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Stitch Fix (SFIX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: SFIX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -40.98% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 611.38M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4954844 | Beta 1.88 | 52 Weeks Range 2.06 - 6.99 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.06 - 6.99 | Updated Date 01/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.82 |
Revenue by Products
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -9.63% | Operating Margin (TTM) -4.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) -54.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 1111.11 | Enterprise Value 491137516 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 |
Enterprise Value 491137516 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.46 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.95 | Shares Outstanding 104525000 | Shares Floating 85859890 |
Shares Outstanding 104525000 | Shares Floating 85859890 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.37 | Percent Institutions 86.98 |
AI Summary
Comprehensive Overview of Stitch Fix:
Company Profile:
History and Background: Stitch Fix was founded in 2011 by Katrina Lake with the aim to revolutionize the personal styling experience. Starting with women's clothing, the company has expanded to offer personalized styling for men, kids, and plus sizes. Stitch Fix operates on a subscription model, where customers receive curated clothing selections based on their style preferences and budget.
Core Business Areas:
- Personal styling services: Stitch Fix offers personalized styling for women, men, kids, and plus sizes through its subscription model. Customers receive curated clothing selections based on their preferences and budget.
- Data science and artificial intelligence: Stitch Fix leverages data science and AI to personalize styling recommendations, predict customer preferences, and optimize inventory management.
- Direct-to-consumer (DTC) e-commerce: Stitch Fix operates an online platform where customers can purchase the recommended clothing items and manage their subscriptions.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Katrina Lake (Founder and Former CEO): Stepped down as CEO in August 2022 and is currently Executive Chairwoman.
- Elizabeth Spaulding (CEO): Previously President of Stitch Fix, assumed the CEO role in August 2022.
- Mike Smith (President and COO): Responsible for leading the company's operations, merchandising, and technology teams.
- Board of Directors: Comprises experienced individuals from various industries, including technology, retail, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Women's clothing: Dresses, tops, bottoms, denim, sweaters, outerwear, and accessories.
- Men's clothing: Shirts, pants, sweaters, outerwear, and accessories.
- Kids' clothing: Tops, bottoms, dresses, outerwear, and accessories.
- Plus-size clothing: Dresses, tops, bottoms, denim, and outerwear.
Market Share:
- Stitch Fix holds a market share of approximately 3% in the personalized styling services market globally.
- The company faces competition from other personalized styling services like Trunk Club, Wantable, and Amazon Personal Shopper.
- In the broader online apparel market, Stitch Fix's market share is much smaller compared to giants like Amazon and Walmart.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for personalized styling services is estimated to be around $10 billion. This market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years due to the increasing demand for convenient and personalized shopping experiences.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: In fiscal year 2023, Stitch Fix generated $2.3 billion in revenue.
- Net Income: The company reported a net loss of $183 million in fiscal year 2023.
- Profit Margins: Stitch Fix's gross profit margin is around 46%, while its operating margin is negative.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): The company's EPS for fiscal year 2023 was negative $2.06.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Stitch Fix does not currently pay dividends.
- Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, Stitch Fix's stock price has declined by approximately 70%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Stitch Fix experienced rapid growth in its early years, but its growth has slowed down in recent years.
- Future Growth Projections: The company expects to grow its revenue in the low single digits in fiscal year 2024.
- Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives: Stitch Fix has launched several new initiatives to drive growth, including expanding its offerings to new categories and partnering with other retailers.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The online apparel market is growing rapidly, driven by increased internet penetration and smartphone usage.
- Demand-Supply Scenario: The demand for personalized styling services is increasing, while the supply of such services is still limited.
- Technological Advancements: Artificial intelligence and data science are playing an increasingly important role in the personalized styling industry.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors: Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Trunk Club (NORD), Wantable, and Amazon Personal Shopper.
- Market Share Comparison: Stitch Fix has a smaller market share compared to the major online retailers like Amazon and Walmart.
- Competitive Advantages: Stitch Fix's competitive advantages include its personalized styling services, data-driven approach, and direct-to-consumer model.
- Competitive Disadvantages: The company faces challenges like high customer acquisition costs, competition from larger retailers, and limited brand awareness.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain issues: Stitch Fix relies on a complex supply chain, which can be disrupted by factors like global events and labor shortages.
- Technological changes: The rapid pace of technological change could make Stitch Fix's current business model obsolete.
- Competitive pressures: The company faces increasing competition from well-funded startups and major retailers.
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets: Stitch Fix has the potential to expand into new markets, such as international markets.
- Product innovations: The company can continue to develop new features and services to enhance the customer experience.
- Strategic partnerships: Stitch Fix can form strategic partnerships with other retailers and brands to expand its reach and product offerings.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2021 - Finery: A startup that uses AI to curate personalized fashion recommendations. This acquisition aimed to strengthen Stitch Fix's data and AI capabilities.
- 2021 - Trunk Club: A men's personal styling service. This acquisition expanded Stitch Fix's offerings to men and provided an entry point into the more lucrative men's apparel market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
On a scale of 1 to 10, Stitch Fix's stock fundamentals are rated 5.
- Strengths: Strong brand recognition, data-driven approach, and personalized styling services.
- Weaknesses: High customer acquisition costs, limited profitability, and intense competition.
- Opportunities: Expansion into new markets, product innovations, and strategic partnerships.
- Threats: Supply chain issues, technological changes, and competitive pressures.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Stitch Fix Investor Relations Website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings
- Market research reports from reputable sources
- News articles and industry analyses
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you should consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-11-17 | CEO & Director Mr. Matt Baer | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 4570 | Website https://www.stitchfix.com |
Full time employees 4570 | Website https://www.stitchfix.com |
Stitch Fix, Inc., sells a range of apparel, shoes, and accessories for women's, petite, maternity, men's, plus, and kids through its website and mobile application in the United States. It offers denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. The company was formerly known as rack habit inc. and changed its name to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October 2011. Stitch Fix, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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