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Sunrun Inc (RUN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: RUN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.5% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12327688 | Beta 2.84 | 52 Weeks Range 5.54 - 22.26 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.54 - 22.26 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -12.81 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -139.67% | Operating Margin (TTM) -25.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.78% | Return on Equity (TTM) -78.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 85.47 | Enterprise Value 13773092853 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66 |
Enterprise Value 13773092853 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.58 | Shares Outstanding 226210000 | Shares Floating 194259844 |
Shares Outstanding 226210000 | Shares Floating 194259844 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.46 | Percent Institutions 111.9 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.11 | Target Price 19.08 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 12 |
Buy 7 | Strong Buy 12 | ||
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Sunrun Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007. It pioneered the 'solar as a service' model, allowing homeowners to access solar energy without upfront costs. Initially focused on California, Sunrun expanded nationally through organic growth and acquisitions like Vivint Solar in 2020.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Solar Systems: Sunrun designs, sells, installs, and maintains solar energy systems for homeowners. This includes rooftop solar panels, battery storage solutions, and related equipment.
- Energy Storage: Sunrun offers battery storage solutions like Brightbox, enabling homeowners to store excess solar energy for later use, providing backup power and grid services.
- Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) and Leases: Sunrun provides financing options, primarily PPAs and leases, allowing customers to pay for solar energy usage rather than owning the system outright.
- Grid Services: Sunrun aggregates its distributed energy resources (DERs) to provide grid services such as demand response and frequency regulation.
Leadership and Structure
Mary Powell is the current CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with departments for sales, marketing, operations, finance, and technology, reporting to executive leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Market Share (%): 12.5
- Rooftop Solar Panels: Sunrun installs solar panels on residential rooftops, enabling homeowners to generate their own electricity. They have a significant market share in the residential solar installation market. Competitors include Tesla, SunPower, and local installers. Market share is estimated to be between 10-15% in the US.
- Brightbox Battery Storage: Brightbox is Sunrun's proprietary battery storage solution, allowing homeowners to store excess solar energy. Competitors include Tesla Powerwall and LG Chem RESU. Market share for Brightbox is increasing but is still less than rooftop panel installations. Revenue is approximately $200 million annually. The market share is estimated to be between 5-10% in the US.
- Market Share (%): 7.5
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The solar energy industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by increasing environmental awareness, government incentives, and decreasing solar panel costs. The industry is becoming more competitive, with new players and evolving technologies.
Positioning
Sunrun is a leading provider of residential solar energy solutions, with a strong brand reputation and a focus on customer service. Its competitive advantages include its large customer base, financing options, and integrated service offerings.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for residential solar is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars, with projections showing continued growth. Sunrun is well positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, focusing on customer acquisition and geographic expansion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive financing options
- Large customer base
- Integrated service offerings
- Established grid services program
Weaknesses
- High customer acquisition costs
- Dependence on government incentives
- Complex installation process
- Profitability challenges
Opportunities
- Geographic expansion
- Increased adoption of battery storage
- Development of new grid services
- Partnerships with utilities
- Technological advancements in solar panels
Threats
- Changes in government incentives
- Increased competition
- Economic downturns
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising interest rates
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TSLA
- SPWR
- ENPH
Competitive Landscape
Sunrun faces intense competition from companies like Tesla and SunPower. Sunrunu2019s advantage lies in its financing options and service offerings, while Tesla leverages its brand and battery technology.
Major Acquisitions
Vivint Solar
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3200
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Vivint Solar significantly expanded Sunrun's customer base and geographic reach, making it the largest residential solar company in the United States.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Sunrun has experienced significant growth in customer base and revenue over the past decade, driven by the increasing demand for solar energy.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Sunrun, driven by the adoption of solar and storage solutions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new markets, investing in technology development, and forming partnerships with utilities.
Summary
Sunrun is a major player in the residential solar market, with a substantial customer base and strong brand. However, profitability remains a challenge due to high customer acquisition costs and competition. Expanding battery storage offerings and diversifying revenue streams are crucial. Dependence on incentives and economic conditions pose ongoing risk.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10K, 10Q), Industry Reports, Analyst Estimates, Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Sunrun Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-08-05 | CEO & Director Ms. Mary Grace Powell | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Solar | Full time employees 11058 | Website https://www.sunrun.com |
Full time employees 11058 | Website https://www.sunrun.com |
Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. It sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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