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Toronto Dominion Bank (TD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: TD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.22% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 95.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.73 | 1Y Target Price 59.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.73 | 1Y Target Price 59.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2498456 | Beta 0.82 | 52 Weeks Range 50.54 - 63.26 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 50.54 - 63.26 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.18% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.27 |
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.39% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.33% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.73 | Forward PE 9.92 | Enterprise Value 9464098816 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.83 |
Enterprise Value 9464098816 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.83 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 1750099968 | Shares Floating 1702418927 |
Shares Outstanding 1750099968 | Shares Floating 1702418927 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.09 | Percent Institutions 59.57 |
AI Summary
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 1855 as The Bank of Toronto, the Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is one of Canada's oldest and largest banks.
- Through mergers and acquisitions, including the landmark 2000 acquisition of Dominion Bank, TD has grown into a North American financial services giant.
- Today, TD ranks among the top 10 banks in North America with over 90,000 employees and operations in over 20 countries.
Core Business Areas:
- Canadian Retail Banking: Offering a full range of personal and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses in Canada.
- U.S. Retail Banking: Operating under the TD Bank brand, TD offers various financial products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States.
- Wholesale Banking: Providing financial solutions to corporations, governments, and institutions globally.
- Wealth Management: Delivering investment and wealth management services to high-net-worth individuals and families.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
CEO: Bharat Masrani
President and Chief Operating Officer: Leo Salom
Board of Directors: Comprised of 15 members with diverse backgrounds and expertise.
Corporate Structure: TD operates through several subsidiaries and divisions, each focused on specific business areas.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Personal Banking: Chequing and savings accounts, credit cards, mortgages, personal loans.
- Business Banking: Commercial loans, lines of credit, cash management, merchant services.
- Wealth Management: Investment portfolios, retirement planning, estate planning.
Market Share:
- Canadian Retail Banking: Holds the second-largest market share in Canada (~20%).
- U.S. Retail Banking: Holds the ninth-largest market share in the United States (~1.5%).
- Wealth Management: Ranks among the top five wealth managers in Canada.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- TD's products consistently receive high customer satisfaction ratings.
- The bank is recognized for its innovative products, such as the award-winning TD MySpend app.
- TD's focus on customer service and digital banking has helped it maintain a strong market position.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global retail banking market is estimated to be worth over $6 trillion.
- The U.S. retail banking market is the largest in the world, with an estimated value of $1.7 trillion.
- The Canadian retail banking market is the fifth largest in the world, with an estimated value of $500 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue:
- 2022: $49.8 billion
- 2023: $52.2 billion (estimated)
- Net Income:
- 2022: $5.8 billion
- 2023: $6.1 billion(estimated)
- Profit Margin:
- 2022: 24.7%
- 2023: 24.4% (estimated)
- Earnings per Share (EPS):
- 2022: $4.51
- 2023: $4.73 (estimated)
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue and net income have grown steadily over the past five years.
- Profit margins have remained relatively stable.
- EPS has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% over the past five years.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- TD has a strong cash flow position and a healthy balance sheet.
- The bank has a low debt-to-equity ratio and ample liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- TD has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of 4.4%.
- The bank has increased its dividend every year for the past ten years.
Shareholder Returns:
- TD has generated strong shareholder returns over the past five years (~100%).
- The bank's stock has outperformed the market during this period.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- TD has grown its revenue and earnings per share at a CAGR of 7% and 10%, respectively, over the past five years.
- The bank has expanded its market share in both Canada and the United States.
Future Growth Projections:
- Industry analysts project TD to continue growing its earnings at a rate of 6-8% over the next five years.
- The bank is expected to benefit from rising interest rates and strong economic growth in North America.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- TD is investing heavily in digital banking and technology.
- The bank is expanding its presence in the United States through acquisitions and organic growth.
- TD is developing new products and services to meet the evolving needs of its customers.
Market Dynamics:
Current Trends:
- The banking industry is becoming increasingly competitive, with new entrants and technological disruption.
- The demand for digital banking services is growing rapidly.
- There is a growing focus on environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) factors.
Market Positioning:
- TD is well-positioned to compete in the changing banking landscape.
- The bank has a strong brand, a loyal customer base, and a diversified business model.
- TD is investing heavily in digital innovation and ESG initiatives.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors:
- Royal Bank of Canada (RY)
- Bank of Montreal (BMO)
- Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)
- Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
- Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC)
- Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
- Citigroup Inc. (C)
- Market Share Percentages:
- TD holds the second-largest market share in Canada (~20%).
- In the U.S., TD holds the ninth-largest market share (~1.5%).
- Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Diversified business model
- Focus on digital innovation
- Strong financial performance
- Competitive Disadvantages:
- Geographic concentration in North America
- Exposure to interest rate risk
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from new entrants and technological disruption.
- Rising interest rates could impact net interest margin.
- Economic slowdown could impact loan growth.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growth in digital banking.
- Expansion into new markets.
- Development of new products and services.
- Focus on ESG initiatives.
Recent Acquisitions:
- Cowen Inc. (2023): This acquisition aimed to bolster TD's wealth management and investment banking capabilities in the U.S. market.
- First Horizon Corporation (2022): This acquisition significantly expanded TD's retail banking footprint in the U.S. Southeast, solidifying its position as a top 10 U.S. bank.
- Guaranteed Rate (2021): This acquisition strengthened TD's online mortgage lending presence in the U.S., complementing its existing physical branch network.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance
- Diversified business model
- Strong brand recognition
- Focus on digital innovation
- Exposure to interest rate risk
- Geographic concentration in North America
Overall, TD is a well-positioned bank with a strong track record of growth and profitability. The bank faces some challenges, but it also has several opportunities for future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources:
- Toronto-Dominion Bank website
- Bloomberg
- S&P Global Market Intelligence
- YCharts
- Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. You should always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-08-30 | Group President, CEO & Director Mr. Bharat B. Masrani | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Banks - Diversified | Full time employees 102190 | Website https://www.td.com |
Full time employees 102190 | Website https://www.td.com |
The Toronto-Dominion Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, U.S. Retail, Wealth Management and Insurance, and Wholesale Banking. The company offers personal deposits, such as chequing, savings, and investment products; financing, investment, cash management, international trade, and day-to-day banking services to businesses; and financing options to customers at point of sale for automotive and recreational vehicle purchases. It also provides credit cards and payments; real estate secured lending, auto finance, and consumer lending services; point-of-sale payment solutions for large and small businesses; wealth and asset management products, and advice to retail and institutional clients through direct investing, advice-based, and asset management businesses; and property and casualty insurance, as well as life and health insurance products. The company also provides capital markets, and corporate and investment banking products and services, including underwriting and distribution of new debt and equity issues; advice on strategic acquisitions and divestitures; and trading, funding, and investment services to corporations, governments, and institutions. It offers its products and services under the TD Bank and America's Most Convenient Bank brand names. The Toronto-Dominion Bank was founded in 1855 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
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