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Trip.com Group Ltd ADR (TCOM)TCOM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: TCOM (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 29.92% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 48 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 29.92% | Avg. Invested days: 48 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 30.75B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.98 | 1Y Target Price 64.54 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.92 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3334092 | Beta 0.39 |
52 Weeks Range 31.55 - 58.00 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 30.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.98 | 1Y Target Price 64.54 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.92 | Volume (30-day avg) 3334092 | Beta 0.39 |
52 Weeks Range 31.55 - 58.00 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-26 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 5.24 | Actual 7.25 |
Report Date 2024-08-26 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 5.24 | Actual 7.25 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 28.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) 27.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.36% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.98 | Forward PE 12.59 |
Enterprise Value 26567645196 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.12 |
Shares Outstanding 651108992 | Shares Floating 543332086 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 38.3 |
Trailing PE 15.98 | Forward PE 12.59 | Enterprise Value 26567645196 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.12 | Shares Outstanding 651108992 | Shares Floating 543332086 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 38.3 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.7 | Target Price 50.99 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 22 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.7 | Target Price 50.99 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 22 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Trip.com Group Limited ADR (TCOM): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
- History and Background: Trip.com Group Limited (formerly Ctrip.com International, Ltd.) was founded in 1999 and incorporated in the Cayman Islands. It is a leading online travel agency (OTA) in China, offering a wide range of travel products and services, including:
- Accommodation bookings (hotels, apartments, villas)
- Flight tickets (domestic and international)
- Train tickets
- Car rentals
- Travel packages (including sightseeing tours)
- Visa application services
- Core Business Areas: Trip.com Group's core business areas include:
- Flight Ticket Booking: This segment remains the largest revenue contributor, accounting for around 50% of total revenue.
- Accommodation Booking: This segment offers bookings for various types of accommodations, including hotels, apartments, and villas. It contributes around 25% to total revenue.
- Package Tours: This segment provides pre-arranged travel packages with various itineraries and destinations. It contributes around 15% to total revenue.
- Other Services: This segment includes services like train tickets, car rentals, visa application services, and other travel-related products. It contributes around 10% to total revenue.
- Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: Trip.com Group is led by James Liang, the Executive Chairman and Co-founder. Jane Sun serves as the CEO and Director. The company has a Board of Directors and various management teams overseeing different business segments and operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Top Products: Trip.com Group's top products include flight ticket booking, hotel booking, and package tours.
- Market Share: Trip.com Group is the leading OTA in China, holding a market share of approximately 24% as of 2022. It is also a significant player in the global OTA market, ranking among the top 10 players.
- Product Performance and Market Reception: Trip.com Group's products have generally received positive reviews and ratings from users. The company focuses on providing a user-friendly platform, competitive pricing, and diverse travel options. However, it faces competition from other major OTAs like Booking Holdings, Expedia Group, and Qunar.
Total Addressable Market:
The global online travel market is estimated to reach a value of USD 1,397.6 billion by 2027. This indicates a vast addressable market for Trip.com Group and other players in the industry.
Financial Performance:
- Recent Financial Statements: Trip.com Group reported total revenue of USD 5.4 billion in 2022, with a net income of USD 240 million. The company's profit margins have been under pressure due to increased competition and marketing expenses. Earnings per share (EPS) stood at USD 0.27 in 2022.
- Year-over-Year Comparison: Compared to 2021, Trip.com Group's revenue in 2022 increased by 12%, while net income decreased by 24%. This reflects the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the travel industry.
- Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Trip.com Group has a healthy cash flow position and a relatively strong balance sheet. The company has manageable debt levels and sufficient liquidity to support its operations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Trip.com Group has a history of paying dividends, with a recent dividend yield of 0.7%. The company's dividend payout ratio has been moderate, ranging between 20% and 30% in recent years.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Trip.com Group's stock price has increased by approximately 20%. Over the past five years, shareholder returns have been slightly negative due to pandemic-related challenges.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Trip.com Group experienced significant growth in the pre-pandemic years, with revenue increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20%. However, the pandemic slowed down this growth in 2020 and 2021.
- Future Growth Projections: As the travel industry recovers from the pandemic, Trip.com Group is expected to resume its growth trajectory. The company is targeting a CAGR of 15% to 20% in the coming years, driven by factors like increasing travel demand, product innovation, and market expansion.
- Growth Initiatives: Trip.com Group is investing in various growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding its product offerings to include more travel-related services.
- Investing in technology to improve the user experience and efficiency.
- Entering new markets, such as Southeast Asia and Europe.
- Strengthening its partnerships with airlines, hotels, and other travel service providers.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The online travel industry is characterized by rapid technological advancements, increasing competition, and growing demand for personalized travel experiences.
- Company Positioning: Trip.com Group is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition in China, its comprehensive product offerings, and its focus on technology and innovation. The company is also adapting to market changes by investing in mobile-first strategies and developing AI-powered travel recommendations.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors: Trip.com Group's major competitors include:
- Booking Holdings (BKNG)
- Expedia Group (EXPE)
- Qunar (QUNR) *攜程 (TCOM)
- Market Share Comparison: Trip.com Group has a market share of 24% in China, while Booking Holdings and Expedia Group have market shares of 10% and 7% respectively. Qunar holds a market share of 5%.
- Competitive Advantages: Trip.com Group's competitive advantages include its focus on the Chinese market, its strong brand recognition, its comprehensive product offerings, and its investments in technology.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
- Key Challenges: Trip.com Group faces several challenges, including:
- Intensifying competition: The online travel market is highly competitive, with major players constantly vying for market share.
- Economic uncertainty: Global economic factors and geopolitical tensions can impact travel demand and affect the company's performance.
- Technological disruption: Rapid advancements in technology could disrupt the industry and force companies to adapt their business models.
- Potential Opportunities: Trip.com Group has several potential opportunities, including:
- Growing middle class in China: The growing middle class in China presents a significant opportunity for Trip.com Group as this segment is increasingly seeking travel experiences.
- Expansion into new markets: Trip.com Group can expand into new markets and diversify its revenue streams.
- Product innovation: The company can develop new products and services to meet the evolving needs of travelers.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Skyscanner (2016): Trip.com Group acquired Skyscanner, a global flight search engine, for USD 1.7 billion. This acquisition helped Trip.com Group expand its global reach and enhance its flight booking capabilities.
- Trip.com (2017): Trip.com Group acquired Ctrip.com International, Ltd., which was its largest competitor in the Chinese market. This acquisition strengthened the company's market position and eliminated a major competitor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Trip.com Group Ltd ADR
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2003-12-09 | CEO & Director | Ms. Jie Sun |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://group.trip.com |
Industry | Travel Services | Full time employees | 36249 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Director | Ms. Jie Sun | ||
Website | https://group.trip.com | ||
Website | https://group.trip.com | ||
Full time employees | 36249 |
Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. The company acts as an agent for hotel-related transactions and selling air tickets, as well as provides train, long-distance bus, and ferry tickets; travel insurance products, such as flight delay, air accident, and baggage loss coverage; and air-ticket delivery, online check-in and seat selection, express security screening, real-time flight status tracker, and airport VIP lounge services. It also provides independent leisure travelers bundled packaged-tour products comprising group, semi-group, and customized and packaged tours with various transportation arrangements, including air, cruise, bus, and car rental services. In addition, the company offers integrated transportation and accommodation services; destination transportation and ticket, activity, insurance, visa, and tour guide services; user support, supplier management, and customer relationship management services; and in-destination products and services. Further, It provides its corporate clients with business visit, incentive trip, meeting and conference, travel data collection and analysis, and industry benchmarking solutions; and Corporate Travel Management System, an online platform that integrates information management, online booking and authorization, online inquiry, and travel reporting systems. Additionally, the company offers online advertising and financial services, such as marketing planning and travel media services. It operates under the Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner brands. The company was formerly known as Ctrip.com International, Ltd. and changed its name to Trip.com Group Limited in October 2019. Trip.com Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is based in Singapore.
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