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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: TFPM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 14.08% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 290205 | Beta -0.16 | 52 Weeks Range 13.80 - 19.90 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 13.80 - 19.90 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.15% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.11 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -8.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) 55.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 28.65 | Enterprise Value 3805006354 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.51 |
Enterprise Value 3805006354 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.51 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 55.63 | Shares Outstanding 200768000 | Shares Floating 62841988 |
Shares Outstanding 200768000 | Shares Floating 62841988 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.27 | Percent Institutions 86.32 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.36 | Target Price 19.33 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. was founded in 2016 by Elliot Strashin and Shaun Usmar and began trading publicly in 2021. It is a leading precious metals streaming and royalty company.
Core Business Areas
- Streaming: Triple Flag provides upfront financing to mining companies in exchange for the right to purchase a percentage of their future precious metals production at a predetermined price, often well below market value.
- Royalties: Triple Flag acquires royalties, which are rights to receive a percentage of revenue or production from a mining property, without providing any upfront financing.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by CEO Shaun Usmar. The organizational structure includes teams focused on investments, finance, legal, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gold Streams and Royalties: Gold streams and royalties are the company's primary revenue source. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fragmented nature of the streaming and royalty market, but Triple Flag is considered a major player. Competitors include Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals, and Royal Gold. Revenue from gold streams and royalties comprised a majority of 2023 revenues.
- Silver Streams and Royalties: Silver streams and royalties are also significant contributors to revenue. Market share is, again, difficult to ascertain precisely. Competitors include Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals, and Royal Gold. Revenue from silver streams and royalties comprised a portion of 2023 revenues.
- Other Metals Streams and Royalties: Triple Flag also has exposure to other metals such as platinum group metals (PGMs). These streams and royalties contribute a smaller portion of revenue compared to gold and silver. Market share is smaller compared to gold and silver offerings. Competitors include Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals, and Royal Gold.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The precious metals streaming and royalty industry provides alternative financing to mining companies, allowing them to fund projects without diluting equity or taking on debt. The industry benefits from rising precious metal prices and increasing demand for mining finance.
Positioning
Triple Flag is positioned as a leading precious metals streaming and royalty company with a diversified portfolio of assets. Its competitive advantages include a strong management team, a disciplined investment approach, and a global portfolio of producing and near-producing assets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for precious metals streaming and royalty financing is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually, reflecting the significant capital requirements of the mining industry. Triple Flag is well-positioned to capture a portion of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified portfolio of precious metal streams and royalties
- Strong management team with extensive industry experience
- Disciplined investment approach
- Global portfolio of producing and near-producing assets
- Relatively low operating costs
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- Dependence on the operational performance of mining companies
- Higher upfront investment costs for stream transactions
Opportunities
- Acquire additional precious metal streams and royalties
- Expand into new commodities and geographies
- Benefit from rising precious metal prices
- Increasing demand for alternative mining finance
Threats
- Decline in precious metal prices
- Operational problems at mining projects
- Political and regulatory risks in mining jurisdictions
- Increased competition from other streaming and royalty companies
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FNV
- WPM
- RGLD
Competitive Landscape
Triple Flag faces strong competition from larger, more established streaming and royalty companies. However, its disciplined investment approach and diversified portfolio provide a competitive advantage.
Major Acquisitions
INV Metals Inc
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 240
- Strategic Rationale: Secured precious metals streams and royalties from INV Metals' Loma Larga gold project.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by acquisitions of new streams and royalties and increased production from existing assets.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued acquisitions and expansion of existing operations. Analyst estimates vary.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic acquisitions of streams and royalties on high-quality mining assets.
Summary
Triple Flag is a solid precious metals streaming and royalty company with a diversified portfolio and experienced management team. Its growth is dependent on commodity prices and the operational success of mining partners. Monitoring acquisitions and precious metal pricing trends is crucial for investors.
Similar Companies

FNV

Franco-Nevada Corporation



FNV

Franco-Nevada Corporation

RGLD

Royal Gold Inc



RGLD

Royal Gold Inc

WPM

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp



WPM

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share estimates are approximate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-09-30 | CEO & Director Mr. Sheldon Vanderkooy | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining | Full time employees - | Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.tripleflagpm.com |
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Honduras, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. It has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
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