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TH International Limited (THCH)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: THCH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -76.47% | Avg. Invested days 19 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 85.32M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 15813 | Beta 0.51 | 52 Weeks Range 2.33 - 7.20 | Updated Date 04/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.33 - 7.20 | Updated Date 04/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.8 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -40.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) -10.91% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) -972.66% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 319527434 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 319527434 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.13 | Shares Outstanding 31599200 | Shares Floating 6594590 |
Shares Outstanding 31599200 | Shares Floating 6594590 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.53 | Percent Institutions 67.48 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
TH International Limited
Company Overview
History and Background
TH International Limited, operating as Tims China, was founded to bring the Tim Hortons brand to the Chinese market. Its founding year is 2018 as a joint venture and later went public in 2022 via a SPAC merger with Silver Crest Acquisition Corp. It has rapidly expanded its store network across China.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: Operating Tim Hortons coffee shops throughout China, offering coffee, baked goods, and other food items.
- Franchising: Expanding its footprint by offering franchising opportunities to local partners within China.
- Retail Sales: Selling branded merchandise and packaged coffee products through its stores and other retail channels.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team comprises executives with experience in the food and beverage industry, and its organizational structure is designed to support its expansion and operational efficiency in China.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Coffee: Tim Hortons signature coffee blends. Market share data is difficult to obtain specifically for Tims China; however, the coffee market in China is highly competitive, with Nestle (NSRGY) and Starbucks (SBUX) as key competitors.
- Competitors: Nestle (NSRGY),Starbucks (SBUX),Luckin Coffee
- Baked Goods: Donuts, muffins, and other baked goods. Revenue figures are not publicly available per product category. Competition includes local bakeries and other coffee chains.
- Competitors: Local bakeries,Starbucks (SBUX),Luckin Coffee
- Competitors: McDonald's (MCD),KFC (YUM),Local Chinese restaurants
- Food Items: Sandwiches, soups, and other meal options.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The coffee and food service industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing urbanization and changing consumer preferences.
Positioning
Tims China aims to position itself as a premium coffee and food brand offering a blend of Western and local flavors. Its competitive advantages lie in its brand recognition, localized menu, and rapid expansion strategy.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the coffee and food service industry in China is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars. Tims China is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its expansion efforts.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Brand Recognition (Tim Hortons)
- Localized Menu
- Rapid Expansion
- Partnerships with local entities
- Strong digital presence
Weaknesses
- Relatively New to the Chinese Market
- High Competition
- Dependence on Brand Perception
- Negative profit margins.
Opportunities
- Further Expansion into Tier 2 and Tier 3 Cities
- Menu Innovation to Cater to Local Tastes
- E-commerce Growth
- Strategic partnerships
Threats
- Intense Competition
- Changing Consumer Preferences
- Economic Slowdown
- Regulatory Changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SBUX
Competitive Landscape
Tims China faces intense competition from established players like Starbucks and Luckin Coffee. It aims to differentiate itself through its localized menu and focus on value.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Rapid store expansion over the past few years.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth driven by store openings and same-store sales growth.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on digital ordering, menu innovation, and strategic partnerships.
Summary
TH International Limited, operating as Tims China, is rapidly expanding its store network in China, leveraging the Tim Hortons brand. It faces fierce competition, particularly from Starbucks and Luckin Coffee, and its success hinges on effective localization and strategic partnerships. The company's financials require further scrutiny given its recent public debut. The company has not been profitable to date. Tims China will have to improve its profit margins in order to thrive in the Chinese market.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TH International Limited
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-09-29 | CEO & Director Mr. Yongchen Lu | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 2367 | Website https://www.timschina.com |
Full time employees 2367 | Website https://www.timschina.com |
TH International Limited operates Tim Hortons coffee shops in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. The company offers brewed tea, coffee, milk tea, lemonade, hot chocolate, and coffee drinks. It is also involved in franchise related business. The company is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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