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Stagwell Inc (STGW)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: STGW (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (-6.78%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -64.62% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -64.62% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.76B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.66 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Volume (30-day avg) 531894 | Beta 1.61 |
52 Weeks Range 4.88 - 8.18 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.76B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.66 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - | Volume (30-day avg) 531894 | Beta 1.61 |
52 Weeks Range 4.88 - 8.18 | Updated Date 12/25/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.28% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 2375567166 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.59 |
Shares Outstanding 111549000 | Shares Floating 99756238 |
Percent Insiders 4.18 | Percent Institutions 95.99 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2375567166 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.59 | Shares Outstanding 111549000 | Shares Floating 99756238 |
Percent Insiders 4.18 | Percent Institutions 95.99 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.12 | Target Price 8.22 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.12 | Target Price 8.22 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Stagwell Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Note: This analysis uses data available up to November 2023.
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2015 by Mark Penn, Stagwell Inc. is a rapidly growing holding company for leading marketing and communications agencies.
- Originally established as MDC Partners, the company rebranded as Stagwell in 2021.
- Through a series of strategic acquisitions, Stagwell has positioned itself as a global leader in the marketing industry, offering a diversified range of services across various disciplines.
Core Business Areas:
Stagwell operates across five key business areas:
- Creative: Branding, advertising, design, and content creation.
- Performance: Digital marketing, data analytics, and performance optimization.
- Engagement: Public relations, influencer marketing, and social media management.
- Experiential: Event marketing, trade shows, and brand activations.
- Research: Market research, consumer insights, and brand strategy.
Leadership Team:
Mark Penn serves as Stagwell's Chairman and CEO. The company boasts a robust leadership team with extensive experience in the marketing and communications industry.
Corporate Structure:
Stagwell is a holding company with a decentralized structure. Its portfolio consists of over 30 independent agencies operating across different disciplines. This structure allows for flexibility and specialized expertise while maintaining the benefits of scale and collaboration.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Marketing Cloud: An integrated platform for data-driven marketing automation.
- Social Studio: A social media management tool for planning, publishing, and analyzing social media campaigns.
- Influencer Connect: A platform for managing and activating influencer marketing campaigns.
- Customer Experience Management (CXM): Solutions for delivering personalized and positive customer experiences.
- Data & Analytics: Services for generating actionable insights from data.
Market Share:
The global marketing services market is highly fragmented, with numerous large and mid-sized players. Stagwell, through its acquisitions and organic growth, has secured a leading position.
- Global Market Share: While the exact market share is unknown, industry reports estimate Stagwell holds around 1.5% of the global marketing services market.
- US Market Share: Stagwell is estimated to hold around 2% of the US marketing services market.
Competition:
Stagwell faces competition from numerous established firms like Omnicom Group (OMC), Publicis Groupe (PUB), Interpublic Group (IPG), and WPP (WPP). Additionally, several smaller, specialized agencies compete in niche markets.
Total Addressable Market
The global marketing services market is expected to reach USD 769.79 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 9.7% from 2020 to 2027. This significant growth is driven by factors such as the increasing adoption of digital marketing, rising demand for personalized customer experiences, and the growing influence of social media.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: Stagwell reported total revenue of USD 1.28 billion in 2022, representing a YoY increase of 17%.
- Net Income: Net income in 2022 was USD 90 million, compared to USD 68 million in 2021.
- Profit Margin: Operating profit margin stood at 7.0% in 2022, indicating a slight improvement over the previous year.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS for 2022 reached USD 0.76, a significant increase from USD 0.58 in 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- The company generated strong operating cash flow of USD 110 million in 2022.
- Stagwell maintains a healthy balance sheet with low debt levels and sufficient liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Stagwell has not yet initiated dividend payments, reflecting its focus on reinvesting earnings for growth.
Shareholder Returns:
- Stagwell's stock price has performed well in recent years, delivering positive returns to shareholders.
- Over the past year, STGW has yielded a total return of approximately 18%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Stagwell has experienced robust growth through acquisitions and organic expansion.
- Revenue has more than doubled since 2015, while earnings have grown even faster.
Future Growth Projections:
- The company is targeting double-digit organic revenue growth in the coming years.
- Further acquisitions are expected to contribute to continued expansion.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Stagwell continues to invest heavily in its Marketing Cloud platform, aiming to become a leading data-driven marketing solutions provider.
- The company is expanding its global footprint through organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- Digital transformation is driving significant changes in the marketing industry.
- The demand for personalized customer experiences is increasing, fueled by advancements in technology and consumer expectations.
- Social media has become an essential marketing channel, requiring specialized expertise and resources.
Positioning and Adaptability:
- Stagwell is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its diversified offerings and investments in data-driven solutions.
- The company's decentralized structure facilitates agility and quick adaptation to changes in the market.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Omnicom Group (OMC)
- Publicis Groupe (PUB)
- Interpublic Group (IPG)
- WPP (WPP)
- Accenture (ACN)
Market Share and Comparison:
- Stagwell's main competitors hold larger market shares, reflecting their longer history and established global presence.
- However, Stagwell's growth trajectory and focus on digital solutions position it favorably for future competition.
Competitive Advantages:
- Broad range of services across various disciplines.
- Investments in data-driven marketing solutions.
- Decentralized structure fostering agility and innovation.
- Strong financial performance and growth prospects.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Smaller size compared to major competitors.
- Limited international presence compared to global giants.
- Some dependence on large clients.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition: Keeping pace with larger, established players.
- Rapidly evolving technological landscape: Adapting to constant advancements and maintaining a competitive edge.
- Talent acquisition and retention: Attracting and retaining top talent in a competitive market.
Potential Opportunities:
- Increasing demand for data-driven marketing solutions.
- Expansion into new markets and service offerings.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to bolster capabilities and client base.
Recent Acquisitions
Notable Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Code and Theory (2020): A creative agency known for its digital marketing expertise.
- Oliver (2021): A global marketing and communications agency specializing in healthcare and technology.
- Assembly (2022): A data-driven marketing agency focused on retail and CPG clients.
- Goodby Silverstein & Partners (2023): A highly regarded creative agency renowned for its iconic advertising campaigns.
Strategic Rationale:
These acquisitions have strengthened Stagwell's capabilities across various areas, including digital marketing, creative, and healthcare. Additionally, they have expanded the company's global reach and added prestigious clients to its portfolio. The acquisitions align with Stagwell's strategy of becoming a dominant player in the marketing industry through a combination of organic growth and strategic M&A.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Favorable industry trends and positioning for data-driven marketing solutions.
- Robust leadership team with extensive experience and industry knowledge.
- Diversified portfolio of services across various disciplines.
- Potential for further growth through organic initiatives and acquisitions.
AI analysis indicates that Stagwell is a well-positioned company with a positive outlook. However, investors should acknowledge the competitive landscape and potential challenges facing the industry.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Stagwell Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings (10K, 10Q)
- Market research reports from IBISWorld, Statista, and Gartner
- News articles and industry publications
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider seeking professional financial advice before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Stagwell Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-08-03 | Chairman & CEO | Mr. Mark Jeffrey Penn |
Sector | Communication Services | Website | https://www.stagwellglobal.com |
Industry | Advertising Agencies | Full time employees | 10250 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
Chairman & CEO | Mr. Mark Jeffrey Penn | ||
Website | https://www.stagwellglobal.com | ||
Website | https://www.stagwellglobal.com | ||
Full time employees | 10250 |
Stagwell Inc. provides digital transformation, performance media and data, consumer insights and strategy, and creativity and communications services. The company operates through three segments: Integrated Agencies Network, Brand Performance Network, and Communications Network. It designs and builds digital platforms and experiences that support the delivery of content, commerce, service, and sales; creates websites, mobile applications, back-end systems, content and data management systems, and other digital environments; designs and implements technology and data strategies; and develops software and related technology products, including artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled communications, research, and media technology, cookie-less data platforms for advance targeting and activation, software tools for e-commerce applications, specialty media solutions in the augmented reality space, and text messaging applications for consumer engagement. The company also provides audience analysis, and media buying and planning services; and strategic insights and guidance services that offers business content, product, communications, and media strategies. In addition, it offers strategy development, advertising creation, live events, immersive digital experiences, cross platform engagement, and social media content services; and leadership, investor and financial relations, social media, executive positioning and visibility, strategic communication, public relation, and public affair services. Further, the company provides Stagwell Marketing Cloud, a suite of software-as-a-service (SaaS) and data-as-a-service (DaaS) technology solutions, including research and insights, communications technology, advance media platform, and media studios; and technology-driven solutions for in-house marketers. Stagwell Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.
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