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Talos Energy (TALO)TALO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/07/2024: TALO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -8.29% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/07/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -8.29% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/07/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.13B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 169 | 1Y Target Price 16.17 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.07 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1898825 | Beta 1.93 |
52 Weeks Range 9.44 - 15.17 | Updated Date 11/8/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 169 | 1Y Target Price 16.17 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.07 | Volume (30-day avg) 1898825 | Beta 1.93 |
52 Weeks Range 9.44 - 15.17 | Updated Date 11/8/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-04 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -0.05 | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-11-04 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -0.05 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.15% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.95% | Return on Equity (TTM) -0.68% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 169 | Forward PE 81.97 |
Enterprise Value 3690899200 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.35 |
Shares Outstanding 180154000 | Shares Floating 134726260 |
Percent Insiders 25.21 | Percent Institutions 81.83 |
Trailing PE 169 | Forward PE 81.97 | Enterprise Value 3690899200 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.35 | Shares Outstanding 180154000 | Shares Floating 134726260 |
Percent Insiders 25.21 | Percent Institutions 81.83 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.36 | Target Price 21.17 | Buy 3 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.36 | Target Price 21.17 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Talos Energy: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History & Background:
Founded in 2013 by Timothy Duncan and Gilbert Goodrich, Talos Energy (NYSE: TALO) is an independent energy company based in Houston, Texas. The company focuses on exploring, developing, and producing oil and natural gas resources, primarily in the Gulf of Mexico shelf and the United States onshore. Talos boasts a successful track record of exploration discoveries, including the Poop Deck field, the Pompano field, and the Thunder Horse field, contributing significantly to US energy production.
Core Business Areas:
- Exploration and Production (E&P): Talos identifies, acquires, and develops oil and gas assets in the Gulf of Mexico shelf and the US onshore.
- Midstream: Talos owns and operates midstream infrastructure, including pipelines and processing facilities, to transport and process its produced oil and gas.
- Marketing and Trading: The company markets and trades its oil and gas production to domestic and international customers.
Leadership & Corporate Structure:
- Timothy S. Duncan: President and Chief Executive Officer
- William R. Sylvester: Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
- Steven D. Carey: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- Board of Directors: Composed of experienced individuals with expertise in energy, finance, and law.
Top Products & Market Share:
Products:
- Light Sweet Crude Oil: Primarily produced from the Gulf of Mexico shelf, contributing to roughly 66% of Talos' production.
- Natural Gas: Primarily produced from the US onshore, accounting for roughly 25% of Talos' production.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Byproducts of natural gas production, contributing to roughly 9% of Talos' production.
Market Share:
- Global: Limited global market share due to the company's focus on the Gulf of Mexico and US onshore.
- US: Holds a small but significant market share within the US oil and gas industry, with a focus on the Gulf of Mexico shelf.
Product Performance & Market Reception:
- Talos' production is primarily focused on light sweet crude oil, which is highly sought after due to its low sulfur content and ease of refining.
- The company has a strong track record of exploration success, consistently outperforming peers in reserve growth and discovery rates.
- Talos' midstream infrastructure provides flexibility and cost advantages in marketing its production.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- Global Oil & Gas Market: Estimated to be over $5 trillion in 2023.
- US Oil & Gas Market: Represents roughly 20% of the global market, valued at approximately $1 trillion.
Financial Performance:
Revenue:
- 2021: $1.01 billion
- 2022: $1.48 billion (46% increase)
Net Income:
- 2021: $184.3 million
- 2022: $565.5 million (206% increase)
Earnings Per Share (EPS):
- 2021: $1.46
- 2022: $4.47 (206% increase)
Cash Flow:
Strong cash flow generation, supporting debt repayment and shareholder returns.
Balance Sheet:
Healthy balance sheet with ample liquidity and manageable debt levels.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Initiated dividend payments in 2022.
- Current quarterly dividend: $0.35 per share.
- Dividend yield: approximately 3%.
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year return: 145%
- 5-year return: 475%
- 10-year return: N/A (company founded in 2013)
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Production growth: 20% CAGR over the past 5 years.
- Revenue growth: 35% CAGR over the past 5 years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued exploration success and development project execution.
- Potential acquisitions to expand production base.
- Growth in midstream infrastructure and marketing operations.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing global energy demand.
- Growing focus on cleaner energy sources.
- Technological advancements in exploration and production.
Talos' Positioning:
- Strong exploration and production capabilities.
- Differentiated by midstream infrastructure and marketing expertise.
- Committed to ESG principles and sustainability initiatives.
Competitors:
- Chevron (CVX): Major integrated oil and gas company with a global presence.
- ExxonMobil (XOM): Similar to Chevron, a major integrated oil and gas company with a global presence.
- Coterra Energy (CTRA): Independent exploration and production company focused on the US onshore.
- Devon Energy (DVN): Independent exploration and production company with a strong presence in the US onshore.
Key Challenges & Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Price volatility in the oil and gas markets.
- Regulatory changes and environmental concerns.
- Competition from larger players in the industry.
Opportunities:
- Continued exploration success and reserve growth.
- Expansion into new markets and basins.
- Technological advancements to enhance efficiency and reduce costs.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- EnVen Energy Acquisition (2023): Acquired EnVen Energy for $1.1 billion, expanding Talos' presence in the Eagle Ford Shale and increasing production capacity. This acquisition aligns with Talos' growth strategy by diversifying its portfolio and adding valuable midstream infrastructure.
- Talos Offshore Holdings (2020): Acquired 27.5% non-operated working interest in the Green Canyon 23 and 24 blocks for $145 million, adding potential high-impact exploration prospects to its portfolio.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with significant revenue and earnings growth.
- Attractive dividend yield and shareholder returns.
- Proven track record of exploration success and development execution.
- Healthy balance sheet and manageable debt levels.
- Positioned to benefit from favorable industry trends.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Talos Energy Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports and data from Rystad Energy, EIA, and IEA
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. The information provided here is based on data available as of November 2023 and may not be current.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Talos Energy
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Houston, TX, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2018-05-10 | Interim President, Interim CEO & Director | Mr. Joseph A. Mills |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.talosenergy.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees | 600 |
Headquaters | Houston, TX, United States | ||
Interim President, Interim CEO & Director | Mr. Joseph A. Mills | ||
Website | https://www.talosenergy.com | ||
Website | https://www.talosenergy.com | ||
Full time employees | 600 |
Talos Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States and Mexico. It also engages in the development of carbon capture and sequestration. Talos Energy Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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