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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Cassava Sciences Inc (SAVA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$1.38
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: SAVA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -58.59%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 66.66M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2
Volume (30-day avg) 2181785
Beta -1.24
52 Weeks Range 1.35 - 42.20
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.35 - 42.20
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.46

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -57.18%
Return on Equity (TTM) -17.19%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 151.52
Enterprise Value -61909104
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value -61909104
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.26
Shares Outstanding 48307900
Shares Floating 43471309
Shares Outstanding 48307900
Shares Floating 43471309
Percent Insiders 12.57
Percent Institutions 36.28

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 116
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Buy -
Strong Buy -
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Cassava Sciences Inc

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Company Overview

History and Background

Cassava Sciences, Inc. (formerly Pain Therapeutics) was founded in 1998. It focuses on developing treatments for neurodegenerative diseases, particularly Alzheimer's disease. Its primary focus has been on Simufilam, a proprietary investigational drug.

Core Business Areas

  • Neurodegenerative Disease Therapeutics: Developing and commercializing novel therapeutics for Alzheimer's disease and other neurodegenerative conditions. Primarily focused on Simufilam.

Leadership and Structure

Remi Barbier is the President and CEO. The organizational structure is typical of a biotechnology company, with research and development, clinical operations, and regulatory affairs departments.

Top Products and Market Share

Key Offerings

  • Simufilam: Simufilam is an investigational drug for Alzheimer's disease. It is designed to restore the normal shape and function of altered filamin A (FLNA) protein in the brain. Market share is currently 0% as it's not yet approved for sale. Competitors include Biogen/Eisai (Leqembi), Eli Lilly (donanemab), and other companies developing Alzheimer's treatments.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The pharmaceutical industry focusing on Alzheimer's disease is competitive and high-risk, with a significant unmet medical need. Several companies are actively developing and testing potential treatments. Recent FDA approvals have increased focus on the space.

Positioning

Cassava Sciences aims to be a leader in Alzheimer's treatment with a novel approach. Its competitive advantage would be a differentiated mechanism of action if Simufilam proves effective and safe.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global Alzheimer's disease market is projected to reach hundreds of billions USD by 2030. Cassava's positioning depends entirely on the success of Simufilam in clinical trials and regulatory approval.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Novel mechanism of action for Simufilam (filamin A alteration)
  • Potential for disease modification rather than symptom management
  • Experienced leadership in drug development
  • Strong intellectual property protection (patents)

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a single drug candidate (Simufilam)
  • Controversies regarding data integrity have negatively impacted the company's valuation
  • High cash burn rate associated with clinical trials
  • Limited commercialization experience

Opportunities

  • Successful completion of Phase 3 trials for Simufilam
  • FDA approval of Simufilam
  • Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Expansion into other neurodegenerative diseases

Threats

  • Clinical trial failures
  • Regulatory hurdles and delays
  • Competition from other Alzheimer's drugs
  • Adverse safety events in clinical trials
  • Continued controversy and skepticism surrounding Simufilam data.

Competitors and Market Share

Key Competitors

  • LLY
  • BIIB
  • ESAI

Competitive Landscape

Cassava competes with larger pharmaceutical companies with more resources and approved drugs. Its advantage lies in a potentially novel mechanism of action. The competitive landscape is rapidly changing with recent drug approvals.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historically, Cassava's growth has been driven by progress in clinical trials and investor sentiment. The trajectory is highly dependent on Simufilam's future performance.

Future Projections: Future growth is entirely dependent on successful clinical trials and regulatory approval of Simufilam. Analyst projections vary widely due to the high-risk nature of the investment.

Recent Initiatives: Focus on completing Phase 3 clinical trials for Simufilam and preparing for potential commercialization. Addressing concerns regarding data integrity.

Summary

Cassava Sciences is a high-risk, high-reward biotechnology company heavily reliant on the success of its lead drug candidate, Simufilam, for Alzheimer's disease. While Simufilam's novel mechanism of action is a potential strength, the company faces intense competition and data integrity concerns. Positive Phase 3 trial results and regulatory approval are crucial for its future, while clinical trial failure or continued skepticism would severely impact the company. They should also seek to expand their number of drugs in their pipeline to hedge against Simufilam failure.

Similar Companies

  • LLY
  • BIIB
  • ESAI

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications
  • Company Website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The biotechnology industry is inherently risky, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Cassava Sciences Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2000-07-14
CEO, President & Director Mr. Richard Jon Barry
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 30
Full time employees 30

Cassava Sciences, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops drugs for neurodegenerative diseases. Its lead therapeutic product candidate is simufilam, a small molecule drug, which is completed Phase 2 clinical trial; and investigational diagnostic product candidate is SavaDx, a blood-based biomarker/diagnostic to detect Alzheimer's disease. Cassava Sciences, Inc. was formerly known as Pain Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Cassava Sciences, Inc. in March 2019. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Austin, Texas.

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