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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM)TFPM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: TFPM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -0.64% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -0.64% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.35B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.32% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.27 |
Volume (30-day avg) 387586 | Beta -0.23 |
52 Weeks Range 11.62 - 18.88 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.32% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.27 | Volume (30-day avg) 387586 | Beta -0.23 |
52 Weeks Range 11.62 - 18.88 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-05 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.14 | Actual 0.15 |
Report Date 2024-11-05 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.14 | Actual 0.15 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -22.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 41.58% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) -3.09% |
Revenue by Geography
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 22.32 |
Enterprise Value 3346711783 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.61 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 72.51 |
Shares Outstanding 201432992 | Shares Floating 63233798 |
Percent Insiders 2.31 | Percent Institutions 86.11 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 22.32 | Enterprise Value 3346711783 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.61 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.58 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 72.51 | Shares Outstanding 201432992 | Shares Floating 63233798 |
Percent Insiders 2.31 | Percent Institutions 86.11 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.36 | Target Price 15 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.36 | Target Price 15 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) was founded in 2007 as a junior exploration company focused on acquiring and developing mineral properties in North America. The company went public in 2011 and has since grown its portfolio of gold, silver, copper, and zinc projects in Nevada, Idaho, Montana, and Mexico.
Core Business:
TFPM focuses on acquiring and developing high-grade precious metal deposits. The company utilizes modern exploration techniques, including drilling and geological mapping, to identify and assess mineral potential. TFPM also conducts feasibility studies to evaluate the economic viability of its projects.
Leadership and Structure:
Triple Flag is led by a team of experienced mining professionals, including:
- Robert Meister, President & CEO: A geologist with 35 years of experience in the mining industry, including senior positions with major companies like Newmont Mining.
- Sean Werger, COO & Director: Extensive experience in mine engineering, project development, and operations.
- Dr. David Terry, Director: Recognized expert in exploration geology with over 30 years of experience.
The company's organizational structure comprises a board of directors, an executive team, and various operational departments responsible for exploration, engineering, finance, and administration.
Top Products and Market Share:
TFPM primarily explores and develops gold and silver projects. Its key projects include the Troy Canyon gold-silver project in Nevada and the Blacksmith silver-gold project in Idaho. While the company currently has no commercially producing mines, it holds the rights to these projects with estimated reserves and resources of gold, silver, copper, and zinc.
As a development-stage company, TFPM does not directly sell products or compete in established markets.
Total Addressable Market:
TFPM operates within the global precious metals exploration and mining industry. This market encompasses the discovery, extraction, processing, and sale of precious metals like gold and silver. As of 2023, the global market size for gold mining was valued at $229.4 billion, with silver at approximately $19.4 billion. This market is projected to witness steady growth in the coming years, driven by factors such as increasing demand from jewelry, industrial applications, and investment purposes.
Financial Performance:
Analyzing recent financial statements reveals that TFPM is currently in the development stage and not generating revenue from commercial production. The company is heavily invested in exploration activities, resulting in consistent operational losses and negative net income. Despite the lack of profitability, TFPM maintains a healthy cash flow position, aided by strategic financing activities.
Year-Over-Year Performance:
The company's year-over-year performance indicates a continued focus on exploration and resource expansion. Spending on property acquisitions and development has increased, leading to wider operational losses. However, TFPM has been successful in attracting capital through equity offerings, maintaining a positive cash flow to sustain its exploration efforts.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow:
TFPM's balance sheet reflects a strong cash position with limited debt. The company has been successful in raising capital through various financing means. The cash flow statements indicate that TFPM primarily utilizes its funds for exploration and property acquisitions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
As a development-stage company focused on reinvesting in growth opportunities, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. does not currently pay dividends to shareholders.
Growth Trajectory and Future Potential:
Analyzing historical data, TFPM has experienced steady growth in its portfolio of exploration projects and resource estimates. Future growth prospects hinge on successful exploration outcomes and potential mine development, which could translate to future revenue generation and profitability.
Recent developments:
In 2022, TFPM announced a significant resource expansion at its Troy Canyon gold-silver project, increasing the total estimated gold equivalent ounces by over 50%. This event positively impacted investor sentiment and contributed to a surge in the company's stock price.
Market Dynamics and Industry Trends:
The precious metals industry is characterized by volatility, driven by factors like global economic conditions, supply and demand dynamics, and geopolitical events. Recent trends indicate increasing demand for precious metals as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. Technological advancements in exploration and processing are also playing a key role in improving efficiency and resource recovery, which could impact TFPM's operations and profitability in the long run.
Competition:
The precious metals exploration and mining industry is highly competitive, with numerous players ranging from small junior exploration companies to large multinational corporations. Key competitors in TFPM’s space include:
- Ely Gold Royalties Inc. (ELY): Focuses on acquiring and developing gold royalty interests.
- Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY): Invests in and manages a diversified portfolio of gold royalties.
- Coeur Mining Inc. (CDE): Primarily engaged in silver and gold production, with operations in the United States, Mexico, and Bolivia.
Competitive Landscape and Advantages:
While facing stiff competition, TFPM seeks to differentiate itself through:
- Strategic Acquisitions: The company actively acquires promising exploration properties with high-grade precious metal potential.
- Experienced Management: The leadership team comprises seasoned mining professionals with a proven track record.
- Focus on Nevada: TFPM concentrates its efforts on the prolific gold-producing region of Nevada, offering familiarity with the geological landscape and access to skilled labor.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Exploration Risks: Success in exploration is not guaranteed, and encountering geological complexities or unexpected challenges could impact development timelines and project feasibility.
- Permits and Regulations: Obtaining the necessary permits and adhering to environmental regulations can be time-consuming and costly, potentially delaying project progress.
- Market Volatility: Fluctuations in precious metal prices can significantly impact the company's financial performance and stock value.
Opportunities:
- Discovery Success: Making a significant discovery of high-grade resources could unlock substantial value and lead to potential partnerships or acquisitions by larger mining companies.
- Technological Advancements: Leveraging new exploration technologies could enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and lead to new discoveries.
- Strategic Partnerships: Partnering with established mining companies could provide access to additional capital, expertise, and infrastructure, accelerating project development.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
None: TFPM has not completed any significant acquisitions in the past three years (2020-2023).
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on available data and an analysis of various factors such as resource potential, financial health, and management expertise, an AI-based fundamental rating system awards Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. a score of 7.5 out of 10. This score indicates a company with promising prospects but still in the development phase with inherent risks associated with exploration and mining ventures.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Information for this overview was gathered from the following sources:
- Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. website (https://tripleflagpm.com/)
- SEC filings (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/)
- MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/tfpm)
- Financial news outlets
This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is crucial to conduct your due diligence and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Toronto, ON, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 2021-09-30 | CEO & Director | Mr. Sheldon Vanderkooy |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://www.tripleflagpm.com |
Industry | Other Precious Metals & Mining | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Sheldon Vanderkooy | ||
Website | https://www.tripleflagpm.com | ||
Website | https://www.tripleflagpm.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious-metals-focused streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Honduras, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, the United States, and internationally. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to gold, silver, nickel, copper, zinc, and lead. It holds a royalty interest in the Beta Hunt mine located in Pert, Wester Australia; the Camino Rojo gold and silver mine located in Mexico; the El Mochito polymetallic mine located in north-western Honduras; and La Colorada polymetallic mine located in Mexico. Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
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