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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Origin Agritech Ltd (SEED)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: SEED (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -1.07% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.22M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 4.5 | 1Y Target Price 5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 4.5 | 1Y Target Price 5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 55940 | Beta 1.61 | 52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 6.38 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.64 - 6.38 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.44 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 18.27% | Operating Margin (TTM) -190.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) -371.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 4.5 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 13761466 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 |
Enterprise Value 13761466 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.33 | Shares Outstanding 7179480 | Shares Floating 5928046 |
Shares Outstanding 7179480 | Shares Floating 5928046 | ||
Percent Insiders 17.67 | Percent Institutions 1.88 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Origin Agritech Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Origin Agritech Ltd. (SEED) was founded in 1997 and focused on developing and commercializing genetically modified (GM) seeds and agricultural products in China. Due to changing regulations and challenges in the Chinese market, its operations have shifted.
Core Business Areas
- Seed Production and Sales: Historically, this was the core business. Origin Agritech focused on developing and selling genetically modified corn seeds. This segment is now significantly impacted by regulatory changes.
- Agri-biotech Research and Development: Origin Agritech invested in research and development of new GM traits and seed varieties. This segment's future is uncertain, pending clarity on regulatory approvals.
Leadership and Structure
Information on the current leadership team and organizational structure is difficult to obtain and potentially outdated. Given the company's current situation, access to this information is limited.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Genetically Modified Corn Seeds: Origin Agritech previously focused on GM corn seeds. Due to regulatory hurdles in China, these products have limited or no market access. Competitors include Syngenta (now ChemChina), Bayer, and local Chinese seed companies.
- Conventional Seeds: The company also developed non-GMO seeds. Market share and revenue figures are unavailable. Competitors include numerous local Chinese seed companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The agricultural seed industry is highly competitive and influenced by regulations, technological advancements (especially in GM technology), and commodity prices. China's seed market is one of the largest globally.
Positioning
Origin Agritech's position has been weakened by regulatory restrictions on GM crops in China. Its competitive advantage in GM technology is currently limited by market access issues.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for seeds in China is substantial, estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually. However, Origin Agritech's limited access to the GM segment restricts its ability to capitalize on this TAM. Data about its current position within the TAM is not available.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Technical expertise in GM technology (historical)
- Early mover advantage in the Chinese GM seed market (historical)
Weaknesses
- Regulatory restrictions on GM crops in China
- Limited market access
- Financial instability
- Lack of current information regarding operations
Opportunities
- Potential changes in Chinese regulations regarding GM crops
- Partnerships with other agricultural companies
- Diversification into other agricultural products or markets
Threats
- Continued regulatory restrictions
- Competition from larger agricultural companies
- Economic downturns affecting agricultural demand
- Delisting from stock exchanges
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BAYRY
- SYT
- Corteva (CTVA)
Competitive Landscape
Origin Agritech faces significant disadvantages compared to its competitors due to regulatory issues and limited market access.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Origin Agritech's growth has been significantly hampered by regulatory issues and financial constraints.
Future Projections: Future projections are highly uncertain due to regulatory risks and lack of current operations data.
Recent Initiatives: Information on recent strategic initiatives is not publicly available.
Summary
Origin Agritech's future is highly uncertain due to regulatory hurdles and lack of readily available information about its current business operations. Its historical expertise in GM technology is now a liability given market access issues. Changes in regulations in China would greatly help the company. Without some change, it remains an unviable business. The lack of current data points towards a distressed business.
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Corteva Inc
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SYT
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SYT
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC filings, Company press releases, Market research reports, News articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is based on publicly available data and may be outdated or incomplete. This analysis is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Origin Agritech Ltd
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2004-05-05 | CEO & Director Mr. Weibin Yan | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 68 | Website https://originagritech.com |
Full time employees 68 | Website https://originagritech.com | ||
Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agricultural biotechnology in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the development, production, and distribution of hybrid crop seeds, as well as the development of hybrid seed technology. Further, it engages in crop seed breeding and genetic improvement, and related technical services. Its products include corn, canola, soybean, and rice seeds. In addition, it operates an e-commerce platform. The company has a collaboration agreement with the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the National Maize Improvement Center, Henan Agriculture University, China Agricultural University, and Zhejiang University for seed genetic modifications and biotechnologies. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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