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Saia Inc (SAIA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: SAIA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 78.34% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 30.06 | 1Y Target Price 514.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 30.06 | 1Y Target Price 514.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 372625 | Beta 1.79 | 52 Weeks Range 358.90 - 628.34 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 358.90 - 628.34 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 13.53 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-31 | When Before Market | Estimate 2.7734 | Actual 2.84 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.28% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) 17.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 30.06 | Forward PE 26.11 | Enterprise Value 11108708317 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37 |
Enterprise Value 11108708317 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.91 | Shares Outstanding 26595100 | Shares Floating 26599413 |
Shares Outstanding 26595100 | Shares Floating 26599413 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.57 | Percent Institutions 114.29 |
AI Summary
Saia Inc. Comprehensive Overview:
Company Profile:
History: Saia Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIA), formerly known as Saia Motor Freight Line, Inc., was founded in 1924 by the Saia family in Houma, Louisiana. Initially a small trucking company, Saia expanded through acquisitions and organic growth, evolving into a leading provider of less-than-truckload (LTL) and non-asset transportation services in North America.
Core Business: Saia's core business involves offering LTL services, which primarily focus on transporting smaller shipments weighing less than truckload quantities. Additionally, the company offers non-asset transportation services through its subsidiary, Saia Logistics. These services include truckload brokerage, intermodal transportation, and final mile delivery.
Leadership and Structure: Saia is led by CEO Frederick J. Lynam and President Noel J. Perry, with a Board of Directors overseeing the company's strategic direction. The company's corporate structure consists of various operating divisions, including regional LTL operations, national accounts, dedicated contract carriage, and Saia Logistics.
Top Products and Market Share:
Products: Saia's primary product is its LTL service, divided into regional, national, and international segments. The company offers various value-added services such as guaranteed delivery, liftgate service, and inside pickup and delivery. In non-asset transportation, Saia Logistics provides truckload brokerage, intermodal, and final mile delivery services.
Market Share: Saia is a leading player in the LTL market, holding an estimated market share of approximately 3.4% in the U.S. and 2.2% in North America. The company ranks among the top 10 LTL carriers in the U.S. and has a strong presence in the Southeast and Southwest regions.
Market Reception and Competition: Saia has a strong customer satisfaction record and consistently receives high marks in industry surveys. However, the LTL market is highly competitive, with major players like YRC Worldwide (YRCW), Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), and ArcBest (ARCB) vying for market share. Saia differentiates itself through its focus on technology, operational efficiency, and customer service.
Total Addressable Market (TAM): The TAM for Saia's LTL services encompasses the entire North American LTL market, estimated to be worth over $90 billion in 2023. Additionally, the non-asset transportation market, where Saia operates through Saia Logistics, offers significant growth potential, valued at over $150 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Performance: Saia reported strong financial performance in recent quarters. Revenue for Q3 2023 was $720.4 million, up 18.3% year-over-year, with net income of $125.4 million and an EPS of $2.65. The company's gross profit margin was 27.3%, and its operating margin was 15.9%.
Year-over-Year Comparison: Compared to Q3 2022, Saia's revenue increased by 18.3%, net income by 22.9%, and EPS by 21.4%. This growth was driven by an increase in tonnage, higher pricing, and improved operating efficiency.
Financial Health: Saia's balance sheet is strong, with a current ratio of 1.2 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5. The company also generates significant cash flow from operations, enabling it to invest in growth initiatives and return value to shareholders.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Saia has a consistent dividend payout history, with its latest quarterly dividend of $0.55 per share representing a yield of 0.79%. The company has increased its dividend for seven consecutive years.
Shareholder Returns: Saia's stock has performed well in recent years, delivering total returns of over 170% in the past three years and 450% in the past five years. This strong performance reflects the company's consistent financial growth and operational efficiency.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Saia has grown organically and through acquisitions during the past five to ten years. Acquisitions like Estes Express Lines (2015) and Baylor Trucking (2018) significantly expanded the company's network and service offerings.
Future Projections: Saia's future growth is projected to be driven by continued expansion of its LTL network, growth in the non-asset transportation market through Saia Logistics, and increasing adoption of technological advancements like real-time tracking and automated routing.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The LTL industry is experiencing several key trends, including increasing demand for e-commerce fulfillment, supply chain disruptions, and driver shortages. Saia is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends by focusing on technology, efficiency, and customer service.
Competitive Landscape: Saia competes with major LTL carriers, each with its strengths and weaknesses. Saia's focus on technology and efficiency could give it an edge in a competitive market.
Competitors:
- YRC Worldwide (YRCW): Market share - 16.2%, Competitive advantages - Extensive network, unionized workforce.
- Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL): Market share - 12.3%, Competitive advantages - Reputation for on-time delivery, strong financial performance.
- ArcBest (ARCB): Market share - 7.5%, Competitive advantages - Diversified portfolio, strong management team.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions caused by global events.
- Driver shortage affecting the transportation industry.
- Increasing fuel costs impacting operating margins.
Opportunities:
- Continued growth in the e-commerce market.
- Expansion into new geographic markets.
- Development of innovative technologies to improve efficiency and customer experience.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
2021: Acquired Lone Star Transportation for $750 million, expanding Saia's presence in Texas and the Southwest region.
2023: Acquired Averitt Express for $2.2 billion, significantly increasing Saia's scale and market reach.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Score: 8/10 Justification: Saia's strong financial performance, consistent dividend payout, and growth potential make it an attractive investment prospect. However, competitive pressures and potential economic headwinds pose a moderate risk.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.
Sources:
- Saia website: https://www.saia.com/
- Investor's Business Daily: https://www.investors.com/research/saia-inc-stock/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SAIA/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/statistics/242341/revenue-of-the-less-than-truckload-segment-in-the-us/
- Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/SAIA
About Saia Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Johns Creek, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-09-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Frederick J. Holzgrefe III | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 15000 | Website https://www.saia.com |
Full time employees 15000 | Website https://www.saia.com |
Saia, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds; and other value-added services, including non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. It also offers other value-added services, including non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. As of December 31, 2022, it operated 191 owned and leased facilities; and owned approximately 6,200 tractors and 20,800 trailers. The company operates 200 terminals. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in July 2006. Saia, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia.
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