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Spotify Technology SA (SPOT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/18/2024: SPOT (5-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY since 99 days. Profits (30.44%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 244.43% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 92 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 12/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 244.43% | Avg. Invested days: 92 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 93.13B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 129.83 | 1Y Target Price 475.56 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.55 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3696669 | Beta 1.56 |
52 Weeks Range 185.37 - 506.47 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 93.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 129.83 | 1Y Target Price 475.56 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.55 | Volume (30-day avg) 3696669 | Beta 1.56 |
52 Weeks Range 185.37 - 506.47 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.64% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) 20.7% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 129.83 | Forward PE 47.62 |
Enterprise Value 88627582102 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.17 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 95.64 |
Shares Outstanding 202079008 | Shares Floating 149012723 |
Percent Insiders 25.99 | Percent Institutions 65.14 |
Trailing PE 129.83 | Forward PE 47.62 | Enterprise Value 88627582102 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.17 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.59 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 95.64 | Shares Outstanding 202079008 | Shares Floating 149012723 |
Percent Insiders 25.99 | Percent Institutions 65.14 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.11 | Target Price 172.24 | Buy 8 |
Strong Buy 18 | Hold 9 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 4.11 | Target Price 172.24 | Buy 8 | Strong Buy 18 |
Hold 9 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Spotify Technology SA: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Spotify Technology SA, founded in 2006 by Daniel Ek and Martin Lorentzon, revolutionized the music industry by introducing a freemium music streaming service. Headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, Spotify is now the world's leading audio streaming platform with over 489 million monthly active users and 232 million premium subscribers as of Q3 2023.
Core Business Areas:
- Music Streaming: Spotify's core business revolves around offering a vast library of music and podcasts through its subscription-based and ad-supported tiers.
- Podcast Streaming: Spotify has significantly invested in podcasting, acquiring exclusive and original podcasts to diversify its content offering and attract new subscribers.
- Audiobooks: Spotify entered the audiobook market in 2023, offering access to a vast catalog through partnerships with major publishers.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO & Chairman: Daniel Ek
- CFO: Paul Vogel
- Head of Product: Gustav Söderström
- Head of Content & Marketplace: Dawn Ostroff
- Spotify operates under a two-tier board structure, with a Supervisory Board and a Management Board.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Spotify Music: The core music streaming service with freemium and premium tiers.
- Spotify Podcasts: A dedicated platform for podcast discovery and listening.
- Spotify Audiobooks: Integration of audiobooks into the platform.
Global Market Share:
- Music Streaming: Spotify holds the largest market share with 31%, followed by Apple Music (15%), Tencent Music (13%), Amazon Music (13%), and YouTube Music (8%) as of Q3 2023.
- Podcast Streaming: Spotify boasts the largest podcast library with over 4.7 million podcasts, capturing a significant share of the market.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
Spotify's user base and engagement metrics are impressive, indicating strong market reception. However, the company faces stiff competition from established players like Apple Music and Amazon Music.
Total Addressable Market
The global music streaming market is estimated to reach $50.4 billion by 2028, representing a significant opportunity for Spotify.
Financial Performance
- Revenue: Spotify's total revenue for Q3 2023 reached €3.2 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 21%.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of €228 million in Q3 2023, compared to a net loss of €272 million in the same period of 2022.
- Profit Margins: Spotify's gross profit margin stands at 25.5%, while the operating margin is negativo 10.5%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): For Q3 2023, Spotify's EPS was €-0.52, compared to €-0.62 in Q3 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
- Dividend History: Spotify does not currently pay dividends, focusing on reinvesting profits into growth initiatives.
- Shareholder Returns: Despite the lack of dividends, Spotify has delivered strong shareholder returns over the past years, with a total return of 103% over the past 5 years.
Growth Trajectory
- Historical Growth: Spotify has experienced consistent user and revenue growth over the past years, demonstrating its ability to scale its business.
- Future Projections: Analysts forecast continued growth in the music streaming market, with Spotify expected to maintain its leadership position.
- Growth Prospects: Spotify's focus on podcasting, audiobooks, and international expansion are key drivers of future growth.
Market Dynamics
- Industry Trends: The music streaming industry is characterized by intense competition, rapid technological advancements, and evolving consumer preferences.
- Demand-Supply Scenario: The demand for music streaming services is continuously increasing, driven by the growing popularity of on-demand content consumption.
- Positioning and Adaptability: Spotify's strong brand recognition, extensive content library, and focus on innovation position the company well to adapt to market changes.
Competitors
- Apple (AAPL): Apple Music offers a direct competitor to Spotify with a strong integration within the Apple ecosystem.
- Amazon (AMZN): Amazon Music benefits from its integration with Amazon Prime and its vast user base.
- Tencent Music (TME): The dominant player in the Chinese market, Tencent Music poses a significant challenge to Spotify's global ambitions.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Competition: Maintaining market share in a highly competitive landscape.
- Profitability: Balancing growth investments with achieving profitability.
- Content Licensing: Securing and maintaining licenses for music and podcasts.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into New Markets: Growing presence in emerging markets with high growth potential.
- Product Innovation: Introducing new features and content formats to enhance user experience.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with industry players to expand reach and offerings.
Recent Acquisitions
- 2023:
- Findaway: Acquisition of audiobook platform Findaway for $1.2 billion, bolstering Spotify's audiobook offerings.
- 2022:
- Podsights: Acquisition of podcast advertising platform Podsights for $540 million, strengthening Spotify's podcast advertising capabilities.
- Sonantic: Acquisition of AI voice platform Sonantic for an undisclosed amount, enabling the creation of synthetic voices for audiobooks and podcasts.
- 2021:
- Locker Room: Acquisition of sports audio platform Locker Room for an undisclosed amount, expanding Spotify's sports content offerings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
8/10: Spotify's strong market position, impressive user base, and growth potential are positively reflected in its AI-based rating. However, the company's lack of profitability and intense competition pose some challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers
Data used in this analysis was gathered from the following sources:
- Spotify Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Spotify Technology SA
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2018-04-03 | Founder, CEO & Chairman | Mr. Daniel G. Ek |
Sector | Communication Services | Website | https://www.spotify.com |
Industry | Internet Content & Information | Full time employees | 7242 |
Headquaters | - | ||
Founder, CEO & Chairman | Mr. Daniel G. Ek | ||
Website | https://www.spotify.com | ||
Website | https://www.spotify.com | ||
Full time employees | 7242 |
Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates through two segments, Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts without commercial breaks to its subscribers. This segment sells directly to the end users. The Ad-Supported segment provides on-demand online access to its catalog of music and unlimited online access to the catalog of podcasts to its users on their computers, tablets, and compatible mobile devices. The company also offers sales, distribution and marketing, contract research and development, and customer and other support services. Spotify Technology S.A. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg.
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