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Safehold Inc (SAFE)SAFE
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: SAFE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -16.3% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -16.3% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.47B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.59 | 1Y Target Price 28.62 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.77 |
Volume (30-day avg) 380990 | Beta 0.9 |
52 Weeks Range 17.62 - 28.61 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.59 | 1Y Target Price 28.62 |
Dividends yield (FY) 3.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.77 | Volume (30-day avg) 380990 | Beta 0.9 |
52 Weeks Range 17.62 - 28.61 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-28 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.37 | Actual 0.37 |
Report Date 2024-10-28 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.37 | Actual 0.37 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 30.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 72.58% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.87% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.26% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.59 | Forward PE 12.59 |
Enterprise Value 5649934413 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.65 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.98 |
Shares Outstanding 71436200 | Shares Floating 55381613 |
Percent Insiders 22.36 | Percent Institutions 78.13 |
Trailing PE 11.59 | Forward PE 12.59 | Enterprise Value 5649934413 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.65 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.98 | Shares Outstanding 71436200 | Shares Floating 55381613 |
Percent Insiders 22.36 | Percent Institutions 78.13 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.92 | Target Price 30.57 | Buy 6 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.92 | Target Price 30.57 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Safehold Inc. Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Safehold Inc. (NYSE: SAFE) is a ground lease real estate investment trust (REIT) formed in 2017. They specialize in acquiring and managing ground leases for institutional-quality commercial real estate properties. These leases typically span 99 to 1,000 years, offering investors long-term, inflation-protected income.
Core Business Areas:
- Ground Lease Acquisitions: Safehold acquires fee simple interests in commercial real property and sells the land to institutional investors. They retain the ground lease, granting the buyer the right to use the land for an extended period.
- Property Management: Safehold manages the ground leases, overseeing tenant relations, lease renewals, and property maintenance.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Jay Sugarman
- President and COO: Dennis Walsh
- CFO: Michael Flynn
- Board of Directors: Comprised of experienced real estate and financial professionals.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Ground Leases: Safehold's primary product is ground leases for commercial properties like office buildings, hotels, and retail centers.
- Market Share: As a relatively new REIT, Safehold holds a small market share compared to established players. However, they are growing rapidly and have a unique niche in the ground lease market.
Total Addressable Market:
The global commercial real estate market is estimated to be over $10 trillion. Safehold focuses on the institutional-quality segment, targeting a market of approximately $3 trillion.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: Revenue has grown steadily since inception, reaching $141.9 million in 2022.
- Net Income: Net income has also increased, reaching $46.4 million in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins are strong, with a net margin of 32.7% in 2022.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has grown consistently, reaching $2.32 in 2022.
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow is positive and growing, indicating financial stability.
- Balance Sheet: The balance sheet is healthy, with a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Safehold has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annualized dividend yield of 5.3%.
- Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder returns have been positive, with a 5-year average annual return of 14.4%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: Safehold has experienced significant growth in its early years, with revenue and earnings increasing rapidly.
- Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect continued growth in the coming years, driven by acquisitions and organic leasing activity.
- Recent Initiatives: Safehold is actively pursuing new acquisitions and expanding its portfolio of ground leases.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The commercial real estate market is expected to remain stable, with continued demand for high-quality properties.
- Demand-Supply: The supply of institutional-quality ground leases remains limited, creating a favorable environment for Safehold.
- Technological Advancements: Safehold leverages technology to improve property management and lease administration.
Competitors:
- Key Competitors: Store Capital (STOR), Realty Income (O), and EPR Properties (EPR)
- Market Share: Safehold's market share is smaller than its competitors, but it is growing rapidly.
- Competitive Advantages: Safehold's focus on ground leases, long-term leases, and institutional-quality properties differentiates them from competitors.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition from established REITs
- Rising interest rates
- Economic uncertainty
Opportunities:
- Growing demand for ground leases
- New market expansion
- Acquisitions and strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: 100% interest in five ground leases from Brixmor Property Group for $158.9 million.
- 2022: 100% interest in four ground leases from STORE Capital for $101.3 million.
- 2023: 100% interest in a ground lease from The Howard Hughes Corporation for $46.7 million.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based fundamental rating system, Safehold Inc. receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This indicates a strong financial position, a promising market position, and good future prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Data for this analysis was gathered from Safehold Inc.'s investor relations website, SEC filings, and reputable financial news sources. Please note that this information should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Safehold Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2017-06-22 | CEO & Chairman | Mr. Jay S. Sugarman |
Sector | Real Estate | Website | https://www.safeholdinc.com |
Industry | REIT - Diversified | Full time employees | 86 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Chairman | Mr. Jay S. Sugarman | ||
Website | https://www.safeholdinc.com | ||
Website | https://www.safeholdinc.com | ||
Full time employees | 86 |
Safehold Inc. (NYSE: SAFE) is revolutionizing real estate ownership by providing a new and better way for owners to unlock the value of the land beneath their buildings. Having created the modern ground lease industry in 2017, Safehold continues to help owners of high quality multifamily, office, industrial, hospitality, student housing, life science and mixed-use properties generate higher returns with less risk. The Company, which is taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT), seeks to deliver safe, growing income and long-term capital appreciation to its shareholders.
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