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Swvl Holdings Corp (SWVL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: SWVL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.12% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 45.67M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 125 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9649 | Beta 0.62 | 52 Weeks Range 2.55 - 21.94 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.55 - 21.94 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.74 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -23.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) -50.49% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -23.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -355.51% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 45913136 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31 |
Enterprise Value 45913136 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.07 | Shares Outstanding 10719600 | Shares Floating 7355200 |
Shares Outstanding 10719600 | Shares Floating 7355200 | ||
Percent Insiders 29.24 | Percent Institutions 0.64 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 81.25 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Swvl Holdings Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Swvl Holdings Corp. was founded in 2017. It started as a bus-hailing app in Egypt, expanding to other markets in Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America. Swvl went public in March 2022 via a SPAC merger.
Core Business Areas
- Mass Transit Solutions: Provides fixed route bus services with flexible scheduling, targeting commuters and businesses. This includes both B2C and B2B offerings, enabling people to easily plan, book, and pay for trips using the Swvl app.
- Enterprise Solutions: Offers transportation solutions for businesses, schools, and organizations. This includes providing transportation services to corporate clients for their employees and students with customized routing and scheduling.
Leadership and Structure
Mostafa Kandil is the CEO. The company operates with a functional structure organized around key business units and support functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Swvl Business: Offers transportation solutions for businesses and enterprises. Competitors include ride-sharing services and employee shuttle services.
- Swvl Daily: Offers daily fixed route bus services for commuters. Market share data is variable by region, but Swvl holds a significant share in Egypt and Pakistan where it began. Competitors include Uber, Careem, and local public transportation options.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mass transit and mobility industry is highly competitive and fragmented, consisting of both public and private operators. The industry is undergoing a period of technological disruption, with a greater focus on sustainability.
Positioning
Swvl aims to position itself as a tech-enabled mass transit provider that is more convenient, reliable, and affordable than traditional options.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for mass transit globally is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Swvl is focused on penetrating emerging markets where there is a significant demand for efficient and affordable transportation, positioning itself to capture a notable portion of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition in key markets
- Technology-driven platform and app
- Experienced management team
- Partnerships with local operators
Weaknesses
- High operating costs
- Reliance on regulatory approvals
- Limited geographic diversification
- Negative profitability
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Partnerships with local governments
- Development of new transportation solutions
- Adoption of electric vehicles
Threats
- Competition from established ride-sharing companies
- Changes in government regulations
- Economic downturns
- Fluctuations in fuel prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UBER
- LYFT
Competitive Landscape
Swvl's competitive advantage lies in its focus on mass transit in emerging markets. However, it faces strong competition from larger, well-established ride-sharing companies like Uber and Lyft in certain markets. The company is looking to differentiate with B2B solutions and specific geographies that are outside main competitor strategies
Major Acquisitions
Shotl
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 65
- Strategic Rationale: Expand Swvl's B2B offerings and enterprise solutions, adding on-demand transportation expertise.
Zeelo
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 100
- Strategic Rationale: To extend Swvl's reach into new markets, particularly the UK and South Africa, further bolstering its B2B offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Swvl experienced rapid growth in its initial years, expanding to new markets and launching new products. However, growth has slowed down as it focuses on profitability.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates are not readily available, but Swvl is focusing on achieving profitability and sustainable growth by optimizing its operations and expanding its B2B offerings.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on cost optimization, expansion of B2B services, and strategic partnerships.
Summary
Swvl Holdings Corp. is a technology-driven mass transit provider focused on emerging markets that grew rapidly in its early years but now faces profitability challenges. Its strength lies in its technology platform and brand recognition, but its weaknesses include high operating costs and a reliance on regulatory approvals. Recent acquisitions are aimed at strengthening its B2B business and extending its geographic reach, but the company needs to carefully manage costs and navigate a competitive landscape.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- News articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The data is based on available information, which may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Swvl Holdings Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-03-31 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Mostafa Kandil | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 312 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Full time employees 312 | Website https://www.swvl.com |
Swvl Holdings Corp. provides mass transit ridesharing services. The company offers B2C Swvl Retail, which provides riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles running on fixed or semi-fixed routes within cities; and Swvl Travel that allows riders to book rides on long-distance intercity routes on vehicle available through the Swvl platform or through third-party services. It also offers Swvl Business, a transport as a service enterprise product for businesses, schools, municipal transit agencies, and other customers. Swvl Holdings Corp. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.
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