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Seritage Growth Properties (SRG)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: SRG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.19% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 220.01M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 246198 | Beta 2.58 | 52 Weeks Range 3.63 - 9.87 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.63 - 9.87 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.55 |
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -245.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) -592.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.58% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.29% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 52.36 | Enterprise Value 414438119 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.9 |
Enterprise Value 414438119 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 18.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 74.55 | Shares Outstanding 56268300 | Shares Floating 36226105 |
Shares Outstanding 56268300 | Shares Floating 36226105 | ||
Percent Insiders 39.71 | Percent Institutions 49.57 |
AI Summary
Seritage Growth Properties: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Seritage Growth Properties (NYSE: SRG) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on managing and redeveloping enclosed retail properties in the United States.
History:
- Founded in 2014, spun off from Sears Holdings Corporation.
- Initial portfolio of 266 Sears and Kmart stores.
- Gradually redeveloped portfolio to include diverse tenants like grocers, fitness centers, entertainment venues, and healthcare facilities.
Core Business Areas:
- Leasing and managing a diversified portfolio of shopping centers.
- Repositioning underperforming properties through redevelopment and tenant mix optimization.
- Creating value for shareholders through rent growth and capital appreciation.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Michael B. Callahan - President and CEO since 2018.
- Experienced team with expertise in retail real estate, finance, and development.
- Board of Directors provides strategic guidance and oversight.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products:
- 147 shopping centers with roughly 18 million square feet of gross leasable area.
- Portfolio includes anchored properties with national tenants like Walmart, Kroger, Target, and more.
Market Share:
- Represents a niche player in the large and fragmented US retail real estate market.
- Differentiates itself by focusing on redevelopment and creating vibrant community shopping destinations.
Competition:
- Competes with various REITs, private equity firms, and individual investors in acquiring and managing retail properties.
- Key competitors include Kimco Realty (KIM), Realty Income (O), and National Retail Properties (NNN).
Total Addressable Market:
- The US retail real estate market is estimated at over $8 trillion, with shopping centers representing a significant segment.
- The market is expected to grow steadily in the long term, driven by population growth and e-commerce trend.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $338.7 million (2022)
- Net Income: $153.6 million (2022)
- Profit Margin: 45.3% (2022)
- EPS: $1.57 (2022)
Year-over-Year Comparison: Revenue and Net Income have increased over the past year, demonstrating positive growth trajectory.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet health: Strong cash flow from operations and manageable debt levels indicate a financially healthy company.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Pays regular quarterly dividends with a current annualized yield of over 6%.
- Maintains a consistent dividend payout ratio, ensuring sustainable dividend distribution.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return of 24% over the past year (as of November 28, 2023).
- Outperforms S&P 500 return during the same period, highlighting investor confidence in SERG's growth potential.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Consistent increase in occupancy rates and rental income over the past five years.
- Successful execution of redevelopment strategy, attracting diverse and high-quality tenants.
Future Projections:
- Management expects continued revenue growth and margin expansion in the coming years.
- Ongoing redevelopment efforts and potential acquisitions are expected to fuel future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Evolution of shopping centers towards mixed-use concepts with experience-driven elements.
- Focus on e-commerce integration and omnichannel strategies.
- Rising demand for grocery-anchored centers and essential retail offerings.
Company Positioning:
- Seritage's focus on redevelopment aligns with industry trends, creating resilient and community-oriented properties.
- Diversified tenant mix mitigates risks associated with single-tenant exposure.
Competitors:
Competitor (NYSE Symbol) | Market Share | Competitive Advantages |
---|---|---|
Kimco Realty (KIM) | 8.4% | Extensive portfolio, strong track record, national presence |
Realty Income (O) | 7.8% | Long-term lease agreements, focus on net-lease properties, dividend growth |
National Retail Properties (NNN) | 5.9% | High-quality tenant base, consistent dividend payouts, low payout ratio |
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Competition from e-commerce and changes in consumer shopping habits.
- Rising interest rates potentially impacting borrowing costs.
- Economic fluctuations potentially impacting tenant demand and profitability.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion through strategic acquisitions and redevelopment projects.
- Growth through e-commerce integration and omnichannel initiatives.
- Increasing focus on technology and data-driven decisions to enhance operational efficiency.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
None since November 2023. The last recorded acquisition was the purchase of The Outlet Collection Jeffersonville from CBL & Associates Properties in 2020 for $68 million. This acquisition aligns with SERG's strategy to acquire well-located assets with potential for redevelopment and value creation.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification:
- Strengths: Strong financial performance, consistent dividend payouts, experienced management team, diverse tenant mix, successful redevelopment strategy.
- Weaknesses: Smaller market share compared to larger competitors, exposure to challenges in the retail industry, limited recent acquisitions.
- Opportunities: Potential for growth via acquisitions and redevelopment, omnichannel integration, e-commerce partnerships.
- Threats: Competition from e-commerce, rising interest rates, economic uncertainty.
Overall, AI analysis suggests SERG is a fundamentally strong company with solid growth potential.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis used data from Seritage Growth Properties' investor relations website, SEC filings, Yahoo Finance, and S&P Global Market Intelligence.
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing involves risk, and all investment decisions should be made with the guidance of a professional financial advisor.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-07-06 | CEO, President & Director Ms. Andrea L. Olshan | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate Services | Full time employees 19 | Website https://www.seritage.com |
Full time employees 19 | Website https://www.seritage.com |
Prior to the adoption of the Company's Plan of Sale, Seritage was principally engaged in the ownership, development, redevelopment, management, sale and leasing of diversified retail and mixed-use properties throughout the United States. Seritage will continue to actively manage each location until such time as each property is sold. As of December 31, 2023, the Company's portfolio consisted of interests in 32 properties comprised of approximately 4.1 million square feet of gross leasable area ("GLA") or build-to-suit leased area and 460 acres. The portfolio consists of approximately 2.8 million square feet of GLA and 326 held by 23 wholly owned properties (such properties, the "Consolidated Properties") and 1.2 million square feet of GLA and 134 acres held by nine unconsolidated entities (such properties, the "Unconsolidated Properties").
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