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Cassava Sciences Inc (SAVA)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: SAVA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -58.59% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 66.66M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2181785 | Beta -1.24 | 52 Weeks Range 1.35 - 42.20 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.35 - 42.20 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.46 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -57.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) -17.19% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 151.52 | Enterprise Value -61909104 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -61909104 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.26 | Shares Outstanding 48307900 | Shares Floating 43471309 |
Shares Outstanding 48307900 | Shares Floating 43471309 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.57 | Percent Institutions 36.28 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 116 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cassava Sciences Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Cassava Sciences, Inc. (formerly Pain Therapeutics) was founded in 1998. It focuses on developing treatments for neurodegenerative diseases, particularly Alzheimer's disease. Its primary focus has been on Simufilam, a proprietary investigational drug.
Core Business Areas
- Neurodegenerative Disease Therapeutics: Developing and commercializing novel therapeutics for Alzheimer's disease and other neurodegenerative conditions. Primarily focused on Simufilam.
Leadership and Structure
Remi Barbier is the President and CEO. The organizational structure is typical of a biotechnology company, with research and development, clinical operations, and regulatory affairs departments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Simufilam: Simufilam is an investigational drug for Alzheimer's disease. It is designed to restore the normal shape and function of altered filamin A (FLNA) protein in the brain. Market share is currently 0% as it's not yet approved for sale. Competitors include Biogen/Eisai (Leqembi), Eli Lilly (donanemab), and other companies developing Alzheimer's treatments.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The pharmaceutical industry focusing on Alzheimer's disease is competitive and high-risk, with a significant unmet medical need. Several companies are actively developing and testing potential treatments. Recent FDA approvals have increased focus on the space.
Positioning
Cassava Sciences aims to be a leader in Alzheimer's treatment with a novel approach. Its competitive advantage would be a differentiated mechanism of action if Simufilam proves effective and safe.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global Alzheimer's disease market is projected to reach hundreds of billions USD by 2030. Cassava's positioning depends entirely on the success of Simufilam in clinical trials and regulatory approval.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel mechanism of action for Simufilam (filamin A alteration)
- Potential for disease modification rather than symptom management
- Experienced leadership in drug development
- Strong intellectual property protection (patents)
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a single drug candidate (Simufilam)
- Controversies regarding data integrity have negatively impacted the company's valuation
- High cash burn rate associated with clinical trials
- Limited commercialization experience
Opportunities
- Successful completion of Phase 3 trials for Simufilam
- FDA approval of Simufilam
- Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Expansion into other neurodegenerative diseases
Threats
- Clinical trial failures
- Regulatory hurdles and delays
- Competition from other Alzheimer's drugs
- Adverse safety events in clinical trials
- Continued controversy and skepticism surrounding Simufilam data.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- LLY
- BIIB
- ESAI
Competitive Landscape
Cassava competes with larger pharmaceutical companies with more resources and approved drugs. Its advantage lies in a potentially novel mechanism of action. The competitive landscape is rapidly changing with recent drug approvals.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Cassava's growth has been driven by progress in clinical trials and investor sentiment. The trajectory is highly dependent on Simufilam's future performance.
Future Projections: Future growth is entirely dependent on successful clinical trials and regulatory approval of Simufilam. Analyst projections vary widely due to the high-risk nature of the investment.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on completing Phase 3 clinical trials for Simufilam and preparing for potential commercialization. Addressing concerns regarding data integrity.
Summary
Cassava Sciences is a high-risk, high-reward biotechnology company heavily reliant on the success of its lead drug candidate, Simufilam, for Alzheimer's disease. While Simufilam's novel mechanism of action is a potential strength, the company faces intense competition and data integrity concerns. Positive Phase 3 trial results and regulatory approval are crucial for its future, while clinical trial failure or continued skepticism would severely impact the company. They should also seek to expand their number of drugs in their pipeline to hedge against Simufilam failure.
Similar Companies
- LLY
- BIIB
- ESAI
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The biotechnology industry is inherently risky, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cassava Sciences Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Austin, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-07-14 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Richard Jon Barry | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 30 | Website https://www.cassavasciences.com |
Full time employees 30 | Website https://www.cassavasciences.com |
Cassava Sciences, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops drugs for neurodegenerative diseases. Its lead therapeutic product candidate is simufilam, a small molecule drug, which is completed Phase 2 clinical trial; and investigational diagnostic product candidate is SavaDx, a blood-based biomarker/diagnostic to detect Alzheimer's disease. Cassava Sciences, Inc. was formerly known as Pain Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Cassava Sciences, Inc. in March 2019. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Austin, Texas.
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