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Spotify Technology SA (SPOT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/12/2025: SPOT (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 17 days. Profits (31.40%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 351.3% | Avg. Invested days 80 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 123.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 106 | 1Y Target Price 631.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 106 | 1Y Target Price 631.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2042299 | Beta 1.63 | 52 Weeks Range 249.38 - 652.63 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 249.38 - 652.63 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.73 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.26% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.65% | Return on Equity (TTM) 28.28% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 106 | Forward PE 62.11 | Enterprise Value 124126284147 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.9 |
Enterprise Value 124126284147 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 79.52 | Shares Outstanding 203844000 | Shares Floating 153818953 |
Shares Outstanding 203844000 | Shares Floating 153818953 | ||
Percent Insiders 24.49 | Percent Institutions 67.93 |
AI Summary
Spotify Technology SA: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Spotify Technology SA, founded in 2006 in Stockholm, Sweden, revolutionized the music streaming industry with its on-demand audio streaming service. Initially available in Europe, Spotify gradually expanded its reach to become a global leader in the music streaming market.
Core Business Areas:
Spotify primarily focuses on two core business areas:
- Subscription business: This segment offers individual and family plans, providing access to a vast library of music, podcasts, and other audio content for a monthly fee.
- Advertising-supported business: This segment offers a free tier with limited features and incorporates advertising to generate revenue.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Daniel Ek
- CFO: Paul Vogel
- CTO: Gustav Söderström
- Board of Directors: Daniel Ek (Chairman), Robyn, Martin Lorentzon, and more.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Spotify App: Available on various platforms, including mobile, desktop, and smart speakers, the app offers personalized recommendations, curated playlists, and access to millions of songs and podcasts.
- Podcast Network: Spotify has significantly invested in podcasts, acquiring Gimlet Media and Anchor, and securing exclusive deals with popular creators.
Market Share:
- Global: Spotify holds a dominant position with approximately 31% of the global music streaming market share.
- US: Spotify is the second-largest player in the US market with a 30% market share, trailing behind Apple Music's 35%.
Comparison with Competitors:
Spotify faces competition from various players, including:
- Apple Music: Directly competes with Spotify in features and offering, particularly in the US market.
- Amazon Music: Offers integration with Amazon Prime benefits and a vast music library.
- YouTube Music: Leverages YouTube's massive audience and integration with Google services.
Total Addressable Market:
The global music streaming market is estimated to reach $62.9 billion by 2027, indicating a significant potential for growth.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- 2022 Revenue: €11.0 billion
- 2022 Net Income: €116 million
- 2022 Profit Margin: 1.1%
- 2022 EPS: €0.04
Year-over-Year Growth:
- Revenue growth: 23%
- Net income growth: 115%
- EPS growth: 106%
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Spotify has a healthy cash flow and balance sheet, with ample liquidity and manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Spotify currently does not pay dividends, focusing on reinvesting profits for growth.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past five years, Spotify stock has generated a total return of approximately 120%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Spotify has consistently shown strong revenue growth, driven by user base expansion and paid subscriber increases.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts predict continued growth in the music streaming market, with Spotify positioned to benefit from this trend.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Expansion into new markets
- Podcast content investments
- Enhancements to the user experience
- Technological innovation
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing adoption of music streaming services
- Growing demand for personalized content
- Competition from established and emerging players
Positioning within the Industry:
Spotify is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, extensive music library, and focus on user experience.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Apple Music (AAPL)
- Amazon Music (AMZN)
- YouTube Music (GOOGL)
- Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)
Market Share Comparisons:
- Spotify: 31%
- Apple Music: 25%
- Amazon Music: 15%
- YouTube Music: 14%
- Tencent Music: 15%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Large user base
- Extensive music and podcast library
- Strong brand recognition
- Focus on user experience
Disadvantages:
- High competition
- Dependence on licensing agreements
- Limited profitability
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from established and emerging players
- Rising content acquisition costs
- Dependence on licensing agreements
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Content innovation, particularly in podcasts
- Technological advancements
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2022: Heardle, a music-based guessing game app.
- 2022: Podsights, a podcast ad measurement platform.
- 2021: Anchor, a podcast creation and distribution platform.
- 2020: Megaphone, a podcast hosting and distribution platform.
- 2019: Gimlet Media, a popular podcast production company.
- 2018: Anchor, a podcast creation and distribution platform (acquired in June 2020).
- 2017: Sonantic, an AI voice generation company.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5
Justification:
- Strong market position and brand recognition
- Continued user base and revenue growth
- Investments in podcast content and technology
- Potential for profitability in the future
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Sources: Spotify Technology SA annual reports, SEC filings, company website, industry reports, market research firms.
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Note: This overview may contain information that is no longer current as I am unable to access real-time data or information after November 2023.
Overall, Spotify Technology SA exhibits a strong position within the music streaming market, demonstrating continuous growth and promising future prospects. However, it faces challenges from competitors and needs to navigate the evolving market dynamics to maintain its leading position.
About Spotify Technology SA
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-04-03 | Founder, CEO & Chairman Mr. Daniel G. Ek | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Internet Content & Information | Full time employees 7691 | Website https://www.spotify.com |
Full time employees 7691 | Website https://www.spotify.com |
Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates through two segments, Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts without commercial breaks to its subscribers. This segment sells directly to the end users. The Ad-Supported segment provides on-demand online access to its catalog of music and unlimited online access to the catalog of podcasts to its users on their computers, tablets, and compatible mobile devices. The company also offers sales, distribution and marketing, contract research and development, and customer and other support services. Spotify Technology S.A. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg.
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