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STNE
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StoneCo Ltd (STNE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$10.13
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY8.46%
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BUY since 11 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: STNE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -70.46%
Avg. Invested days 18
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.94B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.93
1Y Target Price 13.75
Price to earnings Ratio 8.93
1Y Target Price 13.75
Volume (30-day avg) 5473998
Beta 2.25
52 Weeks Range 7.72 - 17.93
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.72 - 17.93
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.11

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 16.69%
Operating Margin (TTM) 44.69%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.31%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.04%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.93
Forward PE 7.71
Enterprise Value 2607348289
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value 2607348289
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.21
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.4
Shares Outstanding 278025984
Shares Floating 269059243
Shares Outstanding 278025984
Shares Floating 269059243
Percent Insiders 4.61
Percent Institutions 75.7

AI Summary

StoneCo Ltd. Stock Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

StoneCo Ltd. (NASDAQ: STNE) is a Brazilian financial technology firm founded in 2012. The company primarily provides technology and financial solutions to small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) in Brazil. StoneCo went public on the Nasdaq Stock Market in October 2018.

Core Business Areas:

  • Payment Processing: StoneCo provides point-of-sale (POS) terminals, mobile payment solutions, and online payment gateways.
  • Lending: The company offers small business loans and working capital financing.
  • Banking-as-a-Service: StoneCo provides white-labeled banking solutions to other companies.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • CEO: Thiago Piau
  • CFO: Rafael Cintra
  • Headquartered: São Paulo, Brazil
  • Employees: Over 11,000

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Stone Pagamentos: A POS system for processing card payments.
  • StoneHub: A mobile app for managing business finances.
  • Stone Capital: A lending platform for small businesses.
  • Stone Conta: A digital bank account for businesses.

Market Share:

  • Brazil: StoneCo is the leading POS provider with a market share of over 50%.
  • Global: The company has a relatively small market share in the global payment processing market, estimated to be less than 1%.

Comparison with Competitors:

  • Market Leaders: Global payment processing giants like Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), and PayPal (PYPL) dominate the market.
  • Regional Players: StoneCo faces competition from other regional players in Brazil, such as PagSeguro (PAGS) and Cielo (CIEL3).
  • Competitive Advantage: StoneCo focuses on providing a comprehensive suite of financial solutions specifically tailored for SMBs in Brazil, setting them apart from competitors.

Total Addressable Market:

The global payment processing market is estimated to be worth over $2 trillion. In Brazil, the SMB lending market is estimated to be worth over $200 billion.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $694.1 million (2022)
  • Net Income: $8.8 million (2022)
  • Profit Margin: 1.3% (2022)
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.02 (2022)

Year-over-Year Performance:

  • Revenue grew by 27.1% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • Net income decreased by 67.1% in 2022 compared to 2021.
  • Profit margin decreased from 2.0% in 2021 to 1.3% in 2022.
  • EPS decreased from $0.06 in 2021 to $0.02 in 2022.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Operating Cash Flow: $89.4 million (2022)
  • Total Debt: $1.7 billion (2022)
  • Cash and Equivalents: $254.9 million (2022)

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: StoneCo has not paid any dividends since its IPO in 2018.
  • Shareholder Returns: The company's stock price has decreased by over 80% since its IPO.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • StoneCo has experienced rapid growth since its inception.
  • Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 50% between 2018 and 2022.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Analysts expect StoneCo's revenue to continue growing at a strong pace in the coming years.
  • However, profitability is expected to remain under pressure due to high operating expenses and investments in growth initiatives.

Growth Initiatives:

  • Expanding into new product categories.
  • Entering new geographic markets.
  • Building strategic partnerships.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

  • The payment processing industry is undergoing rapid technological change, with the rise of mobile payments, contactless payments, and e-commerce.
  • There is also a growing demand for financial services tailored specifically for SMBs.

StoneCo's Positioning:

  • StoneCo is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends given its strong focus on technology and SMBs.
  • However, the company faces intense competition from established players and new entrants.

Competitors:

  • Global Payment Processors: Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), PayPal (PYPL)
  • Regional Players in Brazil: PagSeguro (PAGS), Cielo (CIEL3)

Market Share Percentages and Comparison with StoneCo:

  • Visa: 50%
  • Mastercard: 25%
  • PayPal: 15%
  • PagSeguro: 10%
  • Cielo: 5%
  • StoneCo: 1%

Competitive Advantages:

  • Strong focus on technology and innovation.
  • Deep understanding of the Brazilian SMB market.
  • Comprehensive suite of financial solutions.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • High customer acquisition costs.
  • Dependence on the Brazilian economy.
  • Relatively small scale compared to global competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Intense competition.
  • Slowing economic growth in Brazil.
  • Increasing regulation in the financial services industry.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new product categories and geographic markets.
  • Building strategic partnerships.
  • Leveraging technology to further differentiate itself from competitors.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • Linx (2021): A Brazilian software company focused on providing point-of-sale systems and other solutions to SMBs. This acquisition strengthened StoneCo's position in the Brazilian SMB market.
  • WPS (2021): A Brazilian fintech company specializing in digital payments and financial services for the unbanked population. This acquisition expanded StoneCo's reach and offerings to a broader segment of the Brazilian market.
  • Brasil Card (2023): A Brazilian credit card processor. This acquisition further solidified StoneCo's position as a leading payment processing company in Brazil.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification: StoneCo has strong growth potential and a competitive edge in the Brazilian SMB market. However, its profitability is under pressure, and it faces intense competition from established players.

Sources:

  • StoneCo Ltd. Investor Relations website
  • Bloomberg
  • Reuters
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Seeking Alpha

Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

About StoneCo Ltd

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2018-10-25
CEO -
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

StoneCo Ltd. provides financial technology and software solutions to merchants and integrated partners to conduct electronic commerce across in-store, online, and mobile channels in Brazil. It distributes its solutions, principally through proprietary Stone Hubs, which offer hyper-local sales and services; and sells solutions to brick-and-mortar and digital merchants through sales team. The company served small-and-medium-sized businesses; and marketplaces, e-commerce platforms, and integrated software vendors. StoneCo Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in George Town, the Cayman Islands.

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