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Triumph Group Inc (TGI)TGI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: TGI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -28.27% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -28.27% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.02B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.13 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.37 |
Volume (30-day avg) 932770 | Beta 2.5 |
52 Weeks Range 7.00 - 17.87 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.13 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.37 | Volume (30-day avg) 932770 | Beta 2.5 |
52 Weeks Range 7.00 - 17.87 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 42.71% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.72% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 14.73 |
Enterprise Value 1825975551 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.84 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.44 |
Shares Outstanding 77327104 | Shares Floating 69707263 |
Percent Insiders 2.14 | Percent Institutions 97.26 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 14.73 | Enterprise Value 1825975551 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.84 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.44 | Shares Outstanding 77327104 | Shares Floating 69707263 |
Percent Insiders 2.14 | Percent Institutions 97.26 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.78 | Target Price 12 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.78 | Target Price 12 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Triumph Group Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Triumph Group, Inc. traces its roots back to 1965, initially specializing in aircraft engine components. Through mergers and acquisitions, it evolved into a diversified aerospace company with three segments: Aviation Services, Aerospace Structures, and Systems & Support.
Core business areas:
- Aviation Services: Maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for commercial and military aircraft engines, including those from leading manufacturers like Boeing, Airbus, and GE.
- Aerospace Structures: Design and manufacture of complex aerostructures, including fuselage sections, wings, and nacelles for commercial and military aircraft.
- Systems & Support: Manufacture of actuation systems, landing gear, and other aerospace systems, and also provides engineering, integration, and aftermarket support.
Leadership team and corporate structure: Triumph Group's leadership team is composed of experienced industry veterans, led by CEO Daniel J. Crowley. The company operates through a divisional structure with three presidents overseeing each of its business segments.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Engine overhaul services for CFM56, GE90, and V2500 engines
- Aerostructures for Airbus A320, A350, and Boeing 737 and 787 aircraft
- Landing gear, actuation systems, and other aerospace components
Market share:
- Aviation Services: ~7% of the global market for commercial engine MRO services
- Aerospace Structures: Leading supplier of large, complex fuselage sections and wings
- Systems & Support: Holds significant market share in niche segments like actuation systems and landing gear
Competition:
- Aviation Services: AAR Corp., Pratt & Whitney, StandardAero
- Aerospace structures: Spirit AeroSystems, GKN Aerospace, Safran
- Systems & Support: Collins Aerospace, Parker Hannifin, Liebherr
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for Triumph Group is estimated at over $80 billion, encompassing the global commercial and military aerospace market. The company primarily targets the TAM for engines and related services, aerostructures, and aerospace systems.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: $2.27 billion (2022)
- Net Income: $175.7 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 7.7% (2022)
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $3.09 (2022)
Year-over-year performance:
- Revenue, net income, and EPS have all shown positive year-over-year growth in recent years.
- Profit margins have also been improving steadily, reflecting operational efficiency gains.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- The company has a strong cash flow position with a current ratio of 1.27, indicating adequate liquidity.
- The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.44, implying a moderate level of financial leverage.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Triumph Group has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of 1.2%.
- The company has also shown a commitment to increasing dividend payments in recent years.
Shareholder returns:
- Total shareholder returns have been strong over the past one year, exceeding the market average.
- Over five and ten years, returns have been more moderate but still positive.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis:
- Triumph Group has experienced consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past five to ten years.
- This growth is largely driven by rising demand for commercial aircraft and engine MRO services.
Future growth projections:
- The company expects continued growth in the coming years, driven by the recovery in the commercial aviation industry and new program wins.
- Recent product launches, like the LEAP engine MRO program, and strategic partnerships, are expected to contribute to future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- The global aerospace industry is expected to see moderate growth in the coming years.
- Demand for commercial aircraft is projected to increase steadily, driven by rising air travel demand.
- Technological advancements, like electrification and sustainable aviation fuels, are shaping the future of the industry.
Triumph Group's position:
- The company is well-positioned to benefit from these market trends, given its focus on commercial aviation and commitment to innovation.
- Its diversified business model mitigates risk and provides stability in a dynamic market.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Aviation Services: AAR Corp. (AIR), Pratt & Whitney (PWC), StandardAero (SAI)
- Aerospace structures: Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), GKN Aerospace (GKN), Safran (SAF)
- Systems & Support: Collins Aerospace (RTX), Parker Hannifin (PH), Liebherr (LIE)
Competitive advantages:
- Strong customer base and long-term contracts with major airlines and aircraft manufacturers.
- Expertise in complex aerostructures and engine MRO services.
- Global reach and footprint with operations in North America, Europe, and Asia.
Competitive disadvantages:
- Relatively small size compared to some of its larger competitors.
- Exposure to cyclical fluctuations in the aerospace industry.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions and rising material costs.
- Technological advancements and the need for continuous innovation.
- Intense competition in the aerospace market.
Key opportunities:
- Growth in the commercial aviation industry and new aircraft programs.
- Expansion into new markets and segments, like electric and sustainable aviation.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance capabilities and market position.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2023: Triumph acquired GKN Aerospace's Fokker Services business for approximately $191 million. This acquisition expands Triumph's MRO capabilities and presence in Europe.
- 2023: Acquired Interturbine LLC for approximately $48 million. This acquisition strengthens Triumph's position in the engine MRO market and adds key capabilities.
- 2021: Acquired AAR Air Cargo Holdings, Inc. for approximately $855 million. This acquisition significantly expands Triumph's footprint in the MRO industry and adds capabilities in cargo handling and maintenance.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with positive revenue growth, improving profitability, and a healthy cash flow position.
- Well-positioned in the growing commercial aviation market with a diversified business model and strong customer relationships.
- Exposure to potential challenges in the form of supply chain disruptions, technological change, and intense competition.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Triumph Group Inc. investor relations website
- Annual reports and financial statements
- Market research reports and industry analysis
- Bloomberg Terminal
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct further due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Triumph Group Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Radnor, PA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1996-10-25 | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO | Mr. Daniel J. Crowley |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.triumphgroup.com |
Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees | 4530 |
Headquaters | Radnor, PA, United States | ||
Chairman of the Board, President & CEO | Mr. Daniel J. Crowley | ||
Website | https://www.triumphgroup.com | ||
Website | https://www.triumphgroup.com | ||
Full time employees | 4530 |
Triumph Group, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and distributes aircraft, aircraft components, accessories, subassemblies, and systems worldwide. It operates in two segments, Triumph Systems & Support, and Triumph Interiors. The company offers aircraft and engine-mounted accessory drives, thermal control systems and components, cargo hooks, high lift actuations, cockpit control levers, hydraulic systems and components, control system valve bodies, landing gear actuation systems, electronic engine controls, landing gear components and assemblies, cyber protected process controllers, main engine gearbox assemblies, geared transmissions and drive train components, main fuel pumps, fuel-metering units, primary and secondary flight control systems, and vibration absorbers. It also provides thermo-acoustic insulation systems, environmental control system ducting, and other aircraft interior components. The company serves original equipment manufacturers of commercial, regional, and military aircraft. Triumph Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania.
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