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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc (TARS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: TARS (3-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (52.21%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 106.86% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.79B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 66.11 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 66.11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 653096 | Beta 1 | 52 Weeks Range 20.08 - 57.14 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.08 - 57.14 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.75 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -103.64% | Operating Margin (TTM) -52.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -27.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) -59.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1533703737 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.78 |
Enterprise Value 1533703737 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.78 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.23 | Shares Outstanding 38226900 | Shares Floating 28973719 |
Shares Outstanding 38226900 | Shares Floating 28973719 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.73 | Percent Institutions 120.7 |
AI Summary
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. - Comprehensive Overview (October 2023)
Company Profile
Detailed history and background: Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: TARS) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company specializing in developing and commercializing novel ophthalmic therapies for eye diseases. Founded in 2001, the company initially focused on developing drugs for inflammatory and allergy conditions. In recent years, Tarsus has shifted its focus towards treating dry eye disease (DED), which now represents its main area of expertise.
Core business areas:
- Dry eye disease (DED): Tarsus' primary focus is on developing innovative treatments for DED, a chronic condition that affects millions of people worldwide. The company currently has two lead product candidates in clinical development for DED: TP-03 (cyclosporine nasal spray) and TP-05 (pegylated interferon alpha-2b eye drops).
- Ocular allergies: Tarsus retains an interest in ocular allergies and continues to explore opportunities for new therapies in this area.
Leadership and structure: Tarsus is led by Bobak Azamian, Ph.D., as President and Chief Executive Officer. The company's management team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in drug development, finance, and ophthalmology. Tarsus operates a lean corporate structure with a focus on research and development activities.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- TP-03: This investigational nasal spray containing cyclosporine A is designed to address the underlying inflammatory component of DED. It is currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of DED.
- TP-05: This eye drop formulation of pegylated interferon alpha-2b is being studied in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of DED.
Market share: Tarsus does not currently generate revenue as its products are not yet commercially available. The company is competing in a rapidly growing dry eye market. Market research indicates the global DED market was valued at approximately $4.4 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $8.7 billion by 2030.
Competitive landscape: The leading competitor in the DED market is AbbVie, with its product Restasis, which generated over $1 billion in 2022. Other major players include Johnson & Johnson, Shire, and Novartis. Tarsus differentiates itself by targeting the underlying causes of DED rather than just providing symptomatic relief.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The TAM for DED is estimated to be approximately 350 million people globally, with the US market representing around 40 million potential patients. As the awareness and diagnosis of DED increase, this market is expected to see further growth in the coming years.
Financial Performance:
Tarsus is currently a pre-revenue company, with its primary focus on clinical development. As of June 30, 2023, the company reported a cash and cash equivalents balance of approximately $53.3 million. Tarsus has been primarily funded through private placements and venture debt financings. The company expects its cash runway to extend into the first quarter of 2025, based on current operating plans and anticipated cash needs.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
As a pre-revenue company, Tarsus currently does not pay dividends to shareholders. The company's stock price has experienced volatility over the past year, reflecting the inherent risks associated with investing in early-stage biopharmaceutical companies.
Growth Trajectory:
Tarsus is currently in a significant growth phase, with its focus on advancing its two lead product candidates through clinical development. The potential success of TP-03 and TP-05 in treating DED could significantly transform the company's financial prospects and drive long-term shareholder value.
Market Dynamics:
The dry eye disease market is characterized by several trends:
- Increased awareness: DED is becoming increasingly recognized and diagnosed, leading to a rising demand for effective treatments.
- Technological advancements: New drug delivery technologies and innovative therapeutic approaches are offering promising solutions for DED patients.
- Rising prevalence of risk factors: Factors like increased screen time and aging populations contribute to a growing number of people with DED.
Tarsus is well-positioned to benefit from these trends with its pipeline of innovative treatments and targeted approach to addressing the root causes of DED.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
- Shire (SHPG)
- Novartis (NVS)
These competitors hold a significant market share in the DED space, with established products like Restasis. However, Tarsus is developing novel therapies with potential advantages over existing options, making them a potential challenger in the future.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Clinical trial success: Ensuring positive results in the ongoing clinical trials for TP-03 and TP-05 is critical for the company's future success.
- Market adoption: Gaining acceptance from healthcare professionals and patients for a new therapeutic approach in DED might require significant effort.
- Competition: Tarsus faces stiff competition from established players with strong brand recognition and market presence.
Potential opportunities:
- Positive clinical results: Successful clinical trial results for TP-03 and TP-05 could propel the company towards commercialization and unlock significant market potential.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaboration with established ophthalmic companies could accelerate Tarsus's market access and commercialization efforts.
- Continued market growth: The expanding DED market presents a significant opportunity for Tarsus to establish its brand and capture market share with innovative and effective therapies.
Recent Acquisitions:
Tarsus has not conducted any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on a review of various financial and market data, Tarsus currently receives an AI-based rating of 6/10. This rating reflects the company's strong potential for growth, driven by its promising product pipeline in a growing market. However, the rating also considers the inherent risks associated with the company's pre-revenue stage, clinical development process, and competitive market environment. The future success of Tarsus depends heavily on achieving positive clinical outcomes for its lead product candidates and successfully navigating the regulatory and commercialization challenges ahead.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview utilized information from Tarsus Pharmaceuticals' website, SEC filings, press releases, and other public sources. The analysis was conducted using publicly available data as of October 27, 2023.
Disclaimer: This overview does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made independently based on your own due diligence, financial situation, and investment objectives.
About Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-10-16 | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman Dr. Bobak R. Azamian M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 244 | Website https://www.tarsusrx.com |
Full time employees 244 | Website https://www.tarsusrx.com |
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel therapeutic candidates for eye care in the United States. The company's lead product candidate is XDEMVY, a novel therapeutic for the treatment of blepharitis caused by the infestation of Demodex mites, as well as to treat meibomian gland disease. It is developing TP-04 for the treatment of rosacea; and TP-05 for Lyme prophylaxis and community malaria reduction. In addition, the company develops lotilaner to address diseases across therapeutic categories in human medicine, including eye care, dermatology, and other infectious disease prevention. Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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