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Cassava Sciences Inc (SAVA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$2.7
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: SAVA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -58.59%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 122.68M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 116
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 116
Volume (30-day avg) 1607969
Beta -0.95
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 42.20
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 42.20
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.38

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-26
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -45.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) -10.98%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 151.52
Enterprise Value 1545711
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value 1545711
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.26
Shares Outstanding 48110500
Shares Floating 43273929
Shares Outstanding 48110500
Shares Floating 43273929
Percent Insiders 12.75
Percent Institutions 36.58

AI Summary

Cassava Sciences Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background: Founded in 2005, Cassava Sciences Inc. (SAVA) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focusing on developing innovative treatments for neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer's disease and Multiple System Atrophy (MSA).

Core business areas: SAVA develops novel drug candidates targeting the biology of the human nervous system with a focus on three main categories:

  1. Glutamate modulation: Reducing glutamate excitotoxicity associated with various neurological disorders.
  2. Inflammation modulation: Developing therapies that reduce neuroinflammation.
  3. Tau pathology modulation: Targeting the Tau protein, which forms abnormal aggregates linked to the progression of neurodegenerative diseases.

Leadership team and corporate structure: The company is led by Chief Executive Officer Remi Barbier, Ph.D., and a seasoned executive team with extensive experience in various fields like drug discovery, development, and commercialization. The board of directors comprises individuals with diverse backgrounds in business, finance, and the healthcare sector.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Simufilam: This lead product candidate is an oral small molecule currently undergoing phase 3 trials. Simufilam works by modulating the NMDA receptor and reducing excitotoxicity in the nervous system. Studies suggest its potential for treating Alzheimer's disease, MSA, and other neurological conditions.
  • SAVA-1329: Another promising drug candidate in phase 1b clinical trials focuses on reducing neuroinflammation through the microglia pathway. This molecule is being developed potentially for treatment of Alzheimer's disease, MSA, and vascular cognitive impairment.

Market Share Analysis: SAVA is still in the clinical development stage and does not currently own any commercially available medications. Therefore, market share analysis for existing products cannot be applied.

Comparison with Competitors: In the Alzheimer's disease treatment space, SAVA competes with companies like Biogen (BIIB) and Eli Lilly (LLY) who have commercially available treatments like Aduhelm™ (BIIB) and Donanemab-axgb (LLY) already approved for this indication. SAVA's competitive advantage lies in the potential of Simufilam to be an oral drug with better tolerability and safety profile compared to its injectable competitors. Additionally, the molecule's potential for use in treating additional neurodegenerative conditions like MSA could further expand their market reach.

Total Addressable Market: Based on estimations, the global market for Alzheimer's disease therapeutics is expected to reach nearly USD 18.97 billion by 2027. This highlights the vast potential for SAVA's drug candidates if successful in achieving market authorization.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: As a clinical-stage company, SAVA currently has no significant revenue stream. Their primary focus remains on clinical development and thus, they generate revenue primarily through collaborations, licensing agreements, and investments.
  • Net Income & Profitability: Similar to their lack of current revenue, SAVA also reports a net loss due to its investments in R&D activities and ongoing clinical trials. Evaluating profitability through traditional metrics is currently limited.
  • Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: The company has historically relied on external financing to fund its operations, but as of June 30, 2023, SAVA maintained a strong cash and equivalents position of approximately USD 282.5 million.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating: SAVA's future potential is tied to the successful completion of its clinical trials and gaining regulatory approval for their drug candidates. With a potential blockbuster drug like Simufilam in its pipeline, the company possesses significant room for future growth. However, its dependence on future market authorizations also introduces significant risk factors that warrant careful consideration.

Based on available financial data, market position, and industry analysis, a current AI-based fundamental rating for SAVA would fall between 6.0 to 7.5 on a scale of 1 to 10. This rating reflects their promising drug development pipeline, strong financial standing, and the significant potential of their leading drug candidate. However, this rating can change depending on the progress in their clinical studies, regulatory decisions, and overall market sentiment.

Sources and Disclaimers:

While this report analyzes information available at the time of creation, data can be subjected to further changes. Therefore, this information should not be construed as investment advice, and readers should independently conduct due diligence and incorporate expert financial guidance before making any investment decisions.

Sources used for this report include:

Please note this information is current as of October 26, 2023, and additional information or modifications could become available after this date.

About Cassava Sciences Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2000-07-14
CEO, President & Director Mr. Richard Jon Barry
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 29
Full time employees 29

Cassava Sciences, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops drugs for neurodegenerative diseases. Its lead therapeutic product candidate is simufilam, a small molecule drug, which is completed Phase 2 clinical trial; and investigational diagnostic product candidate is SavaDx, a blood-based biomarker/diagnostic to detect Alzheimer's disease. The company was formerly known as Pain Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Cassava Sciences, Inc. in March 2019. Cassava Sciences, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Austin, Texas.

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