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TAL Education Group (TAL)TAL
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: TAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -31.54% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: WEAK BUY |
Historic Profit: -31.54% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.12B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 84.42 | 1Y Target Price 14.04 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.12 |
Volume (30-day avg) 7491030 | Beta 0.03 |
52 Weeks Range 7.34 - 15.52 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 84.42 | 1Y Target Price 14.04 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.12 | Volume (30-day avg) 7491030 | Beta 0.03 |
52 Weeks Range 7.34 - 15.52 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.09 | Actual 0.12 |
Report Date 2024-10-24 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.09 | Actual 0.12 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.16% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.96% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 84.42 | Forward PE 28.9 |
Enterprise Value 3015334783 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.33 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.88 |
Shares Outstanding 458143008 | Shares Floating 137339149 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 64.66 |
Trailing PE 84.42 | Forward PE 28.9 | Enterprise Value 3015334783 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.33 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.64 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.88 | Shares Outstanding 458143008 | Shares Floating 137339149 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 64.66 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.65 | Target Price 8.43 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 14 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.65 | Target Price 8.43 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 14 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
TAL Education Group: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL), founded in 2003 and headquartered in Beijing, China, is a leading provider of after-school tutoring and educational services in China. It offers a diverse range of programs for students from kindergarten to high school, covering various subjects like language, mathematics, science, and humanities. TAL has experienced significant growth over the years, expanding its operations across China and establishing itself as a major player in the country's booming education sector.
Core Business Areas
- After-school tutoring: TAL's core business, offering various tutoring programs for different subjects and grade levels.
- Online courses: The company provides online tutoring and educational resources through its own platforms and partnerships.
- International education: TAL offers programs for students who want to study abroad, including test preparation and application assistance.
- Curriculum development: Develops and publishes its own educational materials and curriculum.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
- Executive Chairman and CEO: Zhang Bangxin
- President and COO: Cheng Yujie
- CFO: Liang Yifan
- Board of Directors: Comprised of industry experts and experienced professionals.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products
- 1-on-1 tutoring: Personalized tutoring sessions for students of all levels.
- Small group classes: Classes with a limited number of students for more focused learning.
- Online courses: Pre-recorded and live online courses covering various subjects.
- Test preparation: Programs designed to help students prepare for standardized tests like the Gaokao.
Market Share
- Dominant player in China's after-school tutoring market, holding a market share of over 10%.
- Strong online presence with a growing number of users accessing its online courses and resources.
- Facing increasing competition from other players in the online education market.
Total Addressable Market
- China's after-school tutoring market is estimated to be worth over $120 billion.
- The online education market in China is also rapidly growing, with a projected market size of over $400 billion by 2025.
- TAL operates in a vast and growing market with significant potential for expansion.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements
- Revenue: Increased from $3.5 billion in 2021 to $3.9 billion in 2022.
- Net Income: Decreased from $647 million in 2021 to $489 million in 2022.
- Profit Margin: Decreased from 18.3% in 2021 to 12.5% in 2022.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Decreased from $2.06 in 2021 to $1.55 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison
- Revenue growth slowed down compared to previous years due to regulatory changes in China's education sector.
- Profitability declined due to increased competition and investments in online education initiatives.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
- Healthy cash flow from operations.
- Solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
- TAL has a history of paying dividends, with a recent dividend yield of around 0.5%.
- Payout ratio has been fluctuating in recent years due to changes in profitability and investment plans.
Shareholder Returns
- Total shareholder returns have been negative in the past year due to the decline in share price.
- Long-term shareholder returns have been positive, reflecting the company's growth trajectory.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
- TAL has experienced strong historical growth, with revenue increasing at a CAGR of over 20% in the past five years.
- Profitability has also grown significantly, although at a slower pace than revenue.
Future Growth Projections
- Future growth is expected to be driven by the expansion of online education and international markets.
- However, regulatory changes and competition pose challenges to future growth prospects.
Recent Growth Initiatives
- Investing heavily in online education initiatives to expand its reach and cater to the growing demand for online learning.
- Expanding its international operations through partnerships and acquisitions.
- Developing new educational products and services to meet the evolving needs of students.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
- China's after-school tutoring market is highly competitive and fragmented, with numerous players offering similar services.
- The industry is undergoing significant regulatory changes, with the government aiming to reduce the financial burden on families and promote educational equity.
- Technology is playing an increasingly important role in the education sector, with online learning becoming more popular.
TAL's Positioning
- TAL is well-positioned in the market due to its strong brand recognition, extensive network of learning centers, and experienced teaching staff.
- The company is actively adapting to regulatory changes and investing in online education to maintain its competitive edge.
- However, TAL needs to address the increasing competition and ensure the quality of its online courses to achieve sustainable growth.
Competitors
Key Competitors
- New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU)
- GSX Techedu Inc. (GSX)
- 17 Education & Technology Group Inc. (YQ)
- Koolearn Technology Holding Limited (KLED)
Market Share Comparison
- TAL has a market share of over 10%, followed by New Oriental with around 9% and GSX Techedu with around 5%.
- The remaining market share is divided among numerous smaller players.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages
- Advantages: Strong brand recognition, extensive network of learning centers, experienced teaching staff, and investments in online education.
- Disadvantages: Regulatory risks, increasing competition, and dependence on the Chinese market.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges
- Navigating regulatory changes: TAL needs to adapt its business model to comply with the government's new regulations.
- Managing competition: The company faces intense competition from other players in the market.
- Maintaining quality: TAL needs to ensure the quality of its online courses and teaching staff to maintain its reputation.
Potential Opportunities
- Expanding online education: The online education market is rapidly growing, offering significant potential for expansion.
- Entering international markets: TAL can leverage its expertise and brand recognition to expand into new markets.
- Developing new educational products and services: The company can innovate and develop new offerings to cater to the evolving needs of students.
Recent Acquisitions
- In August 2021, TAL acquired Koolearn Technology Holding Limited, an online education platform, for $1.4 billion. This acquisition strengthened TAL's online education capabilities and expanded its product offerings.
- In April 2022, TAL acquired a majority stake in TutorMing, an online English tutoring platform, for $250 million. This acquisition aims to expand TAL's presence in the international education market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
- Overall Rating: 7 out of 10
- Strengths: Strong brand recognition, extensive network of learning centers, experienced teaching staff, investments in online education.
- Weaknesses: Regulatory risks, increasing competition, dependence on the Chinese market.
- Opportunities: Expanding online education, entering international markets, developing new educational products and services.
- Threats: Regulatory changes, competition, quality concerns.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Sources: TAL Education Group annual reports, investor presentations, company website, news articles, financial data providers.
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TAL Education Group
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2010-10-20 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Bangxin Zhang |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.100tal.com |
Industry | Education & Training Services | Full time employees | 15000 |
Headquaters | - | ||
Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Mr. Bangxin Zhang | ||
Website | https://www.100tal.com | ||
Website | https://www.100tal.com | ||
Full time employees | 15000 |
TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small-classes services; personalized premium services; and learning content solutions, such as print books, smart books, mobile apps, and AI-driven learning devices. The company also operates www.xueersi.com, an online education platform; provides investment management and consulting services; develops and sells software and networks, as well as related consulting services; and sells educational materials and products. It offers its services under the Haoweilai and Think Academy brands. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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