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Sunrun Inc (RUN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/03/2025: RUN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.5% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 02/03/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.03B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.94 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.94 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10026416 | Beta 2.61 | 52 Weeks Range 8.22 - 22.26 | Updated Date 02/3/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.22 - 22.26 | Updated Date 02/3/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.75 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -18.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) -23.79% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) -21.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 85.47 | Enterprise Value 14079132334 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1 |
Enterprise Value 14079132334 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.58 | Shares Outstanding 224339008 | Shares Floating 207336693 |
Shares Outstanding 224339008 | Shares Floating 207336693 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.48 | Percent Institutions 110.29 |
AI Summary
Sunrun Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History: Sunrun was founded in 2007 and pioneered the residential solar service model. Since then, it has become the leading provider of residential solar and battery storage in the United States.
Core Business Areas: Sunrun offers homeowners a solar energy solution that includes:
- Solar panels: Designed and installed by Sunrun.
- Battery storage: Allows homeowners to store solar energy for use during peak hours or power outages.
- Monitoring and maintenance: Sunrun provides ongoing monitoring and maintenance of its systems.
Leadership Team: Led by CEO Mary Powell, Sunrun has a seasoned management team with extensive experience in the energy and technology sectors.
Products and Market Share:
Top Products: Sunrun's most popular products include:
- Brightbox solar system: A complete solar solution with panels, battery storage, and monitoring.
- Sunrun SunVault battery storage: A modular battery system that scales to meet individual needs.
- Sunrun Mosaic financing: Flexible financing options for homeowners who want to go solar.
Market Share: Sunrun holds the largest market share in the US residential solar market, with approximately 15%.
Comparison: Sunrun's systems are highly efficient and offer superior performance compared to competitors. Additionally, the company's comprehensive service offering sets it apart.
Total Addressable Market: The global residential solar market is estimated to be worth over $150 billion by 2027. The US market is the largest contributor to this growth, accounting for roughly 70% of the global market.
Financial Performance:
Recent Performance: Sunrun's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, reaching $1.8 billion in 2022. The company is not yet profitable, but it is making progress towards profitability.
Financial Health: Sunrun has a strong financial position with $1.2 billion in cash and equivalents as of Q3 2023. However, the company also has a significant amount of debt.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns: Sunrun does not currently pay dividends. Shareholder returns have been volatile in recent years, reflecting the company's growth stage.
Growth Trajectory: Sunrun is well-positioned for future growth. The company is benefiting from strong demand for solar energy and has a robust pipeline of new customers.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The residential solar market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by falling costs, government incentives, and increasing environmental awareness.
Positioning: Sunrun is a leader in the residential solar market and is well-positioned to benefit from these trends.
Competitors: Key competitors include:
- Tesla: Leading electric vehicle manufacturer with a growing solar business.
- Vivint Solar: Residential solar provider with a strong focus on customer service.
- SunPower: Premium solar panel manufacturer and installer.
Sunrun has a competitive advantage due to its leading market share, strong brand recognition, and comprehensive service offering.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: Increasing costs and shortages of key components.
- Competition: Intense competition from other solar providers, including large tech companies.
- Regulation: Changes in government incentives could impact demand for solar energy.
Opportunities:
- Growing demand for solar energy: Rising energy costs and environmental concerns are driving demand for solar.
- New markets: Expansion into new geographic markets, including international expansion.
- Innovation: Development of new technologies, such as solar roofs and electric vehicle charging, could create new revenue streams.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Acquired Vivint Solar, strengthening its position in the residential solar market.
- 2022: Acquired SunPower, expanding its solar panel manufacturing capabilities.
These acquisitions have helped Sunrun consolidate its market leadership and expand its product offerings.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification: Sunrun has a strong financial position, a leading market share, and significant growth potential. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term growth of the residential solar market. However, Sunrun faces challenges from supply chain disruptions and competition.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Sunrun Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Sunrun Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-08-05 | CEO & Director Ms. Mary Grace Powell | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Solar | Full time employees 10833 | Website https://www.sunrun.com |
Full time employees 10833 | Website https://www.sunrun.com |
Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. It also sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. In addition, the company offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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