ratio is currently around 30%.
- Shareholder Returns:
- THS stock has underperformed the market in recent years, with total shareholder returns of around -10% over the past year and -20% over the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth:
- THS has experienced modest organic growth in recent years.
- Acquisitions have been a key driver of growth historically.
- Future Growth Projections:
- THS expects low-single-digit organic growth in the coming years.
- The company is focusing on innovation and cost-saving initiatives to drive growth.
- Recent Initiatives:
- THS has launched new products in categories like plant-based foods and functional beverages.
- The company is also investing in its manufacturing facilities to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends:
- increasing demand for private label products
- growing focus on health and wellness
- rising consumer interest in sustainability
- Demand-Supply Scenario:
- The demand for private label products is expected to continue growing.
- However, the supply chain for raw materials and packaging has been disrupted in recent years.
- Technological Advancements:
- Technological advancements in food science and packaging are enabling the development of innovative private label products.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors:
- Conagra Brands (CAG)
- Campbell Soup Company (CPB)
- General Mills (GIS)
- Kellogg Company (K)
- Post Holdings (POST)
- Market Share Comparison:
- THS has a smaller market share than its major competitors.
- Competitive Advantages:
- THS has a strong customer base of major retailers.
- The company has a diverse product portfolio and a history of innovation.
- Competitive Disadvantages:
- THS has a weaker brand than its larger competitors.
- The company is more exposed to fluctuations in commodity prices.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising commodity costs
- Competition from national brands and store brands
- Opportunities:
- Growing demand for private label products
- Innovation in product development
- Expansion into new markets
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2023:
- B&G Foods (BGS): Acquired in a $2.1 billion deal, expanding THS's portfolio of brands and product categories. This acquisition aligns with THS's strategy to increase its presence in the branded food segment and diversify its customer base.
- 2022:
- Crispy Green: Acquired for $225 million, adding a leading brand in the fast-growing plant-based snack category. This aligns with THS's focus on innovation and meeting evolving consumer preferences.
- 2021:
- Adams Extracts: Acquired for $75 million, expanding THS's presence in the food and beverage ingredient market. This acquisition strengthens THS's relationship with foodservice and industrial customers.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Strengths:
- Strong cash flow position
- Diverse product portfolio
- Focus on innovation
- Weaknesses:
- Weaker brand than competitors
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Opportunities:
- Growing demand for private label products
- Potential for expansion into new markets
- Threats:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Competition from national brands and store brands
Overall, THS is a financially sound company with a solid track record of innovation. However, the company faces challenges from competition and supply chain disruptions. The recent acquisitions, particularly B&G Foods, position THS for future growth, but execution will be key to realizing the potential.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources:
- Treehouse Foods Inc. website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Treehouse Foods Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Oak Brook, IL, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2005-06-28 | President, CEO & Chairman | Mr. Steven T. Oakland |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.treehousefoods.com |
Industry | Packaged Foods | Full time employees | 7400 |
Headquaters | Oak Brook, IL, United States | ||
President, CEO & Chairman | Mr. Steven T. Oakland | ||
Website | https://www.treehousefoods.com | ||
Website | https://www.treehousefoods.com | ||
Full time employees | 7400 |
TreeHouse Foods, Inc. manufactures and distributes private brands snacks and beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides snacking products, such as crackers, pretzels, in-store bakery items, frozen griddle items, cookies, and candies; and beverage and drink mixes, including non-dairy creamer, coffee, broths/stocks, powdered beverages and other blends, tea, and ready-to-drink-beverages. It also offers groceries comprising pickles, refrigerated dough, hot cereal, and cheese and puddings, as well as natural, organic, and gluten-free products. The company sells its products through various distribution channels, including retailers, foodservice distributors, food-away-from-home customers, refrigerated and frozen formats, and co-manufacturers, as well as industrial and export, which includes food manufacturers and repackagers of foodservice products. TreeHouse Foods, Inc. was founded in 1862 and is based in Oak Brook, Illinois.
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